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Rule Mirror Lake

Mirror Lake Forecast for Aoshima, Kyushu

Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan

Aoshima's exposed ribbed rock beds converge toward the forested shrine island. The red torii provides a restrained colour accent against stone, water, and dense subtropical vegetation.

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo
mirror-lake weather icon
Next opportunity
Glassy Mirror Reflections (glassy)
Aoshima
Tomorrow · 21:00–01:00 · 4h window
Medium confidence
50%
💨Wind Speed0.3-0.6m/s
mirror-lake weather icon
Glassy Mirror Reflections (glassy)
Aoshima
Tue, Jul 21 · 22:00–24:00
💨Wind Speed:0.4-0.6m/s
Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Mirror Lake conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Aoshima.

Explore Mirror Lake conditions across Kyushu →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Aoshima during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
5
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
29
recorded matching windows · 65% average confidence
Last 365 days
46
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most represented month

May, with 16 of 46 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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79-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 79-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
6matching hours in the next 79 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Wind Speed
≤ 1.0m/s
Wind Gusts
≤ 2.0m/s
Precipitation Chance
≤ 10.0%
Visibility
≥ 5000.0m
Sun, Jul 19
14:003.8m/s3.4m/s60%24134m
15:004m/s3.5m/s62%24134m
16:004.4m/s5m/s50%24134m
17:004.4m/s6m/s36%24135m
18:003.4m/s4.5m/s22%24135m
19:002m/s3.1m/s22%24135m
20:002.1m/s3.1m/s22%24134m
21:001.4m/s2.2m/s22%24134m
22:001.1m/s1.9m/s15%24135m
23:001.2m/s1.9m/s7.4%24135m
Mon, Jul 20
24:001.5m/s1.9m/s0%24134m
01:001.5m/s2m/s0%24135m
02:001.8m/s2.3m/s0%24135m
03:002.1m/s2.8m/s0%24134m
04:002m/s2.7m/s7.4%24135m
05:002.4m/s3.2m/s15%24134m
06:002.1m/s3m/s22%24134m
07:002.2m/s3.1m/s32%24134m
08:001.6m/s2.4m/s42%24134m
09:001.4m/s1.9m/s52%24135m
10:002.3m/s2m/s48%24135m
11:004.3m/s3m/s43%24134m
12:005.1m/s3.4m/s39%24134m
13:004.8m/s4.3m/s47%24134m
14:004.5m/s4.3m/s55%24135m
15:004.2m/s3.8m/s64%24135m
16:003.9m/s3.4m/s43%24134m
17:003.4m/s3.3m/s21%24135m
18:002.8m/s3.2m/s0%24135m
19:002.1m/s2.8m/s0%24134m
20:001.2m/s1.3m/s0%24134m
21:000.48m/s0.7m/s0%24134m
22:000.26m/s0.51m/s0%24134m
23:000.49m/s0.71m/s0%24134m
Tue, Jul 21
24:000.62m/s0.91m/s0%24135m
01:001.3m/s1.3m/s13%24134m
02:001.4m/s1.4m/s26%24135m
03:001.4m/s1.4m/s39%24135m
04:001.4m/s1.4m/s42%24135m
05:001.3m/s1.3m/s46%24134m
06:001.4m/s1.5m/s49%24135m
07:001.2m/s1.4m/s59%24134m
08:001.1m/s1.2m/s69%24134m
09:001.7m/s1.1m/s79%24135m
10:002.9m/s1.7m/s71%24134m
11:003.7m/s2.3m/s64%24134m
12:003.8m/s2.5m/s56%24135m
13:003.8m/s2.6m/s55%24134m
14:004.1m/s2.9m/s54%24135m
15:003.8m/s2.8m/s52%24135m
16:003.4m/s2.6m/s35%24135m
17:002.8m/s2.2m/s17%24134m
18:002.9m/s2.6m/s0%24135m
19:003.1m/s3.7m/s0%24135m
20:002.4m/s3.2m/s0%24134m
21:001.3m/s1.4m/s0%24134m
22:000.36m/s0.62m/s0%24134m
23:000.65m/s0.95m/s0%24134m
Wed, Jul 22
24:001.4m/s1.5m/s0%24134m
01:001.7m/s2m/s0%24135m
02:001.9m/s2.2m/s0%24134m
03:001.8m/s2.1m/s0%24134m
04:002.4m/s2.3m/s8.7%24134m
05:002.9m/s2.5m/s17%24135m
06:003.5m/s2.7m/s26%24135m
07:003.4m/s2.5m/s33%24135m
08:003.3m/s2.3m/s41%24135m
09:003.2m/s2.1m/s48%24135m
10:003m/s2.3m/s45%24135m
11:002.7m/s2.5m/s41%24135m
12:002.5m/s2.7m/s38%24135m
13:002.1m/s2.2m/s40%24135m
14:001.6m/s1.8m/s43%24135m
15:001.2m/s1.3m/s46%24135m
16:001.5m/s2m/s31%24135m
17:001.8m/s2.6m/s15%24135m
18:002.2m/s3.3m/s0%24135m
19:002.3m/s3.3m/s0%24135m
20:002.5m/s3.4m/s0%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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