Mirror Lake Forecast for Hakone, Japan
Hakone surrounds Lake Ashi with wooded slopes, lakeside torii gates, and distant Mount Fuji views that work best as layered compositions.
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
No opportunities in the next 14 days
See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.
Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)
- Wind Speed81% of hours
- Precipitation Chance65% of hours
- Wind Gusts53% of hours
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Mirror Lake conditions across Japan. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Hakone.
Explore Mirror Lake conditions across Japan →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Hakone during the last 365 days.
04:00 local time, shared by 21 of 151 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
July, with 31 of 151 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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95-hour requirements breakdown
When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.
Time Asia/Tokyo | Wind Speed ≤ 1.0m/s | Wind Gusts ≤ 2.0m/s | Precipitation Chance ≤ 10.0% | Visibility ≥ 5000.0m |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 22 | ||||
| 04:00 | 1.7m/s | 2.6m/s | 39% | 5002m |
| 05:00 | 1.8m/s | 3m/s | 39% | 2875m |
| 06:00 | 1.4m/s | 2.4m/s | 39% | 3813m |
| 07:00 | 1.8m/s | 2.6m/s | 58% | 7175m |
| 08:00 | 1.8m/s | 2.5m/s | 77% | 24134m |
| 09:00 | 1.7m/s | 2.1m/s | 96% | 24134m |
| 10:00 | 1.6m/s | 1.4m/s | 71% | 24135m |
| 11:00 | 1.6m/s | 1.2m/s | 78% | 24135m |
| 12:00 | 1.7m/s | 1.3m/s | 85% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | 1.7m/s | 1.5m/s | 90% | 24104m |
| 14:00 | 1.8m/s | 1.6m/s | 95% | 24134m |
| 15:00 | 1.4m/s | 1.3m/s | 100% | 23041m |
| 16:00 | 1.1m/s | 1m/s | 97% | 15910m |
| 17:00 | 0.82m/s | 1m/s | 95% | 16279m |
| 18:00 | 1.1m/s | 1.4m/s | 93% | 24135m |
| 19:00 | 1.3m/s | 1.5m/s | 94% | 13562m |
| 20:00 | 1.4m/s | 1.7m/s | 95% | 10158m |
| 21:00 | 1.6m/s | 1.9m/s | 96% | 9665m |
| 22:00 | 1.7m/s | 1.9m/s | 75% | 1855m |
| 23:00 | 1.5m/s | 2.5m/s | 56% | 679m |
| Sun, Aug 23 | ||||
| 24:00 | 1.6m/s | 2.4m/s | 36% | 2197m |
| 01:00 | 1.5m/s | 2.2m/s | 42% | 2680m |
| 02:00 | 1.4m/s | 2.2m/s | 48% | 1726m |
| 03:00 | 0.87m/s | 1.3m/s | 54% | 3826m |
| 04:00 | 0.56m/s | 0.6m/s | 58% | 3836m |
| 05:00 | 0.51m/s | 0.6m/s | 61% | 5264m |
| 06:00 | 1m/s | 1.3m/s | 64% | 24135m |
| 07:00 | 0.91m/s | 1.3m/s | 71% | 23284m |
| 08:00 | 1.1m/s | 1.3m/s | 78% | 15240m |
| 09:00 | 1.5m/s | 1.3m/s | 85% | 9990m |
| 10:00 | 1.8m/s | 1.6m/s | 82% | 12854m |
| 11:00 | 2m/s | 1.6m/s | 79% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | 1.7m/s | 1.6m/s | 76% | 24134m |
| 13:00 | 1.3m/s | 1.2m/s | 78% | 24134m |
| 14:00 | 1.3m/s | 1.2m/s | 79% | 24135m |
| 15:00 | 1.5m/s | 1.4m/s | 81% | 15569m |
| 16:00 | 1.6m/s | 1.7m/s | 66% | 24135m |
| 17:00 | 1m/s | 1m/s | 52% | 17104m |
| 18:00 | 0.83m/s | 1m/s | 38% | 19969m |
| 19:00 | 0.71m/s | 0.92m/s | 44% | 15706m |
| 20:00 | 0.31m/s | 0.43m/s | 50% | 18556m |
| 21:00 | 0.6m/s | 0.6m/s | 56% | 24135m |
| 22:00 | 0.8m/s | 0.8m/s | 38% | 24135m |
| 23:00 | 0.96m/s | 1m/s | 19% | 19533m |
| Mon, Aug 24 | ||||
| 24:00 | 1.2m/s | 1.2m/s | 0% | 16208m |
| 01:00 | 1.3m/s | 1.2m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 02:00 | 1.5m/s | 1.5m/s | 0% | 24134m |
| 03:00 | 1.4m/s | 1.4m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 04:00 | 1.2m/s | 1m/s | 7.9% | 24134m |
| 05:00 | 0.82m/s | 0.8m/s | 16% | 24134m |
| 06:00 | 0.78m/s | 0.75m/s | 24% | 24134m |
| 07:00 | 0.31m/s | 0.2m/s | 32% | 24134m |
| 08:00 | 0.98m/s | 0.91m/s | 41% | 24134m |
| 09:00 | 1.5m/s | 1.3m/s | 49% | 24134m |
| 10:00 | 1.7m/s | 1.3m/s | 33% | 24134m |
| 11:00 | 2.1m/s | 1.7m/s | 16% | 24134m |
| 12:00 | 2.6m/s | 2.3m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | 2.5m/s | 2.7m/s | 13% | 24134m |
| 14:00 | 2.6m/s | 2.8m/s | 26% | 24134m |
| 15:00 | 2.7m/s | 3m/s | 39% | 24134m |
| 16:00 | 2.8m/s | 3.3m/s | 26% | 24134m |
| 17:00 | 2.8m/s | 3.7m/s | 13% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | 2.7m/s | 3.8m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 19:00 | 2.7m/s | 4.1m/s | 0% | 2938m |
| 20:00 | 2.7m/s | 4.5m/s | 0% | 720m |
| 21:00 | 2.7m/s | 4.6m/s | 0% | 2094m |
| 22:00 | 2.5m/s | 3.8m/s | 0% | 2005m |
| 23:00 | 2.4m/s | 3.8m/s | 0% | 11814m |
| Tue, Aug 25 | ||||
| 24:00 | 2.3m/s | 3.6m/s | 0% | 2554m |
| 01:00 | 2.4m/s | 3.7m/s | 0% | 2111m |
| 02:00 | 2.4m/s | 3.9m/s | 0% | 664m |
| 03:00 | 2.3m/s | 4m/s | 0% | 786m |
| 04:00 | 2.2m/s | 3.3m/s | 0.3% | 913m |
| 05:00 | 1.9m/s | 2.5m/s | 0.61% | 2009m |
| 06:00 | 1.7m/s | 2.2m/s | 0.91% | 5686m |
| 07:00 | 1.5m/s | 1.9m/s | 0.61% | 7175m |
| 08:00 | 1.8m/s | 2m/s | 0.3% | 3874m |
| 09:00 | 1.9m/s | 2m/s | 0% | 4048m |
| 10:00 | 2.2m/s | 2.7m/s | 13% | 10744m |
| 11:00 | 2.5m/s | 3.3m/s | 26% | 17439m |
| 12:00 | 2.8m/s | 3.9m/s | 39% | 24135m |
| 13:00 | 2.8m/s | 3.9m/s | 39% | 24135m |
| 14:00 | 2.7m/s | 3.9m/s | 39% | 24135m |
| 15:00 | 2.7m/s | 3.8m/s | 39% | 24135m |
| 16:00 | 2.6m/s | 3.7m/s | 59% | 24135m |
| 17:00 | 2.6m/s | 3.6m/s | 80% | 24135m |
| 18:00 | 2.5m/s | 3.4m/s | 100% | 24135m |
| 19:00 | 2.3m/s | 3.1m/s | 100% | 24135m |
| 20:00 | 2.2m/s | 2.8m/s | 100% | 24135m |
| 21:00 | 2m/s | 2.4m/s | 100% | 24135m |
| 22:00 | 2m/s | 2.4m/s | 67% | 24135m |
| 23:00 | 1.9m/s | 2.4m/s | 33% | 24135m |
| Wed, Aug 26 | ||||
| 24:00 | 1.9m/s | 2.4m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 01:00 | 1.9m/s | 2.8m/s | 0% | 24135m |
| 02:00 | 1.9m/s | 3.2m/s | 0% | 24135m |
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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