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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Kirishima, Kyushu

Kirishima, Kagoshima, Japan

The composition combines Kirishima's crater lakes beneath serrated volcanic ridges, using shrine gates, boardwalks or grassland paths as strong foreground anchors.

2 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Low Cloud Cover0%
Mid Cloud Cover2%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation20.8°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Kirishima
Sun, Oct 11 · 18:00–18:05 · 1h window
Low confidence
41%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential68.4%
Low Cloud Cover: 13%
Mid Cloud Cover: 68%
High Cloud Cover: 0%
Sun Elevation: -2.8° (Civil twilight)
fire-sky weather icon
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Kirishima
Thu, Oct 15 · 18:00–18:00
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:100%
Medium

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Tokyo.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Tokyo)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.1100%0%0.007Unavailable0%0%2%5.6%0.0221°3600seconds
0.1100%0%0.007Unavailable0%0%1%5.3%0.0232°3600seconds
0.198%5%0.007Unavailable0%0%0%5%0.0242°3600seconds
0.196%10%0.007Unavailable0%0%0%4.8%0.0249°3600seconds
0.1194%15%0.007Unavailable0%0%1%4.5%0.0252°3600seconds
0.1292%15%0.008Unavailable0%1%4%4.3%0.0250°3600seconds
0.1291%16%0.008Unavailable0%1%5%4%0.0243°3600seconds
0.1289%16%0.008Unavailable0%2%7%3.8%0.0234°3600seconds
0.1193%12%0.008Unavailable0%1%7%3.6%0.0223°3600seconds
0.1196%8%0.008Unavailable0%1%3%3.3%0.0210°3600seconds
Night0.12100%4%0.008Unavailable0%0%1%3.1%0.02-2°352seconds
Night0.11100%4%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%2.9%0.02-15°0seconds
Night0.1100%3%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%2.8%0.02-28°0seconds
Night0.1100%3%0.009Unavailable0%4%15%2.6%0.02-40°0seconds
Night0.09100%4%0.009Unavailable0%14%19%2.6%0.02-51°0seconds
Night0.199%5%0.008Unavailable0%14%29%2.5%0.02-60°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.1299%6%0.008Unavailable0%12%20%2.5%0.02-64°0seconds
Night0.1494%9%0.008Unavailable0%10%9%3.6%0.02-61°0seconds
Night0.1489%12%0.008Unavailable0%18%27%4.8%0.02-53°0seconds
Night0.1584%15%0.008Unavailable0%28%31%5.9%0.02-42°0seconds
Night0.1666%20%0.008Unavailable0%18%48%16%0.02-30°0seconds
Night0.1647%25%0.008Unavailable0%28%34%25%0.02-17°0seconds
Night0.1629%30%0.008Unavailable0%17%18%35%0.02-4.1°0seconds
0.1525%29%0.008Unavailable0%4%16%42%0.028.5°0seconds
0.1521%28%0.009Unavailable0%10%5%48%0.0221°3600seconds
0.1517%27%0.009Unavailable0%22%8%55%0.0232°3600seconds
Unavailable17%27%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%24%54%Unavailable42°3600seconds
Unavailable16%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%24%28%53%Unavailable49°3600seconds
Unavailable16%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%27%36%52%Unavailable52°3600seconds
Unavailable19%27%UnavailableUnavailable0%32%36%58%Unavailable50°3600seconds
Unavailable22%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%32%39%63%Unavailable43°3600seconds
Unavailable25%25%UnavailableUnavailable0%17%33%69%Unavailable33°3600seconds
Unavailable35%25%UnavailableUnavailable0%42%43%71%Unavailable22°1617seconds
Unavailable45%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%30%40%72%Unavailable10°0seconds
NightUnavailable55%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%18%38%74%Unavailable-2.3°0seconds
NightUnavailable51%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%8%30%74%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable46%25%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%30%75%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable42%25%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%48%75%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable33%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%40%77%Unavailable-51°0seconds
NightUnavailable25%27%UnavailableUnavailable4%0%57%78%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable16%28%UnavailableUnavailable5%0%80%80%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable14%27%UnavailableUnavailable4%0%49%82%Unavailable-62°0seconds
NightUnavailable13%25%UnavailableUnavailable11%2%41%85%Unavailable-53°0seconds
NightUnavailable11%24%UnavailableUnavailable18%9%43%88%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable14%26%UnavailableUnavailable11%11%49%87%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable17%28%UnavailableUnavailable20%14%50%86%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable20%30%UnavailableUnavailable37%17%47%85%Unavailable-4.2°0seconds
Unavailable20%30%UnavailableUnavailable35%20%40%86%Unavailable8.4°0seconds
Unavailable19%29%UnavailableUnavailable18%15%47%88%Unavailable20°109seconds
Unavailable19%29%UnavailableUnavailable7%15%50%89%Unavailable32°1770seconds
Unavailable21%30%UnavailableUnavailable2%6%52%91%Unavailable42°2687seconds
Unavailable24%32%UnavailableUnavailable1%12%51%93%Unavailable49°2894seconds
Unavailable26%33%UnavailableUnavailable11%27%47%94%Unavailable52°2348seconds
Unavailable25%32%UnavailableUnavailable6%36%49%90%Unavailable49°1906seconds
Unavailable23%32%UnavailableUnavailable30%35%35%85%Unavailable43°88seconds
Unavailable22%31%UnavailableUnavailable26%44%44%80%Unavailable33°0seconds
Unavailable27%34%UnavailableUnavailable27%8%27%80%Unavailable22°452seconds
Unavailable31%36%UnavailableUnavailable17%17%42%80%Unavailable10°1175seconds
NightUnavailable36%39%UnavailableUnavailable28%10%38%79%Unavailable-2.6°0seconds
NightUnavailable37%38%UnavailableUnavailable52%3%43%79%Unavailable-15°0seconds
NightUnavailable37%37%UnavailableUnavailable49%6%41%79%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable38%36%UnavailableUnavailable29%19%37%79%Unavailable-40°0seconds
NightUnavailable40%35%UnavailableUnavailable31%18%40%79%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable41%34%UnavailableUnavailable27%14%54%79%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable43%33%UnavailableUnavailable32%4%48%79%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable44%31%UnavailableUnavailable40%5%55%79%Unavailable-62°0seconds
NightUnavailable45%28%UnavailableUnavailable24%18%55%79%Unavailable-53°0seconds
NightUnavailable46%26%UnavailableUnavailable11%6%33%79%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable47%27%UnavailableUnavailable14%2%13%79%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable48%29%UnavailableUnavailable5%12%51%78%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable49%30%UnavailableUnavailable5%27%33%78%Unavailable-4.4°0seconds
Unavailable49%30%UnavailableUnavailable16%32%34%76%Unavailable8.2°753seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Kirishima.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kirishima during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
14
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Last 90 days
37
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 365 days
65
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

19:00 local time, shared by 29 of 65 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 17 of 65 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

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