Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Sidemen, Bali, Indonesia

Sidemen, Bali, Indonesia

Sidemen's valley is patterned by rice terraces, irrigation channels, palms, and village roofs, with Mount Agung rising beyond the eastern ridges.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

16%

CAPE23

Lifted Index1.1°C

Wind Gusts3.4m/s

Precipitation0.1mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar

Next opportunity

Weak Storm

Sidemen

Sat, Jul 18 · 02:00–03:00 · 1h window

Low confidence

39%

⛈️Storm Intensity41.6%

CAPE: 59

Lifted Index: 0.1°C

Wind Gusts: 3.6m/s

Precipitation: 3.2mm

Weak Storm

Sidemen

Sat, Jul 18 · 08:00–09:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:40.2%

Low

Weak Storm

Sidemen

Sat, Jul 18 · 14:00–15:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:45.2%

Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Sidemen.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sidemen during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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92-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 92-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

3matching hours in the next 92 hoursJump to next match

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Makassar	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Wed, Jul 15
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	16%
16:00	16%
17:00	15%
18:00	14%
19:00	17%
20:00	19%
21:00	19%
22:00	16%
23:00	17%
Thu, Jul 16
24:00	18%
01:00	22%
02:00	27%
03:00	23%
04:00	19%
05:00	18%
06:00	17%
07:00	17%
08:00	20%
09:00	16%
10:00	16%
11:00	19%
12:00	18%
13:00	18%
14:00	0%
15:00	17%
16:00	16%
17:00	19%
18:00	17%
19:00	21%
20:00	25%
21:00	22%
22:00	20%
23:00	21%
Fri, Jul 17
24:00	18%
01:00	20%
02:00	20%
03:00	17%
04:00	16%
05:00	18%
06:00	16%
07:00	16%
08:00	0%
09:00	19%
10:00	20%
11:00	25%
12:00	27%
13:00	27%
14:00	31%
15:00	27%
16:00	29%
17:00	30%
18:00	29%
19:00	29%
20:00	30%
21:00	27%
22:00	25%
23:00	36%
Sat, Jul 18
24:00	37%
01:00	38%
02:00	42%
03:00	27%
04:00	30%
05:00	25%
06:00	25%
07:00	27%
08:00	40%
09:00	23%
10:00	32%
11:00	29%
12:00	27%
13:00	29%
14:00	45%
15:00	29%
16:00	27%
17:00	26%
18:00	20%
19:00	24%
20:00	23%
21:00	24%
22:00	25%
23:00	27%
Sun, Jul 19
24:00	26%
01:00	25%
02:00	28%
03:00	26%
04:00	23%
05:00	23%
06:00	24%
07:00	27%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Makassar	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Thu, Jul 16 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 18:14
09:00	988hPa	23J/kg	0.9fraction	1.1°C	26%	0mm	0.07mm	2dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	3.4m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
10:00	988hPa	22J/kg	0.8fraction	0.9°C	13%	0mm	0.03mm	3.8dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	3.1m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
11:00	987hPa	55J/kg	0.7fraction	0.8°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	5.6dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.1m/s	7.7m/s	8.9m/s	2.6m/s
12:00	986hPa	49J/kg	0.58fraction	0.7°C	13%	0mm	0.01mm	4.2dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
13:00	986hPa	93J/kg	0.46fraction	0.6°C	26%	0mm	0.02mm	2.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3.3m/s	-	-	4.1m/s
14:00	985hPa	103J/kg	0.35fraction	0.4°C	39%	0mm	0.02mm	1.4dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.5m/s	7.2m/s	10m/s	3.9m/s
15:00	984hPa	60J/kg	0.56fraction	0.4°C	45%	0mm	0.02mm	1.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.6m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
16:00	984hPa	13J/kg	0.78fraction	0.5°C	50%	0mm	0.02mm	1.8dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	3.3m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
17:00	984hPa	15J/kg	1fraction	0.7°C	56%	0mm	0.03mm	1.9dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	3m/s	6.8m/s	9.5m/s	2.4m/s
18:00	985hPa	21J/kg	1fraction	0.9°C	59%	0mm	0.02mm	4.4dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
19:00 ☾	985hPa	86J/kg	1fraction	0.8°C	61%	0mm	0.06mm	6.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3.2m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
20:00 ☾	986hPa	27J/kg	1fraction	1.2°C	64%	0mm	0.07mm	9.2dBZ	0.19mm	16716m	3.3m/s	6.9m/s	10m/s	1.5m/s
21:00 ☾	987hPa	36J/kg	0.94fraction	1°C	60%	0mm	0.13mm	11dBZ	0.06mm	16075m	3.1m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:00 ☾	987hPa	34J/kg	0.87fraction	1°C	57%	0mm	0.14mm	13dBZ	0.25mm	21756m	2.4m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
23:00 ☾	986hPa	21J/kg	0.81fraction	0.8°C	53%	0.01mm	0.06mm	14dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	1.5m/s	5.3m/s	9.8m/s	1.2m/s
Fri, Jul 17 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 18:14
24:00 ☾	986hPa	22J/kg	0.74fraction	0.5°C	58%	0.04mm	0.04mm	15dBZ	0.31mm	23977m	1m/s	-	-	0.78m/s
01:00 ☾	986hPa	38J/kg	0.67fraction	0.5°C	63%	0.02mm	0.07mm	15dBZ	0.44mm	23981m	0.8m/s	-	-	0.02m/s
02:00 ☾	985hPa	41J/kg	0.6fraction	0.4°C	69%	0mm	0.11mm	15dBZ	0.5mm	23061m	1.2m/s	3.9m/s	7m/s	0.66m/s
03:00 ☾	985hPa	32J/kg	0.65fraction	0.5°C	60%	0mm	0.03mm	8.8dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	1.3m/s	-	-	0.95m/s
04:00 ☾	985hPa	28J/kg	0.7fraction	0.6°C	52%	0mm	0.02mm	2.4dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
05:00 ☾	985hPa	37J/kg	0.75fraction	0.2°C	44%	0mm	0.02mm	-4dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	1m/s	3.8m/s	4.9m/s	1.1m/s
06:00 ☾	985hPa	36J/kg	0.59fraction	0.2°C	48%	0mm	0.17mm	-5.5dBZ	0.19mm	23422m	1m/s	-	-	0.92m/s
07:00 ☾	986hPa	20J/kg	0.43fraction	0.3°C	52%	0mm	0.03mm	-6.9dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	0.91m/s	-	-	0.61m/s
08:00	986hPa	29J/kg	0.26fraction	0.1°C	56%	0mm	0.03mm	-8.3dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	1.1m/s	5.6m/s	6.1m/s	0.12m/s
09:00	986hPa	41J/kg	0.51fraction	-0.4°C	65%	0mm	0.02mm	-4.9dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.2m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
10:00	986hPa	63J/kg	0.75fraction	-0.7°C	73%	0mm	0.03mm	-1.5dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2.9m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
11:00	986hPa	72J/kg	1fraction	-0.6°C	82%	0.01mm	0.11mm	1.9dBZ	0.13mm	23569m	3m/s	5.5m/s	5.5m/s	2.7m/s
12:00	985hPa	63J/kg	0.94fraction	-0.3°C	85%	0mm	0.06mm	-0.91dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
13:00	985hPa	46J/kg	0.88fraction	-0.5°C	88%	0mm	0.06mm	-3.7dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	3.2m/s	-	-	3.7m/s
14:00	984hPa	28J/kg	0.82fraction	-0.4°C	92%	0mm	0.06mm	-6.5dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	3.4m/s	7.5m/s	8.2m/s	3.6m/s
15:00	983hPa	41J/kg	0.88fraction	-0.5°C	93%	0mm	0.05mm	-0.62dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.2m/s	-	-	3.4m/s
16:00	983hPa	44J/kg	0.94fraction	-0.4°C	94%	0mm	0.07mm	5.2dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.1m/s	-	-	3.2m/s
17:00	984hPa	80J/kg	1fraction	-0.4°C	95%	0mm	0.11mm	11dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	3.9m/s	8.3m/s	8.4m/s	2.7m/s
18:00	984hPa	64J/kg	1fraction	-0.2°C	96%	0mm	0.23mm	13dBZ	0.31mm	13261m	4.3m/s	-	-	2m/s
19:00 ☾	984hPa	58J/kg	1fraction	-0.1°C	98%	0mm	0.2mm	15dBZ	0.5mm	11178m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
20:00 ☾	985hPa	55J/kg	1fraction	-0.1°C	99%	0.01mm	0.18mm	17dBZ	0.69mm	15489m	4.6m/s	9.8m/s	7.3m/s	2.1m/s
21:00 ☾	986hPa	63J/kg	1fraction	0°C	97%	0.02mm	0.23mm	13dBZ	0.38mm	13050m	4.8m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
22:00 ☾	986hPa	57J/kg	1fraction	0.3°C	95%	0.04mm	0.2mm	9.8dBZ	0.81mm	15261m	4.9m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
23:00 ☾	986hPa	63J/kg	1fraction	0.1°C	93%	0mm	0.52mm	6.5dBZ	1.3mm	14841m	3.8m/s	8.5m/s	7.3m/s	1.5m/s
Sat, Jul 18 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 18:14
24:00 ☾	986hPa	62J/kg	0.9fraction	0.2°C	94%	0.01mm	1mm	8.2dBZ	1.9mm	7672m	3.4m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
01:00 ☾	985hPa	55J/kg	0.8fraction	0.1°C	96%	0mm	0.63mm	10dBZ	2.6mm	18527m	3.3m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
02:00 ☾	985hPa	59J/kg	0.7fraction	0.1°C	98%	0.01mm	0.85mm	12dBZ	3.2mm	14778m	3.6m/s	8.2m/s	8.1m/s	1.7m/s
03:00 ☾	984hPa	60J/kg	0.64fraction	0.2°C	90%	0.01mm	0.46mm	9.1dBZ	0.69mm	7511m	4.1m/s	-	-	2m/s
04:00 ☾	984hPa	48J/kg	0.57fraction	0.5°C	82%	0mm	0.8mm	6.5dBZ	1.4mm	11189m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
05:00 ☾	984hPa	43J/kg	0.51fraction	0.4°C	75%	0.02mm	0.45mm	3.9dBZ	1.9mm	10969m	4.1m/s	8.7m/s	8.2m/s	2m/s
06:00 ☾	985hPa	58J/kg	0.52fraction	0.2°C	75%	0mm	0.44mm	9.6dBZ	2.4mm	8677m	4m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
07:00 ☾	985hPa	54J/kg	0.54fraction	0.1°C	74%	0mm	0.36mm	15dBZ	2.9mm	15045m	4m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
08:00	986hPa	59J/kg	0.55fraction	0.3°C	74%	0mm	0.61mm	21dBZ	3.5mm	7762m	4.3m/s	8.2m/s	8.2m/s	2.1m/s
09:00	986hPa	48J/kg	0.68fraction	0.1°C	77%	0mm	0.31mm	12dBZ	0.56mm	22057m	4.7m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
10:00	986hPa	70J/kg	0.8fraction	0°C	80%	0mm	0.63mm	3.4dBZ	1.1mm	12931m	4.2m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
11:00	985hPa	66J/kg	0.93fraction	0°C	83%	0mm	0.47mm	-5.5dBZ	1.6mm	12589m	3.8m/s	8.3m/s	6.8m/s	2.3m/s
12:00	985hPa	73J/kg	0.78fraction	-0.1°C	85%	0mm	0.32mm	1.5dBZ	2mm	21716m	3.7m/s	-	-	2.6m/s
13:00	984hPa	80J/kg	0.63fraction	-0.3°C	88%	0mm	0.4mm	8.4dBZ	2.4mm	20036m	3.9m/s	-	-	3.7m/s
14:00	983hPa	90J/kg	0.48fraction	-0.6°C	90%	0.03mm	0.53mm	15dBZ	2.6mm	13632m	4.1m/s	8.8m/s	7.5m/s	3.6m/s
15:00	984hPa	80J/kg	0.65fraction	-0.42°C	81%	0.02mm	0.45mm	15dBZ	1.9mm	14328m	3.9m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
16:00	984hPa	69J/kg	0.83fraction	-0.25°C	73%	0.01mm	0.36mm	15dBZ	1.2mm	15025m	3.7m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
17:00	985hPa	59J/kg	1fraction	-0.07°C	64%	0mm	0.28mm	15dBZ	0.5mm	15721m	3.4m/s	8.8m/s	7m/s	1.6m/s
18:00	985hPa	67J/kg	0.73fraction	0.06°C	70%	0.04mm	0.26mm	5.9dBZ	0.83mm	15354m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
19:00 ☾	985hPa	75J/kg	0.46fraction	0.19°C	77%	0.07mm	0.24mm	-3.5dBZ	1.2mm	14988m	1.5m/s	-	-	0.8m/s
20:00 ☾	984hPa	83J/kg	0.2fraction	0.32°C	83%	0.11mm	0.22mm	-13dBZ	1.5mm	14621m	0.53m/s	8.7m/s	5.5m/s	0.43m/s
21:00 ☾	984hPa	66J/kg	0.46fraction	0.13°C	87%	0.09mm	0.16mm	-9.5dBZ	1.2mm	14895m	0.63m/s	-	-	0.51m/s
22:00 ☾	984hPa	48J/kg	0.73fraction	-0.06°C	91%	0.07mm	0.1mm	-6.2dBZ	0.88mm	15168m	0.74m/s	-	-	0.59m/s
23:00 ☾	984hPa	31J/kg	1fraction	-0.26°C	95%	0.05mm	0.04mm	-2.8dBZ	0.56mm	15442m	0.84m/s	7.6m/s	4.5m/s	0.68m/s
Sun, Jul 19 Sunrise 06:34 Sunset 18:14
24:00 ☾	984hPa	36J/kg	0.89fraction	-0.25°C	95%	0.06mm	0.05mm	0.16dBZ	0.71mm	17438m	1.2m/s	-	-	0.67m/s
01:00 ☾	985hPa	40J/kg	0.78fraction	-0.24°C	96%	0.07mm	0.06mm	3.1dBZ	0.85mm	19434m	1.5m/s	-	-	0.67m/s
02:00 ☾	985hPa	45J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.24°C	96%	0.08mm	0.07mm	6.1dBZ	1mm	21430m	1.8m/s	3.7m/s	2m/s	0.67m/s
03:00 ☾	985hPa	49J/kg	0.6fraction	-0.17°C	91%	0.05mm	0.11mm	7dBZ	0.85mm	22332m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
04:00 ☾	985hPa	54J/kg	0.54fraction	-0.1°C	87%	0.03mm	0.14mm	7.8dBZ	0.71mm	23234m	1.7m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
05:00 ☾	985hPa	58J/kg	0.48fraction	-0.03°C	82%	0mm	0.18mm	8.7dBZ	0.56mm	24135m	1.6m/s	5.5m/s	3.5m/s	2.1m/s
06:00 ☾	984hPa	86J/kg	0.48fraction	-0.42°C	85%	0.03mm	0.15mm	11dBZ	0.79mm	24135m	2m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
07:00 ☾	984hPa	113J/kg	0.47fraction	-0.81°C	88%	0.07mm	0.13mm	14dBZ	1mm	24135m	2.4m/s	-	-	2.7m/s
08:00	983hPa	141J/kg	0.46fraction	-1.2°C	92%	0.1mm	0.1mm	16dBZ	1.3mm	24135m	2.8m/s	7.3m/s	3.3m/s	3.1m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC

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