Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Dyrhólaey, Iceland Coast

Vik, South, Iceland

Dyrhólaey’s high promontory contains a vast sea arch and overlooks black beaches, Reynisdrangar, and Mýrdalsjökull; puffins nest here in summer.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

CAPE0

Lifted Index7.9°C

Wind Gusts3.6m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

Next opportunity

Weak Storm at Sunrise

Dyrhólaey

Tomorrow · 06:00–07:00 · 1h window

Medium confidence

52%

⛈️Storm Intensity50%

CAPE: 11

Lifted Index: 5.6°C

Wind Gusts: 9.4m/s

Precipitation: 2.4mm

Strong Storm

Dyrhólaey

Tomorrow · 08:00–19:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40-70%

Medium

Weak Storm at Sunset

Dyrhólaey

Tomorrow · 21:00–22:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:53%

Medium

Weak Storm

Dyrhólaey

Tomorrow · 22:00–01:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:42-46%

Low

Weak Storm

Dyrhólaey

Wed, Aug 26 · 24:00–01:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40%

Low

Weak Storm

Dyrhólaey

Sun, Aug 30 · 09:00–10:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:44%

Low

Weak Storm

Dyrhólaey

Sun, Aug 30 · 12:00–16:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40-52%

Low

+1 more windows in the next 14 days

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Dyrhólaey.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Dyrhólaey during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Most represented month

August, with 30 of 40 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

20matching hours in the next 86 hoursJump to next match

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Atlantic/Reykjavik	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sun, Aug 23
04:00	43%
05:00	41%
06:00	48%
07:00	18%
08:00	27%
09:00	35%
10:00	21%
11:00	0%
12:00	20%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	18%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	17%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	25%
22:00	17%
23:00	20%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	33%
01:00	24%
02:00	25%
03:00	38%
04:00	32%
05:00	38%
06:00	50%
07:00	37%
08:00	47%
09:00	59%
10:00	57%
11:00	58%
12:00	70%
13:00	48%
14:00	51%
15:00	61%
16:00	47%
17:00	46%
18:00	40%
19:00	20%
20:00	39%
21:00	53%
22:00	46%
23:00	42%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	46%
01:00	19%
02:00	18%
03:00	35%
04:00	18%
05:00	15%
06:00	27%
07:00	19%
08:00	17%
09:00	28%
10:00	20%
11:00	21%
12:00	29%
13:00	0%
14:00	20%
15:00	27%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	24%
19:00	22%
20:00	22%
21:00	22%
22:00	24%
23:00	30%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	40%
01:00	34%
02:00	30%
03:00	35%
04:00	29%
05:00	26%
06:00	29%
07:00	27%
08:00	27%
09:00	39%
10:00	26%
11:00	26%
12:00	32%
13:00	23%
14:00	23%
15:00	22%
16:00	0%
17:00	18%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Atlantic/Reykjavik	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 05:36 Sunset 21:00
20:00	965hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.9°C	49%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	16156m	3.6m/s	-	-	3.4m/s
21:00	965hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.6°C	63%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	17400m	2.9m/s	8.4m/s	20m/s	2.4m/s
22:00 ☾	965hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.1°C	74%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	16841m	2.9m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
23:00 ☾	965hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.6°C	86%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	12072m	2.5m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 05:38 Sunset 20:56
24:00 ☾	965hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.9°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	11867m	2.6m/s	13m/s	25m/s	2.4m/s
01:00 ☾	964hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.9°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-2.4dBZ	0mm	11589m	3.3m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
02:00 ☾	964hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.4°C	99%	0mm	0mm	15dBZ	0mm	11728m	3.7m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
03:00 ☾	963hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8.8°C	100%	0.01mm	0mm	33dBZ	0mm	11813m	5.2m/s	12m/s	20m/s	4m/s
04:00 ☾	963hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.3°C	100%	0.85mm	0mm	33dBZ	0.25mm	6875m	7.7m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
05:00 ☾	962hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	6°C	100%	1.1mm	0mm	34dBZ	1.3mm	5427m	8.3m/s	-	-	6.1m/s
06:00	962hPa	11J/kg	0fraction	5.6°C	100%	0.75mm	0mm	34dBZ	2.4mm	8554m	9.4m/s	17m/s	28m/s	6.6m/s
07:00	961hPa	6J/kg	0fraction	5°C	96%	0.85mm	0mm	35dBZ	0.81mm	5807m	11m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
08:00	960hPa	7J/kg	0fraction	6°C	91%	1.6mm	0mm	35dBZ	2.1mm	3003m	15m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
09:00	959hPa	7J/kg	0.001fraction	5.6°C	87%	2.2mm	0mm	36dBZ	4.2mm	2227m	16m/s	11m/s	20m/s	10m/s
10:00	959hPa	8J/kg	0.01fraction	5.3°C	86%	5mm	0mm	32dBZ	8.8mm	851m	16m/s	-	-	10m/s
11:00	958hPa	6J/kg	0.03fraction	5.1°C	84%	6mm	0mm	28dBZ	13mm	540m	14m/s	-	-	9.8m/s
12:00	957hPa	2J/kg	0.04fraction	2.2°C	82%	5.3mm	0.01mm	24dBZ	19mm	180m	15m/s	8.6m/s	18m/s	10m/s
13:00	956hPa	1J/kg	0.07fraction	1.7°C	70%	2.8mm	0.42mm	23dBZ	3.9mm	139m	16m/s	-	-	11m/s
14:00	955hPa	18J/kg	0.1fraction	2.9°C	58%	1.3mm	0.06mm	22dBZ	6.1mm	103m	14m/s	-	-	11m/s
15:00	954hPa	14J/kg	0.13fraction	2.3°C	46%	0.27mm	0.02mm	21dBZ	6.9mm	145m	14m/s	14m/s	20m/s	11m/s
16:00	954hPa	12J/kg	0.1fraction	2.7°C	47%	0.12mm	0.13mm	18dBZ	7.3mm	357m	12m/s	-	-	10m/s
17:00	954hPa	0J/kg	0.06fraction	4.3°C	49%	0.09mm	0.02mm	15dBZ	7.5mm	693m	11m/s	-	-	8.2m/s
18:00	954hPa	2J/kg	0.02fraction	3.8°C	50%	0.17mm	0.05mm	11dBZ	7.6mm	3781m	7m/s	8.1m/s	10m/s	5m/s
19:00	955hPa	12J/kg	0.35fraction	2.3°C	50%	0.63mm	0mm	13dBZ	0.31mm	233m	6.2m/s	-	-	4m/s
20:00	956hPa	20J/kg	0.67fraction	1.3°C	50%	1.4mm	0mm	15dBZ	1.4mm	148m	9.8m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
21:00 ☾	959hPa	10J/kg	1fraction	2.1°C	50%	1.9mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	3mm	352m	11m/s	11m/s	10m/s	8.8m/s
22:00 ☾	961hPa	1J/kg	0.8fraction	4.3°C	49%	0.71mm	0.05mm	15dBZ	4.3mm	546m	11m/s	-	-	9m/s
23:00 ☾	962hPa	2J/kg	0.6fraction	6.5°C	47%	0.17mm	0.05mm	13dBZ	4.8mm	544m	11m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 05:41 Sunset 20:53
24:00 ☾	963hPa	1J/kg	0.4fraction	8.1°C	46%	0.04mm	0.06mm	12dBZ	4.9mm	538m	9.3m/s	11m/s	14m/s	5.9m/s
01:00 ☾	964hPa	12J/kg	0.39fraction	8.2°C	47%	0.01mm	0.15mm	5.5dBZ	0.13mm	811m	7m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
02:00 ☾	965hPa	25J/kg	0.38fraction	7.5°C	48%	0mm	0.2mm	-0.76dBZ	0.31mm	1006m	6.2m/s	-	-	4.6m/s
03:00 ☾	965hPa	10J/kg	0.37fraction	8°C	49%	0mm	0.09mm	-7.1dBZ	0.5mm	983m	5m/s	11m/s	16m/s	3.8m/s
04:00 ☾	966hPa	9J/kg	0.35fraction	8°C	53%	0mm	0.05mm	-6dBZ	0.63mm	750m	3.1m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
05:00 ☾	966hPa	7J/kg	0.33fraction	8°C	57%	0mm	0.13mm	-4.8dBZ	0.75mm	4661m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
06:00	966hPa	2J/kg	0.3fraction	8°C	62%	0mm	0.05mm	-3.7dBZ	0.81mm	11018m	2.2m/s	9.7m/s	17m/s	1.8m/s
07:00	967hPa	0J/kg	0.2fraction	8.2°C	64%	0mm	0mm	-5.6dBZ	0mm	11540m	2.3m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
08:00	967hPa	0J/kg	0.1fraction	7.9°C	66%	0mm	0mm	-7.4dBZ	0mm	16805m	3.1m/s	-	-	2.8m/s
09:00	968hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	8°C	69%	0mm	0mm	-9.3dBZ	0mm	12784m	3.6m/s	12m/s	17m/s	3.2m/s
10:00	968hPa	0J/kg	0.1fraction	7.7°C	68%	0mm	0mm	-7.9dBZ	0mm	11795m	4.1m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
11:00	968hPa	4J/kg	0.2fraction	7°C	68%	0mm	0mm	-6.5dBZ	0mm	13145m	5m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
12:00	968hPa	5J/kg	0.3fraction	6.8°C	67%	0mm	0mm	-5.1dBZ	0mm	14552m	5.5m/s	12m/s	17m/s	4.8m/s
13:00	968hPa	5J/kg	0.38fraction	6.5°C	56%	0mm	0mm	-3.1dBZ	0mm	14872m	5.6m/s	-	-	5m/s
14:00	969hPa	15J/kg	0.47fraction	6°C	45%	0mm	0.01mm	-1.1dBZ	0mm	11784m	5.6m/s	-	-	5m/s
15:00	969hPa	11J/kg	0.55fraction	5.2°C	34%	0.01mm	0mm	0.82dBZ	0mm	11456m	6m/s	13m/s	18m/s	5.1m/s
16:00	969hPa	7J/kg	0.39fraction	4.4°C	42%	0mm	0mm	7.7dBZ	0.06mm	11467m	4.3m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
17:00	969hPa	1J/kg	0.23fraction	4.1°C	51%	0mm	0mm	15dBZ	0.06mm	11465m	3.9m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
18:00	969hPa	17J/kg	0.06fraction	3.4°C	59%	0mm	0.01mm	22dBZ	0.06mm	11490m	3.1m/s	13m/s	14m/s	2.6m/s
19:00	969hPa	37J/kg	0.05fraction	2.3°C	57%	0mm	0.2mm	23dBZ	0mm	11519m	3.5m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
20:00	970hPa	29J/kg	0.03fraction	2.3°C	56%	0mm	0.34mm	24dBZ	0.19mm	11605m	3.8m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
21:00 ☾	970hPa	18J/kg	0.02fraction	2.7°C	55%	0mm	0.18mm	25dBZ	0.38mm	11605m	3.9m/s	9m/s	8.6m/s	3.4m/s
22:00 ☾	970hPa	20J/kg	0.03fraction	2.8°C	61%	0.43mm	0.1mm	20dBZ	0.63mm	6590m	5m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
23:00 ☾	970hPa	6J/kg	0.05fraction	2.6°C	67%	2.9mm	0.06mm	15dBZ	2.1mm	2709m	3.1m/s	-	-	2.7m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 05:44 Sunset 20:49
24:00 ☾	971hPa	18J/kg	0.06fraction	2°C	73%	2.8mm	0.15mm	9.8dBZ	5.9mm	2889m	3.7m/s	8.8m/s	11m/s	3.2m/s
01:00 ☾	971hPa	13J/kg	0.37fraction	3.1°C	63%	1.9mm	0.11mm	9dBZ	4mm	1972m	4.9m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
02:00 ☾	971hPa	8J/kg	0.69fraction	4.3°C	52%	0.99mm	0.06mm	8.2dBZ	2.1mm	1055m	6.1m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
03:00 ☾	971hPa	3J/kg	1fraction	5.4°C	42%	0.08mm	0.02mm	7.4dBZ	0.19mm	138m	7.3m/s	8.3m/s	10m/s	3.3m/s
04:00 ☾	971hPa	9J/kg	0.75fraction	5°C	46%	0.06mm	0.01mm	4dBZ	0.23mm	1366m	7.3m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
05:00 ☾	972hPa	15J/kg	0.51fraction	4.6°C	51%	0.04mm	0.007mm	0.51dBZ	0.27mm	2595m	7.2m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
06:00	972hPa	21J/kg	0.26fraction	4.1°C	56%	0.02mm	0mm	-3dBZ	0.31mm	3823m	7.2m/s	10m/s	14m/s	3.7m/s
07:00	972hPa	21J/kg	0.23fraction	4°C	65%	0.04mm	0.02mm	-3.6dBZ	0.35mm	2674m	6.6m/s	-	-	3.5m/s
08:00	972hPa	21J/kg	0.2fraction	3.9°C	74%	0.07mm	0.05mm	-4.3dBZ	0.4mm	1525m	6.1m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
09:00	972hPa	21J/kg	0.18fraction	3.8°C	83%	0.09mm	0.07mm	-4.9dBZ	0.44mm	376m	5.5m/s	13m/s	15m/s	3.1m/s
10:00	972hPa	16J/kg	0.16fraction	3.9°C	84%	0.06mm	0.05mm	-2.5dBZ	0.58mm	2026m	5.7m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
11:00	972hPa	10J/kg	0.14fraction	4.1°C	84%	0.03mm	0.02mm	0dBZ	0.73mm	3675m	5.9m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
12:00	972hPa	5J/kg	0.12fraction	4.2°C	85%	0mm	0mm	2.4dBZ	0.88mm	5324m	6m/s	10m/s	17m/s	3.3m/s
13:00	972hPa	4.3J/kg	0.23fraction	4.5°C	73%	0mm	0mm	3.3dBZ	0.58mm	7235m	6m/s	-	-	3.4m/s
14:00	972hPa	3.7J/kg	0.34fraction	4.8°C	61%	0mm	0mm	4.1dBZ	0.29mm	9146m	6m/s	-	-	3.4m/s
15:00	972hPa	3J/kg	0.45fraction	5°C	49%	0mm	0mm	5dBZ	0mm	11056m	5.9m/s	8.1m/s	13m/s	3.5m/s
16:00	972hPa	6.7J/kg	0.3fraction	5.5°C	55%	0mm	0.007mm	-3.4dBZ	0.02mm	11059m	5.7m/s	-	-	3.4m/s
17:00	972hPa	10J/kg	0.15fraction	6.1°C	60%	0mm	0.01mm	-12dBZ	0.04mm	11063m	5.5m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
18:00	972hPa	14J/kg	0.002fraction	6.6°C	65%	0mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	11066m	5.3m/s	6.5m/s	13m/s	3.2m/s
19:00	971hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	6.4°C	59%	0.13mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.23mm	11074m	5.1m/s	-	-	3.1m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

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