Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Kumarakom, Kerala

Kumarakom, Kerala, India

The composition combines Kumarakom's narrow canals beneath arching coconut palms, or isolate waterbirds against the broad, uncluttered surface of Vembanad Lake.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

18%

CAPE116

Lifted Index-2.0°C

Wind Gusts2.0m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Kolkata

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (84-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Kerala. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Kumarakom.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Kerala →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kumarakom during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Most represented month

August, with 14 of 28 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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84-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 84-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 84 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Kolkata	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
11:30	22%
12:30	17%
13:30	16%
14:30	13%
15:30	15%
16:30	17%
17:30	21%
18:30	19%
19:30	18%
20:30	19%
21:30	18%
22:30	19%
23:30	22%
Sun, Aug 23
24:30	21%
01:30	18%
02:30	14%
03:30	14%
04:30	16%
05:30	16%
06:30	15%
07:30	11%
08:30	13%
09:30	13%
10:30	13%
11:30	15%
12:30	15%
13:30	15%
14:30	17%
15:30	15%
16:30	16%
17:30	17%
18:30	18%
19:30	15%
20:30	13%
21:30	13%
22:30	13%
23:30	17%
Mon, Aug 24
24:30	12%
01:30	13%
02:30	13%
03:30	12%
04:30	14%
05:30	14%
06:30	13%
07:30	12%
08:30	13%
09:30	14%
10:30	16%
11:30	19%
12:30	20%
13:30	17%
14:30	16%
15:30	19%
16:30	20%
17:30	19%
18:30	18%
19:30	18%
20:30	17%
21:30	18%
22:30	19%
23:30	20%
Tue, Aug 25
24:30	17%
01:30	16%
02:30	13%
03:30	15%
04:30	13%
05:30	12%
06:30	13%
07:30	15%
08:30	17%
09:30	20%
10:30	20%
11:30	21%
12:30	21%
13:30	20%
14:30	18%
15:30	19%
16:30	22%
17:30	22%
18:30	20%
19:30	21%
20:30	20%
21:30	18%
22:30	17%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Kolkata	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:15 Sunset 18:38
01:30 ☾	1011hPa	116J/kg	0.54fraction	-2°C	87%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	24135m	2m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
02:30 ☾	1010hPa	65J/kg	0.31fraction	-1.6°C	82%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	2m/s	5.1m/s	5.9m/s	1.3m/s
03:30 ☾	1009hPa	39J/kg	0.29fraction	-1.2°C	87%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
04:30 ☾	1009hPa	8J/kg	0.28fraction	-0.6°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2.6m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
05:30 ☾	1010hPa	5J/kg	0.26fraction	-0.7°C	96%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.8m/s	5.3m/s	5.2m/s	1.4m/s
06:30	1011hPa	5J/kg	0.18fraction	-0.3°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.7m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
07:30	1012hPa	4J/kg	0.1fraction	0°C	87%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.3m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
08:30	1012hPa	22J/kg	0.03fraction	-0.3°C	82%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.4m/s	5.1m/s	5.8m/s	1.1m/s
09:30	1013hPa	70J/kg	0.07fraction	-0.4°C	85%	0.01mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.3m/s	-	-	2m/s
10:30	1013hPa	61J/kg	0.11fraction	-0.4°C	88%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	2.6m/s
11:30	1012hPa	18J/kg	0.15fraction	0.2°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.1m/s	5.7m/s	5m/s	3.5m/s
12:30	1011hPa	14J/kg	0.1fraction	0.7°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.4m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
13:30	1010hPa	9J/kg	0.05fraction	0.1°C	92%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.4m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
14:30	1010hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	-0.1°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.2m/s	4.4m/s	5.2m/s	4.1m/s
15:30	1010hPa	30J/kg	0.17fraction	0°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.9m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
16:30	1010hPa	15J/kg	0.33fraction	0.3°C	97%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.8m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
17:30	1010hPa	58J/kg	0.5fraction	-0.2°C	99%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.4m/s	4.2m/s	5.3m/s	3m/s
18:30	1011hPa	50J/kg	0.34fraction	-0.2°C	96%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.7m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
19:30 ☾	1012hPa	97J/kg	0.18fraction	-0.7°C	92%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.3m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
20:30 ☾	1013hPa	75J/kg	0.03fraction	-0.7°C	89%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	2.2m/s	3.7m/s	5.8m/s	1.4m/s
21:30 ☾	1013hPa	72J/kg	0.02fraction	-1°C	89%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	2.6m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
22:30 ☾	1013hPa	74J/kg	0.01fraction	-1.1°C	90%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
23:30 ☾	1013hPa	76J/kg	0fraction	-1.2°C	90%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	1.5m/s	4.4m/s	4.1m/s	1.3m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:15 Sunset 18:37
24:30 ☾	1012hPa	71J/kg	0.06fraction	-1°C	88%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1m/s	-	-	0.89m/s
01:30 ☾	1011hPa	53J/kg	0.11fraction	-0.7°C	86%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.3m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
02:30 ☾	1011hPa	40J/kg	0.17fraction	-0.4°C	84%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.3m/s	5.5m/s	4.7m/s	1.1m/s
03:30 ☾	1011hPa	36J/kg	0.11fraction	-0.3°C	87%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1m/s	-	-	0.93m/s
04:30 ☾	1011hPa	21J/kg	0.06fraction	-0.1°C	91%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1m/s	-	-	0.96m/s
05:30 ☾	1011hPa	10J/kg	0.009fraction	0.3°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.2m/s	6.3m/s	3.4m/s	1.1m/s
06:30	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.01fraction	0.1°C	90%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.5m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
07:30	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	-0.1°C	85%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.4m/s	-	-	0.82m/s
08:30	1013hPa	3J/kg	0fraction	-0.1°C	81%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.6m/s	5m/s	2.9m/s	1.3m/s
09:30	1013hPa	25J/kg	0.31fraction	-0.1°C	84%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.5m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
10:30	1013hPa	42J/kg	0.63fraction	-0.5°C	86%	0mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	3.9m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
11:30	1012hPa	33J/kg	0.94fraction	-0.5°C	89%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.2m/s	4.5m/s	3m/s	3.1m/s
12:30	1011hPa	14J/kg	0.71fraction	-0.2°C	91%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.9m/s	-	-	4m/s
13:30	1010hPa	8J/kg	0.49fraction	0.3°C	94%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.1m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
14:30	1010hPa	35J/kg	0.26fraction	0.2°C	97%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.1m/s	3m/s	3.3m/s	4.1m/s
15:30	1010hPa	81J/kg	0.51fraction	-0.1°C	97%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
16:30	1010hPa	81J/kg	0.75fraction	-0.2°C	97%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.8m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
17:30	1011hPa	102J/kg	1fraction	-0.7°C	98%	0mm	0.03mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.4m/s	3.6m/s	2.9m/s	2.9m/s
18:30	1012hPa	139J/kg	0.67fraction	-1°C	96%	0mm	0.04mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	4.6m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
19:30 ☾	1012hPa	129J/kg	0.34fraction	-1.2°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	3.7m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
20:30 ☾	1013hPa	120J/kg	0.007fraction	-1.2°C	93%	0mm	0.08mm	-20dBZ	0.38mm	24134m	2m/s	2.9m/s	3.9m/s	1.5m/s
21:30 ☾	1013hPa	94J/kg	0.21fraction	-1°C	94%	0mm	0.1mm	-20dBZ	0.5mm	23664m	2m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:30 ☾	1013hPa	56J/kg	0.42fraction	-0.9°C	94%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.63mm	24134m	1.5m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
23:30 ☾	1013hPa	31J/kg	0.63fraction	-0.6°C	95%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.63mm	24135m	1.8m/s	4.6m/s	3.7m/s	1.3m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:15 Sunset 18:37
24:30 ☾	1012hPa	11J/kg	0.42fraction	-0.7°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.6m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
01:30 ☾	1012hPa	13J/kg	0.21fraction	-0.6°C	91%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.2m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
02:30 ☾	1011hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	-0.4°C	90%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.3m/s	4.4m/s	4.9m/s	1.2m/s
03:30 ☾	1011hPa	2J/kg	0fraction	-0.1°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.7m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
04:30 ☾	1011hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	0°C	96%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.3m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
05:30 ☾	1011hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	0.4°C	99%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1m/s	4.5m/s	4.4m/s	0.93m/s
06:30	1011hPa	6.7J/kg	0fraction	0.31°C	98%	0.003mm	0.003mm	-20dBZ	0.08mm	24134m	2.6m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
07:30	1011hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	0.23°C	98%	0.007mm	0.007mm	-20dBZ	0.1mm	24134m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.8m/s
08:30	1010hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	0.14°C	98%	0.01mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	5.8m/s	4.1m/s	4.1m/s	3.7m/s
09:30	1011hPa	51J/kg	0.33fraction	-0.15°C	98%	0.01mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.17mm	24135m	5.7m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
10:30	1011hPa	82J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.44°C	97%	0.02mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.21mm	24135m	5.6m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
11:30	1011hPa	113J/kg	1fraction	-0.74°C	97%	0.02mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	5.5m/s	3.9m/s	2.9m/s	2.6m/s
12:30	1012hPa	113J/kg	0.83fraction	-0.72°C	94%	0.01mm	0.12mm	-20dBZ	0.42mm	19921m	4.7m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
13:30	1012hPa	114J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.7°C	91%	0.007mm	0.23mm	-20dBZ	0.58mm	15707m	3.9m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
14:30	1013hPa	114J/kg	0.5fraction	-0.68°C	89%	0mm	0.33mm	-20dBZ	0.75mm	11492m	3.1m/s	3.3m/s	1.3m/s	1.6m/s
15:30	1013hPa	90J/kg	0.48fraction	-0.59°C	90%	0.03mm	0.23mm	-20dBZ	0.94mm	15706m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
16:30	1013hPa	66J/kg	0.46fraction	-0.51°C	92%	0.05mm	0.13mm	-20dBZ	1.1mm	19921m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
17:30	1013hPa	42J/kg	0.45fraction	-0.42°C	94%	0.08mm	0.03mm	-20dBZ	1.3mm	24135m	2.2m/s	2.4m/s	2.3m/s	1.4m/s
18:30	1013hPa	34J/kg	0.63fraction	-0.5°C	94%	0.06mm	0.02mm	-7.9dBZ	0.9mm	24135m	2m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
19:30 ☾	1012hPa	27J/kg	0.82fraction	-0.58°C	94%	0.03mm	0.01mm	4.2dBZ	0.48mm	24135m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
20:30 ☾	1011hPa	19J/kg	1fraction	-0.66°C	94%	0.01mm	0mm	16dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.5m/s	3m/s	2.5m/s	1.2m/s
21:30 ☾	1011hPa	13J/kg	0.75fraction	-0.63°C	95%	0.007mm	0mm	6.3dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.4m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
22:30 ☾	1011hPa	7.7J/kg	0.5fraction	-0.59°C	95%	0.003mm	0mm	-3.7dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.3m/s	-	-	1m/s
23:30 ☾	1011hPa	2J/kg	0.25fraction	-0.56°C	96%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.1m/s	5.4m/s	4.4m/s	0.93m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:15 Sunset 18:36
24:30 ☾	1012hPa	16J/kg	0.31fraction	-0.69°C	93%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0.04mm	24135m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.2m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 7:02 PM UTC

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