Chipping Campden - Morning Frost - Cotswolds
Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise
No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days
Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.
Currently
Real-time conditionsUpcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
No opportunities in the next 10 days
See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.
What this forecast looks for
Plain-language explanation from the ruleThis forecast identifies when hard frost transforms the Cotswolds' honey-stone architecture and pastoral landscapes into crystalline winter wonderlands. We track overnight minimum temperatures, clear sky conditions, and ground frost risk to predict optimal frosted morning photography.
The Cotswolds' inland position and elevation (typically 200-330m) create reliable frost conditions during winter anticyclones. Clear skies and light winds allow radiative cooling to create heavy frost deposits on thatched roofs, dry stone walls, and riverside vegetation—all set against honey-colored Jurassic limestone that glows warmly against frozen foregrounds.
What makes Cotswolds frost photography distinctive:
- Frosted thatch - Castle Combe's thatched cottages with heavy frost on golden stone—quintessentially English winter scenes
- Arlington Row ice - Bibury's iconic weavers' cottages with frosted rooflines and icy River Coln creating mirror reflections
- Frozen waterways - Bourton-on-the-Water's bridges with icy stream edges, Lower Slaughter's mill with frozen mill race
- Churchyard frost - Painswick's famous 99 yew trees with frost-laden branches surrounding ancient gravestones
The most photogenic frost occurs during settled high pressure periods (December-February), particularly after clear, calm nights. Arlington Row at Bibury is England's most photographed village for good reason—frost on the 17th-century weavers' cottages creates magazine-cover compositions. Castle Combe's compact valley setting traps cold air, producing reliable frost that highlights its honey-stone cottages and medieval market cross. Arrive at first light while frost remains intact—winter sunrise around 8:00am gives time to scout compositions in pre-dawn light. The contrast between warm honey-stone and cold blue frost works beautifully in morning light.
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72-hour requirements breakdown
What passed or failed, hour by hourTime Europe/London | Time Window Sunrise -45m to +90m | Frost Probability ≥ 60.0% | Wind Speed ≤ 1.5m/s |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Apr 19 | |||
| 08:00 | ✕ | 3.4% | 2.1m/s |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 1.8% | 3.1m/s |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 3% | 3.7m/s |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 3.4% | 3.8m/s |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 3.2% | 3.6m/s |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 3.2% | 3.3m/s |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 2.9% | 3.4m/s |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 0% | 3.5m/s |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 0% | 3.5m/s |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 0% | 3.3m/s |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 0% | 3m/s |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 0% | 2.8m/s |
| 20:00 | ✕ | 0% | 2.1m/s |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 0% | 1.9m/s |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 0% | 2.6m/s |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 0% | 1.8m/s |
| Mon, Apr 20 | |||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 2.3% | 1.9m/s |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 2% | 2.1m/s |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 1.5% | 1.7m/s |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 1.8% | 1.4m/s |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 2.1% | 1.4m/s |
| 05:00 | ✓ | 2.1% | 1.6m/s |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 2.1% | 1.4m/s |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 2.1% | 1.6m/s |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 3.6% | 2.4m/s |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 3.1m/s |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 4.9% | 3.5m/s |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 4.7% | 3.8m/s |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 3.9% | 3.8m/s |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 3.2% | 4m/s |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 3% | 4.5m/s |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 3% | 4m/s |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 4.9m/s |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 4.3m/s |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 3% | 3.2m/s |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 3.1% | 3.6m/s |
| 20:00 | ✕ | 3.2% | 3.1m/s |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 2.9% | 3.2m/s |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 2.5% | 3m/s |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 2.5% | 3m/s |
| Tue, Apr 21 | |||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 2.1% | 2.9m/s |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 1.6% | 2.7m/s |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 1.3% | 2.6m/s |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 1% | 3.7m/s |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 0.8% | 4.9m/s |
| 05:00 | ✓ | 0.8% | 4.7m/s |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 1.2% | 5.6m/s |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 1.6% | 4.8m/s |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 1.7% | 5.7m/s |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 2.1% | 6.8m/s |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 3% | 7.4m/s |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 7.6m/s |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 7.5m/s |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 7.4m/s |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 3% | 6.7m/s |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 7.5m/s |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 8.2m/s |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 8.3m/s |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 3.9% | 7.8m/s |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 7.4m/s |
| 20:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 7.3m/s |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 6.9m/s |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 3.6% | 7.2m/s |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 6.7m/s |
| Wed, Apr 22 | |||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 6.3m/s |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 2.5% | 6m/s |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 2.5% | 5.9m/s |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 2.1% | 6.4m/s |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 2.1% | 6.2m/s |
| 05:00 | ✓ | 2.1% | 5.7m/s |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 2.3% | 5.2m/s |
| 07:00 | ✓ | 2.1% | 6.2m/s |
| 08:00 | ✕ | 2.8% | 6.5m/s |
| 09:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 7.5m/s |
| 10:00 | ✕ | 4.1% | 7.8m/s |
| 11:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 7.9m/s |
| 12:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 7.9m/s |
| 13:00 | ✕ | 3.9% | 7.9m/s |
| 14:00 | ✕ | 3.9% | 7m/s |
| 15:00 | ✕ | 4.5% | 6.2m/s |
| 16:00 | ✕ | 0% | 5.3m/s |
| 17:00 | ✕ | 0% | 4.7m/s |
| 18:00 | ✕ | 0% | 4.1m/s |
| 19:00 | ✕ | 2.9% | 3.5m/s |
| 20:00 | ✕ | 2.9% | 3.3m/s |
| 21:00 | ✕ | 2.9% | 3.1m/s |
| 22:00 | ✕ | 2.5% | 2.9m/s |
| 23:00 | ✕ | 2.7% | 2.8m/s |
| Thu, Apr 23 | |||
| 24:00 | ✕ | 2.7% | 2.7m/s |
| 01:00 | ✕ | 2.7% | 2.6m/s |
| 02:00 | ✕ | 3.2% | 3.5m/s |
| 03:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 4.4m/s |
| 04:00 | ✕ | 4.3% | 5.3m/s |
| 05:00 | ✓ | 4.5% | 5.5m/s |
| 06:00 | ✓ | 4.3% | 5.7m/s |
What does Frost Probability mean?
Inputs that drive the scoreThis derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.
| Time Europe/London | Dew Point °C | Surface Temperature °C | Temperature °C | Time Window | Total Cloud Coverage % | Vapor Pressure Deficit kPa |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Apr 20
Sunrise 06:00
Sunset 20:13 | ||||||
| 09:00 | 1.6°C | 6.8°C | 6.9°C | - | 14% | 0.31kPa |
| 10:00 | 2.1°C | 6.9°C | 8.5°C | - | 5% | 0.4kPa |
| 11:00 | 2.5°C | 7.1°C | 9.7°C | - | 5% | 0.47kPa |
| 12:00 | 3°C | 7.3°C | 10°C | - | 39% | 0.5kPa |
| 13:00 | 3.4°C | 7.5°C | 11°C | - | 100% | 0.53kPa |
| 14:00 | 3.1°C | 7.6°C | 10°C | - | 100% | 0.48kPa |
| 15:00 | 4.3°C | 7.7°C | 9.5°C | - | 100% | 0.35kPa |
| 16:00 | 4.2°C | 7.8°C | 9.8°C | - | 100% | 0.39kPa |
| 17:00 | 4.2°C | 7.9°C | 9.2°C | - | 100% | 0.34kPa |
| 18:00 | 4.7°C | 7.9°C | 9°C | - | 100% | 0.29kPa |
| 19:00 | 4.8°C | 7.9°C | 8.6°C | - | 70% | 0.26kPa |
| 20:00 | 3.9°C | 7.9°C | 6.1°C | - | 5% | 0.13kPa |
| 21:00 ☾ | 3.1°C | 7.7°C | 4.3°C | - | 5% | 0.07kPa |
| 22:00 ☾ | 2.3°C | 7.5°C | 3.2°C | - | 0% | 0.05kPa |
| 23:00 ☾ | 1.9°C | 7.3°C | 2.5°C | - | 4% | 0.03kPa |
| Tue, Apr 21
Sunrise 06:00
Sunset 20:13 | ||||||
| 24:00 ☾ | 1.9°C | 7°C | 2.3°C | - | 14% | 0.02kPa |
| 01:00 ☾ | 1.9°C | 6.8°C | 2.1°C | - | 47% | 0.01kPa |
| 02:00 ☾ | 1.7°C | 6.6°C | 1.8°C | - | 72% | 0kPa |
| 03:00 ☾ | 2.5°C | 6.4°C | 2.7°C | - | 100% | 0.01kPa |
| 04:00 ☾ | 3°C | 6.4°C | 3.6°C | - | 100% | 0.03kPa |
| 05:00 ☾ | 3.7°C | 6.3°C | 4.3°C | - | 100% | 0.03kPa |
| 06:00 | 3.7°C | 6.2°C | 4.8°C | - | 100% | 0.06kPa |
| 07:00 | 3.7°C | 6.2°C | 4.7°C | - | 46% | 0.06kPa |
| 08:00 | 3.6°C | 6.2°C | 5°C | - | 36% | 0.09kPa |
| 09:00 | 3.9°C | 6.2°C | 7°C | - | 99% | 0.19kPa |
| 10:00 | 3°C | 6.3°C | 8.1°C | - | 54% | 0.33kPa |
| 11:00 | 3°C | 6.5°C | 9.4°C | - | 100% | 0.42kPa |
| 12:00 | 3.3°C | 6.7°C | 10°C | - | 100% | 0.48kPa |
| 13:00 | 3.8°C | 6.9°C | 11°C | - | 100% | 0.52kPa |
| 14:00 | 5.2°C | 7.1°C | 10°C | - | 59% | 0.35kPa |
| 15:00 | 3.6°C | 7.3°C | 12°C | - | 6% | 0.58kPa |
| 16:00 | 5.4°C | 7.5°C | 12°C | - | 5% | 0.54kPa |
| 17:00 | 5.4°C | 7.7°C | 12°C | - | 2% | 0.47kPa |
| 18:00 | 4.6°C | 7.8°C | 10°C | - | 5% | 0.41kPa |
| 19:00 | 3.2°C | 7.8°C | 8.7°C | - | 3% | 0.36kPa |
| 20:00 | 1.3°C | 7.8°C | 7°C | - | 5% | 0.33kPa |
| 21:00 ☾ | 0.6°C | 7.7°C | 5.9°C | - | 4% | 0.29kPa |
| 22:00 ☾ | 1.3°C | 7.6°C | 4.9°C | - | 5% | 0.2kPa |
| 23:00 ☾ | 1.4°C | 7.4°C | 4°C | - | 5% | 0.14kPa |
| Wed, Apr 22
Sunrise 05:57
Sunset 20:14 | ||||||
| 24:00 ☾ | 1.3°C | 7.3°C | 3.4°C | - | 5% | 0.11kPa |
| 01:00 ☾ | 1.3°C | 7.1°C | 2.9°C | - | 3% | 0.08kPa |
| 02:00 ☾ | 1.5°C | 6.9°C | 2.6°C | - | 6% | 0.06kPa |
| 03:00 ☾ | 1.7°C | 6.7°C | 2.6°C | - | 5% | 0.04kPa |
| 04:00 ☾ | 2°C | 6.5°C | 2.7°C | - | 5% | 0.04kPa |
| 05:00 ☾ | 2.1°C | 6.4°C | 2.7°C | - | 5% | 0.03kPa |
| 06:00 | 2.2°C | 6.2°C | 2.7°C | - | 4% | 0.03kPa |
| 07:00 | 2.6°C | 6.1°C | 3.5°C | - | 5% | 0.05kPa |
| 08:00 | 3.6°C | 6.1°C | 5.8°C | - | 5% | 0.13kPa |
| 09:00 | 3.9°C | 6.1°C | 7.8°C | - | 5% | 0.25kPa |
| 10:00 | 4°C | 6.3°C | 9.3°C | - | 5% | 0.36kPa |
| 11:00 | 4.2°C | 6.5°C | 10°C | - | 5% | 0.44kPa |
| 12:00 | 4.5°C | 6.8°C | 11°C | - | 8% | 0.51kPa |
| 13:00 | 4.8°C | 7°C | 12°C | - | 21% | 0.58kPa |
| 14:00 | 3.5°C | 7.5°C | 10°C | - | 14% | 0.47kPa |
| 15:00 | 2.2°C | 7.9°C | 8.2°C | - | 7% | 0.38kPa |
| 16:00 | 0.8°C | 8.4°C | 6.2°C | - | 0% | 0.3kPa |
| 17:00 | 1°C | 8.2°C | 5.1°C | - | 0% | 0.22kPa |
| 18:00 | 1.1°C | 8°C | 4°C | - | 0% | 0.15kPa |
| 19:00 | 1.1°C | 7.8°C | 2.9°C | - | 0% | 0.09kPa |
| 20:00 | 1°C | 7.5°C | 2.4°C | - | 0% | 0.07kPa |
| 21:00 ☾ | 0.9°C | 7.3°C | 2°C | - | 0% | 0.05kPa |
| 22:00 ☾ | 0.8°C | 7°C | 1.5°C | - | 0% | 0.03kPa |
| 23:00 ☾ | 0.9°C | 6.8°C | 1.6°C | - | 1% | 0.03kPa |
| Thu, Apr 23
Sunrise 05:55
Sunset 20:16 | ||||||
| 24:00 ☾ | 1°C | 6.5°C | 1.7°C | - | 1% | 0.03kPa |
| 01:00 ☾ | 1.1°C | 6.3°C | 1.8°C | - | 2% | 0.03kPa |
| 02:00 ☾ | 2.3°C | 6.4°C | 4.4°C | - | 1% | 0.11kPa |
| 03:00 ☾ | 3.4°C | 6.4°C | 7°C | - | 0% | 0.22kPa |
| 04:00 ☾ | 4.3°C | 6.5°C | 9.5°C | - | 0% | 0.36kPa |
| 05:00 ☾ | 4.5°C | 6.8°C | 11°C | - | 0% | 0.46kPa |
| 06:00 | 4.5°C | 7.1°C | 12°C | - | 0% | 0.57kPa |
| 07:00 | 4.3°C | 7.4°C | 13°C | - | 0% | 0.71kPa |
| 08:00 | 4.7°C | 7.7°C | 14°C | - | 0% | 0.72kPa |
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