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Rule Northern Lights

Mývatn - Northern Lights - Iceland

Reykjahlíð, Northeast, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-15.8° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Mývatn
Fri, Feb 13 · 03:00–08:00 · 5h window
Medium confidence
42%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -35.2° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 6%
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Mývatn
Fri, Feb 13 · 08:00–09:00
🌌Aurora Quality:85.5%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 8
06:000%-22°30%96%4240m
07:000%-16°30%100%2467m
08:000%-9.7°30%100%1145m
09:000%-3.9°30%100%126m
10:000%1.4°30%100%95m
11:000%5.3°30%99%142m
12:000%8.1°8.7%77%2661m
13:000%9.5°8.7%100%780m
14:000%9.3°8.7%100%783m
15:000%7.5°30%100%387m
16:000%4.4°30%100%204m
17:000%0.39°30%96%344m
18:000%-5.3°30%88%909m
19:000%-11°30%100%2229m
20:000%-17°30%99%1296m
21:000%-23°38%96%247m
22:000%-29°38%100%108m
23:000%-34°38%100%109m
Mon, Feb 9
24:000%-37°30%95%345m
01:000%-39°30%100%599m
02:000%-39°30%100%448m
03:000%-36°17%96%225m
04:000%-33°17%100%184m
05:000%-28°17%100%826m
06:000%-22°8.7%100%440m
07:000%-16°8.7%100%1269m
08:000%-9.4°8.7%91%1245m
09:000%-3.6°23%98%2569m
10:000%1.7°23%100%263m
11:000%5.6°23%100%70m
12:000%8.4°23%100%91m
13:000%9.8°23%100%61m
14:000%9.6°23%100%56m
15:000%7.8°30%100%42m
16:000%4.7°30%100%40m
17:000%0.65°30%100%40m
18:000%-5°23%100%37m
19:000%-11°23%100%34m
20:000%-17°23%100%35m
21:000%-23°38%100%34m
22:000%-29°38%100%32m
23:000%-34°38%100%35m
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%-37°17%100%36m
01:000%-39°17%100%36m
02:000%-38°17%100%38m
03:000%-36°17%100%40m
04:000%-32°17%100%45m
05:000%-27°17%100%53m
06:000%-21°8.7%100%67m
07:000%-15°8.7%100%84m
08:000%-9.1°8.7%100%150m
09:000%-3.3°5.7%100%215m
10:000%5.7%100%173m
11:000%5.9°5.7%100%415m
12:000%8.7°5.7%100%6814m
13:000%10°5.7%94%12585m
14:000%9.9°5.7%88%18355m
15:000%8.2°0.76%82%24126m
16:000%0.76%74%20184m
17:000%0.92°0.76%65%16242m
18:000%-4.7°5.7%57%12299m
19:000%-11°5.7%69%8497m
20:000%-17°5.7%81%4695m
21:000%-23°17%93%893m
22:000%-28°17%95%761m
23:000%-33°17%98%628m
Wed, Feb 11
24:000%-37°23%100%496m
01:000%-38°23%100%1431m
02:000%-38°23%100%2365m
03:000%-36°23%100%3300m
04:000%-32°23%97%3122m
05:000%-27°23%95%2944m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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