Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Amed, Bali, Indonesia

Amed, Bali, Indonesia

Amed's volcanic black-sand bays curve beneath steep dry hills, with fishing outriggers, coral shallows, and Mount Agung forming distinct layers.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

15%

CAPE0

Lifted Index1.8°C

Wind Gusts7.9m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Amed.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Amed during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 85 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Asia/Makassar	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Sun, Aug 23
24:00	0%
01:00	13%
02:00	17%
03:00	15%
04:00	14%
05:00	14%
06:00	14%
07:00	15%
08:00	16%
09:00	15%
10:00	15%
11:00	14%
12:00	13%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	17%
16:00	20%
17:00	23%
18:00	24%
19:00	26%
20:00	26%
21:00	26%
22:00	26%
23:00	26%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	26%
01:00	25%
02:00	24%
03:00	25%
04:00	26%
05:00	25%
06:00	24%
07:00	25%
08:00	26%
09:00	21%
10:00	18%
11:00	15%
12:00	16%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	17%
20:00	20%
21:00	20%
22:00	22%
23:00	25%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	24%
01:00	26%
02:00	27%
03:00	24%
04:00	22%
05:00	22%
06:00	20%
07:00	19%
08:00	24%
09:00	17%
10:00	14%
11:00	18%
12:00	15%
13:00	14%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	0%
01:00	18%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Asia/Makassar	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 18:16
03:00 ☾	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.8fraction	1.8°C	26%	0mm	0mm	3.3dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.9m/s	-	-	7.7m/s
04:00 ☾	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.73fraction	2°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-4.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
05:00 ☾	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.65fraction	1.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-12dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.4m/s	5.1m/s	5.2m/s	7.1m/s
06:00 ☾	1012hPa	0J/kg	0.77fraction	1.9°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-8.2dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.8m/s	-	-	7.4m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.88fraction	2°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-4dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.8m/s	-	-	7.1m/s
08:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	1fraction	1.7°C	39%	0mm	0mm	0.16dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.4m/s	7m/s	5.4m/s	7.4m/s
09:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.91fraction	1.2°C	26%	0mm	0mm	2.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	9m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
10:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.81fraction	1°C	13%	0mm	0mm	5.1dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.1m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
11:00	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.72fraction	0.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	7.5dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.5m/s	3.7m/s	3.6m/s	6.5m/s
12:00	1012hPa	0J/kg	0.52fraction	0.9°C	13%	0mm	0mm	0.07dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.9m/s	-	-	6.2m/s
13:00	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.32fraction	1.1°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-7.4dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.3m/s	-	-	7.5m/s
14:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.12fraction	1.1°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	24135m	8.7m/s	3.3m/s	3.7m/s	8.7m/s
15:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.41fraction	1.3°C	53%	0mm	0mm	-7.2dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.5m/s	-	-	8.9m/s
16:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.71fraction	1.1°C	68%	0mm	0mm	0.57dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	9.5m/s
17:00	1011hPa	0J/kg	1fraction	1.2°C	82%	0mm	0mm	8.3dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	5.1m/s	4.4m/s	9.9m/s
18:00	1011hPa	0J/kg	1fraction	1.4°C	86%	0mm	0mm	10dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	11m/s
19:00 ☾	1012hPa	1J/kg	1fraction	1.7°C	90%	0mm	0mm	12dBZ	0mm	24135m	11m/s	-	-	10m/s
20:00 ☾	1013hPa	3J/kg	1fraction	2°C	95%	0mm	0.01mm	14dBZ	0mm	24135m	10m/s	6m/s	3.8m/s	10m/s
21:00 ☾	1014hPa	2J/kg	1fraction	2.2°C	96%	0mm	0.01mm	15dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.9m/s	-	-	9.3m/s
22:00 ☾	1014hPa	3J/kg	1fraction	2°C	97%	0mm	0.01mm	15dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.5m/s	-	-	8.9m/s
23:00 ☾	1014hPa	1J/kg	1fraction	1.9°C	97%	0mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.4m/s	5.7m/s	5.4m/s	8.7m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 18:16
24:00 ☾	1013hPa	2J/kg	0.81fraction	1.8°C	98%	0mm	0.01mm	13dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.5m/s	-	-	8.8m/s
01:00 ☾	1012hPa	3J/kg	0.62fraction	1.8°C	99%	0mm	0.01mm	11dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	9.3m/s
02:00 ☾	1012hPa	2J/kg	0.42fraction	1.8°C	100%	0.01mm	0mm	8.1dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	11m/s	6.3m/s	4.8m/s	9.5m/s
03:00 ☾	1011hPa	3J/kg	0.62fraction	1.9°C	95%	0mm	0mm	11dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.6m/s
04:00 ☾	1011hPa	2J/kg	0.81fraction	1.5°C	90%	0mm	0.01mm	14dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.5m/s
05:00 ☾	1012hPa	1J/kg	1fraction	1.2°C	85%	0mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	6.4m/s	4.2m/s	9.5m/s
06:00 ☾	1012hPa	0J/kg	0.88fraction	1.3°C	90%	0mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	10m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0.76fraction	1.7°C	94%	0mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	10m/s
08:00	1014hPa	3J/kg	0.64fraction	1.7°C	98%	0mm	0.01mm	16dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	11m/s	7.5m/s	5.1m/s	9.2m/s
09:00	1014hPa	4J/kg	0.69fraction	1.4°C	65%	0mm	0mm	15dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	8.8m/s
10:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.74fraction	1°C	33%	0mm	0mm	13dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	8.3m/s
11:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.79fraction	0.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	12dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.8m/s	5.5m/s	4.1m/s	7.9m/s
12:00	1012hPa	0J/kg	0.57fraction	1.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	9.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.7m/s	-	-	8.9m/s
13:00	1011hPa	0J/kg	0.35fraction	1.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	7.2dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	9.8m/s
14:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.13fraction	1.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	4.8dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	5.1m/s	4m/s	10m/s
15:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.09fraction	1.5°C	13%	0mm	0mm	2.2dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	11m/s
16:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0.04fraction	1.6°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-0.5dBZ	0mm	24135m	12m/s	-	-	11m/s
17:00	1010hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.4°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-3.2dBZ	0mm	24135m	12m/s	6.3m/s	4.6m/s	11m/s
18:00	1011hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.4°C	53%	0mm	0mm	-3.4dBZ	0mm	24134m	12m/s	-	-	11m/s
19:00 ☾	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	68%	0mm	0.01mm	-3.5dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	10m/s
20:00 ☾	1013hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	82%	0mm	0.01mm	-3.7dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	7.9m/s	4.9m/s	9.7m/s
21:00 ☾	1013hPa	5J/kg	0.33fraction	1°C	82%	0mm	0.02mm	0.99dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.5m/s
22:00 ☾	1013hPa	5J/kg	0.67fraction	0.9°C	82%	0mm	0.02mm	5.7dBZ	0mm	24135m	10m/s	-	-	9.2m/s
23:00 ☾	1013hPa	6J/kg	1fraction	0.7°C	82%	0mm	0.01mm	10dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	10m/s	8.2m/s	5.5m/s	9.6m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 18:16
24:00 ☾	1013hPa	4J/kg	1fraction	1.1°C	86%	0mm	0mm	11dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	11m/s	-	-	9.8m/s
01:00 ☾	1012hPa	3J/kg	1fraction	0.9°C	90%	0mm	0.01mm	12dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.8m/s
02:00 ☾	1012hPa	4J/kg	1fraction	1.2°C	95%	0mm	0mm	14dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	10m/s	8.9m/s	5.8m/s	9.5m/s
03:00 ☾	1012hPa	5J/kg	0.94fraction	1.3°C	82%	0mm	0.01mm	13dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.9m/s	-	-	9.2m/s
04:00 ☾	1012hPa	2J/kg	0.87fraction	1.4°C	68%	0mm	0.01mm	12dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	9.5m/s
05:00 ☾	1012hPa	3J/kg	0.81fraction	1.3°C	55%	0mm	0.01mm	12dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	9.6m/s	6.5m/s	9.4m/s
06:00 ☾	1013hPa	4J/kg	0.63fraction	0.9°C	64%	0mm	0mm	3.9dBZ	0mm	24135m	11m/s	-	-	9.6m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	6J/kg	0.46fraction	1°C	73%	0mm	0mm	-4dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9.7m/s
08:00	1014hPa	4J/kg	0.28fraction	0.9°C	82%	0mm	0.02mm	-12dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	9.9m/s	12m/s	6.8m/s	9.4m/s
09:00	1004hPa	5.7J/kg	0.52fraction	1.2°C	55%	0.003mm	0.01mm	-6.7dBZ	0.04mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
10:00	994hPa	7.3J/kg	0.76fraction	1.6°C	27%	0.007mm	0.007mm	-1.3dBZ	0.02mm	24134m	5.5m/s	-	-	4.9m/s
11:00	984hPa	9J/kg	1fraction	1.9°C	0%	0.01mm	0mm	4dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.3m/s	9.9m/s	6.3m/s	2.7m/s
12:00	984hPa	7.7J/kg	0.78fraction	2.3°C	0%	0.007mm	0mm	3.4dBZ	0.02mm	21757m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
13:00	985hPa	6.3J/kg	0.56fraction	2.6°C	0%	0.003mm	0mm	2.7dBZ	0.04mm	19379m	2m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
14:00	986hPa	5J/kg	0.35fraction	3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	2dBZ	0.06mm	17002m	1.3m/s	7.9m/s	6.7m/s	0.9m/s
15:00	986hPa	5.3J/kg	0.23fraction	2.8°C	0%	0.007mm	0mm	3.5dBZ	0.04mm	19380m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
16:00	986hPa	5.7J/kg	0.12fraction	2.7°C	0%	0.01mm	0mm	5dBZ	0.02mm	21757m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
17:00	986hPa	6J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0.02mm	0mm	6.6dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.1m/s	7.7m/s	7.2m/s	1.6m/s
18:00	986hPa	8.3J/kg	0.02fraction	2.6°C	13%	0.01mm	0.01mm	2.5dBZ	0.04mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
19:00 ☾	986hPa	11J/kg	0.04fraction	2.7°C	26%	0.007mm	0.03mm	-1.7dBZ	0.08mm	24135m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
20:00 ☾	985hPa	13J/kg	0.06fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.04mm	-5.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	2.6m/s	7.4m/s	7.4m/s	1.4m/s
21:00 ☾	985hPa	14J/kg	0.04fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.05mm	-1.2dBZ	0.13mm	21349m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
22:00 ☾	985hPa	16J/kg	0.02fraction	2.7°C	39%	0mm	0.05mm	3.3dBZ	0.13mm	18563m	2.3m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
23:00 ☾	986hPa	17J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	39%	0mm	0.06mm	7.8dBZ	0.13mm	15777m	2.1m/s	7.7m/s	7.2m/s	1.4m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:22 Sunset 18:16
24:00 ☾	986hPa	23J/kg	0.32fraction	2.1°C	45%	0.007mm	0.06mm	6.5dBZ	0.19mm	17494m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
01:00 ☾	987hPa	29J/kg	0.64fraction	1.6°C	50%	0.01mm	0.06mm	5.1dBZ	0.25mm	19210m	2.9m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
02:00 ☾	987hPa	35J/kg	0.96fraction	1°C	56%	0.02mm	0.06mm	3.8dBZ	0.31mm	20927m	3.2m/s	7.9m/s	6.6m/s	1.5m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC

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