Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Manoa Falls, Hawaii

Honolulu, Hawaii, United States

Manoa Falls descends a dark basalt wall within dense rainforest, where bamboo, broad leaves, and the narrow trail create intimate vertical frames.

13 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 22, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Storm Intensity

20%

CAPE50

Lifted Index-3.4°C

Wind Gusts9.6m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu

First upcoming window

Weak Storm

Manoa Falls

Wed, Oct 28 · 11:00–12:00 · 1h window

Low confidence

29%

⛈️Storm Intensity42.6%

CAPE: 230

Lifted Index: -2.0°C

Wind Gusts: 6.3m/s

Precipitation: 2.9mm

Weak Storm

Manoa Falls

Wed, Oct 28 · 14:00–15:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:45.8%

Low

Weak Storm at Sunset

Manoa Falls

Wed, Oct 28 · 17:00–18:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:42.2%

Low

Weak Storm

Manoa Falls

Thu, Oct 29 · 02:00–03:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40.4%

Low

Weak Storm

Manoa Falls

Thu, Oct 29 · 05:00–06:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40.1%

Low

Weak Storm

Manoa Falls

Thu, Oct 29 · 08:00–09:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:41.8%

Low

Weak Storm at Sunset

Manoa Falls

Thu, Oct 29 · 17:00–18:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:44.1%

Low

+6 more windows in the next 14 days

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Pacific/Honolulu)	Air Pressure	CAPE	Convective Precip Fraction	Lifted Index	Precipitation Chance	Rainfall	Showers	Simulated Reflectivity	Total Precipitation	Visibility	Wind Gusts	Wind Shear 0-3 km	Wind Shear 0-6 km	Wind Speed
Thu, Oct 22, 2026Sunrise 06:30 · Sunset 18:01
11:00	1015hPa	50J/kg	0.63fraction	-3.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	15dBZ	0mm	53080m	9.6m/s	1.8m/s	5.2m/s	3.7m/s
12:00	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.64fraction	-3.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	16dBZ	0mm	15600m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4m/s
13:00	1013hPa	40J/kg	0.65fraction	-3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	16dBZ	0mm	15740m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.2m/s
14:00	1012hPa	50J/kg	0.65fraction	-2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	16dBZ	0mm	44560m	11m/s	1.4m/s	5.1m/s	4.2m/s
15:00	1012hPa	70J/kg	0.5fraction	-2.6°C	1%	0mm	0mm	11dBZ	0mm	21860m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.3m/s
16:00	1012hPa	80J/kg	0.36fraction	-2.4°C	1%	0mm	0mm	5.8dBZ	0mm	16380m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.2m/s
17:00	1013hPa	60J/kg	0.21fraction	-2.1°C	2%	0mm	0mm	0.77dBZ	0mm	25720m	10m/s	1.6m/s	7.8m/s	4.2m/s
18:00	1013hPa	30J/kg	0.42fraction	-1.2°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-6dBZ	0mm	27540m	9.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.5m/s
19:00 Night	1014hPa	30J/kg	0.62fraction	-1.2°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-13dBZ	0mm	25760m	7.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.2m/s
20:00 Night	1015hPa	30J/kg	0.82fraction	-0.8°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	23420m	6.8m/s	2.3m/s	9.8m/s	3.3m/s
21:00 Night	1016hPa	40J/kg	0.85fraction	-0.2°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	23840m	6.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.2m/s
22:00 Night	1016hPa	30J/kg	0.88fraction	0.3°C	5%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26480m	6.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3m/s
23:00 Night	1016hPa	30J/kg	0.91fraction	0.8°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26280m	6.1m/s	4.1m/s	12m/s	3m/s
Fri, Oct 23, 2026Sunrise 06:30 · Sunset 18:00
24:00 Night	1016hPa	30J/kg	0.65fraction	0.1°C	5%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	29820m	6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.7m/s
01:00 Night	1015hPa	40J/kg	0.38fraction	0.1°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	23760m	5.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
02:00 Night	1015hPa	60J/kg	0.12fraction	-0.3°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24280m	5m/s	3.2m/s	10m/s	2.3m/s
03:00 Night	1014hPa	60J/kg	0.27fraction	-0.3°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26800m	4.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s
04:00 Night	1014hPa	60J/kg	0.42fraction	0.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	31180m	4.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
05:00 Night	1014hPa	70J/kg	0.57fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	30720m	4.7m/s	1.9m/s	9.5m/s	2.3m/s
06:00 Night	1014hPa	70J/kg	0.46fraction	0.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26840m	4.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
07:00	1015hPa	60J/kg	0.35fraction	0.5°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	25380m	5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
08:00	1015hPa	80J/kg	0.25fraction	0.3°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	21460m	7.4m/s	0.88m/s	9.4m/s	3.3m/s
09:00	1016hPa	100J/kg	0.31fraction	0.3°C	5%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	19480m	9.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.7m/s
10:00	1016hPa	100J/kg	0.38fraction	0.4°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	13940m	9.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.8m/s
11:00	1016hPa	80J/kg	0.44fraction	0.3°C	10%	0.1mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.1mm	11600m	10m/s	0.38m/s	8.6m/s	4m/s
12:00	1015hPa	50J/kg	0.63fraction	0.4°C	10%	0.1mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0.1mm	12000m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.1m/s
13:00	1014hPa	40J/kg	0.81fraction	0.6°C	8%	0.1mm	0mm	-2.1dBZ	0.1mm	21240m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.3m/s
14:00	1014hPa	10J/kg	1fraction	0.8°C	6%	0mm	0mm	6.7dBZ	0mm	49400m	11m/s	1.8m/s	9.1m/s	4.3m/s
15:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.67fraction	1.1°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-2.2dBZ	0mm	49400m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.2m/s
16:00	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.33fraction	1.7°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0mm	45480m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.2m/s
17:00	1014hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	45420m	10m/s	2.7m/s	10m/s	4.4m/s
18:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	41080m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.1m/s
19:00 Night	1015hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	37640m	8.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.9m/s
20:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	34940m	8m/s	3.6m/s	12m/s	3.6m/s
21:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	31740m	8.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.9m/s
22:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	34280m	8.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.7m/s
23:00 Night	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	33400m	7.6m/s	5.4m/s	13m/s	3.6m/s
Sat, Oct 24, 2026Sunrise 06:30 · Sunset 17:59
24:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	36340m	7.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
01:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	39180m	7.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s
02:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	40020m	6.8m/s	4.8m/s	11m/s	3.1m/s
03:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	38400m	6.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.8m/s
04:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.8°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	38300m	5.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
05:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	33300m	4.8m/s	3.8m/s	11m/s	2.1m/s
06:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.17fraction	3.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	30720m	4.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2m/s
07:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.34fraction	3.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	30660m	4.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
08:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.51fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	27440m	7.1m/s	5.1m/s	11m/s	3.1m/s
09:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.5fraction	3.1°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-18dBZ	0mm	29880m	9.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.1m/s
10:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.48fraction	3°C	1%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	38600m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4m/s
11:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.47fraction	3°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	49120m	9.9m/s	3.3m/s	8.7m/s	3.8m/s
12:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.65fraction	2.8°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	49240m	10m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.9m/s
13:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.82fraction	2.1°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-18dBZ	0mm	49360m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.3m/s
14:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	1fraction	1.5°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	49440m	11m/s	3.3m/s	8.2m/s	4.6m/s
15:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.86fraction	1°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	49480m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4.8m/s
16:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.72fraction	0.8°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-8.1dBZ	0mm	49440m	12m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	5m/s
17:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.58fraction	0.9°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-2.4dBZ	0mm	45520m	12m/s	4.2m/s	9.2m/s	4.8m/s
18:00 Night	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.43fraction	1.6°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-8.3dBZ	0mm	20640m	11m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	4m/s
19:00 Night	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.27fraction	1.5°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	16460m	9.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.6m/s
20:00 Night	1015hPa	10J/kg	0.12fraction	1.9°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	13540m	8.1m/s	5.1m/s	9.9m/s	3.1m/s
21:00 Night	1016hPa	0J/kg	0.08fraction	1.8°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	12540m	7.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
22:00 Night	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.04fraction	1.9°C	4%	0.1mm	0mm	-9.4dBZ	0.1mm	13320m	6.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
23:00 Night	1015hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	1.6°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-4.1dBZ	0mm	14460m	5.4m/s	5.9m/s	14m/s	2.3m/s
Sun, Oct 25, 2026Sunrise 06:31 · Sunset 17:59
24:00 Night	1015hPa	10J/kg	0.33fraction	1.5°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-9.2dBZ	0mm	22440m	5.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s
01:00 Night	1015hPa	10J/kg	0.67fraction	1°C	5%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	19760m	4.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.2m/s
02:00 Night	1014hPa	10J/kg	1fraction	1.2°C	6%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	16820m	4.9m/s	5.5m/s	12m/s	2.4m/s
03:00 Night	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.84fraction	1.6°C	9%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	21340m	5.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
04:00 Night	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.68fraction	2°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	20740m	5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s
05:00 Night	1013hPa	20J/kg	0.52fraction	2.1°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-13dBZ	0mm	22740m	5.4m/s	6.6m/s	16m/s	2.6m/s
06:00 Night	1014hPa	10J/kg	0.45fraction	2.5°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-9.9dBZ	0mm	24300m	5.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.6m/s
07:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.39fraction	3.2°C	15%	0mm	0mm	-6.7dBZ	0mm	27200m	5.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.8m/s
08:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.32fraction	3.4°C	14%	0mm	0mm	-3.4dBZ	0mm	31800m	7.5m/s	6.9m/s	12m/s	3.3m/s
09:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.37fraction	3.4°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-8.5dBZ	0mm	45240m	8.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.5m/s
10:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0.42fraction	3.2°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	49140m	8.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.3m/s

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Manoa Falls.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Manoa Falls during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 58% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 55% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 55% average confidence

Most represented month

September, with 31 of 42 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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