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Rule Northern Lights

Skógafoss - Northern Lights - Iceland

Skógafoss, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-9.9° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover21%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Skógafoss
Tomorrow · 24:00–03:00 · 3h window
Medium confidence
48%
🌌Aurora Quality65.4%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -41.2° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 0%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
3matching hours in the next 72 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Feb 7
18:000%-3.7°27%11%24134m
19:0037%-9.9°27%21%24134m
20:0041%-17°27%29%24134m
21:0036%-23°33%30%24134m
22:0044%-29°33%24%24134m
23:0051%-35°33%2.2%24134m
Sun, Feb 8
24:0065%-39°61%0.5%24134m
01:0065%-41°61%0.5%24134m
02:0065%-41°61%0.3%24135m
03:0051%-39°33%0.3%24134m
04:0051%-35°33%0%24134m
05:0051%-30°33%1.9%24134m
06:0048%-24°25%4.3%24134m
07:0048%-17°25%4.1%24135m
08:0043%-10°25%4.5%24135m
09:000%-3.9°25%5%24134m
10:000%1.9°25%9%24134m
11:000%6.4°25%51%24134m
12:000%9.7°7.1%54%24134m
13:000%11°7.1%48%24135m
14:000%11°7.1%77%24134m
15:000%9.9°25%99%24135m
16:000%6.7°25%100%24134m
17:000%2.4°25%91%24135m
18:000%-3.4°25%71%24135m
19:0036%-9.7°25%29%24134m
20:0048%-16°25%5%24135m
21:0051%-23°33%5%24135m
22:0051%-29°33%4.8%24135m
23:0044%-35°33%23%24135m
Mon, Feb 9
24:0018%-39°25%48%24135m
01:000%-41°25%73%24134m
02:000%-41°25%95%24135m
03:000%-39°15%100%21779m
04:000%-35°15%98%18484m
05:000%-29°15%100%18001m
06:000%-23°7.1%100%3080m
07:000%-17°7.1%100%2790m
08:000%-10°7.1%100%6729m
09:000%-3.6°19%100%1742m
10:000%2.2°19%60%18882m
11:000%6.7°19%74%24135m
12:000%10°19%81%24134m
13:000%12°19%90%24134m
14:000%12°19%89%24134m
15:000%10°25%86%24134m
16:000%25%96%24135m
17:000%2.7°25%42%24134m
18:000%-3.1°19%75%24134m
19:000%-9.4°19%72%24134m
20:000%-16°19%60%24135m
21:0051%-23°33%5.4%24135m
22:000%-29°33%90%24135m
23:000%-34°33%95%24135m
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%-38°19%91%14532m
01:000%-41°19%86%17733m
02:000%-41°19%82%20934m
03:000%-39°19%78%24135m
04:000%-35°19%85%24135m
05:000%-29°19%92%24135m
06:000%-23°19%99%24135m
07:000%-16°19%87%24135m
08:000%-9.7°19%75%24135m
09:000%-3.3°19%63%24135m
10:000%2.5°19%44%24135m
11:000%19%24%24135m
12:000%10°19%4.7%24135m
13:000%12°19%4.7%24135m
14:000%12°19%4.8%24135m
15:000%11°19%4.8%24135m
16:000%7.3°19%5.4%24135m
17:000%2.9°19%6%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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