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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Rovaniemi, Finnish Lapland

Rovaniemi, Lapland, Finland

The Kemijoki and Ounasjoki rivers meet at Rovaniemi, where bridges and winter ice provide distinctly urban Arctic foregrounds. Ounasvaara rises immediately east of the centre for views across the river junction, forest, and city lights.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation5.0° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Helsinki

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation100% of hours
  • Aurora Activity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Finnish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Rovaniemi.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Finnish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Rovaniemi during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
19
recorded matching windows · 63% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

21:00 local time, shared by 4 of 19 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

March, with 8 of 19 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Helsinki
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
04:000%1.4°11%100%24134m
05:000%5.2°8%100%21049m
06:000%10°0%100%11257m
07:000%16°0%100%18553m
08:000%22°0%100%10102m
09:000%28°0%100%23660m
10:000%33°0%100%24134m
11:000%38°0%93%24134m
12:000%41°0%67%13952m
13:000%43°0%74%11606m
14:000%43°0%47%16544m
15:000%41°0%71%13551m
16:000%37°8%100%8296m
17:000%32°11%86%22744m
18:000%26°20%99%18094m
19:000%20°25%47%22127m
20:000%14°32%100%22616m
21:000%8.9°33%63%24135m
22:000%4.2°28%96%22136m
23:000%0.58°29%89%23866m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%-2.4°23%100%24010m
01:000%-3.8°21%100%24134m
02:000%-3.7°16%100%24134m
03:000%-2°11%100%24135m
04:000%1.2°11%100%24134m
05:000%11%100%24135m
06:000%9.9°6.2%100%24135m
07:000%16°6.2%100%23521m
08:000%21°6.2%100%17873m
09:000%27°3.7%100%24134m
10:000%33°3.7%100%18793m
11:000%38°3.7%100%15104m
12:000%41°2%100%19193m
13:000%43°2%100%23381m
14:000%43°2%100%24134m
15:000%40°3.7%100%24134m
16:000%37°3.7%100%24134m
17:000%32°3.7%100%24135m
18:000%26°3.7%100%22553m
19:000%20°3.7%100%24135m
20:000%14°3.7%100%24135m
21:000%8.7°3.7%91%24134m
22:000%3.7%100%22801m
23:000%0.39°3.7%100%15178m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-2.7°6.2%100%22738m
01:000%-4°6.2%94%24134m
02:000%-3.9°6.2%100%24035m
03:000%-2.2°24%100%5861m
04:000%0.98°24%100%2191m
05:000%4.8°24%28%20921m
06:000%9.7°24%100%24135m
07:000%15°24%100%24134m
08:000%21°24%100%17832m
09:000%27°24%86%24134m
10:000%33°24%61%14263m
11:000%37°24%95%22668m
12:000%41°32%100%18197m
13:000%43°32%100%24134m
14:000%42°32%100%24135m
15:000%40°24%100%24134m
16:000%36°24%100%19457m
17:000%31°24%100%24135m
18:000%26°32%100%17270m
19:000%20°32%100%15968m
20:000%14°32%100%13932m
21:000%8.5°40%100%23337m
22:000%3.8°40%100%24134m
23:000%0.21°40%100%24134m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-2.9°40%100%22844m
01:000%-4.3°40%100%24135m
02:000%-4.1°40%93%24135m
03:000%-2.5°9.4%100%23945m
04:000%0.79°9.4%93%23460m
05:000%4.6°9.4%92%24134m
06:000%9.5°9.4%99%24135m
07:000%15°9.4%91%24134m
08:000%21°9.4%70%24135m
09:000%27°9.4%93%24134m
10:000%32°9.4%95%24134m
11:000%37°9.4%98%24135m
12:000%41°9.4%100%24135m
13:000%42°9.4%100%24135m
14:000%42°9.4%100%24135m
15:000%40°9.4%100%24135m
16:000%36°9.4%100%24135m
17:000%31°9.4%100%24135m
18:000%26°9.4%100%24135m
19:000%20°9.4%100%24135m
20:000%14°9.4%100%24135m
21:000%8.3°9.4%100%24135m
22:000%3.6°9.4%99%24135m
23:000%0.02°9.4%97%24135m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-3.2°9.4%96%24135m
01:000%-4.5°9.4%97%24135m
02:000%-4.4°9.4%99%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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