Skip to content
PhotoWeather
Get started
More Fire Sky in Kyushu
Create your own alerts
Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Sakurajima, Kyushu

Kagoshima, Kagoshima, Japan

Sakurajima's broad cone rises across Kagoshima Bay, its slopes cut by ash gullies. Ferries and waterfront structures establish scale without obscuring the volcano's outline.

2 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover0%
Mid Cloud Cover4%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation20.7°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Sakurajima
Sun, Oct 11 · 18:00–18:06 · 1h window
Low confidence
41%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential70.8%
Low Cloud Cover: 8%
Mid Cloud Cover: 70%
High Cloud Cover: 1%
Sun Elevation: -2.6° (Civil twilight)
fire-sky weather icon
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Sakurajima
Thu, Oct 15 · 18:00–18:01
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:92.7%
Low

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Tokyo.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Tokyo)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.12100%1%0.007Unavailable0%0%4%5.8%0.0221°3600seconds
0.11100%1%0.007Unavailable0%0%4%5.8%0.0232°3600seconds
0.12100%1%0.007Unavailable0%1%5%5.4%0.0242°3600seconds
0.12100%1%0.008Unavailable0%0%3%5.1%0.0249°3600seconds
0.13100%1%0.008Unavailable0%0%2%4.7%0.0253°3600seconds
0.1599%3%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%4.4%0.0250°3600seconds
0.1699%5%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%4%0.0244°3600seconds
0.1598%7%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%3.7%0.0234°3600seconds
0.1595%11%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%3.5%0.0223°3600seconds
0.1491%14%0.009Unavailable0%0%1%3.4%0.0211°3600seconds
Night0.1488%18%0.009Unavailable0%0%4%3.2%0.02-1.8°680seconds
Night0.1487%18%0.009Unavailable0%1%3%3.2%0.02-15°0seconds
Night0.1486%17%0.009Unavailable0%0%0%3.1%0.02-27°0seconds
Night0.1385%17%0.009Unavailable0%0%6%3.1%0.02-40°0seconds
Night0.1190%12%0.009Unavailable0%6%17%3.1%0.02-51°0seconds
Night0.195%7%0.009Unavailable0%25%37%3%0.02-60°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.1100%2%0.009Unavailable0%24%33%3%0.02-64°0seconds
Night0.1198%5%0.008Unavailable0%16%27%3.6%0.02-61°0seconds
Night0.1297%7%0.008Unavailable0%34%38%4.3%0.02-53°0seconds
Night0.1395%10%0.008Unavailable0%19%47%4.9%0.02-42°0seconds
Night0.1477%18%0.008Unavailable0%39%62%8.5%0.02-30°0seconds
Night0.1560%26%0.008Unavailable0%36%73%12%0.02-17°0seconds
Night0.1542%34%0.008Unavailable0%51%59%16%0.02-4.2°0seconds
0.1437%32%0.008Unavailable0%6%14%27%0.028.4°0seconds
0.1433%30%0.009Unavailable0%2%0%39%0.0221°3600seconds
0.1428%28%0.009Unavailable0%18%15%51%0.0232°3600seconds
Unavailable28%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%36%20%48%Unavailable42°3600seconds
Unavailable28%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%36%46%Unavailable49°3600seconds
Unavailable28%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%38%44%Unavailable52°3600seconds
Unavailable29%29%UnavailableUnavailable1%32%45%38%Unavailable50°3600seconds
Unavailable31%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%29%48%31%Unavailable43°2347seconds
Unavailable32%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%26%48%25%Unavailable34°1413seconds
Unavailable48%23%UnavailableUnavailable0%20%51%31%Unavailable23°0seconds
Unavailable65%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%12%41%38%Unavailable10°0seconds
NightUnavailable81%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%42%45%Unavailable-2.1°0seconds
NightUnavailable81%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%35%53%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable80%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%6%28%61%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable80%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%25%69%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable73%20%UnavailableUnavailable6%0%47%68%Unavailable-51°0seconds
NightUnavailable66%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%60%68%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable59%24%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%66%68%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable57%24%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%24%70%Unavailable-62°0seconds
NightUnavailable56%24%UnavailableUnavailable0%7%34%71%Unavailable-53°0seconds
NightUnavailable54%24%UnavailableUnavailable0%11%37%73%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable49%26%UnavailableUnavailable2%17%41%75%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable45%29%UnavailableUnavailable36%19%47%76%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable40%31%UnavailableUnavailable34%18%51%78%Unavailable-4.4°0seconds
Unavailable37%30%UnavailableUnavailable34%12%56%79%Unavailable8.3°0seconds
Unavailable34%30%UnavailableUnavailable12%7%62%80%Unavailable20°0seconds
Unavailable31%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%8%54%82%Unavailable32°569seconds
Unavailable31%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%13%47%84%Unavailable42°2214seconds
Unavailable31%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%23%37%87%Unavailable49°2661seconds
Unavailable31%36%UnavailableUnavailable1%32%39%89%Unavailable52°1858seconds
Unavailable29%34%UnavailableUnavailable19%27%42%87%Unavailable50°473seconds
Unavailable26%33%UnavailableUnavailable12%22%38%85%Unavailable43°117seconds
Unavailable24%31%UnavailableUnavailable10%22%41%82%Unavailable33°1392seconds
Unavailable28%33%UnavailableUnavailable16%13%33%82%Unavailable22°1176seconds
Unavailable33%36%UnavailableUnavailable12%20%40%82%Unavailable10°219seconds
NightUnavailable37%38%UnavailableUnavailable36%18%42%82%Unavailable-2.4°0seconds
NightUnavailable37%38%UnavailableUnavailable46%9%51%82%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable38%38%UnavailableUnavailable43%17%47%82%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable38%38%UnavailableUnavailable60%14%56%82%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable42%39%UnavailableUnavailable30%19%54%81%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable47%40%UnavailableUnavailable34%31%66%80%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable51%41%UnavailableUnavailable20%29%75%79%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable52%40%UnavailableUnavailable34%14%66%81%Unavailable-62°0seconds
NightUnavailable53%38%UnavailableUnavailable29%15%79%82%Unavailable-53°0seconds
NightUnavailable54%37%UnavailableUnavailable13%10%51%84%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable58%36%UnavailableUnavailable16%2%57%81%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable61%36%UnavailableUnavailable3%8%20%78%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable65%35%UnavailableUnavailable5%24%49%76%Unavailable-4.5°0seconds
Unavailable64%34%UnavailableUnavailable21%29%97%75%Unavailable8.1°498seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Sakurajima.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sakurajima during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
12
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 90 days
38
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 365 days
75
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

19:00 local time, shared by 30 of 75 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 19 of 75 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

Create your own Fire Sky alerts

Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.

Get this template

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Get Notified of Opportunities

Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.

Create Free Account