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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Snaefellsnes, Iceland

Stykkisholmur, West, Iceland

Snæfellsnes compresses a glacier-capped volcano, lava coast, basalt cliffs, and fishing villages into one narrow peninsula. Short distances produce abrupt changes from open sea horizons to isolated mountains and dark lava foregrounds.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation7.8° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Aurora Activity100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage88% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Iceland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Snaefellsnes.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Iceland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Snaefellsnes during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
2
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
2
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 365 days
34
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

01:00 local time, shared by 5 of 34 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 14 of 34 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Fri, Aug 21
19:000%14°27%100%5213m
20:000%8.2°32%100%3784m
21:000%2.3°46%100%2618m
22:000%-3.3°47%100%3305m
23:000%-7.8°47%100%3368m
Sat, Aug 22
24:000%-11°33%100%3029m
01:000%-13°31%100%3381m
02:000%-13°27%100%2618m
03:000%-11°31%100%2651m
04:000%-8.4°30%100%2530m
05:000%-4°29%100%1740m
06:000%1.5°12%100%1771m
07:000%7.2°0%100%1781m
08:000%13°0%100%1918m
09:000%20°0%100%2467m
10:000%25°0%100%2055m
11:000%30°0%100%3192m
12:000%34°0%100%1764m
13:000%36°0%100%2499m
14:000%36°0%100%3018m
15:000%35°8.3%100%2872m
16:000%31°8.3%100%2011m
17:000%26°11%100%2823m
18:000%20°14%100%3485m
19:000%14°14%100%3189m
20:000%7.8°14%100%3008m
21:000%5.4%100%3156m
22:000%-3.6°5.4%100%3168m
23:000%-8.1°5.4%100%2093m
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%-11°22%100%2815m
01:000%-13°22%100%2680m
02:000%-13°22%100%10694m
03:000%-12°8.3%100%24134m
04:000%-8.7°8.3%100%24134m
05:000%-4.3°8.3%100%24026m
06:000%1.3°8.3%100%19901m
07:000%8.3%100%24081m
08:000%13°8.3%100%13788m
09:000%19°8.3%100%24134m
10:000%25°8.3%100%21090m
11:000%30°8.3%81%22646m
12:000%34°8.3%100%24135m
13:000%36°8.3%100%24135m
14:000%36°8.3%93%24134m
15:000%34°8.3%97%24135m
16:000%31°8.3%94%24135m
17:000%26°8.3%100%24134m
18:000%20°8.3%37%24135m
19:000%14°8.3%5%24134m
20:000%7.5°8.3%5%24134m
21:000%1.7°12%5%24134m
22:000%-4°12%5%24134m
23:0018%-8.5°12%5%24134m
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%-12°5.4%85%24134m
01:000%-13°5.4%88%24134m
02:000%-14°5.4%92%24134m
03:000%-12°3.2%89%24135m
04:000%-9°3.2%82%24134m
05:000%-4.6°3.2%23%24134m
06:000%3.2%5%24134m
07:000%6.7°3.2%58%24134m
08:000%13°3.2%98%24135m
09:000%19°3.2%100%24135m
10:000%25°3.2%100%24134m
11:000%30°3.2%100%24134m
12:000%34°3.2%100%24134m
13:000%36°3.2%100%24134m
14:000%36°3.2%100%24135m
15:000%34°3.2%100%15058m
16:000%30°3.2%100%9033m
17:000%25°3.2%100%7888m
18:000%20°5.4%100%4279m
19:000%13°5.4%100%7366m
20:000%7.2°5.4%100%18497m
21:000%1.4°5.4%100%13772m
22:000%-4.3°5.4%100%24135m
23:000%-8.8°5.4%100%21061m
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%-12°8.3%100%10812m
01:000%-14°8.3%100%15253m
02:000%-14°8.3%100%19694m
03:000%-12°8.3%100%24135m
04:000%-9.3°8.3%97%24133m
05:000%-4.9°8.3%94%24132m
06:000%0.75°8.3%91%24131m
07:000%6.4°8.3%73%24132m
08:000%13°8.3%56%24134m
09:000%19°8.3%39%24135m
10:000%25°8.3%33%24135m
11:000%30°8.3%27%24135m
12:000%33°8.3%21%24135m
13:000%35°8.3%44%24135m
14:000%35°8.3%67%24135m
15:000%34°8.3%91%24135m
16:000%30°8.3%62%24135m
17:000%25°8.3%34%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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