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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Inari, Finnish Lapland

Inari, Lapland, Finland

Lake Inari supplies island-dotted horizons, winter ice patterns, and dark northern skies; autumn mist often separates the wooded shores at dawn.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-13.9° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover96%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Helsinki
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Inari
Sat, Sep 12 · 22:00–01:00 · 3h window
Low confidence
26%
🌌Aurora Quality70.3-76.4%
Kp Index: Kp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -16.2° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 0%
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Inari
Mon, Sep 14 · 01:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:65-76.4%
Low
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Inari
Tue, Sep 15 · 24:00–01:00
🌌Aurora Quality:65%
Low
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Inari
Tue, Sep 15 · 22:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:65-76.4%
Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Finnish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Inari.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Finnish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Inari during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
3
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
3
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 365 days
35
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

03:00 local time, shared by 8 of 35 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 12 of 35 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Helsinki
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Sep 6
24:000%-14°29%100%24135m
01:000%-15°27%100%24134m
02:000%-14°23%100%24134m
03:000%-12°20%100%24135m
04:000%-9.1°18%100%24134m
05:000%-4.9°14%100%24135m
06:000%0.33°16%100%24134m
07:000%5.2°11%100%24134m
08:000%11°11%100%24134m
09:000%16°8%100%24135m
10:000%20°0%100%24134m
11:000%24°0%100%24135m
12:000%26°0%100%24135m
13:000%27°0%100%24134m
14:000%27°0%100%24135m
15:000%25°8%100%24134m
16:000%22°11%100%24134m
17:000%17°14%100%24134m
18:000%12°16%100%24135m
19:000%6.9°25%100%24135m
20:000%1.7°33%100%24134m
21:000%-3.6°38%100%24135m
22:000%-8°39%100%24135m
23:000%-12°38%98%24135m
Mon, Sep 7
24:000%-14°38%96%24135m
01:000%-15°38%97%24135m
02:0012%-14°7.4%94%24134m
03:0057%-13°73%73%24134m
04:0061%-9.4°73%60%24135m
05:000%-5.3°73%5%24134m
06:000%0.06°11%5%24134m
07:000%4.9°11%5%24135m
08:000%10°11%5%24135m
09:000%15°11%5%24134m
10:000%20°11%5%24134m
11:000%24°11%5%24134m
12:000%26°63%5%24134m
13:000%27°63%5%24134m
14:000%27°63%5%24134m
15:000%25°63%5.2%24135m
16:000%21°63%9.6%24135m
17:000%17°63%34%24134m
18:000%12°73%89%24134m
19:000%6.5°73%100%24134m
20:000%1.4°73%100%24135m
21:000%-4°85%100%24134m
22:000%-8.4°85%100%24134m
23:000%-12°85%100%24134m
Tue, Sep 8
24:000%-14°98%100%24135m
01:000%-15°98%100%10345m
02:000%-15°98%100%9848m
03:000%-13°98%100%10394m
04:000%-9.8°98%100%24135m
05:000%-5.6°98%100%24135m
06:000%-0.42°98%100%24134m
07:000%4.6°98%100%24135m
08:000%9.9°98%100%24134m
09:000%15°100%100%24134m
10:000%20°100%100%22026m
11:000%23°100%100%24134m
12:000%26°100%100%24135m
13:000%27°100%100%15485m
14:000%26°100%100%6661m
15:000%24°100%100%1632m
16:000%21°100%100%2758m
17:000%16°100%100%2125m
18:000%11°98%100%1434m
19:000%6.1°98%100%1244m
20:000%98%100%971m
21:000%-4.3°85%100%1500m
22:000%-8.8°85%100%1101m
23:000%-12°85%100%343m
Wed, Sep 9
24:000%-15°73%100%284m
01:000%-16°73%100%2160m
02:000%-15°73%100%8060m
03:000%-13°11%100%11039m
04:000%-10°11%100%11351m
05:000%-6°11%100%12047m
06:000%-0.86°11%100%21026m
07:000%4.3°11%100%21171m
08:000%9.6°11%100%15663m
09:000%15°11%100%19352m
10:000%19°11%99%20946m
11:000%23°11%99%22541m
12:000%25°11%98%24135m
13:000%26°11%86%24135m
14:000%26°11%73%24135m
15:000%24°11%61%24135m
16:000%20°11%74%24135m
17:000%16°11%87%24135m
18:000%11°11%100%24135m
19:000%5.8°11%76%24135m
20:000%0.7°11%51%24135m
21:000%-4.7°11%27%24135m
22:0029%-9.2°11%19%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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