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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia

Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia

Nusa Dua's peninsula features pale beaches, reef-protected shallows, limestone edges, and manicured headlands for clean coastal geometry.

5 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 8, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover10%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover25%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.2
Sun Elevation-41.2°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Nusa Dua
Sat, Oct 10 · 06:00–06:26 · 1h window
Medium confidence
53%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential65.7%
Low Cloud Cover: 33%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 2%
Aerosol Optical Depth: 0.3
fire-sky weather icon
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Nusa Dua
Sat, Oct 10 · 18:00–18:26
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:76%
Medium
fire-sky weather icon
Spectacular Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Nusa Dua
Mon, Oct 12 · 18:00–18:26
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:92.3%
Medium
fire-sky weather icon
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Nusa Dua
Tue, Oct 13 · 06:00–06:24
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:73.1%
Low
fire-sky weather icon
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Nusa Dua
Wed, Oct 14 · 18:00–18:26
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential:79.5%
Low

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Makassar.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Makassar)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.2213%20%0.001Unavailable25%10%0%13%0.05-41°0seconds
Night0.239%20%0.001Unavailable27%29%0%12%0.05-55°0seconds
Night0.234%21%0.001Unavailable55%97%0%12%0.05-68°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.233%19%0.001Unavailable77%94%0%13%0.05-75°0seconds
Night0.231%17%0.001Unavailable90%73%0%14%0.05-70°0seconds
Night0.220%15%0.001Unavailable97%7%0%14%0.05-58°0seconds
Night0.220%15%0.001Unavailable99%26%0%15%0.05-44°0seconds
Night0.221%14%0.001Unavailable93%47%0%15%0.05-30°0seconds
Night0.221%14%0.001Unavailable82%23%0%15%0.06-15°0seconds
0.221%15%0.001Unavailable63%21%0%13%0.06-0.15°0seconds
0.221%16%0.001Unavailable24%34%0%12%0.0614°3425seconds
0.211%17%0.001Unavailable13%77%0%11%0.0629°3600seconds
0.218%23%0.001Unavailable39%99%1%12%0.0644°3600seconds
0.2115%29%0.001Unavailable56%98%1%13%0.0659°3600seconds
0.2122%35%0.001Unavailable17%54%0%14%0.0673°3600seconds
0.2121%34%0.001Unavailable0%6%3%17%0.0687°3600seconds
0.221%34%0.001Unavailable0%2%3%20%0.0576°3600seconds
0.2120%33%0.001Unavailable0%1%8%24%0.0562°3600seconds
0.2119%33%0.001Unavailable0%0%4%29%0.0547°3600seconds
0.2117%33%0.001Unavailable0%0%3%33%0.0532°3600seconds
0.2216%33%0.001Unavailable0%1%4%38%0.0617°3600seconds
0.2216%33%0.001Unavailable0%0%8%40%0.062.8°3600seconds
Night0.2316%34%0.001Unavailable0%1%23%41%0.06-12°0seconds
Night0.2416%34%0.001Unavailable0%4%100%42%0.07-27°0seconds
Night0.2516%34%0.001Unavailable0%6%29%36%0.07-41°0seconds
Night0.2715%34%0.001Unavailable0%9%52%31%0.07-55°0seconds
Night0.2815%34%0.001Unavailable42%8%19%25%0.08-68°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.314%33%0.001Unavailable83%15%28%25%0.08-75°0seconds
Night0.3112%31%0.001Unavailable89%19%0%26%0.09-70°0seconds
Night0.3211%30%0.001Unavailable66%16%0%26%0.09-58°0seconds
Night0.3215%32%0.001Unavailable9%10%1%22%0.09-44°0seconds
Night0.3318%35%0.001Unavailable10%13%1%18%0.09-30°0seconds
Night0.3322%37%0.001Unavailable14%19%0%14%0.1-15°0seconds
0.3321%36%0.001Unavailable1%17%1%15%0.10.04°0seconds
0.3320%35%0.001Unavailable3%22%0%17%0.114°3454seconds
0.3219%34%0.001Unavailable12%27%0%18%0.1129°3600seconds
Unavailable26%36%UnavailableUnavailable0%24%0%22%Unavailable44°3600seconds
Unavailable33%39%UnavailableUnavailable12%37%0%27%Unavailable59°3600seconds
Unavailable40%41%UnavailableUnavailable1%48%0%31%Unavailable73°3600seconds
Unavailable40%38%UnavailableUnavailable6%45%2%33%Unavailable87°3600seconds
Unavailable40%34%UnavailableUnavailable21%9%5%34%Unavailable76°3600seconds
Unavailable40%31%UnavailableUnavailable43%13%2%36%Unavailable62°3600seconds
Unavailable46%32%UnavailableUnavailable41%40%1%34%Unavailable47°3600seconds
Unavailable53%33%UnavailableUnavailable16%16%0%33%Unavailable32°3600seconds
Unavailable59%34%UnavailableUnavailable5%32%0%31%Unavailable17°3600seconds
Unavailable58%33%UnavailableUnavailable2%42%0%26%Unavailable2.8°3600seconds
NightUnavailable57%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%48%0%21%Unavailable-12°0seconds
NightUnavailable56%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%22%0%17%Unavailable-27°0seconds
NightUnavailable48%32%UnavailableUnavailable2%8%0%16%Unavailable-41°0seconds
NightUnavailable40%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%16%0%15%Unavailable-55°0seconds
NightUnavailable32%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%21%0%14%Unavailable-67°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable26%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%18%0%15%Unavailable-74°0seconds
NightUnavailable21%29%UnavailableUnavailable3%11%0%17%Unavailable-69°0seconds
NightUnavailable15%27%UnavailableUnavailable53%9%0%19%Unavailable-58°0seconds
NightUnavailable11%25%UnavailableUnavailable94%13%0%16%Unavailable-44°0seconds
NightUnavailable8%24%UnavailableUnavailable90%15%2%14%Unavailable-30°0seconds
NightUnavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable53%23%0%12%Unavailable-15°0seconds
Unavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable30%13%0%11%Unavailable0.14°0seconds
Unavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable30%9%0%11%Unavailable14°3483seconds
Unavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable15%5%1%10%Unavailable29°3600seconds
Unavailable12%26%UnavailableUnavailable5%32%0%11%Unavailable44°3600seconds
Unavailable21%30%UnavailableUnavailable1%34%0%11%Unavailable59°3600seconds
Unavailable29%35%UnavailableUnavailable2%45%0%11%Unavailable74°3600seconds
Unavailable29%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%55%0%11%Unavailable88°3600seconds
Unavailable28%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%0%10%Unavailable76°3600seconds
Unavailable28%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%0%10%Unavailable62°3600seconds
Unavailable32%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%0%10%Unavailable47°3600seconds
Unavailable37%37%UnavailableUnavailable0%5%0%10%Unavailable32°3600seconds
Unavailable41%40%UnavailableUnavailable28%2%0%10%Unavailable17°3600seconds
Unavailable39%38%UnavailableUnavailable80%5%0%8.9%Unavailable2.8°3600seconds
NightUnavailable37%37%UnavailableUnavailable98%13%0%7.9%Unavailable-12°0seconds
NightUnavailable35%35%UnavailableUnavailable98%24%0%6.8%Unavailable-27°0seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Nusa Dua.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Nusa Dua during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
17
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Last 90 days
26
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Last 365 days
43
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

18:00 local time, shared by 26 of 43 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

September, with 11 of 43 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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