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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Aoshima, Kyushu

Miyazaki, Miyazaki, Japan

Aoshima's exposed ribbed rock beds converge toward the forested shrine island. The red torii provides a restrained colour accent against stone, water, and dense subtropical vegetation.

0 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover12%
Mid Cloud Cover18%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation21.3°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No matching opportunities in this 14-day forecast

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Tokyo.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Tokyo)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.1100%1%0.008Unavailable0%12%18%5.3%0.0221°3600seconds
0.11100%1%0.008Unavailable0%7%12%4.8%0.0233°3600seconds
0.11100%2%0.008Unavailable0%4%9%4.6%0.0242°3600seconds
0.11100%2%0.008Unavailable0%2%5%4.4%0.0249°3600seconds
0.11100%3%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%4.2%0.0252°3600seconds
0.1100%2%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%4.1%0.0250°3600seconds
0.1100%2%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%3.9%0.0243°3600seconds
0.1100%1%0.008Unavailable0%0%0%3.8%0.0233°3600seconds
0.1100%1%0.009Unavailable0%0%0%3.7%0.0222°3600seconds
0.09100%0%0.009Unavailable0%0%0%3.7%0.029.9°3600seconds
Night0.09100%0%0.009Unavailable0%0%2%3.6%0.02-2.6°91seconds
Night0.09100%0%0.009Unavailable0%0%32%3.3%0.02-15°0seconds
Night0.09100%0%0.009Unavailable0%29%48%2.9%0.02-28°0seconds
Night0.11100%0%0.009Unavailable0%41%48%2.6%0.02-40°0seconds
Night0.1593%8%0.01Unavailable0%35%29%2.6%0.02-52°0seconds
Night0.1785%16%0.01Unavailable0%48%46%2.6%0.02-60°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.1778%24%0.01Unavailable0%37%45%2.6%0.02-64°0seconds
Night0.1868%24%0.01Unavailable0%56%82%4.3%0.02-61°0seconds
Night0.257%25%0.01Unavailable0%66%67%5.9%0.02-52°0seconds
Night0.2147%25%0.009Unavailable0%71%76%7.6%0.02-41°0seconds
Night0.1932%22%0.009Unavailable0%76%94%18%0.02-29°0seconds
Night0.1916%20%0.009Unavailable0%55%66%28%0.02-16°0seconds
Night0.181%17%0.01Unavailable0%40%42%38%0.02-3.5°0seconds
0.171%17%0.01Unavailable0%39%35%50%0.019°0seconds
0.161%16%0.01Unavailable0%47%42%62%0.0121°2056seconds
0.161%16%0.01Unavailable15%63%88%75%0.0132°820seconds
Unavailable2%18%UnavailableUnavailable6%41%56%76%Unavailable42°0seconds
Unavailable3%19%UnavailableUnavailable0%50%70%77%Unavailable49°168seconds
Unavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%45%64%78%Unavailable52°0seconds
Unavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%47%74%78%Unavailable49°0seconds
Unavailable5%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%70%94%78%Unavailable43°0seconds
Unavailable5%23%UnavailableUnavailable0%31%59%78%Unavailable33°0seconds
Unavailable5%23%UnavailableUnavailable1%47%73%78%Unavailable22°0seconds
Unavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%53%71%79%Unavailable9.6°0seconds
NightUnavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%41%78%79%Unavailable-2.9°0seconds
NightUnavailable3%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%33%70%80%Unavailable-16°0seconds
NightUnavailable3%20%UnavailableUnavailable0%22%66%82%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable2%19%UnavailableUnavailable0%21%54%83%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable2%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%17%45%85%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable1%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%18%47%86%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable1%17%UnavailableUnavailable0%22%40%88%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable1%16%UnavailableUnavailable5%27%35%86%Unavailable-61°0seconds
NightUnavailable0%15%UnavailableUnavailable4%18%52%83%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable0%14%UnavailableUnavailable5%34%80%81%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable1%16%UnavailableUnavailable6%43%61%78%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable1%17%UnavailableUnavailable18%20%48%75%Unavailable-16°0seconds
NightUnavailable2%19%UnavailableUnavailable18%40%57%72%Unavailable-3.7°0seconds
Unavailable2%19%UnavailableUnavailable12%45%51%74%Unavailable8.9°0seconds
Unavailable2%19%UnavailableUnavailable17%4%36%77%Unavailable21°0seconds
Unavailable2%19%UnavailableUnavailable27%10%31%80%Unavailable32°2044seconds
Unavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable32%4%38%78%Unavailable42°3541seconds
Unavailable5%22%UnavailableUnavailable16%0%34%77%Unavailable49°3600seconds
Unavailable7%24%UnavailableUnavailable3%7%29%76%Unavailable51°3600seconds
Unavailable7%24%UnavailableUnavailable4%21%38%73%Unavailable49°3600seconds
Unavailable7%24%UnavailableUnavailable7%8%55%70%Unavailable42°1652seconds
Unavailable7%24%UnavailableUnavailable26%4%49%68%Unavailable33°1284seconds
Unavailable15%28%UnavailableUnavailable27%18%45%67%Unavailable21°437seconds
Unavailable22%32%UnavailableUnavailable28%17%47%67%Unavailable9.4°0seconds
NightUnavailable30%36%UnavailableUnavailable25%22%52%67%Unavailable-3.2°0seconds
NightUnavailable28%34%UnavailableUnavailable16%27%47%65%Unavailable-16°0seconds
NightUnavailable25%33%UnavailableUnavailable25%29%38%63%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable23%31%UnavailableUnavailable17%27%31%61%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable26%31%UnavailableUnavailable17%3%32%62%Unavailable-52°0seconds
NightUnavailable29%32%UnavailableUnavailable19%11%50%63%Unavailable-61°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable32%32%UnavailableUnavailable17%9%51%64%Unavailable-65°0seconds
NightUnavailable33%31%UnavailableUnavailable15%19%38%65%Unavailable-61°0seconds
NightUnavailable33%30%UnavailableUnavailable17%28%24%66%Unavailable-53°0seconds
NightUnavailable34%29%UnavailableUnavailable5%26%13%68%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable37%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%59%18%68%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable40%32%UnavailableUnavailable3%39%8%69%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable43%33%UnavailableUnavailable2%56%20%70%Unavailable-3.8°0seconds
Unavailable42%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%81%13%70%Unavailable8.7°131seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Aoshima.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Kyushu →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Aoshima during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
16
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 90 days
41
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 365 days
68
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

19:00 local time, shared by 28 of 68 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 19 of 68 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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