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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Sanur, Bali, Indonesia

Sanur, Bali, Indonesia

Sanur faces east across a shallow lagoon, where traditional jukung outriggers, reef shallows, and distant Mount Agung structure sunrise scenes.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover90%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover31%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.3
Sun Elevation-5.0° (Civil twilight)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar
fire-sky weather icon
Next opportunity
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Sanur
Tue, Sep 15 · 06:00–06:40 · 1h window
Medium confidence
48%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential86.3%
Low Cloud Cover: 1%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 52%
Sun Elevation: -3.9° (Civil twilight)

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Sanur.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sanur during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
6
recorded matching windows · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
11
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 365 days
20
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

18:00 local time, shared by 13 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

August, with 6 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Makassar
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Sep 7
05:0016%95%23133m
06:0027%96%24135m
07:0015%98%23985m
08:0019%99%20672m
09:0017%79%19789m
10:0013%59%23286m
11:0016%39%23312m
12:0014%59%22482m
13:004.8%79%23265m
14:0016%98%24135m
15:0011%68%24134m
16:0021%80%24135m
17:0020%92%24135m
18:0034%94%24135m
19:0020%97%24135m
20:008.6%100%24135m
21:0017%100%23983m
22:0014%100%23306m
23:0011%100%23712m
Tue, Sep 8
24:0014%100%20592m
01:007.1%100%17558m
02:0016%100%15692m
03:0016%99%15791m
04:0015%99%11484m
05:0011%99%20367m
06:0021%100%16230m
07:0015%100%12592m
08:0016%100%19020m
09:0013%97%17261m
10:0015%94%12068m
11:0018%90%22063m
12:0012%93%23830m
13:007.5%96%22480m
14:0024%99%24134m
15:0011%98%24135m
16:0018%97%23928m
17:008.7%97%20691m
18:0020%98%19523m
19:0014%99%18353m
20:009.4%100%17644m
21:009.8%100%19746m
22:0016%100%16432m
23:004.5%100%19545m
Wed, Sep 9
24:004.4%100%19849m
01:0015%100%24135m
02:003.9%100%16226m
03:0018%99%24134m
04:009.1%98%24135m
05:006.2%98%24134m
06:0023%98%24134m
07:006.3%98%24135m
08:0016%98%21992m
09:0014%93%21377m
10:0013%87%18919m
11:0015%82%17616m
12:0023%82%24135m
13:0014%82%24135m
14:0026%82%24135m
15:0026%73%24134m
16:0022%65%24134m
17:0020%56%24134m
18:0028%68%24134m
19:006.9%80%24134m
20:0015%93%24134m
21:0030%89%24135m
22:0017%85%24134m
23:005.5%82%23888m
Thu, Sep 10
24:007.1%85%24135m
01:005.9%88%24134m
02:0014%92%24134m
03:0014%88%23999m
04:0013%85%24135m
05:007.8%82%24134m
06:0020%77%24135m
07:0015%73%22531m
08:007.7%69%24135m
09:0020%54%23997m
10:0017%39%19607m
11:0017%24%19547m
12:0022%29%19342m
13:0021%34%21539m
14:0023%39%24134m
15:000%39%24024m
16:000%39%23914m
17:000%39%23804m
18:0016%49%21102m
19:000%59%18401m
20:000%69%15699m
21:000%73%13818m
22:000%77%11938m
23:000%82%10057m
Fri, Sep 11
24:000%87%11877m
01:000%92%13698m
02:000%98%15518m
03:000%91%18390m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Makassar
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Tue, Sep 8 Sunrise 06:17 Sunset 18:16
06:00
0.33 0% 3% 0.001 - 31% 90% 0% 36% 0.06 -5° 0seconds
07:00
0.33 0% 4% 0.001 - 76% 93% 0% 37% 0.07 9.8° 0seconds
08:00
0.33 0% 4% 0.001 - 65% 95% 0% 37% 0.07 24° 0seconds
09:00
0.34 0% 6% 0.001 - 48% 91% 0% 40% 0.07 39° 3600seconds
10:00
0.35 0% 9% 0.001 - 47% 73% 0% 42% 0.07 53° 3600seconds
11:00
0.34 0% 11% 0.001 - 6% 37% 0% 44% 0.07 66° 3600seconds
12:00
0.35 0% 12% 0.001 - 5% 15% 0% 46% 0.07 75° 3600seconds
13:00
0.33 0% 12% 0.001 - 26% 19% 0% 47% 0.07 72° 3600seconds
14:00
0.34 0% 13% 0.001 - 74% 10% 0% 48% 0.06 61° 3600seconds
15:00
0.34 0% 12% 0.001 - 5% 10% 0% 47% 0.06 47° 3600seconds
16:00
0.34 0% 11% 0.001 - 8% 20% 0% 46% 0.05 33° 3600seconds
17:00
0.36 0% 10% 0.001 - 5% 34% 0% 45% 0.05 18° 3600seconds
18:00
0.38 0% 9% 0.001 - 44% 52% 0% 44% 0.05 3.5° 3600seconds
19:00
0.4 0% 8% 0.001 - 17% 80% 0% 42% 0.06 -11° 3600seconds
20:00
0.43 0% 7% 0.001 - 5% 83% 0% 40% 0.06 -26° 3600seconds
21:00
0.45 0% 7% 0.001 - 3% 70% 0% 38% 0.07 -41° 0seconds
22:00
0.45 0% 7% 0.001 - 1% 91% 0% 36% 0.07 -56° 0seconds
23:00
0.45 0% 7% 0.001 - 4% 87% 0% 33% 0.08 -71° 0seconds
Wed, Sep 9 Sunrise 06:17 Sunset 18:16
24:00
0.46 0% 6% 0.001 - 1% 85% 0% 33% 0.08 -85° 0seconds
01:00
0.46 0% 6% 0.001 - 4% 31% 0% 33% 0.09 -79° 0seconds
02:00
0.46 0% 5% 0.001 - 5% 92% 0% 33% 0.09 -64° 0seconds
03:00
0.47 0% 6% 0.001 - 5% 66% 0% 33% 0.09 -49° 0seconds
04:00
0.46 0% 6% 0.001 - 46% 65% 0% 34% 0.09 -35° 0seconds
05:00
0.46 0% 7% 0.001 - 86% 46% 0% 35% 0.1 -20° 0seconds
06:00
0.46 0% 7% 0.001 - 73% 43% 0% 34% 0.1 -4.8° 0seconds
07:00
0.46 0% 7% 0.001 - 5% 60% 0% 33% 0.1 10° 0seconds
08:00
0.46 0% 7% 0.001 - 30% 99% 0% 31% 0.1 25° 0seconds
09:00
- 0% 7% - - 81% 99% 0% 33% - 39° 3600seconds
10:00
- 0% 8% - - 92% 97% 0% 35% - 53° 3600seconds
11:00
- 0% 8% - - 100% 98% 0% 37% - 66° 3600seconds
12:00
- 0% 8% - - 100% 81% 0% 35% - 75° 3600seconds
13:00
- 0% 9% - - 100% 40% 0% 32% - 72° 3600seconds
14:00
- 0% 9% - - 5% 26% 0% 30% - 61° 3600seconds
15:00
- 0% 10% - - 14% 21% 0% 29% - 47° 3600seconds
16:00
- 0% 11% - - 56% 24% 0% 28% - 33° 3600seconds
17:00
- 0% 12% - - 69% 23% 0% 27% - 18° 3600seconds
18:00
- 0% 12% - - 5% 28% 0% 26% - 3.4° 3600seconds
19:00
- 0% 12% - - 6% 15% 0% 25% - -12° 3600seconds
20:00
- 0% 12% - - 7% 19% 0% 24% - -26° 3600seconds
21:00
- 0% 12% - - 6% 33% 0% 24% - -41° 0seconds
22:00
- 0% 11% - - 52% 87% 0% 24% - -56° 0seconds
23:00
- 0% 11% - - 5% 100% 0% 24% - -71° 0seconds
Thu, Sep 10 Sunrise 06:16 Sunset 18:16
24:00
- 0% 10% - - 6% 96% 0% 26% - -85° 0seconds
01:00
- 0% 8% - - 16% 95% 0% 27% - -79° 0seconds
02:00
- 0% 7% - - 10% 95% 0% 29% - -64° 0seconds
03:00
- 0% 7% - - 65% 99% 0% 30% - -49° 0seconds
04:00
- 0% 7% - - 100% 64% 0% 31% - -34° 0seconds
05:00
- 0% 7% - - 45% 66% 0% 32% - -20° 0seconds
06:00
- 0% 7% - - 7% 62% 0% 34% - -4.7° 0seconds
07:00
- 0% 7% - - 60% 57% 0% 36% - 10° 0seconds
08:00
- 0% 7% - - 18% 70% 0% 38% - 25° 0seconds
09:00
- 0% 10% - - 49% 14% 0% 35% - 39° 3600seconds
10:00
- 1% 14% - - 62% 6% 0% 33% - 53° 3600seconds
11:00
- 1% 17% - - 7% 14% 0% 31% - 67° 3600seconds
12:00
- 1% 17% - - 38% 12% 0% 30% - 76° 3600seconds
13:00
- 2% 16% - - 75% 16% 0% 30% - 73° 3600seconds
14:00
- 2% 16% - - 95% 16% 0% 29% - 61° 3600seconds
15:00
- 17% 20% - - 96% 25% 0% 28% - 47° 2400seconds
16:00
- 32% 25% - - 98% 35% 0% 26% - 33° 1200seconds
17:00
- 47% 29% - - 100% 44% 0% 25% - 18° 0seconds
18:00
- 37% 26% - - 100% 54% 0% 25% - 3.4° 0seconds
19:00
- 28% 23% - - 100% 65% 0% 26% - -12° 0seconds
20:00
- 18% 20% - - 100% 75% 0% 27% - -26° 0seconds
21:00
- 12% 17% - - 93% 74% 0% 27% - -41° 0seconds
22:00
- 6% 15% - - 86% 72% 0% 27% - -56° 0seconds
23:00
- 0% 12% - - 79% 71% 0% 27% - -71° 0seconds
Fri, Sep 11 Sunrise 06:16 Sunset 18:16
24:00
- 0% 10% - - 83% 74% 0% 26% - -84° 0seconds
01:00
- 0% 8% - - 87% 78% 0% 25% - -78° 0seconds
02:00
- 0% 6% - - 91% 81% 0% 25% - -64° 0seconds
03:00
- 0% 5% - - 65% 74% 0% 25% - -49° 1200seconds
04:00
- 0% 4% - - 38% 67% 0% 26% - -34° 2400seconds
05:00
- 0% 3% - - 12% 61% 0% 26% - -19° 3600seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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