Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Vagamon, Kerala

Vagamon, Kerala, India

Vagamon's rounded grass ridges are punctuated by lone trees and narrow footpaths that establish scale. Nearby pine plantations offer tighter compositions built from repeated vertical trunks.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

13%

CAPE0

Lifted Index0.3°C

Wind Gusts3.5m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Kolkata

Next opportunity

Weak Storm

Vagamon

Tomorrow · 13:30–14:30 · 1h window

Low confidence

39%

⛈️Storm Intensity40%

CAPE: 98

Lifted Index: -0.5°C

Wind Gusts: 6.5m/s

Precipitation: 0.3mm

Weak Storm

Vagamon

Tomorrow · 15:30–16:30

⛈️Storm Intensity:44.5%

Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Kerala. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Vagamon.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Kerala →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Vagamon during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 49% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

17:00 local time, shared by 11 of 62 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

August, with 46 of 62 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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84-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 84-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

2matching hours in the next 84 hoursJump to next match

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Kolkata	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
11:30	32%
12:30	26%
13:30	36%
14:30	39%
15:30	28%
16:30	26%
17:30	29%
18:30	21%
19:30	22%
20:30	23%
21:30	22%
22:30	28%
23:30	24%
Sun, Aug 23
24:30	14%
01:30	13%
02:30	0%
03:30	0%
04:30	19%
05:30	22%
06:30	21%
07:30	22%
08:30	25%
09:30	25%
10:30	29%
11:30	28%
12:30	30%
13:30	32%
14:30	31%
15:30	29%
16:30	31%
17:30	31%
18:30	26%
19:30	23%
20:30	22%
21:30	21%
22:30	22%
23:30	27%
Mon, Aug 24
24:30	27%
01:30	17%
02:30	18%
03:30	13%
04:30	24%
05:30	26%
06:30	22%
07:30	22%
08:30	23%
09:30	25%
10:30	27%
11:30	31%
12:30	33%
13:30	40%
14:30	33%
15:30	45%
16:30	34%
17:30	35%
18:30	27%
19:30	24%
20:30	25%
21:30	0%
22:30	0%
23:30	0%
Tue, Aug 25
24:30	0%
01:30	0%
02:30	0%
03:30	18%
04:30	20%
05:30	22%
06:30	24%
07:30	24%
08:30	29%
09:30	27%
10:30	32%
11:30	34%
12:30	32%
13:30	24%
14:30	23%
15:30	22%
16:30	20%
17:30	0%
18:30	0%
19:30	0%
20:30	17%
21:30	0%
22:30	0%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Kolkata	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:13 Sunset 18:36
01:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0.04fraction	0.3°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	3960m	3.5m/s	-	-	1m/s
02:30 ☾	923hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	0.8°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	19849m	2.8m/s	6.9m/s	6.3m/s	1.1m/s
03:30 ☾	923hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.1°C	58%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.2m/s	-	-	0.95m/s
04:30 ☾	923hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	76%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.6m/s	-	-	0.98m/s
05:30 ☾	923hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.5°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.8m/s	8m/s	5.2m/s	0.85m/s
06:30	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1m/s	-	-	0.46m/s
07:30	925hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.9m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
08:30	925hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.1m/s	7.6m/s	3.9m/s	1.8m/s
09:30	926hPa	4J/kg	0.33fraction	1.2°C	96%	0mm	0mm	-13dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.7m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
10:30	926hPa	5J/kg	0.67fraction	0.9°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-5.9dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.3m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
11:30	926hPa	20J/kg	1fraction	0.1°C	99%	0mm	0.04mm	1.2dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.2m/s	5.8m/s	3m/s	3.7m/s
12:30	925hPa	32J/kg	0.98fraction	-0.3°C	99%	0mm	0.08mm	3dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.3m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
13:30	924hPa	39J/kg	0.96fraction	-0.4°C	99%	0mm	0.1mm	4.9dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	6.1m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
14:30	923hPa	36J/kg	0.94fraction	0°C	98%	0mm	0.09mm	6.7dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	6.5m/s	6.3m/s	3.3m/s	3.7m/s
15:30	923hPa	35J/kg	0.77fraction	0.1°C	99%	0mm	0.05mm	-1.5dBZ	0.31mm	24134m	6.2m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
16:30	923hPa	34J/kg	0.6fraction	0.1°C	99%	0mm	0.11mm	-9.6dBZ	0.38mm	24135m	6.2m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
17:30	924hPa	29J/kg	0.44fraction	-0.2°C	100%	0.01mm	0.12mm	-18dBZ	0.44mm	23663m	6.2m/s	7m/s	2.8m/s	2.9m/s
18:30	925hPa	31J/kg	0.41fraction	0.1°C	89%	0mm	0.16mm	-18dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.4m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
19:30 ☾	926hPa	20J/kg	0.37fraction	0°C	79%	0mm	0.1mm	-18dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	4.5m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
20:30 ☾	926hPa	19J/kg	0.34fraction	0.1°C	69%	0mm	0.1mm	-19dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	3.9m/s	7.5m/s	4.7m/s	1.5m/s
21:30 ☾	926hPa	14J/kg	0.24fraction	0.5°C	73%	0mm	0.06mm	-19dBZ	0.38mm	24135m	4.2m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:30 ☾	926hPa	14J/kg	0.14fraction	0.5°C	77%	0mm	0.07mm	-19dBZ	0.44mm	24134m	4m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
23:30 ☾	926hPa	9J/kg	0.04fraction	0.4°C	82%	0mm	0.02mm	-19dBZ	0.5mm	9265m	3.1m/s	7.3m/s	6.1m/s	1m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:13 Sunset 18:36
24:30 ☾	925hPa	7J/kg	0.03fraction	0.9°C	68%	0mm	0.01mm	-19dBZ	0mm	956m	3.3m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
01:30 ☾	925hPa	6J/kg	0.01fraction	1.3°C	54%	0mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	773m	3.1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
02:30 ☾	924hPa	3J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	40%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	963m	2.9m/s	7.9m/s	4.4m/s	1.1m/s
03:30 ☾	924hPa	2J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	57%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	3478m	2m/s	-	-	0.8m/s
04:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	75%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	2154m	2.6m/s	-	-	0.98m/s
05:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	7246m	2.5m/s	8.1m/s	4.4m/s	1m/s
06:30	925hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.6°C	92%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.6m/s	-	-	1m/s
07:30	925hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.4m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
08:30	926hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.4°C	90%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.5m/s	7m/s	3.1m/s	2m/s
09:30	926hPa	3J/kg	0.33fraction	1°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-9.2dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.8m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
10:30	926hPa	10J/kg	0.67fraction	0.2°C	95%	0mm	0.01mm	1.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.7m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
11:30	925hPa	19J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	98%	0mm	0.06mm	12dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	6.3m/s	4.9m/s	1.4m/s	3.6m/s
12:30	925hPa	72J/kg	0.91fraction	-0.5°C	98%	0mm	0.23mm	12dBZ	0.06mm	22939m	6.3m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
13:30	924hPa	98J/kg	0.81fraction	-0.5°C	99%	0mm	0.54mm	12dBZ	0.31mm	11542m	6.5m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
14:30	924hPa	130J/kg	0.72fraction	-1.1°C	99%	0mm	0.41mm	11dBZ	0.81mm	14468m	6.3m/s	4.2m/s	1.9m/s	4.1m/s
15:30	924hPa	128J/kg	0.7fraction	-1.1°C	98%	0mm	0.56mm	5.2dBZ	1.4mm	11982m	6.4m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
16:30	924hPa	101J/kg	0.68fraction	-0.9°C	97%	0mm	0.19mm	-0.74dBZ	1.6mm	24134m	6.8m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
17:30	924hPa	64J/kg	0.66fraction	-0.7°C	96%	0mm	0.31mm	-6.7dBZ	1.8mm	21764m	6.6m/s	6.4m/s	1.3m/s	2.5m/s
18:30	925hPa	32J/kg	0.6fraction	-0.2°C	85%	0mm	0.03mm	-3.4dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.1m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
19:30 ☾	926hPa	28J/kg	0.55fraction	-0.1°C	75%	0mm	0.06mm	-0.14dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	4.5m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
20:30 ☾	926hPa	18J/kg	0.49fraction	0.3°C	64%	0mm	0.05mm	3.1dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	5m/s	7m/s	2.4m/s	1.6m/s
21:30 ☾	927hPa	9J/kg	0.37fraction	0.4°C	57%	0mm	0.03mm	-4.6dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
22:30 ☾	927hPa	9J/kg	0.24fraction	0.7°C	50%	0mm	0.02mm	-12dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	4.6m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
23:30 ☾	926hPa	0J/kg	0.11fraction	1°C	43%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	3.8m/s	7.1m/s	3.3m/s	1.3m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:13 Sunset 18:35
24:30 ☾	926hPa	0J/kg	0.07fraction	1.1°C	44%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.9m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
01:30 ☾	925hPa	0J/kg	0.04fraction	1.3°C	45%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.4m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
02:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	46%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.2m/s	7.4m/s	4.5m/s	1.1m/s
03:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.1°C	63%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.5m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
04:30 ☾	924hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	80%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.1m/s	-	-	1m/s
05:30 ☾	925hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.2°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.4m/s	7.3m/s	3.6m/s	0.83m/s
06:30	932hPa	16J/kg	0fraction	0.68°C	98%	0mm	0.08mm	-20dBZ	0.25mm	23881m	3m/s	-	-	1.7m/s
07:30	940hPa	32J/kg	0fraction	0.16°C	99%	0mm	0.17mm	-20dBZ	0.5mm	23628m	4.6m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
08:30	948hPa	48J/kg	0fraction	-0.36°C	99%	0mm	0.25mm	-20dBZ	0.75mm	23374m	6.2m/s	6.9m/s	4.4m/s	3.3m/s
09:30	949hPa	43J/kg	0.33fraction	-0.32°C	99%	0.03mm	0.18mm	-9.1dBZ	0.96mm	23628m	5.9m/s	-	-	3m/s
10:30	949hPa	37J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.28°C	100%	0.06mm	0.1mm	1.8dBZ	1.2mm	23881m	5.6m/s	-	-	2.7m/s
11:30	949hPa	32J/kg	1fraction	-0.24°C	100%	0.09mm	0.03mm	13dBZ	1.4mm	24135m	5.2m/s	5.1m/s	1.7m/s	2.3m/s
12:30	950hPa	27J/kg	1fraction	-0.28°C	77%	0.07mm	0.03mm	14dBZ	1mm	24135m	4.3m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
13:30	950hPa	22J/kg	0.99fraction	-0.33°C	55%	0.05mm	0.02mm	14dBZ	0.67mm	24135m	3.4m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
14:30	951hPa	17J/kg	0.99fraction	-0.38°C	33%	0.03mm	0.02mm	15dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	2.5m/s	4m/s	1.3m/s	1.1m/s
15:30	951hPa	12J/kg	0.74fraction	-0.16°C	39%	0.02mm	0.01mm	13dBZ	0.35mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
16:30	951hPa	7J/kg	0.5fraction	0.06°C	44%	0.02mm	0.007mm	11dBZ	0.4mm	24135m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
17:30	951hPa	2J/kg	0.25fraction	0.28°C	50%	0.01mm	0mm	9.4dBZ	0.44mm	24135m	2.9m/s	6.8m/s	0.44m/s	1.1m/s
18:30	950hPa	1.7J/kg	0.33fraction	0.3°C	44%	0.007mm	0mm	-0.42dBZ	0.29mm	24135m	2.6m/s	-	-	0.99m/s
19:30 ☾	950hPa	1.3J/kg	0.4fraction	0.32°C	38%	0.003mm	0mm	-10dBZ	0.15mm	24135m	2.3m/s	-	-	0.89m/s
20:30 ☾	949hPa	1J/kg	0.48fraction	0.34°C	32%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2m/s	8m/s	1.4m/s	0.79m/s
21:30 ☾	949hPa	0.67J/kg	0.34fraction	0.37°C	41%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.02mm	23703m	1.7m/s	-	-	0.78m/s
22:30 ☾	949hPa	0.33J/kg	0.19fraction	0.41°C	51%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.04mm	23272m	1.3m/s	-	-	0.77m/s
23:30 ☾	949hPa	0J/kg	0.05fraction	0.44°C	60%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	22840m	0.94m/s	8.5m/s	1.1m/s	0.76m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:13 Sunset 18:35
24:30 ☾	950hPa	0J/kg	0.03fraction	0.35°C	59%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.04mm	23271m	2m/s	-	-	1m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 7:02 PM UTC

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