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Rule Storm Chaser

Waimea Canyon - Storm Chaser - Hawaii

Lihue, Hawaii, United States

Dramatic storm conditions — from atmospheric builds to active thunderstorms

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Storm Chaser opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Storm Intensity · ≥ 55.0% Cloud Drama Score · ≥ 55.0% CAPE · ≥ 1200.0J/kg Lifted Index · ≤ -2.0°C

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Storm Intensity 100% failing
CAPE 100% failing
Cloud Drama Score 82% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Cloud Cover22%
Wind Gusts8.8m/s
Precipitation Chance98%
Air Pressure1014.9hPa
CAPE74
Lifted Index3.4°C
Wind Gusts8.8m/s
Precipitation0.6mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks Hawaii's tropical storm conditions, focusing on the dramatic convective storms and rain squalls that create spectacular photography opportunities. We monitor atmospheric instability, trade wind patterns, and convective development to predict when tropical storms will produce dramatic skies and lighting conditions.

Hawaii's tropical location means storm systems behave differently than mainland storms. Trade wind showers create brief, intense rain squalls that pass quickly, often producing rainbows. Kona storms—winter low-pressure systems from the southwest—bring more widespread drama. Summer afternoon convection builds towering clouds over island mountains.

What makes Hawaii special for storm photography:

  • Tropical convection - Towering cumulus clouds develop over volcanic peaks in afternoon heat
  • Dramatic cloud formations - Trade winds create lenticular clouds and wave patterns
  • Kona storm drama - Winter southwest storms bring unusual widespread rain and dramatic conditions
  • Rain squalls with rainbows - Brief intense showers followed immediately by sunshine and rainbows

Hawaiian storm photography is unique because storms are rarely dangerous to photographers—most are brief convective cells or passing squalls rather than severe weather. The dramatic part is the towering cloud formations, not dangerous conditions. Afternoon convection over Mauna Kea and Haleakala creates spectacular anvil clouds and light shows. Kona storms, occurring October through April, bring the most widespread dramatic conditions with dark clouds, wind-driven rain, and spectacular clearing. The windward coasts see more frequent trade wind squalls—brief heavy showers that create dramatic light when sun breaks through. The combination of tropical moisture, volcanic terrain, and reliable sunshine means storm photography often includes rainbows as a bonus. Watch for conditions where dark storm clouds contrast with bright sunlit areas.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 80 hours
OR logic: one branch per group is enough
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Storm Intensity
≥ 55.0%
Cloud Drama Score
≥ 55.0%
CAPE
OR1·B1
≥ 1200.0J/kg
Lifted Index
OR1·B2
≤ -2.0°C
Visibility
≥ 2500.0m
Wind Gusts
≤ 22.0m/s
Tue, Jul 7
18:0022%38%21J/kg5.3°C24135m8.4m/s
19:0024%37%23J/kg5.1°C24134m8.7m/s
20:0025%39%22J/kg5°C24135m8.5m/s
21:0022%1%42J/kg4°C23871m8.7m/s
22:0024%8.5%56J/kg4°C19712m9.1m/s
23:0024%11%59J/kg3.9°C20172m9.4m/s
Wed, Jul 8
24:0024%15%57J/kg4°C24090m9.3m/s
01:0020%15%61J/kg3.7°C11002m9.2m/s
02:0026%15%60J/kg4.1°C9591m9m/s
03:0024%12%62J/kg3.7°C20017m8.7m/s
04:0028%13%74J/kg3.4°C24135m8.8m/s
05:0026%8.1%68J/kg3.3°C24135m8.9m/s
06:0026%22%58J/kg3.3°C23813m9.2m/s
07:0029%51%67J/kg2.8°C22682m9.2m/s
08:0021%21%67J/kg2.8°C23031m9.1m/s
09:0026%24%69J/kg2.6°C19915m9.3m/s
10:0026%21%72J/kg2.5°C20172m8.9m/s
11:0030%40%75J/kg2.5°C18971m9.1m/s
12:0020%34%82J/kg2.5°C24134m9.3m/s
13:0026%34%81J/kg2.6°C9315m8.7m/s
14:0023%30%87J/kg2.8°C19705m8.7m/s
15:0025%36%89J/kg3°C19768m8.9m/s
16:0029%51%91J/kg3°C19186m8.8m/s
17:0035%52%77J/kg3.1°C9957m9m/s
18:0020%43%64J/kg3.1°C24134m9.5m/s
19:0019%48%61J/kg3.5°C24134m8.9m/s
20:0029%52%89J/kg3.7°C23252m9.1m/s
21:0023%4%100J/kg3.3°C20612m9.4m/s
22:0024%7.6%84J/kg3.6°C24134m9.7m/s
23:0027%8.1%85J/kg3.4°C10265m9.5m/s
Thu, Jul 9
24:0020%8.5%89J/kg2.8°C19874m9.5m/s
01:0023%11%93J/kg2.8°C19153m9.3m/s
02:0038%12%91J/kg2.8°C10753m9.6m/s
03:0026%14%96J/kg2.8°C19348m9.5m/s
04:0020%15%93J/kg2.8°C19642m9.8m/s
05:0032%15%93J/kg2.9°C19710m9.8m/s
06:0020%75%95J/kg2.7°C19767m9.7m/s
07:0022%96%99J/kg2.4°C19700m9.7m/s
08:0043%57%88J/kg2.4°C9962m9.5m/s
09:0025%84%84J/kg2.5°C10805m9.8m/s
10:0024%85%78J/kg2.3°C10021m9.9m/s
11:0037%39%96J/kg2.5°C10768m9.8m/s
12:0028%38%96J/kg2.2°C10115m9.7m/s
13:0022%31%94J/kg1.8°C19715m9.4m/s
14:0035%28%85J/kg1.5°C19876m9.3m/s
15:0024%36%95J/kg1.6°C19872m9.9m/s
16:0024%38%95J/kg1.6°C10573m9.8m/s
17:0043%38%94J/kg1.6°C10316m10m/s
18:0026%45%98J/kg1.8°C19776m10m/s
19:0025%36%100J/kg1.9°C19679m10m/s
20:0032%36%97J/kg2.2°C23322m10m/s
21:0023%0.4%89J/kg2.1°C23624m10m/s
22:0024%2.7%84J/kg1.8°C23852m9.8m/s
23:0020%14%93J/kg1.9°C22674m9.4m/s
Fri, Jul 10
24:0022%9.7%94J/kg2.2°C22985m8.9m/s
01:0025%15%77J/kg2.1°C23548m8.6m/s
02:0020%15%81J/kg1.9°C23130m8.9m/s
03:0022%15%77J/kg1.9°C24135m8.9m/s
04:0029%15%81J/kg2.1°C18781m8.8m/s
05:0024%14%85J/kg2.3°C10515m8.7m/s
06:0025%56%82J/kg2.1°C18977m8.6m/s
07:0036%80%88J/kg1.8°C13993m8.1m/s
08:0024%76%82J/kg1.8°C15411m8.4m/s
09:0024%64%61J/kg1.7°C17301m7.6m/s
10:0021%61%40J/kg1.6°C19191m6.9m/s
11:0022%45%19J/kg1.6°C21081m6.1m/s
12:0021%37%20J/kg1.6°C19809m6.4m/s
13:0021%30%21J/kg1.6°C18536m6.7m/s
14:0036%28%22J/kg1.6°C17263m6.9m/s
15:0023%38%22J/kg1.5°C17223m7.2m/s
16:0023%38%22J/kg1.5°C17182m7.5m/s
17:0026%38%22J/kg1.4°C17141m7.7m/s
18:0023%62%22J/kg1.4°C17124m7.4m/s
19:0022%62%23J/kg1.3°C17107m7.1m/s
20:0035%62%23J/kg1.3°C17089m6.8m/s
21:0021%0%22J/kg1.4°C17266m7m/s
22:0020%0%21J/kg1.5°C17443m7.1m/s
23:0022%0%20J/kg1.5°C17619m7.2m/s
Sat, Jul 11
24:0020%0%17J/kg1.8°C19791m7.2m/s
01:0020%0%13J/kg2°C21963m7.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity). For OR groups, only one branch is required, so some OR-branch predicates can be ✕ even in a matching hour.

What does Cloud Drama Score mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
High Clouds
%
Lifted Index
°C
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Solar Elevation
°
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Total Precipitation
mm
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 19:24
04:00
1015hPa 74J/kg 0.81fraction 0% 3.4°C 22% 0% 98% 0mm 75% 0.07mm 12dBZ -25° 22% 0.56mm - - 8m/s
05:00
1015hPa 68J/kg 1fraction 0% 3.3°C 9% 0% 98% 0mm 75% 0.08mm 12dBZ -13° 9% 0.69mm 4.1m/s 8.8m/s 7.9m/s
06:00
1015hPa 58J/kg 1fraction 0% 3.3°C 6% 0% 98% 0.01mm 74% 0.09mm 13dBZ -0.54° 6% 0.88mm - - 8.4m/s
07:00
1016hPa 67J/kg 1fraction 2% 2.8°C 21% 0% 99% 0mm 76% 0.16mm 15dBZ 12° 21% 1mm - - 8.3m/s
08:00
1016hPa 67J/kg 1fraction 0% 2.8°C 8% 0% 100% 0mm 75% 0.17mm 16dBZ 25° 8% 1.3mm 3.5m/s 8m/s 8.2m/s
09:00
1016hPa 69J/kg 1fraction 0% 2.6°C 7% 0% 99% 0mm 75% 0.33mm 15dBZ 39° 7% 0.25mm - - 8.4m/s
10:00
1017hPa 72J/kg 1fraction 0% 2.5°C 8% 0% 98% 0mm 75% 0.26mm 13dBZ 52° 8% 0.56mm - - 8m/s
11:00
1017hPa 75J/kg 1fraction 0% 2.5°C 33% 0% 98% 0mm 76% 0.49mm 12dBZ 66° 33% 1mm 3.1m/s 7.9m/s 8.2m/s
12:00
1016hPa 82J/kg 0.87fraction 0% 2.5°C 18% 0% 98% 0mm 75% 0.17mm 12dBZ 80° 18% 1.5mm - - 8.8m/s
13:00
1016hPa 81J/kg 0.74fraction 0% 2.6°C 23% 0% 99% 0mm 76% 0.79mm 12dBZ 86° 23% 1.9mm - - 8.3m/s
14:00
1016hPa 87J/kg 0.6fraction 0% 2.8°C 12% 0% 100% 0.01mm 75% 0.45mm 13dBZ 72° 12% 2.5mm 3.9m/s 8m/s 8m/s
15:00
1016hPa 89J/kg 0.69fraction 0% 3°C 11% 0% 100% 0mm 75% 0.39mm 13dBZ 58° 11% 0.44mm - - 8.3m/s
16:00
1016hPa 91J/kg 0.78fraction 0% 3°C 21% 0% 100% 0mm 76% 0.54mm 13dBZ 45° 21% 0.88mm - - 7.7m/s
17:00
1015hPa 77J/kg 0.86fraction 0% 3.1°C 48% 0% 100% 0mm 76% 0.7mm 14dBZ 31° 48% 1.5mm 4m/s 7.3m/s 7.9m/s
18:00
1016hPa 64J/kg 0.68fraction 5% 3.1°C 14% 0% 100% 0mm 74% 0.09mm 13dBZ 18° 14% 2.1mm - - 8.5m/s
19:00
1016hPa 61J/kg 0.49fraction 0% 3.5°C 17% 0% 100% 0mm 72% 0.05mm 12dBZ 4.6° 17% 2.2mm - - 8.2m/s
20:00
1016hPa 89J/kg 0.3fraction 0% 3.7°C 30% 0% 100% 0mm 74% 0.16mm 11dBZ -8.1° 30% 2.3mm 5.7m/s 10m/s 8.3m/s
21:00
1017hPa 100J/kg 0.53fraction 0% 3.3°C 3% 0% 100% 0mm 76% 0.2mm 6.7dBZ -20° 3% 0.25mm - - 8.7m/s
22:00
1017hPa 84J/kg 0.77fraction 0% 3.6°C 14% 0% 100% 0.01mm 76% 0.1mm 2.6dBZ -31° 14% 0.56mm - - 8.6m/s
23:00
1018hPa 85J/kg 1fraction 0% 3.4°C 10% 0% 100% 0mm 77% 0.47mm -1.4dBZ -39° 10% 0.88mm 5.5m/s 9.7m/s 8.3m/s
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 19:24
24:00
1017hPa 89J/kg 0.94fraction 0% 2.8°C 29% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.32mm 4.1dBZ -44° 29% 1.1mm - - 8.3m/s
01:00
1017hPa 93J/kg 0.88fraction 48% 2.8°C 30% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.54mm 9.6dBZ -45° 48% 1.5mm - - 8.2m/s
02:00
1016hPa 91J/kg 0.82fraction 18% 2.8°C 27% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.53mm 15dBZ -42° 30% 2.1mm 5.3m/s 11m/s 8.4m/s
03:00
1016hPa 96J/kg 0.88fraction 5% 2.8°C 18% 0% 99% 0mm 78% 0.39mm 15dBZ -34° 18% 0.63mm - - 8.3m/s
04:00
1016hPa 93J/kg 0.94fraction 5% 2.8°C 18% 0% 99% 0mm 77% 0.41mm 16dBZ -25° 18% 1.2mm - - 8.7m/s
05:00
1016hPa 93J/kg 1fraction 87% 2.9°C 16% 0% 98% 0mm 76% 0.3mm 16dBZ -13° 87% 1.8mm 3.4m/s 11m/s 8.9m/s
06:00
1016hPa 95J/kg 0.81fraction 5% 2.7°C 23% 0% 98% 0mm 76% 0.37mm 5.8dBZ -0.65° 23% 2.3mm - - 8.6m/s
07:00
1017hPa 99J/kg 0.62fraction 41% 2.4°C 19% 0% 99% 0mm 78% 0.45mm -4.4dBZ 12° 41% 2.8mm - - 8.6m/s
08:00
1017hPa 88J/kg 0.44fraction 5% 2.4°C 26% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.6mm -15dBZ 25° 26% 3.4mm 3.6m/s 11m/s 8.4m/s
09:00
1017hPa 84J/kg 0.62fraction 14% 2.5°C 23% 0% 98% 0mm 78% 0.44mm -7.5dBZ 39° 24% 0.63mm - - 8.8m/s
10:00
1017hPa 78J/kg 0.81fraction 51% 2.3°C 19% 0% 96% 0mm 78% 0.69mm -0.41dBZ 52° 51% 1.4mm - - 9.1m/s
11:00
1018hPa 96J/kg 1fraction 99% 2.5°C 27% 0% 95% 0mm 78% 0.63mm 6.7dBZ 66° 99% 2.2mm 3.4m/s 11m/s 8.8m/s
12:00
1018hPa 96J/kg 0.87fraction 100% 2.2°C 21% 0% 96% 0mm 79% 0.77mm 8.6dBZ 80° 100% 3mm - - 8.6m/s
13:00
1017hPa 94J/kg 0.73fraction 100% 1.8°C 16% 0% 98% 0mm 79% 0.5mm 10dBZ 86° 100% 3.8mm - - 8.3m/s
14:00
1017hPa 85J/kg 0.6fraction 98% 1.5°C 15% 0% 100% 0mm 80% 0.47mm 12dBZ 72° 98% 4.3mm 3.9m/s 11m/s 8.2m/s
15:00
1016hPa 95J/kg 0.73fraction 100% 1.6°C 24% 0% 99% 0mm 79% 0.41mm 9.9dBZ 58° 100% 0.69mm - - 8.9m/s
16:00
1016hPa 95J/kg 0.87fraction 100% 1.6°C 28% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.73mm 7.5dBZ 45° 100% 1.4mm - - 8.7m/s
17:00
1016hPa 94J/kg 1fraction 100% 1.6°C 29% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.89mm 5.1dBZ 31° 100% 2.3mm 4m/s 12m/s 8.9m/s
18:00
1016hPa 98J/kg 0.73fraction 100% 1.8°C 20% 0% 99% 0mm 79% 0.53mm 7.2dBZ 18° 100% 3.1mm - - 9.2m/s
19:00
1016hPa 100J/kg 0.45fraction 100% 1.9°C 22% 0% 100% 0mm 79% 0.51mm 9.2dBZ 4.6° 100% 3.7mm - - 9.2m/s
20:00
1017hPa 97J/kg 0.18fraction 100% 2.2°C 26% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.28mm 11dBZ -8.1° 100% 4.2mm 5.3m/s 12m/s 9.1m/s
21:00
1017hPa 89J/kg 0.42fraction 100% 2.1°C 21% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.17mm 7.8dBZ -20° 100% 0.25mm - - 9m/s
22:00
1018hPa 84J/kg 0.65fraction 98% 1.8°C 12% 0% 99% 0mm 78% 0.15mm 4.4dBZ -31° 98% 0.44mm - - 8.8m/s
23:00
1018hPa 93J/kg 0.89fraction 61% 1.9°C 16% 0% 99% 0mm 79% 0.18mm 0.99dBZ -39° 61% 0.63mm 6.1m/s 13m/s 8.3m/s
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 19:24
24:00
1017hPa 94J/kg 0.93fraction 100% 2.2°C 18% 0% 99% 0mm 78% 0.19mm 3.3dBZ -45° 100% 0.81mm - - 7.9m/s
01:00
1017hPa 77J/kg 0.96fraction 100% 2.1°C 6% 0% 100% 0mm 78% 0.15mm 5.7dBZ -46° 100% 1mm - - 7.5m/s
02:00
1016hPa 81J/kg 1fraction 7% 1.9°C 6% 0% 100% 0mm 80% 0.24mm 8dBZ -42° 8% 1.3mm 6.5m/s 14m/s 8m/s
03:00
1016hPa 77J/kg 1fraction 5% 1.9°C 5% 0% 100% 0.01mm 80% 0.19mm 8.1dBZ -35° 6% 0.38mm - - 7.8m/s
04:00
1016hPa 81J/kg 1fraction 78% 2.1°C 12% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.59mm 8.3dBZ -25° 78% 0.94mm - - 7.7m/s
05:00
1016hPa 85J/kg 1fraction 91% 2.3°C 28% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.64mm 8.4dBZ -13° 91% 1.6mm 6.3m/s 14m/s 7.6m/s
06:00
1016hPa 82J/kg 0.96fraction 9% 2.1°C 16% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.44mm 5.4dBZ -0.76° 16% 2.3mm - - 7.5m/s
07:00
1017hPa 88J/kg 0.91fraction 72% 1.8°C 28% 0% 99% 0mm 80% 0.63mm 2.4dBZ 12° 74% 2.9mm - - 7.2m/s
08:00
1017hPa 82J/kg 0.87fraction 65% 1.8°C 16% 0% 99% 0mm 79% 0.48mm -0.57dBZ 25° 65% 3.7mm 5.6m/s 15m/s 7.4m/s
09:00
1002hPa 61J/kg 0.87fraction 67% 1.7°C 24% 0% 99% 0mm 78% 0.45mm 2.2dBZ 39° 68% 2.8mm - - 6.4m/s
10:00
986hPa 40J/kg 0.88fraction 69% 1.6°C 32% 0% 99% 0mm 77% 0.43mm 5dBZ 52° 70% 1.9mm - - 5.4m/s
11:00
971hPa 19J/kg 0.88fraction 71% 1.6°C 41% 0% 99% 0mm 75% 0.4mm 7.7dBZ 66° 73% 0.94mm 4.4m/s 15m/s 4.3m/s
12:00
971hPa 20J/kg 0.83fraction 74% 1.6°C 45% 0% 99% 0.05mm 80% 0.3mm 9.5dBZ 80° 81% 1.3mm - - 4.2m/s
13:00
972hPa 21J/kg 0.78fraction 78% 1.6°C 50% 0% 99% 0.1mm 85% 0.2mm 11dBZ 86° 90% 1.6mm - - 4m/s
14:00
972hPa 22J/kg 0.73fraction 81% 1.6°C 54% 0% 100% 0.15mm 90% 0.1mm 13dBZ 72° 98% 1.9mm 6.2m/s 15m/s 3.9m/s
15:00
972hPa 22J/kg 0.82fraction 87% 1.5°C 56% 0% 97% 0.13mm 91% 0.1mm 12dBZ 58° 99% 1.6mm - - 3.9m/s
16:00
973hPa 22J/kg 0.91fraction 94% 1.5°C 58% 1% 95% 0.1mm 91% 0.11mm 11dBZ 45° 99% 1.3mm - - 4m/s
17:00
973hPa 22J/kg 1fraction 100% 1.4°C 59% 1% 93% 0.08mm 91% 0.11mm 10dBZ 31° 100% 1mm 8.1m/s 13m/s 4.1m/s
18:00
972hPa 22J/kg 0.8fraction 100% 1.4°C 65% 18% 94% 0.11mm 92% 0.12mm 11dBZ 18° 100% 1.3mm - - 3.9m/s
19:00
972hPa 23J/kg 0.6fraction 100% 1.3°C 71% 34% 95% 0.13mm 92% 0.13mm 11dBZ 4.6° 100% 1.6mm - - 3.8m/s
20:00
971hPa 23J/kg 0.41fraction 100% 1.3°C 76% 50% 97% 0.16mm 93% 0.14mm 11dBZ -8.2° 100% 1.9mm 7.8m/s 14m/s 3.7m/s
21:00
971hPa 22J/kg 0.46fraction 100% 1.4°C 80% 65% 92% 0.13mm 93% 0.12mm 9dBZ -20° 100% 1.6mm - - 3.7m/s
22:00
971hPa 21J/kg 0.51fraction 100% 1.5°C 84% 80% 87% 0.11mm 92% 0.09mm 7dBZ -31° 100% 1.3mm - - 3.7m/s
23:00
971hPa 20J/kg 0.57fraction 100% 1.5°C 87% 95% 83% 0.08mm 92% 0.07mm 5dBZ -39° 100% 1mm 8.2m/s 15m/s 3.7m/s
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 19:24
24:00
971hPa 17J/kg 0.53fraction 100% 1.8°C 83% 64% 83% 0.08mm 91% 0.05mm -2.4dBZ -45° 100% 1.1mm - - 3.9m/s
01:00
971hPa 13J/kg 0.5fraction 100% 2°C 78% 32% 84% 0.07mm 90% 0.03mm -9.8dBZ -46° 100% 1.3mm - - 4.2m/s
02:00
972hPa 10J/kg 0.47fraction 100% 2.2°C 74% 0% 85% 0.07mm 89% 0.01mm -17dBZ -42° 100% 1.4mm 8.3m/s 12m/s 4.4m/s
03:00
972hPa 8.7J/kg 0.46fraction 100% 2.5°C 62% 19% 84% 0.05mm 84% 0.02mm -7dBZ -35° 100% 0.96mm - - 4.5m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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