Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia

Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia

Nusa Dua's peninsula features pale beaches, reef-protected shallows, limestone edges, and manicured headlands for clean coastal geometry.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

15%

CAPE207

Lifted Index-0.4°C

Wind Gusts8.8m/s

Precipitation0.1mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar

Next opportunity

Weak Storm

Nusa Dua

Sat, Jul 18 · 02:00–03:00 · 1h window

Medium confidence

43%

⛈️Storm Intensity48.2%

CAPE: 86

Lifted Index: 0.1°C

Wind Gusts: 9.1m/s

Precipitation: 2.4mm

Weak Storm

Nusa Dua

Sun, Jul 19 · 05:00–06:00

⛈️Storm Intensity:43.6%

Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Nusa Dua.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Nusa Dua during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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92-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 92-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

2matching hours in the next 92 hoursJump to next match

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Makassar	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Wed, Jul 15
12:00	13%
13:00	13%
14:00	17%
15:00	13%
16:00	13%
17:00	15%
18:00	10%
19:00	14%
20:00	25%
21:00	16%
22:00	12%
23:00	18%
Thu, Jul 16
24:00	15%
01:00	22%
02:00	31%
03:00	23%
04:00	17%
05:00	23%
06:00	16%
07:00	15%
08:00	20%
09:00	15%
10:00	16%
11:00	23%
12:00	18%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	23%
20:00	30%
21:00	24%
22:00	24%
23:00	30%
Fri, Jul 17
24:00	23%
01:00	23%
02:00	31%
03:00	25%
04:00	24%
05:00	30%
06:00	22%
07:00	25%
08:00	29%
09:00	18%
10:00	21%
11:00	30%
12:00	21%
13:00	16%
14:00	23%
15:00	13%
16:00	14%
17:00	26%
18:00	20%
19:00	26%
20:00	33%
21:00	27%
22:00	32%
23:00	38%
Sat, Jul 18
24:00	29%
01:00	37%
02:00	48%
03:00	26%
04:00	24%
05:00	30%
06:00	21%
07:00	24%
08:00	34%
09:00	36%
10:00	25%
11:00	31%
12:00	24%
13:00	27%
14:00	29%
15:00	18%
16:00	19%
17:00	22%
18:00	19%
19:00	26%
20:00	36%
21:00	29%
22:00	29%
23:00	40%
Sun, Jul 19
24:00	29%
01:00	28%
02:00	38%
03:00	30%
04:00	37%
05:00	44%
06:00	33%
07:00	31%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Makassar	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Thu, Jul 16 Sunrise 06:35 Sunset 18:14
09:00	1016hPa	207J/kg	0.47fraction	-0.4°C	26%	0mm	0.13mm	-12dBZ	0.06mm	23190m	8.8m/s	-	-	7.5m/s
10:00	1016hPa	222J/kg	0.74fraction	-0.5°C	13%	0mm	0.07mm	-4.1dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	8.3m/s	-	-	7.4m/s
11:00	1015hPa	225J/kg	1fraction	-0.5°C	0%	0mm	0.06mm	3.8dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	7.7m/s	15m/s	13m/s	7.1m/s
12:00	1015hPa	166J/kg	0.69fraction	-0.2°C	0%	0mm	0.03mm	-3.6dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	6.9m/s	-	-	6.3m/s
13:00	1014hPa	129J/kg	0.39fraction	0°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	7.2m/s	-	-	6.6m/s
14:00	1013hPa	123J/kg	0.08fraction	0°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-18dBZ	0.31mm	24134m	7.6m/s	14m/s	15m/s	6.1m/s
15:00	1012hPa	115J/kg	0.05fraction	0.1°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.6m/s	-	-	6.6m/s
16:00	1012hPa	151J/kg	0.03fraction	0.1°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-19dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.5m/s	-	-	6.8m/s
17:00	1012hPa	165J/kg	0fraction	0.1°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.3m/s	14m/s	15m/s	6.7m/s
18:00	1013hPa	219J/kg	0.33fraction	0°C	58%	0mm	0.02mm	-11dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.1m/s	-	-	6.3m/s
19:00 ☾	1013hPa	270J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.1°C	76%	0.01mm	0.15mm	-3dBZ	0.06mm	24107m	7.5m/s	-	-	6.7m/s
20:00 ☾	1014hPa	233J/kg	1fraction	0.2°C	95%	0mm	0.17mm	5.5dBZ	0.25mm	23479m	7.7m/s	14m/s	14m/s	7m/s
21:00 ☾	1014hPa	138J/kg	0.94fraction	0.5°C	96%	0mm	0.08mm	5.4dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	6.7m/s
22:00 ☾	1015hPa	33J/kg	0.87fraction	0.9°C	97%	0mm	0.04mm	5.3dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	7m/s	-	-	6.3m/s
23:00 ☾	1014hPa	19J/kg	0.81fraction	1°C	98%	0.03mm	0.02mm	5.2dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	6.6m/s	12m/s	15m/s	6m/s
Fri, Jul 17 Sunrise 06:35 Sunset 18:14
24:00 ☾	1014hPa	54J/kg	0.78fraction	0.5°C	99%	0.04mm	0.1mm	5.9dBZ	0.31mm	22491m	6.8m/s	-	-	6.1m/s
01:00 ☾	1014hPa	132J/kg	0.75fraction	0°C	99%	0.01mm	0.32mm	6.6dBZ	0.56mm	17146m	7.5m/s	-	-	6.7m/s
02:00 ☾	1013hPa	134J/kg	0.72fraction	-0.2°C	100%	0mm	0.15mm	7.3dBZ	0.81mm	24134m	7.8m/s	12m/s	13m/s	7.4m/s
03:00 ☾	1013hPa	145J/kg	0.81fraction	-0.3°C	87%	0mm	0.23mm	12dBZ	0.19mm	21890m	7.6m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
04:00 ☾	1012hPa	163J/kg	0.91fraction	-0.5°C	75%	0mm	0.44mm	16dBZ	0.5mm	12022m	8m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
05:00 ☾	1013hPa	131J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	62%	0mm	0.1mm	20dBZ	0.69mm	24134m	7.8m/s	13m/s	14m/s	7.4m/s
06:00 ☾	1013hPa	78J/kg	0.73fraction	-0.2°C	69%	0mm	0.15mm	15dBZ	0.81mm	23221m	7.9m/s	-	-	7.5m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	88J/kg	0.46fraction	-0.4°C	75%	0mm	0.28mm	9.3dBZ	1.1mm	22306m	8.2m/s	-	-	7.5m/s
08:00	1014hPa	122J/kg	0.19fraction	-0.6°C	82%	0.01mm	0.36mm	3.9dBZ	1.4mm	17273m	7.7m/s	13m/s	14m/s	6.8m/s
09:00	1014hPa	127J/kg	0.44fraction	-0.6°C	55%	0mm	0.12mm	1.9dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	7.5m/s	-	-	6.6m/s
10:00	1014hPa	97J/kg	0.68fraction	-0.4°C	27%	0mm	0.26mm	-0.07dBZ	0.38mm	18001m	9.1m/s	-	-	8.6m/s
11:00	1014hPa	86J/kg	0.92fraction	-0.4°C	0%	0mm	0.1mm	-2.1dBZ	0.5mm	24135m	8.8m/s	14m/s	15m/s	8.3m/s
12:00	1013hPa	74J/kg	0.61fraction	-0.1°C	0%	0mm	0.04mm	-8dBZ	0.56mm	24135m	8.5m/s	-	-	8m/s
13:00	1013hPa	85J/kg	0.31fraction	-0.3°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-14dBZ	0.63mm	24134m	8m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
14:00	1012hPa	62J/kg	0.008fraction	-0.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.63mm	24135m	7.9m/s	13m/s	15m/s	7.2m/s
15:00	1011hPa	63J/kg	0.01fraction	-0.5°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
16:00	1011hPa	74J/kg	0fraction	-0.6°C	59%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.6m/s	-	-	7m/s
17:00	1011hPa	107J/kg	0fraction	-0.7°C	88%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.5m/s	14m/s	15m/s	6.9m/s
18:00	1012hPa	132J/kg	0.15fraction	-0.7°C	91%	0mm	0.06mm	-13dBZ	0mm	24134m	8m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
19:00 ☾	1012hPa	148J/kg	0.3fraction	-0.8°C	94%	0mm	0.15mm	-5.9dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	8.6m/s	-	-	8m/s
20:00 ☾	1013hPa	149J/kg	0.46fraction	-0.7°C	98%	0mm	0.12mm	1.1dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	9.1m/s	14m/s	14m/s	8.4m/s
21:00 ☾	1014hPa	95J/kg	0.48fraction	-0.5°C	97%	0mm	0.01mm	-2.8dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	9.1m/s	-	-	8.4m/s
22:00 ☾	1014hPa	92J/kg	0.51fraction	-0.1°C	96%	0mm	0.53mm	-6.7dBZ	0.38mm	16112m	9m/s	-	-	8.2m/s
23:00 ☾	1014hPa	94J/kg	0.53fraction	-0.1°C	95%	0mm	0.61mm	-11dBZ	0.69mm	17129m	9.1m/s	14m/s	14m/s	8.3m/s
Sat, Jul 18 Sunrise 06:35 Sunset 18:14
24:00 ☾	1014hPa	94J/kg	0.67fraction	0°C	95%	0mm	0.31mm	-5.7dBZ	1.2mm	24134m	9m/s	-	-	8.5m/s
01:00 ☾	1013hPa	91J/kg	0.82fraction	0.1°C	96%	0mm	0.92mm	-0.7dBZ	1.8mm	10749m	9.1m/s	-	-	8.7m/s
02:00 ☾	1013hPa	86J/kg	0.96fraction	0.1°C	96%	0mm	0.68mm	4.3dBZ	2.4mm	12629m	9.1m/s	13m/s	14m/s	8.7m/s
03:00 ☾	1012hPa	78J/kg	0.8fraction	0.2°C	86%	0mm	0.37mm	-0.19dBZ	0.56mm	13780m	8.8m/s	-	-	8.5m/s
04:00 ☾	1012hPa	64J/kg	0.64fraction	0.1°C	76%	0mm	0.18mm	-4.7dBZ	0.94mm	23609m	8.5m/s	-	-	8.2m/s
05:00 ☾	1012hPa	68J/kg	0.48fraction	0.1°C	66%	0mm	0.45mm	-9.2dBZ	1.3mm	16851m	8.3m/s	13m/s	14m/s	8.1m/s
06:00 ☾	1012hPa	63J/kg	0.57fraction	0°C	68%	0.01mm	0.32mm	-3dBZ	1.6mm	19008m	8.2m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	78J/kg	0.66fraction	-0.2°C	70%	0.01mm	0.33mm	3.2dBZ	2.1mm	22055m	8.2m/s	-	-	7.6m/s
08:00	1013hPa	84J/kg	0.75fraction	-0.3°C	72%	0mm	0.32mm	9.4dBZ	2.6mm	22368m	8.5m/s	14m/s	14m/s	8m/s
09:00	1014hPa	71J/kg	0.84fraction	-0.1°C	48%	0mm	1.1mm	7.4dBZ	0.56mm	9033m	9m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
10:00	1014hPa	76J/kg	0.92fraction	-0.3°C	24%	0mm	0.33mm	5.5dBZ	1.1mm	24134m	9.4m/s	-	-	8.6m/s
11:00	1013hPa	73J/kg	1fraction	-0.3°C	0%	0mm	0.4mm	3.5dBZ	1.7mm	18999m	9.8m/s	13m/s	14m/s	8.8m/s
12:00	1013hPa	71J/kg	0.75fraction	-0.1°C	7%	0mm	0.38mm	-4.3dBZ	2.3mm	19224m	9.7m/s	-	-	8.6m/s
13:00	1012hPa	55J/kg	0.49fraction	-0.1°C	15%	0mm	0.18mm	-12dBZ	2.6mm	24134m	9.2m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
14:00	1011hPa	52J/kg	0.24fraction	-0.2°C	22%	0mm	0.15mm	-20dBZ	2.8mm	24134m	9m/s	11m/s	13m/s	8m/s
15:00	1012hPa	65J/kg	0.16fraction	-0.22°C	33%	0mm	0.19mm	-20dBZ	2.1mm	22751m	9m/s	-	-	7.9m/s
16:00	1013hPa	77J/kg	0.08fraction	-0.25°C	45%	0mm	0.24mm	-20dBZ	1.4mm	21369m	9.1m/s	-	-	7.9m/s
17:00	1014hPa	90J/kg	0fraction	-0.27°C	56%	0mm	0.28mm	-20dBZ	0.69mm	19986m	9.1m/s	13m/s	12m/s	7.9m/s
18:00	1013hPa	101J/kg	0.33fraction	-0.31°C	68%	0.04mm	0.26mm	-9.7dBZ	0.98mm	18745m	8.9m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
19:00 ☾	1013hPa	112J/kg	0.67fraction	-0.34°C	80%	0.08mm	0.25mm	0.68dBZ	1.3mm	17505m	8.7m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
20:00 ☾	1013hPa	123J/kg	1fraction	-0.38°C	92%	0.12mm	0.23mm	11dBZ	1.6mm	16264m	8.5m/s	14m/s	12m/s	7.7m/s
21:00 ☾	1012hPa	127J/kg	1fraction	-0.54°C	94%	0.08mm	0.33mm	6dBZ	1.5mm	16746m	8.6m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
22:00 ☾	1012hPa	130J/kg	1fraction	-0.7°C	96%	0.04mm	0.42mm	1.1dBZ	1.4mm	17229m	8.6m/s	-	-	7.9m/s
23:00 ☾	1012hPa	134J/kg	1fraction	-0.86°C	99%	0mm	0.52mm	-3.9dBZ	1.3mm	17712m	8.6m/s	14m/s	11m/s	7.9m/s
Sun, Jul 19 Sunrise 06:35 Sunset 18:15
24:00 ☾	1013hPa	138J/kg	0.89fraction	-0.95°C	99%	0.06mm	0.46mm	-1.3dBZ	1.6mm	16637m	8.7m/s	-	-	8m/s
01:00 ☾	1013hPa	142J/kg	0.78fraction	-1°C	99%	0.12mm	0.41mm	1.4dBZ	2mm	15561m	8.7m/s	-	-	8m/s
02:00 ☾	1014hPa	146J/kg	0.66fraction	-1.1°C	100%	0.18mm	0.35mm	4.1dBZ	2.4mm	14486m	8.7m/s	10m/s	10m/s	8m/s
03:00 ☾	1014hPa	141J/kg	0.78fraction	-1°C	89%	0.12mm	0.45mm	4.1dBZ	2.3mm	12391m	9.1m/s	-	-	8.1m/s
04:00 ☾	1014hPa	135J/kg	0.89fraction	-0.93°C	79%	0.07mm	0.56mm	4dBZ	2.2mm	10295m	9.5m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
05:00 ☾	1014hPa	130J/kg	1fraction	-0.83°C	69%	0.01mm	0.66mm	4dBZ	2.1mm	8200m	9.8m/s	11m/s	11m/s	8.4m/s
06:00 ☾	1013hPa	139J/kg	0.89fraction	-0.92°C	70%	0.04mm	0.44mm	5.9dBZ	2.5mm	13512m	9.7m/s	-	-	8.4m/s
07:00 ☾	1012hPa	147J/kg	0.78fraction	-1°C	71%	0.07mm	0.23mm	7.7dBZ	3mm	18823m	9.6m/s	-	-	8.5m/s
08:00	1012hPa	156J/kg	0.67fraction	-1.1°C	72%	0.1mm	0.01mm	9.6dBZ	3.4mm	24135m	9.4m/s	11m/s	10m/s	8.5m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Jul 16, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC

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