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Rule Northern Lights

Snaefellsnes - Northern Lights - Iceland

Stykkisholmur, West, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 5 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-37.2° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover98%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Snaefellsnes
Tue, Feb 24 · 20:00–02:00 · 6h window
Low confidence
37%
🌌Aurora Quality90-95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -10.0° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 4%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 15
01:000%-37°64%100%24135m
02:000%-38°47%100%24135m
03:000%-36°69%100%24135m
04:000%-33°69%100%24135m
05:000%-28°65%100%24135m
06:000%-22°25%100%24134m
07:000%-16°17%100%24134m
08:000%-9.8°17%97%24134m
09:000%-3.7°0%87%24134m
10:000%2.1°0%30%24134m
11:000%6.5°0%96%24134m
12:000%10°0%76%24134m
13:000%12°100%87%24135m
14:000%12°100%100%24135m
15:000%11°36%98%24135m
16:000%8.5°37%53%24134m
17:000%4.5°37%9.3%24134m
18:000%-0.4°100%5%24134m
19:0082%-6.6°100%5.2%24134m
20:0095%-13°100%5.2%24134m
21:0056%-19°41%23%24135m
22:000%-25°50%81%24134m
23:000%-30°52%98%24135m
Mon, Feb 16
24:000%-34°100%89%24134m
01:000%-37°100%96%24134m
02:000%-37°100%98%24135m
03:000%-36°55%95%24135m
04:000%-32°55%87%24135m
05:000%-28°55%78%24135m
06:000%-22°36%82%24135m
07:000%-16°45%86%24135m
08:000%-9.5°45%70%24135m
09:000%-3.4°36%15%24134m
10:000%2.4°36%16%24135m
11:000%6.9°36%63%24134m
12:000%10°36%81%24135m
13:000%12°36%70%24134m
14:000%13°36%59%24134m
15:000%12°17%36%24135m
16:000%8.8°17%62%24135m
17:000%4.8°17%92%24135m
18:000%0.07°17%100%24135m
19:000%-6.3°17%100%24134m
20:000%-13°17%95%24135m
21:000%-19°29%93%24135m
22:000%-25°29%100%24135m
23:000%-30°29%100%24135m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-34°36%100%24135m
01:000%-36°36%100%24134m
02:000%-37°36%100%24134m
03:000%-35°36%100%24135m
04:000%-32°36%100%24134m
05:000%-27°36%100%24134m
06:000%-22°17%95%24134m
07:000%-16°17%100%24135m
08:000%-9.2°17%99%24134m
09:000%-3°17%100%24135m
10:000%2.7°17%100%24135m
11:000%7.2°17%100%24134m
12:000%11°8.3%100%24135m
13:000%13°8.3%96%24134m
14:000%13°8.3%82%24135m
15:000%12°5.4%100%24135m
16:000%9.1°5.4%100%24135m
17:000%5.1°5.4%100%24135m
18:000%0.33°5.4%100%24135m
19:000%-6°5.4%100%24134m
20:000%-12°5.4%100%24135m
21:000%-18°17%100%24135m
22:000%-24°17%100%15714m
23:000%-30°17%100%9385m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-34°45%100%1131m
01:000%-36°45%100%283m
02:000%-37°45%100%175m
03:000%-35°45%100%247m
04:000%-32°45%100%1130m
05:000%-27°45%100%5783m
06:000%-21°45%100%6778m
07:000%-15°45%87%12564m
08:000%-8.9°45%74%18350m
09:000%-2.7°45%61%24135m
10:000%3°45%69%24135m
11:000%7.5°45%76%24135m
12:000%11°45%84%24135m
13:000%13°45%89%24135m
14:000%13°45%95%24135m
15:000%12°45%100%24135m
16:000%9.5°45%100%24135m
17:000%5.4°45%99%24135m
18:000%0.61°45%99%24135m
19:000%-5.6°45%99%24135m
20:000%-12°45%100%24135m
21:000%-18°45%100%24135m
22:000%-24°45%99%24135m
23:000%-29°45%98%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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