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Rule Morning Frost

Biei - Morning Frost - Japan

Biei, Hokkaido, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 100% failing
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature17.3°C
Dew Point16.2°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed1.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Tue, Jul 7
22:000%2.5m/s
23:000%2.4m/s
Wed, Jul 8
24:000%2.4m/s
01:000%2m/s
02:000%2.4m/s
03:000%2m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%1.9m/s
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%1.3m/s
08:000%1.8m/s
09:000%1.8m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%1.8m/s
12:000%1.4m/s
13:000%1.7m/s
14:000%2m/s
15:000%2.2m/s
16:000%2m/s
17:000%1.7m/s
18:000%1.2m/s
19:000%0.42m/s
20:000%0.88m/s
21:000%1.6m/s
22:000%1.9m/s
23:000%1.5m/s
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%1.8m/s
01:000%2.1m/s
02:000%2m/s
03:000%2.1m/s
04:000%1.2m/s
05:000%0.99m/s
06:000%0.91m/s
07:000%1m/s
08:000%1.4m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%1.8m/s
11:000%2.1m/s
12:000%2.3m/s
13:000%2.1m/s
14:000%1.9m/s
15:000%2.3m/s
16:000%2.4m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%2.3m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%2.5m/s
21:000%2.7m/s
22:000%2.7m/s
23:000%2.6m/s
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%2.8m/s
01:000%2.6m/s
02:000%2.7m/s
03:000%2.5m/s
04:000%2.5m/s
05:000%2.4m/s
06:000%1.9m/s
07:000%2m/s
08:000%2.2m/s
09:000%2.3m/s
10:000%2.8m/s
11:000%2.3m/s
12:000%2m/s
13:000%2m/s
14:000%2.5m/s
15:000%2m/s
16:000%1.8m/s
17:000%1.8m/s
18:000%2m/s
19:000%2m/s
20:000%2m/s
21:000%2.2m/s
22:000%2.5m/s
23:000%3m/s
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%2.8m/s
01:000%2.5m/s
02:000%2.6m/s
03:000%2.5m/s
04:000%2.3m/s
05:000%2m/s
06:000%1.7m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.5m/s
09:000%1.4m/s
10:000%1.4m/s
11:000%1.4m/s
12:000%1.4m/s
13:000%1.8m/s
14:000%2.2m/s
15:000%2.6m/s
16:000%2.7m/s
17:000%2.8m/s
18:000%3m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%2.8m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 03:57 Sunset 19:13
23:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.1kPa
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 03:57 Sunset 19:13
24:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.11kPa
01:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.12kPa
02:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.16kPa
03:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.14kPa
04:00
15°C 17°C 16°C - 100% 0.12kPa
05:00
15°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.16kPa
06:00
16°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.2kPa
07:00
16°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.27kPa
08:00
16°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.53kPa
09:00
17°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 0.45kPa
10:00
17°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.41kPa
11:00
17°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 0.64kPa
12:00
17°C 17°C 22°C - 100% 0.75kPa
13:00
17°C 17°C 22°C - 100% 0.75kPa
14:00
17°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 0.49kPa
15:00
18°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 0.51kPa
16:00
18°C 17°C 22°C - 100% 0.53kPa
17:00
18°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 0.42kPa
18:00
18°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.35kPa
19:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.3kPa
20:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.22kPa
21:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.19kPa
22:00
17°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.15kPa
23:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.19kPa
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 03:57 Sunset 19:12
24:00
17°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.2kPa
01:00
18°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.12kPa
02:00
18°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.11kPa
03:00
18°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.07kPa
04:00
18°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 0.07kPa
05:00
18°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.09kPa
06:00
19°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.12kPa
07:00
19°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 0.07kPa
08:00
19°C 17°C 20°C - 100% 0.12kPa
09:00
20°C 17°C 22°C - 100% 0.33kPa
10:00
20°C 18°C 23°C - 100% 0.41kPa
11:00
20°C 18°C 24°C - 100% 0.55kPa
12:00
20°C 18°C 25°C - 100% 0.81kPa
13:00
21°C 18°C 25°C - 100% 0.79kPa
14:00
21°C 18°C 24°C - 100% 0.61kPa
15:00
20°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 0.26kPa
16:00
20°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 0.18kPa
17:00
20°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 0.16kPa
18:00
19°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 0.22kPa
19:00
19°C 18°C 20°C - 100% 0.22kPa
20:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 100% 0.23kPa
21:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 100% 0.22kPa
22:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.2kPa
23:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.15kPa
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 03:58 Sunset 19:12
24:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.09kPa
01:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.06kPa
02:00
19°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.05kPa
03:00
19°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 0.06kPa
04:00
19°C 18°C 21°C - 100% 0.2kPa
05:00
20°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 0.38kPa
06:00
20°C 18°C 24°C - 100% 0.58kPa
07:00
20°C 18°C 23°C - 100% 0.49kPa
08:00
20°C 18°C 22°C - 100% 0.41kPa
09:00
19°C 19°C 22°C - 99% 0.33kPa
10:00
19°C 19°C 22°C - 100% 0.36kPa
11:00
20°C 19°C 22°C - 100% 0.39kPa
12:00
20°C 19°C 22°C - 100% 0.42kPa
13:00
19°C 19°C 21°C - 94% 0.38kPa
14:00
18°C 19°C 21°C - 88% 0.35kPa
15:00
18°C 19°C 20°C - 82% 0.32kPa
16:00
18°C 19°C 20°C - 84% 0.28kPa
17:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 86% 0.25kPa
18:00
18°C 18°C 20°C - 88% 0.21kPa
19:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 85% 0.19kPa
20:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 82% 0.16kPa
21:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 79% 0.14kPa
22:00
18°C 18°C 19°C - 80% 0.17kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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