Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Wollongong, Australian Coast

Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia

Wollongong lies between the Illawarra escarpment and Pacific, offering sea cliffs, tidal rock shelves, ocean pools, and industrial port contrasts.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

CAPE23

Lifted Index5.3°C

Wind Gusts1.2m/s

Precipitation0.2mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

Next opportunity

Weak Storm

Wollongong

Wed, Aug 26 · 04:00–05:00 · 1h window

Low confidence

36%

⛈️Storm Intensity43.4%

CAPE: 84

Lifted Index: -0.3°C

Wind Gusts: 8.9m/s

Precipitation: 5.4mm

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Wollongong.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Wollongong during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Only 3 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 85 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Australia/Sydney	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	7%
19:00	9%
20:00	9%
21:00	11%
22:00	18%
23:00	11%
Sun, Aug 23
24:00	10%
01:00	15%
02:00	10%
03:00	12%
04:00	19%
05:00	8%
06:00	9%
07:00	13%
08:00	6%
09:00	9%
10:00	7%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	9%
10:00	12%
11:00	10%
12:00	15%
13:00	20%
14:00	13%
15:00	13%
16:00	21%
17:00	13%
18:00	13%
19:00	16%
20:00	0%
21:00	12%
22:00	13%
23:00	11%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Australia/Sydney	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 17:30
05:00 ☾	1026hPa	23J/kg	0.47fraction	5.3°C	66%	0.13mm	0.1mm	9.5dBZ	0.19mm	24092m	1.2m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
06:00 ☾	1026hPa	28J/kg	0.74fraction	5.5°C	61%	0.06mm	0.1mm	4.3dBZ	0.38mm	24102m	1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
07:00 ☾	1027hPa	29J/kg	1fraction	5.3°C	56%	0.04mm	0.13mm	-0.96dBZ	0.56mm	20137m	1.4m/s	9.1m/s	16m/s	0.62m/s
08:00 ☾	1027hPa	33J/kg	0.76fraction	5.2°C	50%	0.02mm	0.19mm	1.8dBZ	0.75mm	19752m	1.9m/s	-	-	0.92m/s
09:00 ☾	1027hPa	34J/kg	0.52fraction	5.2°C	44%	0.01mm	0.17mm	4.5dBZ	1mm	21789m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
10:00	1027hPa	29J/kg	0.28fraction	5.2°C	39%	0mm	0.13mm	7.3dBZ	1.2mm	23870m	4m/s	8.1m/s	14m/s	2.9m/s
11:00	1027hPa	27J/kg	0.23fraction	5°C	26%	0mm	0.06mm	-1.8dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	5.3m/s	-	-	4.2m/s
12:00	1026hPa	17J/kg	0.17fraction	5°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	6.6m/s	-	-	5.8m/s
13:00	1025hPa	18J/kg	0.11fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	7.8m/s	7.5m/s	12m/s	7.3m/s
14:00	1025hPa	12J/kg	0.12fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	7.3m/s
15:00	1024hPa	8J/kg	0.13fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	7.8m/s	-	-	7.6m/s
16:00	1024hPa	3J/kg	0.14fraction	5.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	9.1m/s	6.4m/s	9.7m/s	9.3m/s
17:00	1024hPa	0J/kg	0.09fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	10m/s	-	-	10m/s
18:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0.05fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.9m/s	-	-	9.6m/s
19:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.8m/s	6m/s	8.7m/s	8.5m/s
20:00 ☾	1026hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	9.5m/s	-	-	7.8m/s
21:00 ☾	1026hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.6m/s	-	-	7.2m/s
22:00 ☾	1026hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	5.3°C	39%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.6m/s	8.3m/s	9.4m/s	6.7m/s
23:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.4°C	26%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.5m/s	-	-	5.8m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:27 Sunset 17:31
24:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.4°C	13%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
01:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	11m/s	7.3m/s	9m/s	6.1m/s
02:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	11m/s	-	-	5.8m/s
03:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	10m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
04:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.4m/s	10m/s	12m/s	5.2m/s
05:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.9m/s	-	-	5m/s
06:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	4.7m/s
07:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.6m/s	8.9m/s	11m/s	5.1m/s
08:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.7m/s	-	-	4.6m/s
09:00 ☾	1025hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.2m/s	-	-	4.4m/s
10:00	1024hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.3m/s	2.4m/s	4.5m/s	4.6m/s
11:00	1023hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.3m/s	-	-	5.6m/s
12:00	1022hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.3m/s	-	-	7.6m/s
13:00	1021hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.1m/s	3.9m/s	4.2m/s	9.3m/s
14:00	1020hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	2.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	11m/s
15:00	1019hPa	10J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	12m/s	-	-	12m/s
16:00	1019hPa	13J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	12m/s	9.6m/s	7.3m/s	11m/s
17:00	1020hPa	19J/kg	0fraction	2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	-	-	9m/s
18:00 ☾	1020hPa	54J/kg	0fraction	1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	10m/s	-	-	6.8m/s
19:00 ☾	1021hPa	72J/kg	0fraction	0.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	6.6m/s	8.9m/s	12m/s	4.2m/s
20:00 ☾	1021hPa	70J/kg	0fraction	0.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.3m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
21:00 ☾	1021hPa	44J/kg	0fraction	0.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.9m/s	-	-	2m/s
22:00 ☾	1021hPa	26J/kg	0fraction	1.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.2m/s	1.2m/s	5.4m/s	2.4m/s
23:00 ☾	1020hPa	16J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.1m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 17:31
24:00 ☾	1020hPa	9J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.4m/s	-	-	2.8m/s
01:00 ☾	1020hPa	3J/kg	0fraction	4.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.4m/s	4.7m/s	9.1m/s	2.9m/s
02:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	17%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.5m/s	-	-	2.8m/s
03:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	33%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.5m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
04:00 ☾	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.9°C	50%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.8m/s	8.6m/s	12m/s	3.1m/s
05:00 ☾	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.4°C	43%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.8m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
06:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.7°C	37%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.1m/s	-	-	4.2m/s
07:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.5°C	30%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5m/s	12m/s	7.6m/s	4.1m/s
08:00 ☾	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.8°C	46%	0mm	0mm	-10dBZ	0mm	24135m	5m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
09:00 ☾	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	61%	0mm	0mm	-0.72dBZ	0mm	24134m	6m/s	-	-	4.5m/s
10:00	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.8°C	76%	0mm	0mm	8.9dBZ	0mm	24134m	6m/s	3m/s	6.2m/s	4.7m/s
11:00	1017hPa	12J/kg	0fraction	4°C	69%	0mm	0mm	13dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	7.2m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
12:00	1016hPa	23J/kg	0fraction	3.2°C	62%	0mm	0mm	17dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	8.4m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
13:00	1015hPa	35J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	54%	0mm	0mm	21dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	9.6m/s	8m/s	13m/s	6.2m/s
14:00	1015hPa	40J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	61%	0.01mm	0.02mm	23dBZ	0.29mm	24135m	8.1m/s	-	-	5.4m/s
15:00	1016hPa	44J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	68%	0.03mm	0.05mm	24dBZ	0.4mm	24135m	6.5m/s	-	-	4.6m/s
16:00	1016hPa	49J/kg	0.002fraction	2.1°C	76%	0.04mm	0.07mm	26dBZ	0.5mm	24135m	4.9m/s	10m/s	14m/s	3.8m/s
17:00	1016hPa	44J/kg	0fraction	1.9°C	71%	0.03mm	0.05mm	25dBZ	0.4mm	24135m	5m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
18:00 ☾	1016hPa	38J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	66%	0.01mm	0.02mm	24dBZ	0.29mm	24135m	5.1m/s	-	-	4m/s
19:00 ☾	1015hPa	33J/kg	0fraction	1.5°C	61%	0mm	0mm	23dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	5.2m/s	4.1m/s	12m/s	4m/s
20:00 ☾	1015hPa	25J/kg	0.21fraction	1.7°C	57%	0.003mm	0mm	17dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	4.8m/s	-	-	4m/s
21:00 ☾	1015hPa	16J/kg	0.43fraction	1.9°C	52%	0.007mm	0mm	12dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	4.3m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
22:00 ☾	1015hPa	8J/kg	0.64fraction	2.1°C	48%	0.01mm	0mm	6.8dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	3.8m/s	5.3m/s	8.7m/s	3.8m/s
23:00 ☾	1016hPa	13J/kg	0.43fraction	2°C	44%	0.1mm	0.1mm	2dBZ	0.33mm	20034m	3.4m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 17:32
24:00 ☾	1017hPa	19J/kg	0.21fraction	1.9°C	41%	0.2mm	0.21mm	-2.8dBZ	0.48mm	15933m	2.9m/s	-	-	2.8m/s
01:00 ☾	1018hPa	24J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	37%	0.29mm	0.31mm	-7.6dBZ	0.63mm	11832m	2.4m/s	3.3m/s	4.4m/s	2.3m/s
02:00 ☾	1018hPa	44J/kg	0fraction	1.1°C	45%	1.1mm	0.46mm	0.71dBZ	2.2mm	9310m	4.6m/s	-	-	3.9m/s
03:00 ☾	1019hPa	64J/kg	0fraction	0.41°C	53%	2mm	0.62mm	9dBZ	3.8mm	6787m	6.8m/s	-	-	5.4m/s
04:00 ☾	1019hPa	84J/kg	0fraction	-0.26°C	61%	2.9mm	0.77mm	17dBZ	5.4mm	4265m	8.9m/s	5.3m/s	8.1m/s	7m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC

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