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Rule Morning Frost

Nara - Morning Frost - Japan

Nara, Nara, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 64% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature21.4°C
Dew Point15.5°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed2.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 79 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, May 24
14:000%4.9m/s
15:000%5.4m/s
16:000%5.1m/s
17:000%5.2m/s
18:000%4.4m/s
19:000%3.3m/s
20:000%2.9m/s
21:000%2.4m/s
22:000%2.5m/s
23:000%2.1m/s
Mon, May 25
24:000%1.7m/s
01:000%1.5m/s
02:000%1.7m/s
03:000%1.3m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%1.1m/s
07:000%1.3m/s
08:000%0.95m/s
09:000%1.2m/s
10:000%1m/s
11:000%1.4m/s
12:000%1.5m/s
13:000%1.9m/s
14:000%1.9m/s
15:000%1.7m/s
16:000%1.8m/s
17:000%2m/s
18:000%2.1m/s
19:000%1.6m/s
20:000%1.5m/s
21:000%1.3m/s
22:000%0.9m/s
23:000%0.58m/s
Tue, May 26
24:000%0.71m/s
01:000%0.86m/s
02:000%1.3m/s
03:000%1.2m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%1.4m/s
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%1.8m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%2m/s
12:000%0.75m/s
13:000%1.1m/s
14:000%2.3m/s
15:000%2.3m/s
16:000%1.7m/s
17:000%1.1m/s
18:000%0.63m/s
19:000%0.84m/s
20:000%1m/s
21:000%1.3m/s
22:000%1.8m/s
23:000%1.7m/s
Wed, May 27
24:000%1.9m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%1.6m/s
03:000%1.9m/s
04:000%2.2m/s
05:000%2.5m/s
06:000%2.8m/s
07:000%2.7m/s
08:000%2.5m/s
09:000%2.4m/s
10:000%2.3m/s
11:000%2.3m/s
12:000%2.2m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
14:000%2.4m/s
15:000%2.5m/s
16:000%2.3m/s
17:000%2.2m/s
18:000%2m/s
19:000%2.1m/s
20:000%2.1m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, May 24 Sunrise 04:48 Sunset 18:58
22:00
16°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.39kPa
23:00
15°C 21°C 18°C - 100% 0.35kPa
Mon, May 25 Sunrise 04:48 Sunset 18:58
24:00
15°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.33kPa
01:00
15°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.31kPa
02:00
15°C 20°C 17°C - 95% 0.29kPa
03:00
15°C 19°C 17°C - 0% 0.26kPa
04:00
15°C 19°C 17°C - 0% 0.24kPa
05:00
14°C 18°C 17°C - 7% 0.24kPa
06:00
14°C 18°C 17°C - 1% 0.35kPa
07:00
15°C 19°C 19°C - 3% 0.59kPa
08:00
15°C 20°C 22°C - 4% 0.91kPa
09:00
15°C 21°C 24°C - 89% 1.2kPa
10:00
15°C 22°C 26°C - 15% 1.6kPa
11:00
15°C 24°C 27°C - 8% 1.9kPa
12:00
15°C 26°C 29°C - 95% 2.2kPa
13:00
14°C 27°C 29°C - 59% 2.4kPa
14:00
14°C 28°C 30°C - 79% 2.6kPa
15:00
13°C 28°C 30°C - 100% 2.7kPa
16:00
13°C 29°C 30°C - 96% 2.7kPa
17:00
14°C 29°C 28°C - 100% 2.3kPa
18:00
16°C 28°C 25°C - 83% 1.4kPa
19:00
17°C 27°C 23°C - 100% 0.93kPa
20:00
17°C 26°C 22°C - 100% 0.76kPa
21:00
17°C 25°C 22°C - 100% 0.73kPa
22:00
16°C 24°C 21°C - 100% 0.66kPa
23:00
17°C 23°C 21°C - 100% 0.57kPa
Tue, May 26 Sunrise 04:48 Sunset 18:59
24:00
17°C 23°C 20°C - 100% 0.5kPa
01:00
16°C 22°C 20°C - 100% 0.45kPa
02:00
16°C 22°C 19°C - 100% 0.41kPa
03:00
16°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.43kPa
04:00
15°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.43kPa
05:00
15°C 20°C 18°C - 100% 0.43kPa
06:00
14°C 20°C 19°C - 100% 0.57kPa
07:00
14°C 20°C 20°C - 100% 0.76kPa
08:00
14°C 21°C 22°C - 100% 1kPa
09:00
14°C 22°C 24°C - 100% 1.3kPa
10:00
14°C 23°C 26°C - 100% 1.7kPa
11:00
13°C 24°C 28°C - 100% 2.2kPa
12:00
13°C 25°C 28°C - 100% 2.4kPa
13:00
13°C 27°C 29°C - 100% 2.5kPa
14:00
14°C 27°C 29°C - 100% 2.4kPa
15:00
15°C 27°C 26°C - 100% 1.6kPa
16:00
15°C 27°C 25°C - 100% 1.4kPa
17:00
16°C 26°C 25°C - 100% 1.3kPa
18:00
16°C 26°C 24°C - 100% 1.1kPa
19:00
16°C 25°C 23°C - 100% 0.92kPa
20:00
16°C 24°C 22°C - 100% 0.79kPa
21:00
16°C 24°C 21°C - 99% 0.68kPa
22:00
16°C 23°C 20°C - 100% 0.58kPa
23:00
16°C 23°C 20°C - 100% 0.54kPa
Wed, May 27 Sunrise 04:47 Sunset 19:00
24:00
15°C 22°C 20°C - 100% 0.55kPa
01:00
15°C 22°C 19°C - 100% 0.55kPa
02:00
15°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.53kPa
03:00
15°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.49kPa
04:00
15°C 20°C 20°C - 99% 0.52kPa
05:00
16°C 19°C 20°C - 97% 0.56kPa
06:00
17°C 18°C 21°C - 96% 0.6kPa
07:00
17°C 18°C 20°C - 97% 0.47kPa
08:00
17°C 18°C 19°C - 99% 0.36kPa
09:00
17°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.26kPa
10:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.24kPa
11:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.22kPa
12:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.19kPa
13:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 95% 0.18kPa
14:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 90% 0.16kPa
15:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 86% 0.14kPa
16:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 90% 0.12kPa
17:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 95% 0.1kPa
18:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.08kPa
19:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.08kPa
20:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.08kPa
21:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.08kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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