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Rule Northern Lights

Kirkjufell - Northern Lights - Iceland

Snæfellsnes, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 100% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation12.8° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Feb 16
13:000%12°0%88%24134m
14:000%13°0%85%24135m
15:000%12°45%64%24135m
16:000%9.1°47%42%24135m
17:000%5.1°49%68%24134m
18:000%0.31°52%71%24135m
19:000%-6°48%93%24134m
20:000%-12°42%92%24134m
21:000%-19°27%82%24135m
22:000%-25°30%100%24134m
23:000%-30°30%100%24134m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-34°42%100%24134m
01:000%-36°100%71%24134m
02:000%-37°100%91%24134m
03:000%-36°56%80%24135m
04:000%-32°55%100%24134m
05:000%-28°55%78%24134m
06:000%-22°100%60%24134m
07:000%-16°100%100%24134m
08:000%-9.4°100%100%24134m
09:000%-3.2°55%100%24134m
10:000%2.6°55%100%24135m
11:000%7.2°55%100%24134m
12:000%11°22%100%24135m
13:000%13°22%100%24135m
14:000%13°22%100%24135m
15:000%12°22%100%24135m
16:000%9.4°22%100%24134m
17:000%5.4°22%100%24135m
18:000%0.58°5.4%100%24134m
19:000%-5.7°5.4%100%24134m
20:000%-12°5.4%100%23768m
21:000%-18°16%100%14301m
22:000%-24°16%100%10251m
23:000%-30°16%100%3942m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-34°16%100%1492m
01:000%-36°16%100%861m
02:000%-37°16%100%378m
03:000%-35°16%100%390m
04:000%-32°16%100%300m
05:000%-27°16%100%304m
06:000%-22°16%100%230m
07:000%-15°16%100%217m
08:000%-9.1°16%100%349m
09:000%-2.9°8.2%100%611m
10:000%2.9°8.2%100%1215m
11:000%7.5°8.2%100%679m
12:000%11°8.2%100%545m
13:000%13°8.2%100%720m
14:000%14°8.2%100%1054m
15:000%12°0.7%100%1428m
16:000%9.7°0.7%100%910m
17:000%5.7°0.7%100%1142m
18:000%0.86°12%100%782m
19:000%-5.4°12%100%1144m
20:000%-12°12%100%1512m
21:000%-18°22%100%1869m
22:000%-24°22%100%2389m
23:000%-29°22%100%1495m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-33°16%100%928m
01:000%-36°16%100%1181m
02:000%-36°16%100%8166m
03:000%-35°28%100%8666m
04:000%-32°28%100%8674m
05:000%-27°28%99%9210m
06:000%-21°8.2%100%15620m
07:000%-15°8.2%100%24134m
08:000%-8.8°8.2%100%24135m
09:000%-2.5°12%100%24135m
10:000%3.2°12%100%24135m
11:000%7.8°12%100%24135m
12:000%11°5.4%100%24135m
13:000%13°5.4%100%24134m
14:000%14°5.4%100%11416m
15:000%13°8.2%100%8450m
16:000%10°8.2%99%6329m
17:000%8.2%100%6063m
18:000%1.1°12%100%5489m
19:000%-5°12%95%6956m
20:000%-11°12%90%8423m
21:000%-18°16%85%9890m
22:000%-24°16%83%11722m
23:000%-29°16%82%13554m
Fri, Feb 20
24:000%-33°8.2%80%15386m
01:000%-35°8.2%82%17309m
02:000%-36°8.2%84%19231m
03:000%-35°8.2%86%21154m
04:000%-31°8.2%81%22148m
05:000%-27°8.2%77%23141m
06:000%-21°8.2%72%24135m
07:000%-15°8.2%77%24135m
08:000%-8.4°8.2%83%24135m
09:000%-2.2°8.2%88%24135m
10:000%3.5°8.2%74%24135m
11:000%8.2°8.2%60%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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