Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Ubud, Bali, Indonesia

Ubud, Bali, Indonesia

Ubud is surrounded by terraced paddies, palm-lined river ravines, temple courtyards, and carved stone gates suited to layered tropical compositions.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

15%

CAPE5

Lifted Index3.2°C

Wind Gusts1.9m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (86-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Ubud.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Ubud during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Only 8 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 86 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Makassar	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	15%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Sun, Aug 23
24:00	0%
01:00	14%
02:00	19%
03:00	15%
04:00	14%
05:00	15%
06:00	15%
07:00	16%
08:00	19%
09:00	16%
10:00	18%
11:00	19%
12:00	18%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	17%
16:00	20%
17:00	23%
18:00	22%
19:00	31%
20:00	27%
21:00	28%
22:00	25%
23:00	26%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	26%
01:00	25%
02:00	24%
03:00	23%
04:00	26%
05:00	25%
06:00	24%
07:00	27%
08:00	28%
09:00	19%
10:00	20%
11:00	20%
12:00	18%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	17%
20:00	20%
21:00	20%
22:00	22%
23:00	25%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	23%
01:00	28%
02:00	29%
03:00	26%
04:00	24%
05:00	22%
06:00	20%
07:00	21%
08:00	26%
09:00	17%
10:00	17%
11:00	18%
12:00	15%
13:00	14%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	0%
01:00	18%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Makassar	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 18:18
03:00 ☾	985hPa	5J/kg	0.8fraction	3.2°C	26%	0mm	0.03mm	3.3dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.9m/s	-	-	0.87m/s
04:00 ☾	984hPa	2J/kg	0.73fraction	3.2°C	13%	0mm	0.01mm	-4.6dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	2.4m/s	-	-	0.93m/s
05:00 ☾	984hPa	0J/kg	0.65fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.5m/s	5.1m/s	5.2m/s	1.1m/s
06:00 ☾	985hPa	0J/kg	0.77fraction	3.3°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-8.2dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2.9m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
07:00 ☾	986hPa	1J/kg	0.88fraction	2.8°C	26%	0mm	0.01mm	-4dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	4.1m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
08:00	986hPa	6J/kg	1fraction	2.3°C	39%	0mm	0.06mm	0.16dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.7m/s	7m/s	5.4m/s	2.2m/s
09:00	987hPa	16J/kg	0.91fraction	1.8°C	26%	0mm	0.06mm	2.6dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	4.9m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
10:00	987hPa	8J/kg	0.81fraction	1.9°C	13%	0mm	0.02mm	5.1dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.6m/s
11:00	986hPa	5J/kg	0.72fraction	1.5°C	0%	0mm	0.02mm	7.5dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.9m/s	3.7m/s	3.6m/s	3.1m/s
12:00	985hPa	5J/kg	0.52fraction	1.1°C	13%	0mm	0mm	0.07dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.7m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
13:00	984hPa	2J/kg	0.32fraction	1.4°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-7.4dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3.6m/s	-	-	4.5m/s
14:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.12fraction	1.7°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3.5m/s	3.3m/s	3.7m/s	4.2m/s
15:00	983hPa	0J/kg	0.41fraction	1.5°C	53%	0mm	0mm	-7.2dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.3m/s	-	-	3.7m/s
16:00	983hPa	6J/kg	0.71fraction	1.6°C	68%	0mm	0.01mm	0.57dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.3m/s	-	-	3.7m/s
17:00	984hPa	11J/kg	1fraction	2.3°C	82%	0mm	0.03mm	8.3dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	3.3m/s	5.1m/s	4.4m/s	3m/s
18:00	985hPa	21J/kg	1fraction	2.5°C	86%	0mm	0.07mm	10dBZ	0.06mm	17520m	4.5m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
19:00 ☾	985hPa	17J/kg	1fraction	2.8°C	90%	0mm	0.05mm	12dBZ	0.19mm	4981m	3.8m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
20:00 ☾	986hPa	21J/kg	1fraction	3.3°C	95%	0mm	0.08mm	14dBZ	0.19mm	14655m	3m/s	6m/s	3.8m/s	1m/s
21:00 ☾	987hPa	20J/kg	1fraction	3.5°C	96%	0mm	0.1mm	15dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	4.3m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
22:00 ☾	987hPa	25J/kg	1fraction	2.9°C	97%	0mm	0.11mm	15dBZ	0.19mm	23129m	3.2m/s	-	-	0.98m/s
23:00 ☾	987hPa	28J/kg	1fraction	2.6°C	97%	0mm	0.08mm	16dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	2.6m/s	5.7m/s	5.4m/s	1m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 18:17
24:00 ☾	986hPa	22J/kg	0.81fraction	2.5°C	98%	0mm	0.12mm	13dBZ	0.38mm	24135m	3.2m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
01:00 ☾	985hPa	22J/kg	0.62fraction	2.6°C	99%	0mm	0.12mm	11dBZ	0.5mm	24134m	1.3m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
02:00 ☾	985hPa	15J/kg	0.42fraction	2.5°C	100%	0mm	0.1mm	8.1dBZ	0.56mm	24135m	1.8m/s	6.3m/s	4.8m/s	1.1m/s
03:00 ☾	985hPa	12J/kg	0.62fraction	2.9°C	95%	0mm	0.09mm	11dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
04:00 ☾	985hPa	17J/kg	0.81fraction	2.9°C	90%	0mm	0.14mm	14dBZ	0.19mm	23690m	1.7m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
05:00 ☾	985hPa	22J/kg	1fraction	2.4°C	85%	0mm	0.16mm	16dBZ	0.31mm	23270m	1.5m/s	6.4m/s	4.2m/s	1.1m/s
06:00 ☾	985hPa	26J/kg	0.88fraction	1.8°C	90%	0mm	0.14mm	16dBZ	0.44mm	21699m	2.9m/s	-	-	1m/s
07:00 ☾	986hPa	22J/kg	0.76fraction	2.1°C	94%	0.01mm	0.13mm	16dBZ	0.56mm	24059m	5m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
08:00	987hPa	25J/kg	0.64fraction	1.9°C	98%	0mm	0.1mm	16dBZ	0.69mm	24134m	5.6m/s	7.5m/s	5.1m/s	1.4m/s
09:00	987hPa	18J/kg	0.69fraction	2.5°C	65%	0mm	0.04mm	15dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	5.2m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
10:00	987hPa	13J/kg	0.74fraction	2.9°C	33%	0mm	0.03mm	13dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	4.9m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
11:00	987hPa	12J/kg	0.79fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0.02mm	12dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	4.5m/s	5.5m/s	4.1m/s	3.3m/s
12:00	986hPa	19J/kg	0.57fraction	2.1°C	0%	0mm	0.02mm	9.6dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	4.4m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
13:00	985hPa	20J/kg	0.35fraction	1.7°C	0%	0mm	0.02mm	7.2dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	4.1m/s	-	-	4m/s
14:00	984hPa	16J/kg	0.13fraction	1.9°C	0%	0.01mm	0mm	4.8dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	3.9m/s	5.1m/s	4m/s	3.9m/s
15:00	983hPa	3J/kg	0.09fraction	2.2°C	13%	0mm	0mm	2.2dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.6m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
16:00	983hPa	1J/kg	0.04fraction	2.6°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-0.5dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.8m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
17:00	984hPa	2J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	39%	0.01mm	0mm	-3.2dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.2m/s	6.3m/s	4.6m/s	3.3m/s
18:00	984hPa	22J/kg	0fraction	1.8°C	53%	0mm	0.05mm	-3.4dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.3m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
19:00 ☾	985hPa	26J/kg	0fraction	1.5°C	68%	0mm	0.13mm	-3.5dBZ	0.13mm	23819m	2.4m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
20:00 ☾	986hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	1.2°C	82%	0mm	0.14mm	-3.7dBZ	0.25mm	24076m	2.1m/s	7.9m/s	4.9m/s	1.4m/s
21:00 ☾	986hPa	28J/kg	0.33fraction	1.2°C	82%	0mm	0.2mm	0.99dBZ	0.19mm	17959m	3.1m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:00 ☾	987hPa	30J/kg	0.67fraction	1.4°C	82%	0mm	0.18mm	5.7dBZ	0.31mm	21392m	4.2m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
23:00 ☾	987hPa	34J/kg	1fraction	1.3°C	82%	0mm	0.14mm	10dBZ	0.5mm	23790m	3.1m/s	8.2m/s	5.5m/s	1m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 18:17
24:00 ☾	986hPa	28J/kg	1fraction	1.4°C	86%	0mm	0.14mm	11dBZ	0.63mm	24135m	3.4m/s	-	-	1m/s
01:00 ☾	986hPa	26J/kg	1fraction	1.5°C	90%	0mm	0.14mm	12dBZ	0.75mm	24032m	4.3m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
02:00 ☾	985hPa	18J/kg	1fraction	1.7°C	95%	0.02mm	0.09mm	14dBZ	0.81mm	23326m	5.6m/s	8.9m/s	5.8m/s	1.4m/s
03:00 ☾	985hPa	17J/kg	0.94fraction	2.1°C	82%	0.01mm	0.06mm	13dBZ	0.13mm	15808m	5.6m/s	-	-	1.7m/s
04:00 ☾	985hPa	16J/kg	0.87fraction	2.4°C	68%	0mm	0.08mm	12dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	5.3m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
05:00 ☾	985hPa	21J/kg	0.81fraction	1.9°C	55%	0mm	0.09mm	12dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	2.9m/s	9.6m/s	6.5m/s	1.1m/s
06:00 ☾	986hPa	23J/kg	0.63fraction	1.6°C	64%	0mm	0.11mm	3.9dBZ	0.31mm	24053m	3.5m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
07:00 ☾	986hPa	20J/kg	0.46fraction	1.6°C	73%	0mm	0.11mm	-4dBZ	0.44mm	24108m	5.7m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
08:00	987hPa	25J/kg	0.28fraction	1.4°C	82%	0mm	0.16mm	-12dBZ	0.56mm	22898m	5.8m/s	12m/s	6.8m/s	2.2m/s
09:00	986hPa	20J/kg	0.52fraction	1.6°C	55%	0.003mm	0.11mm	-6.7dBZ	0.38mm	23310m	5m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
10:00	985hPa	14J/kg	0.76fraction	1.8°C	27%	0.007mm	0.05mm	-1.3dBZ	0.19mm	23722m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
11:00	984hPa	9J/kg	1fraction	1.9°C	0%	0.01mm	0mm	4dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.3m/s	9.9m/s	6.3m/s	2.7m/s
12:00	984hPa	7.7J/kg	0.78fraction	2.3°C	0%	0.007mm	0mm	3.4dBZ	0.02mm	21757m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
13:00	985hPa	6.3J/kg	0.56fraction	2.6°C	0%	0.003mm	0mm	2.7dBZ	0.04mm	19379m	2m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
14:00	986hPa	5J/kg	0.35fraction	3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	2dBZ	0.06mm	17002m	1.3m/s	7.9m/s	6.7m/s	0.9m/s
15:00	986hPa	5.3J/kg	0.23fraction	2.8°C	0%	0.007mm	0mm	3.5dBZ	0.04mm	19380m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
16:00	986hPa	5.7J/kg	0.12fraction	2.7°C	0%	0.01mm	0mm	5dBZ	0.02mm	21757m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
17:00	986hPa	6J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0.02mm	0mm	6.6dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.1m/s	7.7m/s	7.2m/s	1.6m/s
18:00	986hPa	8.3J/kg	0.02fraction	2.6°C	13%	0.01mm	0.01mm	2.5dBZ	0.04mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
19:00 ☾	986hPa	11J/kg	0.04fraction	2.7°C	26%	0.007mm	0.03mm	-1.7dBZ	0.08mm	24135m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
20:00 ☾	985hPa	13J/kg	0.06fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.04mm	-5.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	2.6m/s	7.4m/s	7.4m/s	1.4m/s
21:00 ☾	985hPa	14J/kg	0.04fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.05mm	-1.2dBZ	0.13mm	21349m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:00 ☾	985hPa	16J/kg	0.02fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.05mm	3.3dBZ	0.13mm	18563m	2.3m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
23:00 ☾	986hPa	17J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	39%	0mm	0.06mm	7.8dBZ	0.13mm	15777m	2.1m/s	7.7m/s	7.2m/s	1.4m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 18:17
24:00 ☾	986hPa	23J/kg	0.32fraction	2.1°C	45%	0.007mm	0.06mm	6.5dBZ	0.19mm	17494m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
01:00 ☾	987hPa	29J/kg	0.64fraction	1.6°C	50%	0.01mm	0.06mm	5.1dBZ	0.25mm	19210m	2.9m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
02:00 ☾	987hPa	35J/kg	0.96fraction	1°C	56%	0.02mm	0.06mm	3.8dBZ	0.31mm	20927m	3.2m/s	7.9m/s	6.6m/s	1.5m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC

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