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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Amed, Bali, Indonesia

Amed, Bali, Indonesia

Amed's volcanic black-sand bays curve beneath steep dry hills, with fishing outriggers, coral shallows, and Mount Agung forming distinct layers.

1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover2%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover3%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.2
Sun Elevation14.4°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Makassar
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunset
Amed
Tue, Oct 13 · 18:00–18:24 · 1h window
Low confidence
39%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential69.9%
Low Cloud Cover: 9%
Mid Cloud Cover: 1%
High Cloud Cover: 95%
Sun Elevation: 2.3° (Golden hour)

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Asia/Makassar.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Asia/Makassar)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.1811%16%0.002Unavailable3%2%0%21%0.0514°3494seconds
0.186%15%0.002Unavailable0%4%0%21%0.0529°3600seconds
0.185%15%0.002Unavailable0%3%0%20%0.0644°3600seconds
0.183%16%0.002Unavailable13%10%9%20%0.0659°3600seconds
0.182%16%0.002Unavailable56%9%19%20%0.0674°3600seconds
0.182%15%0.002Unavailable54%7%24%20%0.0687°3600seconds
0.171%14%0.002Unavailable38%8%23%20%0.0676°3600seconds
0.171%13%0.002Unavailable60%9%22%20%0.0661°3600seconds
0.181%14%0.002Unavailable63%2%32%19%0.0647°3600seconds
0.21%15%0.002Unavailable98%9%16%18%0.0632°3600seconds
0.211%16%0.002Unavailable98%2%4%17%0.0617°3600seconds
0.221%16%0.002Unavailable99%1%2%16%0.062.4°3600seconds
Night0.221%15%0.002Unavailable95%1%0%15%0.07-13°0seconds
Night0.221%15%0.002Unavailable98%2%0%14%0.07-27°0seconds
Night0.221%14%0.002Unavailable98%2%0%14%0.07-42°0seconds
Night0.220%12%0.002Unavailable98%8%0%14%0.07-56°0seconds
Night0.220%11%0.002Unavailable99%19%0%14%0.07-68°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.220%10%0.002Unavailable98%16%0%14%0.07-76°0seconds
Night0.220%8%0.002Unavailable73%20%0%15%0.07-70°0seconds
Night0.220%7%0.002Unavailable47%19%0%15%0.07-58°0seconds
Night0.220%9%0.002Unavailable86%23%0%16%0.07-44°0seconds
Night0.221%12%0.002Unavailable84%27%0%16%0.07-30°0seconds
Night0.211%14%0.002Unavailable33%41%0%17%0.07-15°0seconds
0.211%14%0.002Unavailable9%30%0%16%0.070.23°0seconds
0.21%15%0.002Unavailable0%15%0%15%0.0715°3523seconds
0.21%15%0.002Unavailable7%6%0%14%0.0729°3600seconds
Unavailable2%18%UnavailableUnavailable15%3%0%15%Unavailable44°3600seconds
Unavailable4%20%UnavailableUnavailable4%1%0%15%Unavailable59°3600seconds
Unavailable5%23%UnavailableUnavailable3%1%0%15%Unavailable74°3600seconds
Unavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%17%5%22%Unavailable88°3600seconds
Unavailable4%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%6%26%29%Unavailable76°3600seconds
Unavailable3%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%5%20%36%Unavailable61°3600seconds
Unavailable9%25%UnavailableUnavailable0%5%11%36%Unavailable47°3600seconds
Unavailable15%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%23%36%Unavailable32°3600seconds
Unavailable21%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%18%36%Unavailable17°3600seconds
Unavailable22%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%9%35%Unavailable2.4°3600seconds
NightUnavailable22%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%5%34%Unavailable-13°0seconds
NightUnavailable23%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%7%33%Unavailable-27°0seconds
NightUnavailable17%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%1%32%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable12%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%0%30%Unavailable-56°0seconds
NightUnavailable6%23%UnavailableUnavailable0%20%0%28%Unavailable-68°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable5%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%24%0%28%Unavailable-75°0seconds
NightUnavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable0%21%0%28%Unavailable-70°0seconds
NightUnavailable3%20%UnavailableUnavailable0%16%0%28%Unavailable-58°0seconds
NightUnavailable2%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%12%0%30%Unavailable-44°0seconds
NightUnavailable1%15%UnavailableUnavailable0%11%0%31%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable0%13%UnavailableUnavailable0%10%0%33%Unavailable-15°0seconds
Unavailable0%14%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%0%33%Unavailable0.33°0seconds
Unavailable1%14%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%0%34%Unavailable15°3552seconds
Unavailable1%15%UnavailableUnavailable0%4%0%34%Unavailable29°3600seconds
Unavailable8%21%UnavailableUnavailable1%26%0%33%Unavailable44°3600seconds
Unavailable15%27%UnavailableUnavailable1%20%0%31%Unavailable59°3600seconds
Unavailable22%33%UnavailableUnavailable1%7%0%30%Unavailable74°3600seconds
Unavailable21%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%10%37%Unavailable88°3600seconds
Unavailable21%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%12%43%Unavailable76°3600seconds
Unavailable20%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%1%31%49%Unavailable61°3600seconds
Unavailable23%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%38%48%Unavailable46°3600seconds
Unavailable27%32%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%26%47%Unavailable32°3600seconds
Unavailable30%34%UnavailableUnavailable0%5%19%46%Unavailable17°3600seconds
Unavailable30%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%4%2%42%Unavailable2.3°3600seconds
NightUnavailable29%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%2%1%38%Unavailable-13°0seconds
NightUnavailable29%32%UnavailableUnavailable3%1%0%34%Unavailable-27°0seconds
NightUnavailable23%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%4%0%29%Unavailable-42°0seconds
NightUnavailable16%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%7%0%25%Unavailable-55°0seconds
NightUnavailable10%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%9%0%20%Unavailable-68°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable8%25%UnavailableUnavailable1%12%0%19%Unavailable-75°0seconds
NightUnavailable7%23%UnavailableUnavailable2%9%1%17%Unavailable-69°0seconds
NightUnavailable5%22%UnavailableUnavailable13%9%1%16%Unavailable-57°0seconds
NightUnavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable57%5%0%17%Unavailable-44°0seconds
NightUnavailable4%21%UnavailableUnavailable49%5%0%19%Unavailable-29°0seconds
NightUnavailable3%20%UnavailableUnavailable41%5%0%20%Unavailable-15°0seconds
Unavailable3%20%UnavailableUnavailable30%7%0%17%Unavailable0.43°0seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Amed.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Bali, Indonesia →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Amed during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
5
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 90 days
11
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Last 365 days
21
recorded matching windows · 68% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 11 of 21 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

September, with 6 of 21 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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