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Rule Morning Frost

Mount Fuji - Morning Frost - Japan

Fujinomiya, Shizuoka, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 43% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature19.4°C
Dew Point17.7°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed0.9m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover58%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Tue, Jul 7
22:000%0.43m/s
23:000%0.16m/s
Wed, Jul 8
24:000%0.24m/s
01:000%0.23m/s
02:000%0.39m/s
03:000%0.47m/s
04:000%0.98m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%0.86m/s
07:000%0.07m/s
08:000%0.99m/s
09:000%1.5m/s
10:000%2.4m/s
11:000%2.8m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%2.7m/s
14:000%3m/s
15:000%3m/s
16:000%2.7m/s
17:000%2.1m/s
18:000%1.6m/s
19:000%0.91m/s
20:000%0.25m/s
21:000%0.11m/s
22:000%0.58m/s
23:000%0.91m/s
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%0.63m/s
01:000%1m/s
02:000%0.9m/s
03:000%0.68m/s
04:000%0.73m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%0.84m/s
07:000%0.71m/s
08:000%1.5m/s
09:000%2.2m/s
10:000%2.8m/s
11:000%2.7m/s
12:000%2.8m/s
13:000%3m/s
14:000%3.6m/s
15:000%3.4m/s
16:000%2.8m/s
17:000%2.4m/s
18:000%2.1m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
20:000%0.46m/s
21:000%0.23m/s
22:000%0.5m/s
23:000%0.44m/s
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%0.25m/s
01:000%0.36m/s
02:000%0.63m/s
03:000%0.84m/s
04:000%0.89m/s
05:000%0.67m/s
06:000%0.35m/s
07:000%0.33m/s
08:000%1.3m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%2.5m/s
11:000%3.4m/s
12:000%3.5m/s
13:000%3.4m/s
14:000%3.4m/s
15:000%3.3m/s
16:000%2.9m/s
17:000%2.4m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%1.3m/s
20:000%0.81m/s
21:000%0.44m/s
22:000%0.91m/s
23:000%1.1m/s
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%1.1m/s
01:000%0.74m/s
02:000%0.19m/s
03:000%0.3m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%2.3m/s
06:000%3.2m/s
07:000%3.6m/s
08:000%4m/s
09:000%4.4m/s
10:000%4.1m/s
11:000%3.8m/s
12:000%3.4m/s
13:000%2.8m/s
14:000%2.1m/s
15:000%1.4m/s
16:000%1.2m/s
17:000%0.97m/s
18:000%0.73m/s
19:000%1m/s
20:000%1.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 04:38 Sunset 19:02
23:00
18°C 19°C 18°C - 58% 0.09kPa
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 04:38 Sunset 19:02
24:00
18°C 19°C 18°C - 87% 0.1kPa
01:00
17°C 19°C 18°C - 52% 0.1kPa
02:00
17°C 19°C 18°C - 40% 0.1kPa
03:00
17°C 19°C 18°C - 64% 0.1kPa
04:00
17°C 19°C 18°C - 21% 0.09kPa
05:00
17°C 18°C 18°C - 55% 0.11kPa
06:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 18% 0.24kPa
07:00
18°C 19°C 22°C - 27% 0.46kPa
08:00
19°C 19°C 23°C - 57% 0.65kPa
09:00
19°C 19°C 24°C - 49% 0.79kPa
10:00
19°C 19°C 25°C - 68% 0.92kPa
11:00
20°C 20°C 25°C - 73% 0.94kPa
12:00
20°C 20°C 26°C - 62% 0.99kPa
13:00
20°C 20°C 26°C - 59% 1.1kPa
14:00
20°C 21°C 26°C - 54% 1kPa
15:00
20°C 21°C 25°C - 60% 0.84kPa
16:00
20°C 21°C 24°C - 67% 0.74kPa
17:00
20°C 21°C 23°C - 36% 0.57kPa
18:00
20°C 21°C 22°C - 32% 0.39kPa
19:00
19°C 21°C 20°C - 26% 0.12kPa
20:00
19°C 21°C 19°C - 15% 0.09kPa
21:00
18°C 21°C 19°C - 7% 0.09kPa
22:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 6% 0.08kPa
23:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 3% 0.08kPa
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 04:38 Sunset 19:02
24:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 3% 0.08kPa
01:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 4% 0.08kPa
02:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 99% 0.08kPa
03:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 98% 0.09kPa
04:00
18°C 19°C 19°C - 8% 0.09kPa
05:00
18°C 19°C 19°C - 1% 0.09kPa
06:00
19°C 19°C 20°C - 0% 0.22kPa
07:00
20°C 19°C 22°C - 6% 0.43kPa
08:00
20°C 20°C 24°C - 25% 0.67kPa
09:00
20°C 20°C 26°C - 25% 0.89kPa
10:00
21°C 20°C 27°C - 28% 1.1kPa
11:00
21°C 21°C 27°C - 37% 1.1kPa
12:00
21°C 21°C 27°C - 31% 1.1kPa
13:00
20°C 21°C 27°C - 29% 1.2kPa
14:00
20°C 22°C 27°C - 28% 1.1kPa
15:00
20°C 22°C 26°C - 44% 1kPa
16:00
20°C 22°C 25°C - 48% 0.79kPa
17:00
20°C 22°C 23°C - 31% 0.6kPa
18:00
20°C 22°C 22°C - 18% 0.4kPa
19:00
19°C 22°C 20°C - 10% 0.11kPa
20:00
19°C 22°C 19°C - 18% 0.07kPa
21:00
19°C 21°C 19°C - 24% 0.05kPa
22:00
19°C 21°C 19°C - 24% 0.05kPa
23:00
19°C 21°C 19°C - 13% 0.08kPa
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 04:39 Sunset 19:02
24:00
19°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.09kPa
01:00
18°C 21°C 19°C - 100% 0.1kPa
02:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 89% 0.08kPa
03:00
18°C 20°C 19°C - 100% 0.07kPa
04:00
19°C 3256°C 21°C - 100% 0.24kPa
05:00
20°C 6491°C 23°C - 100% 0.46kPa
06:00
21°C 9726°C 25°C - 100% 0.74kPa
07:00
21°C 9726°C 25°C - 100% 0.71kPa
08:00
21°C 9726°C 25°C - 100% 0.67kPa
09:00
22°C 9726°C 25°C - 100% 0.64kPa
10:00
22°C 9726°C 25°C - 85% 0.61kPa
11:00
22°C 9726°C 25°C - 70% 0.58kPa
12:00
22°C 9726°C 25°C - 56% 0.55kPa
13:00
22°C 9726°C 24°C - 70% 0.47kPa
14:00
22°C 9726°C 24°C - 85% 0.38kPa
15:00
22°C 9726°C 24°C - 100% 0.3kPa
16:00
22°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.29kPa
17:00
22°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.28kPa
18:00
22°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.27kPa
19:00
21°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.25kPa
20:00
21°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.23kPa
21:00
21°C 9726°C 22°C - 100% 0.21kPa
22:00
21°C 9726°C 23°C - 100% 0.24kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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