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Rule Northern Lights

Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon - Northern Lights - Iceland

Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Solar Elevation 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 1 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation47.5° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover94%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Tue, Jul 7
13:000%48°0%100%11323m
14:000%48°0%100%11826m
15:000%45°8%100%12023m
16:000%40°14%100%11869m
17:000%34°18%100%11154m
18:000%28°23%100%10987m
19:000%21°27%100%10591m
20:000%15°31%100%11659m
21:000%9.2°35%100%11651m
22:000%4.3°37%100%11587m
23:000%0.65°40%100%11557m
Wed, Jul 8
24:000%-2.2°42%100%11566m
01:000%-3.3°39%100%11484m
02:000%-2.8°40%76%8654m
03:000%-0.42°39%41%9231m
04:000%2.9°37%17%11513m
05:000%7.4°33%12%11547m
06:000%13°27%44%9436m
07:000%19°18%100%11892m
08:000%26°14%100%11902m
09:000%32°8%100%11583m
10:000%38°8%100%11526m
11:000%43°8%100%11468m
12:000%47°8%100%11497m
13:000%48°8%99%11340m
14:000%48°8%94%11351m
15:000%45°2.9%100%11409m
16:000%40°2.9%100%11546m
17:000%34°2.9%100%11817m
18:000%28°4.9%100%11812m
19:000%21°4.9%100%11606m
20:000%15°4.9%100%11498m
21:000%9.1°4.9%100%11491m
22:000%4.2°4.9%99%11481m
23:000%0.56°4.9%100%11426m
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%-2.3°20%82%9100m
01:000%-3.4°20%80%8530m
02:000%-2.9°20%26%8566m
03:000%-0.6°34%45%12451m
04:000%2.8°34%3.2%11914m
05:000%7.3°34%3%11859m
06:000%13°15%3.7%11903m
07:000%19°15%5.2%12075m
08:000%25°15%3.3%12197m
09:000%32°15%5.2%11756m
10:000%38°15%23%11774m
11:000%43°15%24%11622m
12:000%47°15%32%11560m
13:000%48°15%26%11605m
14:000%47°15%34%11628m
15:000%44°7.6%45%11743m
16:000%40°7.6%47%11858m
17:000%34°7.6%48%11834m
18:000%28°7.6%61%11907m
19:000%21°7.6%100%11712m
20:000%15°7.6%100%11613m
21:000%15%76%11622m
22:000%4.1°15%78%8796m
23:000%0.47°15%73%8933m
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%-2.5°34%53%5763m
01:000%-3.6°34%50%7427m
02:000%-3°34%86%6408m
03:000%-0.76°15%88%8539m
04:000%2.6°15%72%12021m
05:000%7.2°15%86%13121m
06:000%13°15%82%12716m
07:000%19°15%11%11864m
08:000%25°15%74%13804m
09:000%32°15%95%12920m
10:000%38°15%12%11855m
11:000%43°15%5%11394m
12:000%47°15%3.4%11516m
13:000%48°15%4.8%11950m
14:000%47°15%2.4%12442m
15:000%44°15%2.8%12460m
16:000%40°15%5.6%13147m
17:000%34°15%5.4%13349m
18:000%28°34%3.4%12639m
19:000%21°34%36%16471m
20:000%15°34%68%20303m
21:000%8.9°15%100%24135m
22:000%15%100%24135m
23:000%0.37°15%100%24135m
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%-2.6°42%100%24135m
01:000%-3.7°42%100%24135m
02:000%-3.2°42%100%24135m
03:000%-0.93°42%100%24135m
04:000%2.5°42%75%22711m
05:000%42%51%21287m
06:000%13°42%26%19862m
07:000%19°42%48%19865m
08:000%25°42%69%19867m
09:000%32°42%91%19869m
10:000%38°42%94%19823m
11:000%43°42%97%19776m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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