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Rule Northern Lights

Thingvellir - Northern Lights - Iceland

Laugarvatn, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 99% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 97% failing
Aurora Activity 96% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-6.9° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover12%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
7matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 15
19:0068%-7.2°69%0%24134m
20:0079%-14°69%4.8%24134m
21:0054%-20°38%0%24135m
22:0069%-26°47%0%24134m
23:0070%-31°50%4.8%24135m
Mon, Feb 16
24:0086%-35°82%5%24134m
01:0085%-38°79%0.5%24135m
02:0084%-38°78%3.4%24134m
03:0079%-36°68%5%24134m
04:0079%-32°68%5%24134m
05:0079%-27°69%5%24134m
06:0066%-21°42%5%24134m
07:0054%-15°38%5%24135m
08:0044%-8.5°34%5%24134m
09:000%-2.2°0%5%24135m
10:000%3.5°0%5%24134m
11:000%8.1°0%5%24135m
12:000%11°0%5%24134m
13:000%13°0%14%24134m
14:000%14°0%36%24135m
15:000%12°43%6.2%24135m
16:000%43%8.7%24135m
17:000%4.7°49%5.1%24134m
18:000%-0.46°51%16%24135m
19:0055%-6.9°51%12%24134m
20:000%-13°51%71%24134m
21:000%-20°21%100%24135m
22:000%-26°21%100%24134m
23:000%-31°21%100%24134m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-35°34%100%24135m
01:000%-37°34%100%24135m
02:000%-38°34%100%24134m
03:000%-36°34%100%24135m
04:000%-32°34%100%24135m
05:000%-27°34%97%24134m
06:000%-21°15%100%24135m
07:000%-15°15%75%24134m
08:000%-8.2°15%91%24135m
09:000%-1.9°15%68%24134m
10:000%3.8°15%83%24134m
11:000%8.4°15%99%24135m
12:000%12°7.7%100%24134m
13:000%14°7.7%100%24134m
14:000%14°7.7%100%24135m
15:000%12°5%100%24134m
16:000%9.4°5%100%24134m
17:000%5%98%24135m
18:000%0.03°5%100%23253m
19:000%-6.6°5%100%4943m
20:000%-13°5%100%797m
21:000%-20°15%100%215m
22:000%-26°15%100%216m
23:000%-31°15%100%208m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-35°15%100%204m
01:000%-37°15%100%226m
02:000%-37°15%100%242m
03:000%-35°15%100%249m
04:000%-32°15%100%242m
05:000%-27°15%100%166m
06:000%-21°15%100%124m
07:000%-14°15%100%123m
08:000%-7.9°15%100%142m
09:000%-1.5°7.7%100%156m
10:000%4.1°7.7%100%188m
11:000%8.7°7.7%100%159m
12:000%12°7.7%100%160m
13:000%14°7.7%100%147m
14:000%14°7.7%100%139m
15:000%13°0%100%136m
16:000%9.7°0%100%162m
17:000%5.4°0%100%280m
18:000%0.3°11%100%573m
19:000%-6.3°11%100%142m
20:000%-13°11%100%163m
21:000%-19°21%100%278m
22:000%-25°21%100%138m
23:000%-31°21%100%213m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-34°43%100%402m
01:000%-37°43%100%8313m
02:000%-37°43%100%16224m
03:000%-35°43%100%24135m
04:000%-31°43%100%24135m
05:000%-26°43%100%24135m
06:000%-21°43%100%24135m
07:000%-14°43%100%24135m
08:000%-7.6°43%100%24135m
09:000%-1.1°43%100%24135m
10:000%4.5°43%100%24135m
11:000%9.1°43%100%24135m
12:000%12°43%100%24135m
13:000%14°43%100%17155m
14:000%15°43%100%10175m
15:000%13°43%100%3195m
16:000%10°43%100%10175m
17:000%5.7°43%100%17155m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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