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Rule Morning Frost

Hakone - Morning Frost - Japan

Hakone, Kanagawa, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 51% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature15.0°C
Dew Point12.6°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed1.6m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sun, May 24
13:000%2.8m/s
14:000%3.1m/s
15:000%3.1m/s
16:000%2.2m/s
17:000%2.1m/s
18:000%1.6m/s
19:000%1.4m/s
20:000%1.4m/s
21:000%1.6m/s
22:000%1.6m/s
23:000%1.6m/s
Mon, May 25
24:000%1.9m/s
01:000%1.8m/s
02:000%1.7m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.6m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.8m/s
08:000%2.1m/s
09:000%2.4m/s
10:000%2.6m/s
11:000%2.9m/s
12:000%3.2m/s
13:000%3.5m/s
14:000%3.2m/s
15:000%2.9m/s
16:000%2.4m/s
17:000%2m/s
18:000%1.6m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
20:000%1.3m/s
21:000%1m/s
22:000%0.79m/s
23:000%1.1m/s
Tue, May 26
24:000%1.2m/s
01:000%1.1m/s
02:000%1.3m/s
03:000%1.1m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.7m/s
06:000%1.4m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.8m/s
09:000%2.3m/s
10:000%2.5m/s
11:000%2.6m/s
12:000%3m/s
13:000%3.1m/s
14:000%3m/s
15:000%2.5m/s
16:000%2.4m/s
17:000%1.8m/s
18:000%1.4m/s
19:000%1.4m/s
20:000%1.3m/s
21:000%1.2m/s
22:000%1.3m/s
23:000%1.3m/s
Wed, May 27
24:000%0.89m/s
01:000%1.1m/s
02:000%1.3m/s
03:000%1.3m/s
04:000%1.4m/s
05:000%1.5m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.5m/s
08:000%1.3m/s
09:000%1.2m/s
10:000%1.2m/s
11:000%1.2m/s
12:000%1.2m/s
13:000%1.2m/s
14:000%1.3m/s
15:000%1.3m/s
16:000%1.1m/s
17:000%0.84m/s
18:000%0.58m/s
19:000%0.85m/s
20:000%1.1m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, May 24 Sunrise 04:34 Sunset 18:47
22:00
13°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.14kPa
23:00
13°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.12kPa
Mon, May 25 Sunrise 04:34 Sunset 18:47
24:00
13°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.12kPa
01:00
13°C 14°C 14°C - 100% 0.12kPa
02:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 80% 0.13kPa
03:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 2% 0.12kPa
04:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 2% 0.11kPa
05:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 3% 0.12kPa
06:00
13°C 14°C 15°C - 5% 0.25kPa
07:00
13°C 14°C 17°C - 4% 0.45kPa
08:00
13°C 15°C 19°C - 3% 0.67kPa
09:00
13°C 15°C 20°C - 12% 0.83kPa
10:00
14°C 16°C 21°C - 28% 0.97kPa
11:00
14°C 17°C 22°C - 16% 1.1kPa
12:00
14°C 18°C 23°C - 16% 1.2kPa
13:00
14°C 18°C 23°C - 46% 1.3kPa
14:00
14°C 19°C 23°C - 100% 1.3kPa
15:00
14°C 19°C 22°C - 100% 1.1kPa
16:00
14°C 19°C 21°C - 100% 0.93kPa
17:00
14°C 19°C 20°C - 94% 0.74kPa
18:00
14°C 19°C 19°C - 100% 0.52kPa
19:00
14°C 19°C 17°C - 100% 0.33kPa
20:00
14°C 18°C 17°C - 100% 0.27kPa
21:00
14°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.24kPa
22:00
14°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.23kPa
23:00
14°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.24kPa
Tue, May 26 Sunrise 04:34 Sunset 18:47
24:00
14°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.27kPa
01:00
13°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.28kPa
02:00
13°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.27kPa
03:00
13°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.25kPa
04:00
13°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.22kPa
05:00
13°C 16°C 15°C - 100% 0.21kPa
06:00
14°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.28kPa
07:00
14°C 16°C 18°C - 100% 0.41kPa
08:00
14°C 16°C 19°C - 100% 0.55kPa
09:00
14°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.73kPa
10:00
14°C 17°C 21°C - 96% 0.83kPa
11:00
14°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1kPa
12:00
14°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 1.1kPa
13:00
13°C 19°C 23°C - 100% 1.2kPa
14:00
13°C 19°C 23°C - 98% 1.2kPa
15:00
14°C 20°C 22°C - 100% 1.1kPa
16:00
14°C 20°C 21°C - 100% 0.91kPa
17:00
14°C 20°C 21°C - 100% 0.81kPa
18:00
15°C 20°C 19°C - 100% 0.59kPa
19:00
14°C 19°C 18°C - 100% 0.43kPa
20:00
14°C 19°C 17°C - 100% 0.35kPa
21:00
14°C 19°C 17°C - 100% 0.31kPa
22:00
15°C 18°C 17°C - 100% 0.25kPa
23:00
15°C 18°C 17°C - 99% 0.21kPa
Wed, May 27 Sunrise 04:33 Sunset 18:48
24:00
15°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.18kPa
01:00
15°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.19kPa
02:00
14°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.22kPa
03:00
14°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.25kPa
04:00
15°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.23kPa
05:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.22kPa
06:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.2kPa
07:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.22kPa
08:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.25kPa
09:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.27kPa
10:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.26kPa
11:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.24kPa
12:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.22kPa
13:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.19kPa
14:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.16kPa
15:00
15°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.13kPa
16:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 94% 0.15kPa
17:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 87% 0.17kPa
18:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 81% 0.19kPa
19:00
16°C 17°C 18°C - 87% 0.18kPa
20:00
17°C 17°C 18°C - 94% 0.16kPa
21:00
17°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.15kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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