Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Reynisfjara, Iceland Coast

Vik, South, Iceland

Reynisfjara combines black sand, hexagonal basalt columns, a sea cave, and the Reynisdrangar stacks beneath powerful North Atlantic surf.

19 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 22, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Storm Intensity

25%

CAPE110

Lifted Index6.6°C

Wind Gusts5.2m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

First upcoming window

Weak Storm

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 03:00–04:00 · 1h window

Low confidence

29%

⛈️Storm Intensity42%

CAPE: 0

Lifted Index: 16.1°C

Wind Gusts: 14.0m/s

Precipitation: 1.5mm

Weak Storm

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 06:00–07:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:52%

Low

Weak Storm

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 09:00–10:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:51%

Low

Weak Storm

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 11:00–13:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40-51%

Low

Weak Storm at Sunset

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 15:00–16:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:50%

Low

Weak Storm at Dusk

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 18:00–19:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:42%

Low

Moderate Storm

Reynisfjara

Thu, Oct 29 · 19:00–07:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:43-56%

Low

+12 more windows in the next 14 days

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Atlantic/Reykjavik)	Air Pressure	CAPE	Convective Precip Fraction	Lifted Index	Precipitation Chance	Rainfall	Showers	Simulated Reflectivity	Total Precipitation	Visibility	Wind Gusts	Wind Shear 0-3 km	Wind Shear 0-6 km	Wind Speed
Thu, Oct 22, 2026Sunrise 08:25 · Sunset 17:34
21:00 Night	994hPa	110J/kg	0.89fraction	6.6°C	86%	0mm	0mm	12dBZ	0mm	50000m	5.2m/s	7.1m/s	13m/s	4m/s
22:00 Night	994hPa	150J/kg	0.67fraction	6.7°C	79%	0mm	0mm	9.8dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.9m/s
23:00 Night	995hPa	120J/kg	0.45fraction	7.4°C	71%	0mm	0mm	7.6dBZ	0mm	22940m	5.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.3m/s
Fri, Oct 23, 2026Sunrise 08:28 · Sunset 17:31
24:00 Night	995hPa	120J/kg	0.24fraction	7.7°C	61%	0mm	0mm	5.5dBZ	0mm	50000m	7m/s	7.6m/s	13m/s	5m/s
01:00 Night	995hPa	90J/kg	0.2fraction	7.1°C	49%	0mm	0mm	-3dBZ	0mm	50000m	6.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.5m/s
02:00 Night	995hPa	70J/kg	0.16fraction	6.6°C	36%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	50000m	5.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4m/s
03:00 Night	995hPa	120J/kg	0.12fraction	6.8°C	25%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.9m/s	7.4m/s	12m/s	3.5m/s
04:00 Night	995hPa	120J/kg	0.33fraction	6.8°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	6.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.2m/s
05:00 Night	995hPa	130J/kg	0.54fraction	6.5°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	7.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.6m/s
06:00 Night	996hPa	90J/kg	0.75fraction	6°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	7.5m/s	6.5m/s	11m/s	5.5m/s
07:00 Night	996hPa	90J/kg	0.75fraction	5.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	50000m	7.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.1m/s
08:00 Night	996hPa	120J/kg	0.76fraction	5.6°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-8.6dBZ	0mm	50000m	6.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.3m/s
09:00	996hPa	50J/kg	0.76fraction	5.5°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-2.9dBZ	0mm	26780m	8.4m/s	5.7m/s	7.5m/s	6.2m/s
10:00	996hPa	50J/kg	0.51fraction	4.8°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-8.6dBZ	0mm	29700m	8.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.3m/s
11:00	997hPa	0J/kg	0.25fraction	4°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	50000m	9.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.4m/s
12:00	996hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	3.3°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	33760m	9.2m/s	4.8m/s	11m/s	5.9m/s
13:00	996hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	10%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	35220m	8.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6m/s
14:00	996hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	3.4°C	12%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	35700m	9.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.3m/s
15:00	995hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.8°C	14%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	35020m	9.7m/s	5.5m/s	11m/s	6.6m/s
16:00	995hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.6°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	34360m	9.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.2m/s
17:00	995hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.2°C	18%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	9.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.7m/s
18:00 Night	995hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	7.5°C	20%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	9.5m/s	7.9m/s	9.2m/s	6.4m/s
19:00 Night	994hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	7.7°C	21%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.1m/s
20:00 Night	994hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	8.1°C	21%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.9m/s
21:00 Night	993hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	8.2°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8m/s	10m/s	12m/s	5.8m/s
22:00 Night	993hPa	10J/kg	0.33fraction	8.4°C	24%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.5m/s
23:00 Night	992hPa	0J/kg	0.67fraction	8.3°C	27%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.2m/s
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Sunrise 08:31 · Sunset 17:28
24:00 Night	991hPa	0J/kg	1fraction	8.4°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	8.6m/s	9.5m/s	14m/s	4.2m/s
01:00 Night	990hPa	20J/kg	0.85fraction	8.4°C	28%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	50000m	5.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.6m/s
02:00 Night	989hPa	20J/kg	0.7fraction	8.3°C	27%	0mm	0mm	-9.2dBZ	0mm	41560m	4.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.1m/s
03:00 Night	988hPa	10J/kg	0.55fraction	8.3°C	25%	0mm	0mm	-3.8dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.7m/s	9.4m/s	14m/s	3.6m/s
04:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0.39fraction	7.7°C	24%	0mm	0mm	-4dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.2m/s
05:00 Night	986hPa	0J/kg	0.22fraction	7.5°C	23%	0mm	0mm	-4.3dBZ	0mm	49140m	3.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
06:00 Night	985hPa	0J/kg	0.05fraction	7.4°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-4.6dBZ	0mm	43580m	3.4m/s	8.9m/s	13m/s	2.9m/s
07:00 Night	985hPa	20J/kg	0.12fraction	8.1°C	20%	0mm	0mm	-6.3dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s
08:00 Night	984hPa	20J/kg	0.19fraction	8.7°C	18%	0mm	0mm	-8dBZ	0mm	43760m	5.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.7m/s
09:00	984hPa	30J/kg	0.26fraction	9.7°C	16%	0.1mm	0mm	-9.7dBZ	0.1mm	50000m	10m/s	7.7m/s	18m/s	7.1m/s
10:00	983hPa	10J/kg	0.21fraction	10°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-8dBZ	0mm	31060m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	7.5m/s
11:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.15fraction	10°C	10%	0mm	0mm	-6.2dBZ	0mm	33940m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6.6m/s
12:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.1fraction	9.7°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-4.4dBZ	0mm	50000m	10m/s	7.9m/s	17m/s	6.4m/s
13:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.07fraction	9.2°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-9.6dBZ	0mm	45720m	9.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	6m/s
14:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.03fraction	8.3°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	50000m	8.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5.1m/s
15:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.5°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	45940m	7.7m/s	3.7m/s	11m/s	3.2m/s
16:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.3°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	40380m	5.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.1m/s
17:00	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	34580m	4.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s
18:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	44300m	4.2m/s	2.6m/s	8.8m/s	3.4m/s
19:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	9%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.8m/s
20:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	10%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	3.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.9m/s
21:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	10%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	32880m	3.2m/s	2.2m/s	9.5m/s	1.3m/s
22:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	9%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
23:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	12°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.5m/s
Sun, Oct 25, 2026Sunrise 08:34 · Sunset 17:25
24:00 Night	985hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	12°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	5.1m/s	2.3m/s	9.5m/s	2.7m/s
01:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	12°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	4.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.6m/s
02:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	50000m	5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
03:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	14°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	51325m	4.4m/s	3.5m/s	12m/s	3.2m/s
04:00 Night	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	14°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26660m	3.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1m/s
05:00 Night	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	13235m	3.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1m/s
06:00 Night	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	580m	1.2m/s	2.4m/s	12m/s	0.52m/s
07:00 Night	983hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	10%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	400m	1.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.4m/s
08:00 Night	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	15%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	340m	2.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.4m/s
09:00	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	20%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	440m	2.7m/s	3.5m/s	14m/s	1.6m/s
10:00	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	13°C	23%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	580m	3.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.9m/s
11:00	984hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	12°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	840m	4.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
12:00	985hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1900m	4.4m/s	0.43m/s	13m/s	2.5m/s
13:00	985hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	33%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	4700m	4.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
14:00	985hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	38%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	11320m	4.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.9m/s
15:00	985hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	41%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	38460m	3.3m/s	2.3m/s	12m/s	1.4m/s
16:00	986hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	40%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26660m	2.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.92m/s
17:00	986hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	38%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	20180m	1.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.79m/s
18:00 Night	986hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	35%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	16100m	1.3m/s	1.3m/s	7.3m/s	0.54m/s
19:00 Night	987hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	31%	0.1mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.1mm	13320m	1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.52m/s
20:00 Night	987hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	11°C	27%	0.1mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.1mm	10680m	1.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.91m/s

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Reynisfjara.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Reynisfjara during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 52% average confidence

Last 90 days

124

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Last 365 days

131

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 14 of 131 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

September, with 54 of 131 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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