Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Na Pali Coast, Hawaii

Hanalei, Hawaii, United States

The Nā Pali Coast combines fluted emerald ridges, narrow valleys, sea caves, and beaches, offering dramatic scale from boats, trails, or overlooks.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

28%

CAPE109

Lifted Index-0.6°C

Wind Gusts7.0m/s

Precipitation0.3mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Na Pali Coast.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Na Pali Coast during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 57% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 57% average confidence

Most represented month

August, with 9 of 16 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 95 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Pacific/Honolulu	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
22:00	25%
23:00	24%
Sun, Aug 23
24:00	24%
01:00	25%
02:00	26%
03:00	22%
04:00	17%
05:00	16%
06:00	16%
07:00	19%
08:00	18%
09:00	18%
10:00	20%
11:00	19%
12:00	18%
13:00	22%
14:00	24%
15:00	22%
16:00	23%
17:00	24%
18:00	23%
19:00	26%
20:00	27%
21:00	27%
22:00	28%
23:00	24%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	23%
01:00	22%
02:00	24%
03:00	23%
04:00	27%
05:00	26%
06:00	26%
07:00	29%
08:00	29%
09:00	26%
10:00	24%
11:00	22%
12:00	24%
13:00	24%
14:00	27%
15:00	24%
16:00	25%
17:00	24%
18:00	24%
19:00	24%
20:00	24%
21:00	22%
22:00	22%
23:00	23%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	24%
01:00	27%
02:00	27%
03:00	27%
04:00	23%
05:00	23%
06:00	29%
07:00	28%
08:00	27%
09:00	0%
10:00	20%
11:00	21%
12:00	18%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	20%
17:00	18%
18:00	15%
19:00	0%
20:00	20%
21:00	18%
22:00	19%
23:00	23%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	22%
01:00	21%
02:00	21%
03:00	17%
04:00	16%
05:00	18%
06:00	17%
07:00	19%
08:00	19%
09:00	21%
10:00	19%
11:00	20%
12:00	18%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	22%
20:00	26%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Pacific/Honolulu	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:18 Sunset 19:01
22:00 ☾	996hPa	109J/kg	0.63fraction	-0.6°C	95%	0mm	0.17mm	-0.58dBZ	0.31mm	21283m	7m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
23:00 ☾	995hPa	87J/kg	0.67fraction	0°C	93%	0mm	0.14mm	4dBZ	0.44mm	22562m	6.8m/s	4.9m/s	6m/s	5.4m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:18 Sunset 19:01
24:00 ☾	995hPa	66J/kg	0.62fraction	0.3°C	95%	0mm	0.14mm	1.1dBZ	0.56mm	22345m	6.5m/s	-	-	5.4m/s
01:00 ☾	994hPa	62J/kg	0.57fraction	0.5°C	96%	0mm	0.11mm	-1.7dBZ	0.63mm	23190m	6.3m/s	-	-	5.4m/s
02:00 ☾	994hPa	65J/kg	0.53fraction	0.6°C	98%	0mm	0.09mm	-4.6dBZ	0.75mm	24135m	6.3m/s	6.3m/s	7.5m/s	5.2m/s
03:00 ☾	993hPa	73J/kg	0.68fraction	0.3°C	94%	0.01mm	0.14mm	-0.14dBZ	0.13mm	23513m	6.2m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
04:00 ☾	993hPa	77J/kg	0.84fraction	-0.1°C	91%	0mm	0.41mm	4.3dBZ	0.31mm	13557m	6.1m/s	-	-	5.1m/s
05:00 ☾	993hPa	81J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	87%	0mm	0.23mm	8.7dBZ	0.56mm	23431m	6.2m/s	6.3m/s	8.1m/s	5.1m/s
06:00 ☾	994hPa	87J/kg	0.92fraction	-0.5°C	90%	0mm	0.34mm	8.5dBZ	0.81mm	18694m	6.1m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
07:00	995hPa	102J/kg	0.85fraction	-0.7°C	93%	0mm	0.4mm	8.2dBZ	1.1mm	17697m	6.2m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
08:00	995hPa	92J/kg	0.77fraction	-0.7°C	96%	0mm	0.46mm	7.9dBZ	1.6mm	19756m	6.6m/s	5.9m/s	8.1m/s	5.4m/s
09:00	995hPa	76J/kg	0.69fraction	-0.8°C	83%	0mm	0.39mm	1.7dBZ	0.31mm	18978m	6.9m/s	-	-	5.8m/s
10:00	995hPa	82J/kg	0.61fraction	-0.9°C	69%	0mm	0.16mm	-4.5dBZ	0.5mm	24134m	7.1m/s	-	-	5.9m/s
11:00	995hPa	105J/kg	0.53fraction	-1.1°C	56%	0mm	0.05mm	-11dBZ	0.63mm	24134m	7.2m/s	5.7m/s	6.8m/s	6m/s
12:00	994hPa	133J/kg	0.64fraction	-1.4°C	65%	0mm	0.1mm	-4.9dBZ	0.69mm	24135m	7.2m/s	-	-	6m/s
13:00	994hPa	164J/kg	0.74fraction	-1.4°C	73%	0mm	0.1mm	0.85dBZ	0.75mm	24135m	7m/s	-	-	5.9m/s
14:00 ☾	994hPa	184J/kg	0.85fraction	-1.4°C	82%	0mm	0.14mm	6.6dBZ	0.88mm	24134m	6.8m/s	3.5m/s	5.3m/s	5.9m/s
15:00 ☾	994hPa	200J/kg	0.68fraction	-1.6°C	82%	0mm	0.08mm	1.8dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.9m/s	-	-	6m/s
16:00 ☾	993hPa	202J/kg	0.52fraction	-1.5°C	82%	0mm	0.07mm	-3dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	6.8m/s	-	-	5.9m/s
17:00 ☾	994hPa	186J/kg	0.36fraction	-1.4°C	82%	0mm	0.03mm	-7.8dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	6.6m/s	4.1m/s	4.1m/s	5.7m/s
18:00 ☾	994hPa	182J/kg	0.39fraction	-1.3°C	88%	0mm	0.04mm	-9.7dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	6.6m/s	-	-	5.6m/s
19:00 ☾	994hPa	183J/kg	0.43fraction	-1.2°C	93%	0mm	0.1mm	-12dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	6.7m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
20:00 ☾	995hPa	144J/kg	0.46fraction	-0.7°C	99%	0mm	0.1mm	-14dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	6.8m/s	4.5m/s	4.2m/s	5.2m/s
21:00 ☾	995hPa	144J/kg	0.5fraction	-0.4°C	93%	0mm	0.06mm	-5.3dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.9m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
22:00 ☾	996hPa	189J/kg	0.54fraction	-0.8°C	88%	0mm	0.04mm	3dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	6.8m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
23:00 ☾	996hPa	210J/kg	0.58fraction	-0.8°C	82%	0mm	0.04mm	11dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.5m/s	4.4m/s	2m/s	5.2m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:19 Sunset 19:00
24:00 ☾	996hPa	196J/kg	0.72fraction	-0.6°C	88%	0mm	0.23mm	12dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	6.4m/s	-	-	5.1m/s
01:00 ☾	995hPa	157J/kg	0.86fraction	-0.6°C	93%	0mm	0.19mm	13dBZ	0.31mm	24134m	6.4m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
02:00 ☾	994hPa	131J/kg	1fraction	-0.4°C	99%	0mm	0.21mm	13dBZ	0.56mm	23150m	6m/s	4.9m/s	3.9m/s	4.9m/s
03:00 ☾	994hPa	116J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	93%	0mm	0.18mm	13dBZ	0.31mm	22303m	6m/s	-	-	4.8m/s
04:00 ☾	994hPa	89J/kg	1fraction	0°C	88%	0mm	0.18mm	13dBZ	0.56mm	21245m	6.1m/s	-	-	5m/s
05:00 ☾	994hPa	70J/kg	1fraction	0°C	82%	0mm	0.39mm	13dBZ	0.94mm	20920m	6.5m/s	5m/s	4.8m/s	5.4m/s
06:00 ☾	994hPa	54J/kg	0.74fraction	-0.1°C	82%	0.01mm	0.27mm	9.4dBZ	1.1mm	21752m	6.9m/s	-	-	5.6m/s
07:00	995hPa	41J/kg	0.49fraction	-0.2°C	82%	0mm	0.28mm	6.2dBZ	1.3mm	17822m	7m/s	-	-	5.8m/s
08:00	995hPa	28J/kg	0.23fraction	-0.1°C	82%	0mm	0.16mm	3dBZ	1.5mm	24135m	7.2m/s	5m/s	4.9m/s	5.8m/s
09:00	995hPa	24J/kg	0.37fraction	0°C	55%	0mm	0.18mm	4.9dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	7.2m/s	-	-	6m/s
10:00	996hPa	23J/kg	0.52fraction	-0.2°C	27%	0mm	0.14mm	6.8dBZ	0.31mm	24134m	7.5m/s	-	-	6.4m/s
11:00	996hPa	15J/kg	0.66fraction	-0.1°C	0%	0mm	0.06mm	8.7dBZ	0.38mm	24135m	7.3m/s	4m/s	4.9m/s	6.2m/s
12:00	995hPa	10J/kg	0.5fraction	0.2°C	13%	0mm	0.05mm	0.5dBZ	0.44mm	24135m	7m/s	-	-	6.3m/s
13:00	995hPa	3J/kg	0.34fraction	0.6°C	26%	0mm	0.02mm	-7.7dBZ	0.44mm	24135m	7.1m/s	-	-	6.4m/s
14:00 ☾	994hPa	1J/kg	0.19fraction	1.1°C	39%	0mm	0.02mm	-16dBZ	0.44mm	24134m	7.2m/s	2.8m/s	5m/s	6.1m/s
15:00 ☾	994hPa	11J/kg	0.3fraction	0.4°C	26%	0mm	0.07mm	-9.6dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	6.9m/s	-	-	5.9m/s
16:00 ☾	994hPa	21J/kg	0.41fraction	-0.1°C	13%	0mm	0.07mm	-3.4dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.8m/s	-	-	6.1m/s
17:00 ☾	994hPa	10J/kg	0.52fraction	0.7°C	0%	0mm	0.04mm	2.9dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	6.8m/s	1.3m/s	5.1m/s	5.9m/s
18:00 ☾	994hPa	10J/kg	0.45fraction	1°C	27%	0mm	0.03mm	-2.8dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	6.5m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
19:00 ☾	995hPa	9J/kg	0.37fraction	1.2°C	55%	0mm	0.04mm	-8.6dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	6.4m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
20:00 ☾	995hPa	7J/kg	0.3fraction	1.1°C	82%	0mm	0.04mm	-14dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	6.2m/s	2.4m/s	6.4m/s	5.1m/s
21:00 ☾	996hPa	14J/kg	0.54fraction	1°C	82%	0mm	0.06mm	-8.6dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.4m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
22:00 ☾	996hPa	21J/kg	0.77fraction	1.5°C	82%	0mm	0.07mm	-2.9dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.6m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
23:00 ☾	997hPa	19J/kg	1fraction	1.9°C	82%	0mm	0.07mm	2.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.5m/s	2.9m/s	6.9m/s	5.3m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:19 Sunset 18:59
24:00 ☾	996hPa	22J/kg	0.83fraction	1.9°C	82%	0mm	0.08mm	4.4dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	6.3m/s	-	-	5m/s
01:00 ☾	996hPa	30J/kg	0.65fraction	1.7°C	82%	0mm	0.15mm	6.1dBZ	0.31mm	22959m	6.3m/s	-	-	5m/s
02:00 ☾	995hPa	23J/kg	0.48fraction	1.9°C	82%	0mm	0.07mm	7.7dBZ	0.38mm	23424m	6.2m/s	2.7m/s	6.4m/s	5.1m/s
03:00 ☾	995hPa	16J/kg	0.65fraction	2.3°C	67%	0mm	0.06mm	5.1dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.9m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
04:00 ☾	995hPa	14J/kg	0.83fraction	2°C	53%	0mm	0.03mm	2.6dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	6m/s	-	-	4.8m/s
05:00 ☾	995hPa	21J/kg	1fraction	1.6°C	39%	0mm	0.14mm	-0dBZ	0.13mm	23560m	5.5m/s	2.6m/s	6.3m/s	4.5m/s
06:00 ☾	995hPa	35J/kg	0.81fraction	0.8°C	39%	0.01mm	0.31mm	3.1dBZ	0.31mm	15596m	5.5m/s	-	-	4.5m/s
07:00	995hPa	30J/kg	0.61fraction	0.7°C	39%	0mm	0.21mm	6.3dBZ	0.63mm	19910m	6.8m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
08:00	996hPa	21J/kg	0.42fraction	1.7°C	39%	0mm	0.08mm	9.4dBZ	0.69mm	24049m	7m/s	1.3m/s	6.8m/s	6.1m/s
09:00	987hPa	14J/kg	0.53fraction	1.9°C	26%	0mm	0.05mm	6.3dBZ	0.46mm	24078m	6.5m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
10:00	978hPa	7J/kg	0.64fraction	2°C	13%	0mm	0.03mm	3.2dBZ	0.23mm	24106m	5.9m/s	-	-	5m/s
11:00	969hPa	0J/kg	0.75fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	0.13dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.4m/s	0.88m/s	7.5m/s	4.4m/s
12:00	969hPa	0.33J/kg	0.52fraction	2.3°C	13%	0.003mm	0mm	-6.6dBZ	0.02mm	24135m	5.7m/s	-	-	4.3m/s
13:00	969hPa	0.67J/kg	0.29fraction	2.4°C	26%	0.007mm	0mm	-13dBZ	0.04mm	24135m	6m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
14:00 ☾	970hPa	1J/kg	0.07fraction	2.5°C	39%	0.01mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.3m/s	1.5m/s	6.5m/s	4m/s
15:00 ☾	970hPa	1.3J/kg	0.05fraction	2.6°C	39%	0.007mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.4m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
16:00 ☾	970hPa	1.7J/kg	0.02fraction	2.7°C	39%	0.003mm	0.02mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.4m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
17:00 ☾	971hPa	2J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.03mm	-20dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.4m/s	2.4m/s	6.2m/s	3.8m/s
18:00 ☾	970hPa	2J/kg	0.33fraction	2.9°C	49%	0.003mm	0.02mm	-17dBZ	0.08mm	24135m	6.3m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
19:00 ☾	969hPa	2J/kg	0.67fraction	3°C	59%	0.007mm	0.01mm	-15dBZ	0.1mm	24135m	6.3m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
20:00 ☾	969hPa	2J/kg	1fraction	3.2°C	69%	0.01mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.2m/s	2.4m/s	7.4m/s	3.7m/s
21:00 ☾	969hPa	1.3J/kg	1fraction	3.6°C	59%	0.01mm	0mm	-8.7dBZ	0.08mm	24135m	6.1m/s	-	-	3.6m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 24, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC

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