Rule
Fire Sky
Fire Sky Forecast for Kumamoto, Kyushu
Kumamoto, Kumamoto, Japan
A low viewpoint emphasizes Kumamoto Castle's sweeping stone ramparts, layering turrets, gables and defensive walls without modern clutter.
3 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.
Hourly forecast scores
Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)Low Cloud Cover0%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation20.4°
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in Asia/Tokyo
First upcoming window
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Kumamoto
Fri, Oct 9 · 18:00–18:07 · 1h window
Medium confidence
55%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential82.2%
Low Cloud Cover: 18%
Mid Cloud Cover: 56%
High Cloud Cover: 0%
Aerosol Optical Depth: 0.1
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Kumamoto
Thu, Oct 15 · 06:05–06:53
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:69.2%
Low
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Kumamoto
Thu, Oct 15 · 18:00–18:00
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:66.1%
Low
72-hour requirements breakdown
When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Tokyo.
Most common blockers
Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.
- Fiery Red Sky Potential97% of hours
- Golden Hour88% of hours
- Precipitation Chance26% of hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time Asia/Tokyo | Golden Hour Any | Fiery Red Sky Potential ≥ 65.0% | Precipitation Chance ≤ 15.0% | Visibility ≥ 8000.0m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8 | ||||
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33380m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36720m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39760m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49880m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49900m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 49920m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 43760m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39800m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 41%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39820m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36780m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33460m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33460m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33480m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33480m. Meets requirement |
| Fri, Oct 9 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33480m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33500m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.5%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36840m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 9.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36840m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.1%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36840m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36860m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 30%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36860m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36880m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.3%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36880m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39920m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39920m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 0%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 15%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 39960m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 20%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 39960m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 18%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 39960m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule passes. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 82%. Meets requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 36960m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33620m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.1%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 29360m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.8%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33640m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 4.1%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 10%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33640m. Meets requirement |
| Sat, Oct 10 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 1.1%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 12%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33660m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 1.5%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 13%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33660m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 14%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 31300m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 5.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 16%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 33680m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 3%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 19%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 33680m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 14%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 22%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 33680m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 80%. Meets requirement | Precipitation Chance: 24%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 33660m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.9%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 25%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 32940m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 08:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 6.2%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 25%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 13720m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 09:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 7.7%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 25%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 15000m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 10:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 8.6%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 26%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 19560m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 11:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 12%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 27%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 24420m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 12:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 16%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 29%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 40100m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 13:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 18%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 34%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 40120m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 14:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 17%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 40%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 11040m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 15:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 11%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 43%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 17260m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 16:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 41%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 7740m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 17:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 37%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 7420m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 18:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 56%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 31%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 29820m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 19:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 23%. Misses requirement | Visibility: 29560m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 20:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 14%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 33780m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 21:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 6960m. Misses requirement |
| Rule fails. 22:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 6%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 10400m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 23:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 11900m. Meets requirement |
| Sun, Oct 11 | ||||
| Rule fails. 24:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 10080m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 01:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 8520m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 02:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 14180m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 03:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 8%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 23360m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 04:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 7%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 26260m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 05:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 5%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 26700m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 06:00 | Golden Hour: Yes. Meets requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 32%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 26720m. Meets requirement |
| Rule fails. 07:00 | Golden Hour: No. Misses requirement | Fiery Red Sky Potential: 0%. Misses requirement | Precipitation Chance: 4%. Meets requirement | Visibility: 29900m. Meets requirement |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
Supporting forecast inputs
Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.
| Forecast time (Asia/Tokyo) | Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm) | Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble) | Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble) | Dust AOD (550nm) | Golden Hour | High Clouds | Low Clouds | Mid-Level Clouds | RH @ 700 hPa | Smoke AOD (550nm) | Solar Elevation | Sunshine Duration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| 0.07 | 100% | 0% | 0.006 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.4% | 0.01 | 20° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.07 | 100% | 0% | 0.006 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.4% | 0.01 | 32° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.08 | 100% | 0% | 0.007 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.2% | 0.01 | 41° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.09 | 100% | 0% | 0.007 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8.1% | 0.01 | 48° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.11 | 100% | 0% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.9% | 0.01 | 51° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.12 | 100% | 0% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.7% | 0.01 | 49° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.14 | 100% | 0% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.4% | 0.01 | 43° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.15 | 100% | 0% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.2% | 0.01 | 33° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.16 | 100% | 0% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.2% | 0.01 | 22° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.16 | 100% | 0% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.1% | 0.02 | 10° | 3600seconds | |
| Night | 0.15 | 100% | 0% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7.1% | 0.02 | -2.1° | 310seconds |
| Night | 0.14 | 100% | 0% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6.8% | 0.02 | -15° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.13 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6.4% | 0.02 | -27° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.12 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6.1% | 0.02 | -39° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 5% | 5.8% | 0.02 | -51° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.1 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 7% | 10% | 5.5% | 0.02 | -59° | 0seconds |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | 0.1 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 7% | 8% | 5.2% | 0.02 | -63° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 17% | 25% | 5% | 0.02 | -60° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 0% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 24% | 27% | 4.7% | 0.02 | -52° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 0% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 15% | 32% | 4.5% | 0.02 | -41° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 1% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 11% | 11% | 4.5% | 0.02 | -29° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.12 | 100% | 3% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 11% | 8% | 4.4% | 0.02 | -17° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.11 | 100% | 4% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 5% | 4% | 4.4% | 0.02 | -4.2° | 0seconds |
| 0.11 | 100% | 4% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 8% | 10% | 6.6% | 0.02 | 8.3° | 0seconds | |
| 0.12 | 100% | 4% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 21% | 36% | 8.7% | 0.02 | 20° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.13 | 100% | 4% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 12% | 57% | 11% | 0.02 | 31° | 3416seconds | |
| 0.13 | 97% | 8% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 13% | 45% | 19% | 0.02 | 41° | 1574seconds | |
| 0.14 | 94% | 11% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 11% | 26% | 27% | 0.02 | 48° | 3599seconds | |
| 0.15 | 91% | 15% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 17% | 30% | 34% | 0.02 | 51° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.16 | 85% | 15% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 13% | 32% | 43% | 0.02 | 49° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.15 | 80% | 14% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 20% | 59% | 51% | 0.02 | 42° | 3600seconds | |
| 0.13 | 74% | 14% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 24% | 37% | 59% | 0.02 | 33° | 3416seconds | |
| 0.11 | 57% | 18% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 18% | 46% | 65% | 0.02 | 22° | 1582seconds | |
| 0.11 | 40% | 23% | 0.01 | Unavailable | 0% | 22% | 58% | 71% | 0.02 | 10° | 742seconds | |
| Night | 0.1 | 23% | 27% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 18% | 56% | 76% | 0.02 | -2.3° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.09 | 25% | 27% | 0.009 | Unavailable | 0% | 11% | 38% | 77% | 0.02 | -15° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.09 | 27% | 27% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 6% | 45% | 77% | 0.02 | -28° | 0seconds |
| Night | 0.09 | 29% | 27% | 0.008 | Unavailable | 0% | 4% | 45% | 78% | 0.02 | -40° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 34% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 2% | 42% | 79% | Unavailable | -51° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 39% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 40% | 80% | Unavailable | -60° | 0seconds |
| Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | Unavailable | 44% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 30% | 82% | Unavailable | -64° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 41% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 26% | 83% | Unavailable | -61° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 37% | 31% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 19% | 85% | Unavailable | -52° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 34% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 0% | 29% | 86% | Unavailable | -42° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 33% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1% | 0% | 42% | 90% | Unavailable | -30° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 33% | 28% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 23% | 0% | 39% | 94% | Unavailable | -17° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 32% | 28% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 31% | 0% | 38% | 98% | Unavailable | -4.4° | 0seconds |
| Unavailable | 32% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 29% | 0% | 50% | 96% | Unavailable | 8.1° | 0seconds | |
| Unavailable | 33% | 25% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 33% | 0% | 54% | 94% | Unavailable | 20° | 0seconds | |
| Unavailable | 33% | 24% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 36% | 0% | 47% | 92% | Unavailable | 31° | 0seconds | |
| Unavailable | 34% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 51% | 2% | 46% | 88% | Unavailable | 41° | 2153seconds | |
| Unavailable | 35% | 30% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 55% | 4% | 80% | 84% | Unavailable | 48° | 43seconds | |
| Unavailable | 36% | 33% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 42% | 12% | 68% | 81% | Unavailable | 51° | 0seconds | |
| Unavailable | 32% | 31% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 37% | 10% | 45% | 79% | Unavailable | 48° | 240seconds | |
| Unavailable | 27% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 41% | 11% | 56% | 77% | Unavailable | 42° | 661seconds | |
| Unavailable | 23% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 38% | 11% | 50% | 76% | Unavailable | 33° | 0seconds | |
| Unavailable | 19% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 25% | 14% | 61% | 71% | Unavailable | 22° | 243seconds | |
| Unavailable | 16% | 28% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 36% | 20% | 54% | 66% | Unavailable | 9.8° | 0seconds | |
| Night | Unavailable | 12% | 28% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 35% | 20% | 44% | 60% | Unavailable | -2.6° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 12% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 35% | 11% | 45% | 62% | Unavailable | -15° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 12% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 27% | 2% | 52% | 65% | Unavailable | -28° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 12% | 26% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 29% | 3% | 52% | 67% | Unavailable | -40° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 19% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 32% | 4% | 45% | 69% | Unavailable | -51° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 25% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 34% | 3% | 42% | 70% | Unavailable | -60° | 0seconds |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset | ||||||||||||
| Night | Unavailable | 32% | 35% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 34% | 3% | 45% | 72% | Unavailable | -64° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 33% | 34% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 40% | 2% | 59% | 74% | Unavailable | -61° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 35% | 33% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 17% | 1% | 58% | 75% | Unavailable | -53° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 36% | 32% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 14% | 1% | 90% | 77% | Unavailable | -42° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 42% | 31% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 1% | 0% | 45% | 77% | Unavailable | -30° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 48% | 29% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 82% | 78% | Unavailable | -17° | 0seconds |
| Night | Unavailable | 54% | 28% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 85% | 78% | Unavailable | -4.5° | 0seconds |
| Unavailable | 55% | 27% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 0% | 1% | 30% | 78% | Unavailable | 7.9° | 246seconds | |
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Kumamoto.
Explore Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kumamoto during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
11
recorded matching windows · 75% average confidence
Last 90 days
49
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Last 365 days
80
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour
19:00 local time, shared by 32 of 80 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
Most represented month
August, with 21 of 80 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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