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Rule Storm Chaser

Wollongong - Storm Chaser - Australian Coast

Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia

Dramatic storm conditions — from atmospheric builds to active thunderstorms

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Storm Chaser opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Storm Intensity · ≥ 55.0% Cloud Drama Score · ≥ 55.0% CAPE · ≥ 1200.0J/kg Lifted Index · ≤ -2.0°C

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Storm Intensity 100% failing
CAPE 100% failing
Cloud Drama Score 82% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Cloud Cover5%
Wind Gusts7.5m/s
Precipitation Chance94%
Air Pressure1030.0hPa
CAPE7
Lifted Index5.5°C
Wind Gusts7.5m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the dramatic storm systems that bring lightning, massive swells, and atmospheric drama to Australia's eastern coastline. We monitor low-pressure systems, lightning activity, and wave heights to predict when Southern Ocean storms will create spectacular—but safe—photography conditions.

Australia's east coast faces the Tasman Sea and Southern Ocean, which generate powerful weather systems year-round. These storms bring towering seas that crash against coastal cliffs, creating explosions of spray. Lightning storms, particularly during summer, offer opportunities for long-exposure captures over harbors and beaches. Winter storms bring the largest swells and most dramatic cloud formations.

What makes Australian coastal storms exceptional:

  • Southern Ocean swells - Winter low-pressure systems generate massive groundswells that pound Victoria and southern NSW
  • Wollongong sea cliffs - Dramatic headlands where storm waves explode against cliffs in spectacular displays
  • Byron Bay lightning - Subtropical storms bring frequent lightning over the iconic lighthouse and beaches
  • Sydney storm drama - The harbour becomes wild during southerly busters and east coast lows

Best storm photography occurs during winter (June-August) when Southern Ocean low-pressure systems bring large swells and dramatic skies. Summer thunderstorms (November-February) offer lightning opportunities over coastal icons. East coast lows—intense low-pressure systems—create the most extreme conditions but pose significant safety risks. Our forecast helps identify approaching storms so you can position safely with proper conditions. Never stand on exposed rocks during large swells.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
OR logic: one branch per group is enough
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Australia/Sydney
Storm Intensity
≥ 55.0%
Cloud Drama Score
≥ 55.0%
CAPE
OR1·B1
≥ 1200.0J/kg
Lifted Index
OR1·B2
≤ -2.0°C
Visibility
≥ 2500.0m
Wind Gusts
≤ 22.0m/s
Tue, Jul 7
23:0022%12%44J/kg5°C24135m8.9m/s
Wed, Jul 8
24:0022%8.8%47J/kg4.6°C23575m8.7m/s
01:0018%9%51J/kg4.6°C24134m8.5m/s
02:0019%12%49J/kg4.7°C24135m8.4m/s
03:0018%13%42J/kg4.9°C23447m8.2m/s
04:0022%14%41J/kg4.7°C23825m7.7m/s
05:0019%14%31J/kg4.6°C17453m9.2m/s
06:0016%14%25J/kg4.7°C24134m9.5m/s
07:0018%64%16J/kg4.9°C24135m9.9m/s
08:0018%64%15J/kg5°C24135m10m/s
09:0018%62%14J/kg5.1°C24135m10m/s
10:0017%56%12J/kg5.2°C24134m9.5m/s
11:0013%54%20J/kg5.3°C24134m9.4m/s
12:0012%21%11J/kg5.6°C24135m9.3m/s
13:000%21%10J/kg5.2°C24135m8.6m/s
14:009%22%4J/kg5°C24135m7.9m/s
15:0014%22%2J/kg5°C24134m8m/s
16:0013%25%9J/kg5.1°C24135m7.6m/s
17:0011%25%10J/kg5.3°C24134m7.7m/s
18:0011%15%11J/kg5.6°C24135m7.3m/s
19:0014%15%9J/kg6°C24134m7.5m/s
20:0014%15%5J/kg6.2°C24134m7.5m/s
21:0016%15%1J/kg6.1°C24134m6.8m/s
22:0011%14%0J/kg6.1°C24134m6.4m/s
23:0012%15%7J/kg5.5°C24134m7.5m/s
Thu, Jul 9
24:0016%14%10J/kg5°C24135m8.3m/s
01:0018%14%15J/kg5°C22147m8m/s
02:0017%14%29J/kg4.9°C24072m7.9m/s
03:0017%14%28J/kg5°C17431m7.5m/s
04:0017%12%21J/kg5.4°C17942m6.6m/s
05:0016%13%27J/kg5.2°C16838m6.2m/s
06:0017%11%28J/kg5.4°C24134m6.2m/s
07:0018%67%29J/kg5.5°C19204m6.4m/s
08:0017%64%32J/kg5.3°C19216m6.4m/s
09:0016%65%33J/kg5.1°C17924m6.5m/s
10:0021%56%46J/kg4.9°C16451m5.6m/s
11:0012%53%49J/kg4.9°C17491m5.1m/s
12:0012%38%50J/kg4.7°C11074m4.8m/s
13:0014%55%48J/kg4.6°C13248m5m/s
14:0011%56%34J/kg4.5°C20627m5.5m/s
15:000%38%27J/kg4.6°C24123m5.2m/s
16:000%57%22J/kg5°C24135m5.2m/s
17:000%53%8J/kg5.3°C24135m5.1m/s
18:000%6.2%10J/kg5.2°C24134m4.9m/s
19:000%8.1%18J/kg5°C24135m4.8m/s
20:000%3.6%20J/kg4.9°C24134m4.5m/s
21:006%6.6%18J/kg4.7°C24135m4.1m/s
22:008%9.4%16J/kg4.6°C24135m3.8m/s
23:008%8.6%13J/kg4.5°C24134m3.5m/s
Fri, Jul 10
24:007%6.5%12J/kg4.7°C24135m3.7m/s
01:0010%0.5%8J/kg4.3°C24135m4m/s
02:009%2.4%17J/kg4.2°C24134m3.8m/s
03:0010%8.7%6J/kg4.2°C24135m3.6m/s
04:0014%14%5J/kg4°C24135m4.1m/s
05:0010%15%6J/kg4.1°C24134m4m/s
06:008%15%5J/kg4.1°C24135m3.7m/s
07:009%28%6J/kg4.1°C24135m3.4m/s
08:007%56%2J/kg4°C24135m3.6m/s
09:005%32%0J/kg4°C24135m3m/s
10:006%41%0J/kg4.1°C24135m2.6m/s
11:005%74%0J/kg3.9°C24135m2.7m/s
12:006%50%9J/kg3.4°C24135m3m/s
13:008%39%6J/kg2.8°C24134m3.1m/s
14:007%30%7J/kg3.2°C24135m3.2m/s
15:007%59%2J/kg3.2°C24134m3.2m/s
16:000%45%9J/kg3.2°C24135m2.3m/s
17:000%34%9J/kg3°C24134m2m/s
18:000%46%8J/kg2.9°C24134m2.2m/s
19:000%6.5%26J/kg2.5°C24135m2.4m/s
20:000%3.7%43J/kg2°C24134m2.3m/s
21:000%1.6%43J/kg1.8°C24134m2.8m/s
22:000%1.3%48J/kg1.9°C24134m3.3m/s
23:000%7.2%47J/kg1.9°C24135m3.3m/s
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%10%34J/kg1.9°C24134m3.3m/s
01:000%9.7%23J/kg2.1°C24134m2.8m/s
02:000%11%11J/kg2.3°C24135m2.5m/s
03:000%14%11J/kg2.7°C24135m2.6m/s
04:000%15%3J/kg3.1°C24135m2.5m/s
05:000%0%2J/kg3.2°C24135m3m/s
06:000%0%1J/kg3.2°C24135m3.4m/s
07:000%1.3%0J/kg3.3°C24135m3.9m/s
08:000%30%11J/kg2.8°C24135m4.9m/s
09:000%36%22J/kg2.4°C24135m5.8m/s
10:000%43%33J/kg2°C24135m6.7m/s
11:000%87%25J/kg2.2°C24135m6.6m/s
12:000%83%16J/kg2.5°C24135m6.5m/s
13:000%38%8J/kg2.7°C24135m6.3m/s
14:000%58%5.3J/kg2.7°C24135m7.2m/s
15:000%72%2.7J/kg2.6°C24135m8.1m/s
16:000%52%0J/kg2.6°C24135m9m/s
17:000%49%0J/kg2.4°C24135m9.9m/s
18:000%52%0J/kg2.2°C24135m11m/s
19:000%0%0J/kg2°C24135m12m/s
20:000%0%3J/kg2.2°C24135m12m/s
21:000%0%6J/kg2.4°C24135m13m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity). For OR groups, only one branch is required, so some OR-branch predicates can be ✕ even in a matching hour.

What does Cloud Drama Score mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Australia/Sydney
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
High Clouds
%
Lifted Index
°C
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Solar Elevation
°
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Total Precipitation
mm
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 07:03 Sunset 16:59
23:00
1030hPa 7J/kg 0.41fraction 0% 5.5°C 4% 5% 94% 0mm 73% 0.01mm -20dBZ -72° 5% 0mm - - 5.4m/s
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 07:03 Sunset 16:59
24:00
1030hPa 10J/kg 0.7fraction 0% 5°C 33% 27% 89% 0mm 77% 0.16mm -20dBZ -78° 43% 0.06mm - - 6.7m/s
01:00
1030hPa 15J/kg 1fraction 0% 5°C 69% 90% 84% 0.04mm 81% 0.12mm -20dBZ -72° 98% 0.19mm 3.2m/s 9.5m/s 7m/s
02:00
1029hPa 29J/kg 0.91fraction 0% 4.9°C 100% 100% 85% 0.21mm 85% 0.12mm -7.9dBZ -61° 100% 0.38mm - - 7.1m/s
03:00
1029hPa 28J/kg 0.81fraction 0% 5°C 100% 72% 86% 0.21mm 85% 0.27mm 4.1dBZ -49° 100% 0.75mm - - 6.6m/s
04:00
1029hPa 21J/kg 0.72fraction 0% 5.4°C 97% 66% 87% 0.01mm 84% 0.19mm 16dBZ -37° 97% 1.1mm 6.9m/s 10m/s 6m/s
05:00
1029hPa 27J/kg 0.76fraction 0% 5.2°C 96% 100% 86% 0mm 82% 0.25mm 5.3dBZ -25° 100% 0.19mm - - 5.9m/s
06:00
1029hPa 28J/kg 0.81fraction 4% 5.4°C 43% 94% 86% 0mm 82% 0.04mm -5.5dBZ -13° 94% 0.25mm - - 6m/s
07:00
1030hPa 29J/kg 0.85fraction 63% 5.5°C 74% 99% 85% 0.01mm 83% 0.19mm -16dBZ -1.1° 99% 0.38mm 5.8m/s 8.6m/s 6.2m/s
08:00
1030hPa 32J/kg 0.8fraction 81% 5.3°C 75% 98% 84% 0.01mm 84% 0.18mm -5.8dBZ 9.4° 98% 0.56mm - - 6.2m/s
09:00
1030hPa 33J/kg 0.75fraction 99% 5.1°C 90% 64% 84% 0.01mm 84% 0.27mm 4.8dBZ 19° 99% 0.81mm - - 6.2m/s
10:00
1030hPa 46J/kg 0.69fraction 20% 4.9°C 96% 6% 84% 0mm 81% 0.4mm 15dBZ 26° 96% 1.1mm 4.5m/s 8.4m/s 5.6m/s
11:00
1030hPa 49J/kg 0.7fraction 48% 4.9°C 96% 5% 72% 0.01mm 80% 0.32mm 12dBZ 31° 96% 0.38mm - - 5.1m/s
12:00
1029hPa 50J/kg 0.71fraction 81% 4.7°C 81% 5% 61% 0mm 77% 0.46mm 8.2dBZ 33° 90% 0.69mm - - 4.7m/s
13:00
1028hPa 48J/kg 0.72fraction 100% 4.6°C 52% 66% 49% 0mm 73% 0.37mm 4.5dBZ 32° 100% 1mm 4m/s 8.3m/s 4.6m/s
14:00
1027hPa 34J/kg 0.51fraction 61% 4.5°C 43% 99% 47% 0mm 70% 0.18mm -0.66dBZ 27° 99% 1.3mm - - 5m/s
15:00
1027hPa 27J/kg 0.3fraction 100% 4.6°C 88% 5% 45% 0mm 65% 0.08mm -5.9dBZ 19° 100% 1.4mm - - 4.7m/s
16:00
1027hPa 22J/kg 0.1fraction 100% 5°C 33% 32% 43% 0mm 59% 0.03mm -11dBZ 10° 100% 1.5mm 2.8m/s 9.7m/s 4.8m/s
17:00
1027hPa 8J/kg 0.06fraction 100% 5.3°C 22% 91% 39% 0mm 58% 0mm -14dBZ -0.21° 100% 0mm - - 5.1m/s
18:00
1027hPa 10J/kg 0.03fraction 100% 5.2°C 7% 100% 36% 0mm 58% 0mm -17dBZ -12° 100% 0mm - - 4.9m/s
19:00
1028hPa 18J/kg 0fraction 84% 5°C 5% 70% 32% 0mm 59% 0mm -20dBZ -24° 84% 0mm 3.4m/s 8m/s 4.5m/s
20:00
1028hPa 20J/kg 0.33fraction 100% 4.9°C 6% 90% 33% 0mm 59% 0mm -20dBZ -36° 100% 0mm - - 4.1m/s
21:00
1028hPa 18J/kg 0.67fraction 46% 4.7°C 7% 78% 34% 0mm 60% 0mm -20dBZ -49° 78% 0mm - - 3.7m/s
22:00
1027hPa 16J/kg 1fraction 99% 4.6°C 5% 100% 35% 0mm 61% 0mm -20dBZ -61° 100% 0mm 4.2m/s 7.4m/s 3.4m/s
23:00
1027hPa 13J/kg 0.86fraction 16% 4.5°C 5% 6% 44% 0mm 61% 0mm -19dBZ -72° 16% 0mm - - 3.2m/s
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 07:02 Sunset 17:00
24:00
1027hPa 12J/kg 0.72fraction 97% 4.7°C 5% 100% 53% 0mm 64% 0mm -17dBZ -78° 100% 0mm - - 3.8m/s
01:00
1027hPa 8J/kg 0.58fraction 91% 4.3°C 4% 100% 62% 0mm 68% 0mm -16dBZ -72° 100% 0mm 6.2m/s 6.5m/s 4.1m/s
02:00
1027hPa 17J/kg 0.72fraction 100% 4.2°C 5% 100% 66% 0mm 73% 0mm -13dBZ -61° 100% 0mm - - 4.1m/s
03:00
1026hPa 6J/kg 0.86fraction 97% 4.2°C 5% 100% 71% 0mm 74% 0mm -11dBZ -49° 100% 0mm - - 3.7m/s
04:00
1026hPa 5J/kg 1fraction 98% 4°C 0% 80% 76% 0mm 74% 0mm -8.6dBZ -37° 98% 0mm 8m/s 6.3m/s 4m/s
05:00
1026hPa 6J/kg 1fraction 87% 4.1°C 3% 63% 62% 0mm 75% 0mm -12dBZ -25° 87% 0mm - - 4.1m/s
06:00
1026hPa 5J/kg 1fraction 50% 4.1°C 3% 32% 47% 0mm 75% 0.02mm -16dBZ -13° 50% 0mm - - 3.7m/s
07:00
1026hPa 6J/kg 1fraction 5% 4.1°C 2% 5% 33% 0mm 74% 0.01mm -20dBZ -1° 5% 0mm 8.1m/s 7.2m/s 3.5m/s
08:00
1026hPa 2J/kg 0.9fraction 18% 4°C 2% 5% 31% 0mm 75% 0mm -18dBZ 9.4° 18% 0mm - - 3.7m/s
09:00
1026hPa 0J/kg 0.81fraction 6% 4°C 0% 5% 30% 0mm 73% 0mm -17dBZ 19° 6% 0mm - - 2.9m/s
10:00
1026hPa 0J/kg 0.71fraction 10% 4.1°C 0% 5% 29% 0mm 70% 0mm -15dBZ 26° 10% 0mm 7.3m/s 6.1m/s 2.4m/s
11:00
1025hPa 0J/kg 0.81fraction 72% 3.9°C 0% 25% 32% 0mm 70% 0mm -17dBZ 31° 72% 0mm - - 2.3m/s
12:00
1024hPa 9J/kg 0.9fraction 62% 3.4°C 0% 93% 34% 0mm 73% 0mm -18dBZ 33° 93% 0mm - - 2.9m/s
13:00
1023hPa 6J/kg 1fraction 73% 2.8°C 0% 5% 37% 0mm 74% 0mm -20dBZ 32° 73% 0mm 5.2m/s 5.3m/s 3.4m/s
14:00
1022hPa 7J/kg 0.72fraction 10% 3.2°C 1% 10% 39% 0mm 72% 0mm -20dBZ 27° 12% 0mm - - 3.4m/s
15:00
1022hPa 2J/kg 0.43fraction 18% 3.2°C 0% 5% 40% 0mm 68% 0mm -20dBZ 19° 18% 0mm - - 3.1m/s
16:00
1022hPa 9J/kg 0.15fraction 5% 3.2°C 5% 96% 42% 0mm 63% 0mm -20dBZ 10° 96% 0mm 4.8m/s 7.5m/s 2.1m/s
17:00
1022hPa 9J/kg 0.1fraction 5% 3°C 5% 6% 41% 0mm 61% 0mm -20dBZ -0.03° 6% 0mm - - 1.4m/s
18:00
1022hPa 8J/kg 0.05fraction 5% 2.9°C 4% 89% 39% 0mm 61% 0mm -20dBZ -12° 89% 0mm - - 1.6m/s
19:00
1022hPa 26J/kg 0fraction 5% 2.5°C 2% 100% 38% 0mm 63% 0mm -20dBZ -24° 100% 0mm 3.8m/s 8.3m/s 1.9m/s
20:00
1022hPa 43J/kg 0fraction 28% 2°C 0% 100% 33% 0mm 65% 0mm -20dBZ -36° 100% 0mm - - 2.1m/s
21:00
1022hPa 43J/kg 0fraction 10% 1.8°C 0% 100% 28% 0mm 69% 0mm -20dBZ -49° 100% 0mm - - 2.4m/s
22:00
1022hPa 48J/kg 0fraction 11% 1.9°C 0% 100% 24% 0mm 72% 0mm -20dBZ -61° 100% 0mm 2.5m/s 8.1m/s 3.1m/s
23:00
1021hPa 47J/kg 0fraction 5% 1.9°C 2% 100% 16% 0mm 77% 0mm -20dBZ -72° 100% 0mm - - 3.8m/s
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 07:02 Sunset 17:01
24:00
1021hPa 34J/kg 0fraction 5% 1.9°C 3% 99% 8% 0mm 79% 0mm -20dBZ -78° 99% 0mm - - 3.7m/s
01:00
1020hPa 23J/kg 0fraction 5% 2.1°C 5% 100% 0% 0mm 78% 0mm -20dBZ -72° 100% 0mm 0.98m/s 6.8m/s 3.1m/s
02:00
1019hPa 11J/kg 0fraction 5% 2.3°C 5% 95% 0% 0mm 77% 0mm -20dBZ -61° 95% 0mm - - 2.8m/s
03:00
1019hPa 11J/kg 0fraction 5% 2.7°C 5% 88% 0% 0mm 75% 0mm -20dBZ -49° 88% 0mm - - 3m/s
04:00
1018hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 22% 3.1°C 4% 96% 0% 0mm 74% 0mm -20dBZ -37° 96% 0mm 0.76m/s 8m/s 2.9m/s
05:00
1017hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 14% 3.2°C 5% 64% 0% 0mm 66% 0mm -20dBZ -25° 66% 0mm - - 3.3m/s
06:00
1015hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 7% 3.2°C 5% 32% 0% 0mm 59% 0mm -20dBZ -13° 35% 0mm - - 3.6m/s
07:00
1014hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 0% 3.3°C 5% 0% 0% 0mm 52% 0mm -20dBZ -0.96° 5% 0mm 1m/s 7.5m/s 4m/s
08:00
1013hPa 11J/kg 0fraction 2% 2.8°C 15% 0% 0% 0mm 53% 0mm -20dBZ 9.5° 15% 0mm - - 4.5m/s
09:00
1012hPa 22J/kg 0fraction 3% 2.4°C 25% 0% 0% 0mm 55% 0mm -20dBZ 19° 25% 0mm - - 5.1m/s
10:00
1011hPa 33J/kg 0fraction 5% 2°C 36% 0% 0% 0mm 56% 0mm -20dBZ 26° 36% 0mm 1.1m/s 7.3m/s 5.7m/s
11:00
1011hPa 25J/kg 0fraction 25% 2.2°C 25% 33% 17% 0mm 57% 0mm -20dBZ 32° 57% 0mm - - 5.5m/s
12:00
1011hPa 16J/kg 0fraction 44% 2.5°C 15% 67% 33% 0mm 58% 0mm -20dBZ 33° 79% 0mm - - 5.2m/s
13:00
1012hPa 8J/kg 0fraction 64% 2.7°C 5% 100% 50% 0mm 59% 0mm -20dBZ 32° 100% 0mm 4.3m/s 7.6m/s 5m/s
14:00
1011hPa 5.3J/kg 0fraction 44% 2.7°C 17% 100% 39% 0mm 60% 0mm -20dBZ 27° 100% 0mm - - 5.3m/s
15:00
1011hPa 2.7J/kg 0fraction 25% 2.6°C 29% 100% 28% 0mm 62% 0mm -20dBZ 19° 100% 0mm - - 5.7m/s
16:00
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 5% 2.6°C 41% 100% 17% 0mm 64% 0mm -20dBZ 10° 100% 0mm 5.4m/s 6.1m/s 6m/s
17:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 3% 2.4°C 35% 100% 11% 0mm 64% 0mm -20dBZ 0.07° 100% 0mm - - 6.2m/s
18:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 2% 2.2°C 29% 99% 6% 0mm 65% 0mm -20dBZ -12° 99% 0mm - - 6.5m/s
19:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 0% 2°C 24% 99% 0% 0mm 65% 0mm -20dBZ -24° 99% 0mm 5.9m/s 7.5m/s 6.7m/s
20:00
1009hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 0% 2.2°C 49% 68% 13% 0.007mm 64% 0mm -20dBZ -36° 99% 0mm - - 7.1m/s
21:00
1009hPa 6J/kg 0fraction 0% 2.4°C 74% 36% 26% 0.01mm 64% 0mm -20dBZ -48° 100% 0mm - - 7.5m/s
22:00
1009hPa 9J/kg 0fraction 0% 2.5°C 100% 5% 39% 0.02mm 63% 0mm -20dBZ -61° 100% 0mm 2.6m/s 7.6m/s 7.9m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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