Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Ubud, Bali, Indonesia

Ubud, Bali, Indonesia

Ubud is surrounded by terraced paddies, palm-lined river ravines, temple courtyards, and carved stone gates suited to layered tropical compositions.

6 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)

Storm Intensity

21%

CAPE0

Lifted Index1.2°C

Wind Gusts3.9m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar

First upcoming window

Weak Storm at Sunset

Ubud

Fri, Oct 16 · 17:00–19:00 · 2h window

Low confidence

12%

⛈️Storm Intensity40-44%

CAPE: 1010

Lifted Index: -2.6°C

Wind Gusts: 10.0m/s

Precipitation: 0.2mm

Weak Storm

Ubud

Fri, Oct 16 · 19:00–20:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:41%

Low

Weak Storm

Ubud

Sat, Oct 17 · 14:00–15:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:41%

Low

Weak Storm

Ubud

Tue, Oct 20 · 13:00–17:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:41-46%

Low

Weak Storm at Sunset

Ubud

Tue, Oct 20 · 17:00–18:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:42%

Low

Weak Storm

Ubud

Wed, Oct 21 · 12:00–16:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40-41%

Low

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Makassar.

Most common blockers

Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.

Storm Intensity100% of hours

0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Makassar	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Thu, Oct 8
Rule fails. 07:00	Storm Intensity: 21%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Storm Intensity: 20%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Storm Intensity: 20%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Storm Intensity: 22%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Storm Intensity: 25%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Storm Intensity: 27%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Storm Intensity: 29%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Storm Intensity: 28%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Storm Intensity: 24%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Storm Intensity: 17%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Storm Intensity: 12%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Storm Intensity: 12%. Misses requirement
Fri, Oct 9
Rule fails. 24:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Storm Intensity: 24%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Storm Intensity: 25%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Storm Intensity: 23%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Storm Intensity: 12%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Storm Intensity: 24%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Storm Intensity: 21%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Storm Intensity: 18%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Storm Intensity: 11%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Sat, Oct 10
Rule fails. 24:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Storm Intensity: 16%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Storm Intensity: 16%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00	Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00	Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00	Storm Intensity: 21%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00	Storm Intensity: 17%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00	Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Sun, Oct 11
Rule fails. 24:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00	Storm Intensity: 16%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00	Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00	Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00	Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Makassar)	Air Pressure	CAPE	Convective Precip Fraction	Lifted Index	Precipitation Chance	Rainfall	Showers	Simulated Reflectivity	Total Precipitation	Visibility	Wind Gusts	Wind Shear 0-3 km	Wind Shear 0-6 km	Wind Speed
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise 05:59 · Sunset 18:13
07:00	992hPa	0J/kg	0.59fraction	1.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-8dBZ	0mm	220m	3.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.1m/s
08:00	993hPa	80J/kg	0.74fraction	0.8°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-2.5dBZ	0mm	1240m	3.8m/s	3.6m/s	5.8m/s	0.79m/s
09:00	993hPa	150J/kg	0.62fraction	0.7°C	25%	0.1mm	0mm	-8.4dBZ	0.1mm	3720m	4.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.82m/s
10:00	993hPa	180J/kg	0.5fraction	0.6°C	56%	0.1mm	0.2mm	-14dBZ	0.3mm	6120m	5.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.6m/s
11:00	992hPa	130J/kg	0.39fraction	0.5°C	80%	0.1mm	0.2mm	-20dBZ	0.3mm	6100m	6.6m/s	4.2m/s	3.8m/s	2m/s
12:00	991hPa	140J/kg	0.4fraction	0.5°C	91%	0.2mm	0.1mm	-16dBZ	0.3mm	9200m	7.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
13:00	990hPa	410J/kg	0.41fraction	0.3°C	95%	0mm	0.1mm	-13dBZ	0.1mm	13620m	8.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
14:00	989hPa	450J/kg	0.42fraction	0.1°C	96%	0.1mm	0.1mm	-9.2dBZ	0.2mm	6720m	8.2m/s	4.8m/s	5.4m/s	2.6m/s
15:00	988hPa	430J/kg	0.29fraction	0.3°C	94%	0.1mm	0.2mm	-12dBZ	0.3mm	6520m	7.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.2m/s
16:00	988hPa	360J/kg	0.16fraction	0.6°C	89%	0.1mm	0.1mm	-16dBZ	0.2mm	9500m	6.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.5m/s
17:00	988hPa	260J/kg	0.03fraction	0.8°C	82%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	17520m	6.7m/s	2.7m/s	1.9m/s	2.3m/s
18:00	989hPa	100J/kg	0.05fraction	1.2°C	74%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	15720m	5.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.5m/s
19:00 Night	989hPa	50J/kg	0.06fraction	2.2°C	63%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	14660m	3.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.96m/s
20:00 Night	990hPa	50J/kg	0.08fraction	2.6°C	51%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	17280m	1.9m/s	4.3m/s	3m/s	0.79m/s
21:00 Night	990hPa	50J/kg	0.39fraction	3°C	34%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	18260m	2.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.73m/s
22:00 Night	990hPa	50J/kg	0.69fraction	3.1°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	18240m	2.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1m/s
23:00 Night	991hPa	40J/kg	1fraction	2.9°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	17880m	2.8m/s	4.5m/s	3.2m/s	0.35m/s
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise 05:59 · Sunset 18:13
24:00 Night	990hPa	20J/kg	1fraction	2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-9.7dBZ	0mm	15620m	1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.05m/s
01:00 Night	989hPa	10J/kg	1fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-3.2dBZ	0mm	900m	1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.81m/s
02:00 Night	989hPa	10J/kg	1fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	3.2dBZ	0mm	240m	2.3m/s	5.4m/s	2.7m/s	1.4m/s
03:00 Night	989hPa	0J/kg	0.96fraction	2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	1.9dBZ	0mm	180m	2.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.3m/s
04:00 Night	989hPa	0J/kg	0.92fraction	2.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	0.49dBZ	0mm	160m	2.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.2m/s
05:00 Night	989hPa	0J/kg	0.88fraction	2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-0.87dBZ	0mm	140m	1.9m/s	5.2m/s	2.7m/s	1.1m/s
06:00	989hPa	0J/kg	0.7fraction	3.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-3.9dBZ	0mm	140m	1.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.4m/s
07:00	990hPa	0J/kg	0.51fraction	2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-7dBZ	0mm	220m	2.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.74m/s
08:00	990hPa	20J/kg	0.33fraction	1.7°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-10dBZ	0mm	360m	2.9m/s	6.5m/s	3.2m/s	0.3m/s
09:00	991hPa	20J/kg	0.23fraction	1.7°C	4%	0mm	0mm	-13dBZ	0mm	640m	3.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.22m/s
10:00	990hPa	20J/kg	0.13fraction	1.4°C	8%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	1160m	4.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.61m/s
11:00	990hPa	40J/kg	0.03fraction	0.7°C	16%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	2040m	5.8m/s	8.3m/s	3.6m/s	1.6m/s
12:00	989hPa	150J/kg	0.19fraction	0.5°C	34%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	5660m	8.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
13:00	988hPa	90J/kg	0.36fraction	0.6°C	56%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	18660m	8.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s
14:00	987hPa	50J/kg	0.53fraction	0.6°C	71%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	13580m	8.4m/s	6.4m/s	1.2m/s	3.2m/s
15:00	987hPa	50J/kg	0.35fraction	0.5°C	75%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	21120m	8.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3m/s
16:00	986hPa	50J/kg	0.18fraction	0.5°C	72%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	13380m	7.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.3m/s
17:00	987hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	0.8°C	63%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	17640m	6.5m/s	7.2m/s	2.1m/s	1.9m/s
18:00	987hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	44%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	23680m	5.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.6m/s
19:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.9°C	20%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	20020m	3.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.2m/s
20:00 Night	988hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	2.1°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-7.6dBZ	0mm	5000m	2.2m/s	5m/s	4.6m/s	0.84m/s
21:00 Night	989hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	20540m	1.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.72m/s
22:00 Night	989hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	2.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	2040m	1.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.91m/s
23:00 Night	989hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	700m	2.5m/s	5.2m/s	2.8m/s	1.4m/s
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise 05:58 · Sunset 18:13
24:00 Night	989hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	400m	2.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.3m/s
01:00 Night	988hPa	50J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	280m	2.4m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.2m/s
02:00 Night	987hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	220m	2.9m/s	6.5m/s	1.3m/s	1.4m/s
03:00 Night	987hPa	60J/kg	0fraction	2.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	180m	3.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.5m/s
04:00 Night	987hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	200m	3.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.4m/s
05:00 Night	987hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	220m	3.5m/s	7m/s	1.3m/s	1.6m/s
06:00	988hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	260m	3.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.5m/s
07:00	989hPa	50J/kg	0fraction	1.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0mm	540m	3.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.1m/s
08:00	989hPa	80J/kg	0fraction	0.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-7.1dBZ	0mm	1440m	3.8m/s	6.2m/s	0.18m/s	0.97m/s
09:00	989hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0mm	13660m	6.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2m/s
10:00	989hPa	20J/kg	0fraction	0°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-16dBZ	0mm	3760m	6.9m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s
11:00	989hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	-0.4°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	4980m	7.4m/s	5.1m/s	2.1m/s	2.5m/s
12:00	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	-0.6°C	11%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	28720m	8.1m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.9m/s
13:00	987hPa	130J/kg	0fraction	-0.3°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	18100m	9.2m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.6m/s
14:00	986hPa	330J/kg	0fraction	-0.6°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	16040m	9.3m/s	3.4m/s	3.8m/s	3.3m/s
15:00	986hPa	300J/kg	0fraction	-0.3°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	22400m	8.8m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.4m/s
16:00	986hPa	110J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	19%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26520m	8.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	3.1m/s
17:00	986hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	0.9°C	12%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	26460m	7.9m/s	2.8m/s	5.4m/s	2.7m/s
18:00	987hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	23760m	6.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.6m/s
19:00 Night	987hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2°C	3%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	20800m	3.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.25m/s
20:00 Night	988hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	20140m	1.7m/s	4.5m/s	6.9m/s	0.73m/s
21:00 Night	989hPa	90J/kg	0fraction	3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	19960m	1.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.68m/s
22:00 Night	989hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	3.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	19120m	1.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	0.51m/s
23:00 Night	990hPa	40J/kg	0fraction	3.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	600m	2.6m/s	5.6m/s	5.6m/s	1.9m/s
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise 05:58 · Sunset 18:13
24:00 Night	989hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	300m	3.6m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2m/s
01:00 Night	989hPa	40J/kg	0fraction	4.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	260m	3.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.7m/s
02:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	260m	3.4m/s	6.2m/s	4.3m/s	1.5m/s
03:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	360m	3.5m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	1.8m/s
04:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	700m	3.7m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2m/s
05:00 Night	988hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	1880m	3.9m/s	7m/s	4.1m/s	2.1m/s
06:00	989hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	20600m	4.3m/s	Unavailable	Unavailable	2.4m/s

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Ubud.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Ubud during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 49% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 50% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 50% average confidence

Most frequent recorded start hour

20:00 local time, shared by 4 of 13 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 8 of 13 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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