Rule
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser Forecast for Kualoa Ranch, Hawaii
Kaaawa, Hawaii, United States
Kualoa's sharp Koʻolau ridges rise behind pasture and tropical vegetation, creating deep layers between the mountain walls and Kāneʻohe Bay.
Currently
Real-time conditionsCAPE319
Lifted Index-1.9°C
Wind Gusts11.1m/s
Precipitation0.2mm
Upcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu
No opportunities in the next 14 days
See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.
Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)
- Storm Intensity100% of hours
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Kualoa Ranch.
Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Hawaii →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kualoa Ranch during the last 365 days.
Last 30 days
7
recorded matching windows · 58% average confidence
Last 90 days
7
recorded matching windows · 58% average confidence
Last 365 days
7
recorded matching windows · 58% average confidence
Only 7 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
Create your own Storm Chaser alerts
Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.
95-hour requirements breakdown
When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time Pacific/Honolulu | Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0% |
|---|---|
| Sat, Aug 22 | |
| 22:00 | 20% |
| 23:00 | 21% |
| Sun, Aug 23 | |
| 24:00 | 21% |
| 01:00 | 21% |
| 02:00 | 0% |
| 03:00 | 17% |
| 04:00 | 13% |
| 05:00 | 15% |
| 06:00 | 17% |
| 07:00 | 21% |
| 08:00 | 24% |
| 09:00 | 22% |
| 10:00 | 22% |
| 11:00 | 22% |
| 12:00 | 19% |
| 13:00 | 20% |
| 14:00 | 23% |
| 15:00 | 20% |
| 16:00 | 23% |
| 17:00 | 24% |
| 18:00 | 23% |
| 19:00 | 25% |
| 20:00 | 29% |
| 21:00 | 24% |
| 22:00 | 22% |
| 23:00 | 23% |
| Mon, Aug 24 | |
| 24:00 | 20% |
| 01:00 | 19% |
| 02:00 | 17% |
| 03:00 | 16% |
| 04:00 | 17% |
| 05:00 | 22% |
| 06:00 | 20% |
| 07:00 | 19% |
| 08:00 | 22% |
| 09:00 | 19% |
| 10:00 | 21% |
| 11:00 | 21% |
| 12:00 | 19% |
| 13:00 | 18% |
| 14:00 | 17% |
| 15:00 | 14% |
| 16:00 | 16% |
| 17:00 | 18% |
| 18:00 | 20% |
| 19:00 | 21% |
| 20:00 | 22% |
| 21:00 | 19% |
| 22:00 | 20% |
| 23:00 | 19% |
| Tue, Aug 25 | |
| 24:00 | 20% |
| 01:00 | 20% |
| 02:00 | 20% |
| 03:00 | 21% |
| 04:00 | 25% |
| 05:00 | 24% |
| 06:00 | 22% |
| 07:00 | 21% |
| 08:00 | 14% |
| 09:00 | 0% |
| 10:00 | 0% |
| 11:00 | 0% |
| 12:00 | 0% |
| 13:00 | 0% |
| 14:00 | 0% |
| 15:00 | 0% |
| 16:00 | 0% |
| 17:00 | 0% |
| 18:00 | 0% |
| 19:00 | 18% |
| 20:00 | 20% |
| 21:00 | 18% |
| 22:00 | 18% |
| 23:00 | 19% |
| Wed, Aug 26 | |
| 24:00 | 18% |
| 01:00 | 21% |
| 02:00 | 23% |
| 03:00 | 20% |
| 04:00 | 17% |
| 05:00 | 20% |
| 06:00 | 19% |
| 07:00 | 0% |
| 08:00 | 0% |
| 09:00 | 0% |
| 10:00 | 0% |
| 11:00 | 0% |
| 12:00 | 0% |
| 13:00 | 0% |
| 14:00 | 13% |
| 15:00 | 0% |
| 16:00 | 0% |
| 17:00 | 0% |
| 18:00 | 0% |
| 19:00 | 19% |
| 20:00 | 22% |
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).
What does Storm Intensity mean?
Inputs that drive the scoreThis derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.
| Time Pacific/Honolulu | Air Pressure hPa | CAPE J/kg | Convective Precip Fraction fraction | Lifted Index °C | Precipitation Chance % | Rainfall mm | Showers mm | Simulated Reflectivity dBZ | Total Precipitation mm | Visibility m | Wind Gusts m/s | Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s | Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s | Wind Speed m/s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Aug 23
Sunrise 06:12
Sunset 18:54 | ||||||||||||||
| 22:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 319J/kg | 0.7fraction | -1.9°C | 40% | 0mm | 0.1mm | -3.6dBZ | 0.19mm | 23407m | 11m/s | - | - | 8.4m/s |
| 23:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 276J/kg | 0.63fraction | -1.9°C | 28% | 0mm | 0.11mm | -5dBZ | 0.31mm | 23304m | 11m/s | 9m/s | 7.5m/s | 8.2m/s |
| Mon, Aug 24
Sunrise 06:12
Sunset 18:54 | ||||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 257J/kg | 0.46fraction | -2.2°C | 40% | 0mm | 0.12mm | -9.8dBZ | 0.44mm | 23475m | 11m/s | - | - | 8.3m/s |
| 01:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 241J/kg | 0.29fraction | -1.9°C | 52% | 0mm | 0.09mm | -15dBZ | 0.5mm | 23512m | 11m/s | - | - | 8.3m/s |
| 02:00
☾
| 1010hPa | 202J/kg | 0.12fraction | -1.6°C | 64% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -19dBZ | 0.56mm | 24135m | 11m/s | 8.9m/s | 8m/s | 7.8m/s |
| 03:00
☾
| 1010hPa | 198J/kg | 0.41fraction | -1.3°C | 52% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -19dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 10m/s | - | - | 7.4m/s |
| 04:00
☾
| 1010hPa | 204J/kg | 0.71fraction | -0.9°C | 40% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -19dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 10m/s | - | - | 7.2m/s |
| 05:00
☾
| 1010hPa | 224J/kg | 1fraction | -1°C | 29% | 0mm | 0.08mm | -19dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 10m/s | 7.5m/s | 6.6m/s | 6.9m/s |
| 06:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 275J/kg | 1fraction | -1.3°C | 32% | 0mm | 0.09mm | -19dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 10m/s | - | - | 6.9m/s |
| 07:00 | 1011hPa | 293J/kg | 1fraction | -1.4°C | 36% | 0mm | 0.09mm | -19dBZ | 0.25mm | 24135m | 10m/s | - | - | 7m/s |
| 08:00 | 1012hPa | 357J/kg | 1fraction | -1.6°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.2mm | -19dBZ | 0.31mm | 23565m | 10m/s | 6.8m/s | 5.8m/s | 6.8m/s |
| 09:00 | 1012hPa | 387J/kg | 0.9fraction | -1.9°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.18mm | -15dBZ | 0.13mm | 23295m | 10m/s | - | - | 7.1m/s |
| 10:00 | 1012hPa | 377J/kg | 0.81fraction | -1.8°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.12mm | -11dBZ | 0.25mm | 23647m | 10m/s | - | - | 6.9m/s |
| 11:00 | 1012hPa | 353J/kg | 0.71fraction | -1.6°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.11mm | -7.5dBZ | 0.38mm | 23410m | 10m/s | 7m/s | 5.8m/s | 7m/s |
| 12:00 | 1012hPa | 325J/kg | 0.49fraction | -1.6°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.06mm | -12dBZ | 0.5mm | 23571m | 10m/s | - | - | 7m/s |
| 13:00 | 1011hPa | 347J/kg | 0.27fraction | -1.8°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -16dBZ | 0.5mm | 23956m | 10m/s | - | - | 6.9m/s |
| 14:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 311J/kg | 0.05fraction | -1.8°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.01mm | -20dBZ | 0.56mm | 24134m | 10m/s | 9.2m/s | 7.3m/s | 6.8m/s |
| 15:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 291J/kg | 0.37fraction | -1.7°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.01mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 10m/s | - | - | 6.8m/s |
| 16:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 271J/kg | 0.68fraction | -1.5°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24134m | 9.4m/s | - | - | 6.5m/s |
| 17:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 305J/kg | 1fraction | -1.3°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.07mm | -19dBZ | 0.06mm | 23685m | 8.9m/s | 6.3m/s | 5.3m/s | 6.2m/s |
| 18:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 428J/kg | 0.86fraction | -1.7°C | 53% | 0mm | 0.12mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 23813m | 8.8m/s | - | - | 6.3m/s |
| 19:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 335J/kg | 0.73fraction | -1.4°C | 68% | 0mm | 0.15mm | -20dBZ | 0.19mm | 23853m | 9.2m/s | - | - | 6.3m/s |
| 20:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 249J/kg | 0.59fraction | -1.1°C | 82% | 0mm | 0.09mm | -20dBZ | 0.31mm | 23428m | 8.7m/s | 4.6m/s | 4.5m/s | 5.8m/s |
| 21:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 317J/kg | 0.73fraction | -1.2°C | 68% | 0mm | 0.06mm | -20dBZ | 0.06mm | 24135m | 8.6m/s | - | - | 6.2m/s |
| 22:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 277J/kg | 0.86fraction | -1.4°C | 53% | 0mm | 0.05mm | -20dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 8.4m/s | - | - | 6.3m/s |
| 23:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 218J/kg | 1fraction | -1.4°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.06mm | -19dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 7.8m/s | 4.4m/s | 1.7m/s | 6m/s |
| Tue, Aug 25
Sunrise 06:13
Sunset 18:53 | ||||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 213J/kg | 1fraction | -1.2°C | 53% | 0mm | 0.08mm | -19dBZ | 0.19mm | 24134m | 8m/s | - | - | 6m/s |
| 01:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 189J/kg | 1fraction | -1°C | 67% | 0.01mm | 0.11mm | -19dBZ | 0.25mm | 24134m | 8m/s | - | - | 6.5m/s |
| 02:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 174J/kg | 1fraction | -0.9°C | 82% | 0mm | 0.2mm | -19dBZ | 0.38mm | 23142m | 8.3m/s | 5.7m/s | 0.97m/s | 7m/s |
| 03:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 99J/kg | 1fraction | -0.4°C | 67% | 0mm | 0.14mm | -19dBZ | 0.13mm | 24133m | 9m/s | - | - | 7.8m/s |
| 04:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 92J/kg | 1fraction | -0.3°C | 53% | 0.01mm | 0.17mm | -19dBZ | 0.31mm | 23681m | 9.5m/s | - | - | 8.2m/s |
| 05:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 80J/kg | 1fraction | -0.2°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.26mm | -19dBZ | 0.44mm | 21319m | 9.6m/s | 7.8m/s | 3.1m/s | 8.5m/s |
| 06:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 37J/kg | 0.77fraction | 0°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.22mm | -13dBZ | 0.63mm | 21502m | 9.6m/s | - | - | 8.7m/s |
| 07:00 | 1012hPa | 25J/kg | 0.54fraction | 0.3°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.08mm | -7.6dBZ | 0.75mm | 24134m | 9.3m/s | - | - | 8.5m/s |
| 08:00 | 1013hPa | 22J/kg | 0.31fraction | 0.4°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.11mm | -1.8dBZ | 0.81mm | 23979m | 9.3m/s | 7.9m/s | 3.7m/s | 8.4m/s |
| 09:00 | 1013hPa | 20J/kg | 0.32fraction | 0.4°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.1mm | -7.8dBZ | 0.06mm | 24130m | 9.2m/s | - | - | 8.3m/s |
| 10:00 | 1013hPa | 8J/kg | 0.33fraction | 0.8°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -14dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 9.2m/s | - | - | 7.9m/s |
| 11:00 | 1013hPa | 7J/kg | 0.33fraction | 0.9°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 9.2m/s | 7.5m/s | 4m/s | 7.9m/s |
| 12:00 | 1013hPa | 4J/kg | 0.25fraction | 1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 9.2m/s | - | - | 7.8m/s |
| 13:00 | 1012hPa | 1J/kg | 0.17fraction | 1.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.01mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 9m/s | - | - | 7.4m/s |
| 14:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 3J/kg | 0.09fraction | 1.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.01mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 8.9m/s | 6.6m/s | 5.2m/s | 7.6m/s |
| 15:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 9J/kg | 0.06fraction | 1.1°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24134m | 8.9m/s | - | - | 7.6m/s |
| 16:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 8J/kg | 0.03fraction | 1.3°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 8.6m/s | - | - | 7.6m/s |
| 17:00
☾
| 1011hPa | 13J/kg | 0fraction | 1.2°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 8.5m/s | 4.4m/s | 3.1m/s | 7.6m/s |
| 18:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 19J/kg | 0.27fraction | 1.3°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -15dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 8.7m/s | - | - | 7.8m/s |
| 19:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 21J/kg | 0.54fraction | 1.3°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -10dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 8.8m/s | - | - | 7.9m/s |
| 20:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 22J/kg | 0.82fraction | 1.5°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -5.4dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 8.9m/s | 3.9m/s | 4.8m/s | 7.9m/s |
| 21:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 20J/kg | 0.88fraction | 1.9°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -3.2dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 9.2m/s | - | - | 8.2m/s |
| 22:00
☾
| 1014hPa | 23J/kg | 0.94fraction | 2.2°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -0.88dBZ | 0.06mm | 24135m | 9.6m/s | - | - | 9m/s |
| 23:00
☾
| 1014hPa | 25J/kg | 1fraction | 2.7°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.07mm | 1.4dBZ | 0.06mm | 24135m | 9.6m/s | 4.7m/s | 7m/s | 8.4m/s |
| Wed, Aug 26
Sunrise 06:13
Sunset 18:52 | ||||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 28J/kg | 0.76fraction | 2.4°C | 53% | 0mm | 0.1mm | -1.5dBZ | 0.19mm | 24134m | 10m/s | - | - | 8.7m/s |
| 01:00
☾
| 1013hPa | 15J/kg | 0.52fraction | 2.8°C | 68% | 0mm | 0.03mm | -4.3dBZ | 0.25mm | 24134m | 9.5m/s | - | - | 8.8m/s |
| 02:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 18J/kg | 0.28fraction | 2.8°C | 82% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -7.2dBZ | 0.25mm | 24134m | 9.7m/s | 4.7m/s | 7.8m/s | 8.3m/s |
| 03:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 20J/kg | 0.36fraction | 2.8°C | 55% | 0mm | 0.07mm | -5.5dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 9.7m/s | - | - | 8.7m/s |
| 04:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 16J/kg | 0.44fraction | 3.4°C | 27% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -3.8dBZ | 0.06mm | 24134m | 9.4m/s | - | - | 8.9m/s |
| 05:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 12J/kg | 0.53fraction | 4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -2.1dBZ | 0.13mm | 24134m | 9.6m/s | 5.3m/s | 9.1m/s | 8.9m/s |
| 06:00
☾
| 1012hPa | 4J/kg | 0.43fraction | 4.2°C | 13% | 0mm | 0mm | -7.9dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 9.7m/s | - | - | 8.5m/s |
| 07:00 | 1013hPa | 12J/kg | 0.34fraction | 3.7°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -14dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 10m/s | - | - | 9.1m/s |
| 08:00 | 1013hPa | 11J/kg | 0.25fraction | 4.1°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.01mm | -20dBZ | 0.19mm | 24135m | 10m/s | 6.1m/s | 9.8m/s | 8.9m/s |
| 09:00 | 1003hPa | 8.7J/kg | 0.17fraction | 3.9°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.007mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24135m | 9.4m/s | - | - | 7.9m/s |
| 10:00 | 993hPa | 6.3J/kg | 0.08fraction | 3.6°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.003mm | -20dBZ | 0.06mm | 24135m | 8.8m/s | - | - | 6.8m/s |
| 11:00 | 983hPa | 4J/kg | 0fraction | 3.4°C | 0% | 0mm | 0mm | -20dBZ | 0mm | 24135m | 8.2m/s | 5.9m/s | 9.8m/s | 5.8m/s |
| 12:00 | 983hPa | 6.3J/kg | 0fraction | 3.1°C | 13% | 0mm | 0.02mm | -20dBZ | 0.02mm | 24135m | 8.4m/s | - | - | 5.4m/s |
| 13:00 | 983hPa | 8.7J/kg | 0fraction | 2.9°C | 26% | 0mm | 0.04mm | -20dBZ | 0.04mm | 24135m | 8.6m/s | - | - | 5m/s |
| 14:00
☾
| 984hPa | 11J/kg | 0fraction | 2.7°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.06mm | -20dBZ | 0.06mm | 24135m | 8.8m/s | 4.9m/s | 10m/s | 4.6m/s |
| 15:00
☾
| 984hPa | 16J/kg | 0fraction | 2.5°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.08mm | -20dBZ | 0.13mm | 24103m | 8.5m/s | - | - | 4.4m/s |
| 16:00
☾
| 984hPa | 20J/kg | 0fraction | 2.3°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.09mm | -20dBZ | 0.19mm | 24071m | 8.1m/s | - | - | 4.1m/s |
| 17:00
☾
| 984hPa | 25J/kg | 0fraction | 2.1°C | 39% | 0mm | 0.11mm | -20dBZ | 0.25mm | 24038m | 7.7m/s | 3.2m/s | 7.7m/s | 3.9m/s |
| 18:00
☾
| 984hPa | 25J/kg | 0fraction | 2.1°C | 45% | 0.01mm | 0.09mm | -15dBZ | 0.31mm | 24043m | 7.5m/s | - | - | 3.6m/s |
| 19:00
☾
| 983hPa | 24J/kg | 0fraction | 2°C | 50% | 0.03mm | 0.06mm | -9.5dBZ | 0.38mm | 24047m | 7.3m/s | - | - | 3.2m/s |
| 20:00
☾
| 983hPa | 24J/kg | 0fraction | 1.9°C | 56% | 0.04mm | 0.04mm | -4.3dBZ | 0.44mm | 24051m | 7.1m/s | 5m/s | 9.7m/s | 2.8m/s |
| 21:00
☾
| 983hPa | 18J/kg | 0fraction | 2.2°C | 50% | 0.03mm | 0.03mm | -9.4dBZ | 0.33mm | 24079m | 6.8m/s | - | - | 2.7m/s |
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
Forecast generated
Get Notified of Opportunities
Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.
Create Free Account