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Rule Morning Frost

Hakone - Morning Frost - Japan

Hakone, Kanagawa, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 51% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature14.2°C
Dew Point10.0°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed0.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover80%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 79 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Apr 18
14:000%2.5m/s
15:000%2.2m/s
16:000%2.3m/s
17:000%2.3m/s
18:000%1.8m/s
19:000%0.89m/s
20:000%0.33m/s
21:000%0.36m/s
22:000%0.5m/s
23:000%0.47m/s
Sun, Apr 19
24:000%0.51m/s
01:000%0.7m/s
02:000%0.84m/s
03:000%1.5m/s
04:000%1.7m/s
05:000%1.6m/s
06:000%1.3m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%2.1m/s
10:000%2.3m/s
11:000%2.5m/s
12:000%2.7m/s
13:000%3m/s
14:000%3m/s
15:000%2.4m/s
16:000%2.1m/s
17:000%1.8m/s
18:000%1.7m/s
19:000%1.6m/s
20:000%1.4m/s
21:000%0.85m/s
22:000%0.99m/s
23:000%0.99m/s
Mon, Apr 20
24:000%1.1m/s
01:000%1.1m/s
02:000%1.1m/s
03:000%1.4m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.5m/s
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.9m/s
09:000%2.2m/s
10:000%2.5m/s
11:000%2.5m/s
12:000%2.3m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
14:000%2.7m/s
15:000%3m/s
16:000%2.7m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%0.8m/s
20:000%1.1m/s
21:000%0.12m/s
22:000%0.61m/s
23:000%0.79m/s
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%1.6m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%2.1m/s
03:000%2.1m/s
04:000%2.5m/s
05:000%2.9m/s
06:000%3.3m/s
07:000%3.1m/s
08:000%2.9m/s
09:000%2.7m/s
10:000%2m/s
11:000%1.3m/s
12:000%0.53m/s
13:000%0.69m/s
14:000%0.84m/s
15:000%1m/s
16:000%1m/s
17:000%0.99m/s
18:000%0.99m/s
19:000%0.84m/s
20:000%0.7m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Apr 18 Sunrise 05:08 Sunset 18:18
22:00
10°C 14°C 12°C - 80% 0.18kPa
23:00
10°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.16kPa
Sun, Apr 19 Sunrise 05:08 Sunset 18:18
24:00
10°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.15kPa
01:00
9.9°C 13°C 12°C - 99% 0.17kPa
02:00
9.5°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.18kPa
03:00
9.2°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.22kPa
04:00
8.7°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.24kPa
05:00
8.3°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.27kPa
06:00
8.4°C 12°C 12°C - 100% 0.34kPa
07:00
8.7°C 12°C 14°C - 100% 0.5kPa
08:00
8.8°C 13°C 16°C - 100% 0.68kPa
09:00
8.9°C 14°C 17°C - 100% 0.82kPa
10:00
8.8°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.95kPa
11:00
8.4°C 15°C 19°C - 98% 1.1kPa
12:00
7.9°C 16°C 20°C - 100% 1.3kPa
13:00
7.4°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 1.4kPa
14:00
7.3°C 18°C 21°C - 99% 1.4kPa
15:00
7.9°C 18°C 20°C - 100% 1.3kPa
16:00
8.4°C 18°C 19°C - 97% 1.1kPa
17:00
9.4°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 0.88kPa
18:00
10°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.59kPa
19:00
11°C 17°C 15°C - 100% 0.44kPa
20:00
11°C 17°C 14°C - 100% 0.32kPa
21:00
11°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.28kPa
22:00
11°C 16°C 14°C - 100% 0.25kPa
23:00
12°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.2kPa
Mon, Apr 20 Sunrise 05:07 Sunset 18:19
24:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.16kPa
01:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.15kPa
02:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.14kPa
03:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.14kPa
04:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 99% 0.15kPa
05:00
10°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.12kPa
06:00
10°C 13°C 12°C - 100% 0.17kPa
07:00
9.8°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.33kPa
08:00
8.4°C 14°C 15°C - 97% 0.57kPa
09:00
7.9°C 14°C 16°C - 47% 0.75kPa
10:00
8.2°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.84kPa
11:00
8.2°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.71kPa
12:00
8°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.71kPa
13:00
7.3°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.73kPa
14:00
5.9°C 16°C 17°C - 100% 0.96kPa
15:00
5.1°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.96kPa
16:00
5.9°C 16°C 16°C - 70% 0.86kPa
17:00
7.2°C 16°C 15°C - 67% 0.69kPa
18:00
8.1°C 16°C 13°C - 20% 0.44kPa
19:00
8.5°C 15°C 12°C - 65% 0.32kPa
20:00
8.7°C 14°C 12°C - 5% 0.28kPa
21:00
8.7°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.25kPa
22:00
8.5°C 14°C 11°C - 5% 0.25kPa
23:00
8.4°C 13°C 11°C - 100% 0.22kPa
Tue, Apr 21 Sunrise 05:06 Sunset 18:20
24:00
8.6°C 13°C 11°C - 60% 0.2kPa
01:00
8.4°C 13°C 11°C - 6% 0.18kPa
02:00
8.3°C 12°C 10°C - 5% 0.17kPa
03:00
8.2°C 12°C 10°C - 30% 0.16kPa
04:00
9°C 13°C 13°C - 22% 0.31kPa
05:00
9.5°C 14°C 15°C - 13% 0.51kPa
06:00
9.8°C 15°C 17°C - 5% 0.76kPa
07:00
9.7°C 15°C 18°C - 5% 0.86kPa
08:00
9.7°C 16°C 19°C - 5% 0.97kPa
09:00
9.5°C 16°C 20°C - 5% 1.1kPa
10:00
9.8°C 16°C 18°C - 36% 0.89kPa
11:00
9.9°C 16°C 17°C - 67% 0.71kPa
12:00
9.9°C 16°C 16°C - 98% 0.56kPa
13:00
9.5°C 16°C 15°C - 65% 0.5kPa
14:00
9.2°C 16°C 14°C - 33% 0.44kPa
15:00
8.8°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.39kPa
16:00
8.7°C 15°C 13°C - 0% 0.37kPa
17:00
8.6°C 14°C 13°C - 0% 0.35kPa
18:00
8.5°C 14°C 12°C - 0% 0.32kPa
19:00
8.5°C 14°C 12°C - 33% 0.31kPa
20:00
8.5°C 13°C 12°C - 65% 0.29kPa
21:00
8.5°C 13°C 12°C - 98% 0.27kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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