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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Wollongong, Australian Coast

Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia

Wollongong lies between the Illawarra escarpment and Pacific, offering sea cliffs, tidal rock shelves, ocean pools, and industrial port contrasts.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Storm Intensity
12%
CAPE14
Lifted Index12.7°C
Wind Gusts9.2m/s
Precipitation0.1mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Wollongong.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Wollongong during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
4
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 90 days
4
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 365 days
4
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Only 4 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Australia/Sydney
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Mon, Sep 7
08:004%
09:000%
10:000%
11:0012%
12:0014%
13:0025%
14:0014%
15:0016%
16:0032%
17:0025%
18:0022%
19:0035%
20:0022%
21:0038%
22:0030%
23:0018%
Tue, Sep 8
24:0018%
01:0017%
02:0018%
03:0018%
04:0017%
05:0014%
06:0013%
07:0013%
08:0012%
09:0011%
10:0010%
11:008%
12:009%
13:006%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Sep 9
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:009%
07:0015%
08:0010%
09:0020%
10:0032%
11:0016%
12:0016%
13:0019%
14:000%
15:000%
16:0018%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Sep 10
24:0013%
01:0014%
02:0015%
03:0014%
04:0017%
05:0013%
06:0014%
07:0014%
08:0012%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:0013%
22:0015%
23:0013%
Fri, Sep 11
24:0012%
01:0011%
02:0010%
03:0010%
04:0010%
05:000%
06:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Australia/Sydney
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
Lifted Index
°C
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Total Precipitation
mm
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Tue, Sep 8 Sunrise 06:07 Sunset 17:41
08:00 ☾
1026hPa 14J/kg 0.86fraction 13°C 39% 0.01mm 0.03mm 0.8dBZ 0.13mm 24134m 9.2m/s - - 7.3m/s
09:00 ☾
1026hPa 17J/kg 0.73fraction 13°C 39% 0mm 0.03mm 4dBZ 0.13mm 24135m 8.6m/s - - 6.9m/s
10:00
1026hPa 20J/kg 0.59fraction 13°C 39% 0mm 0.02mm 7.1dBZ 0.19mm 24135m 7.8m/s 2.1m/s 4m/s 6.8m/s
11:00
1026hPa 19J/kg 0.58fraction 12°C 26% 0mm 0.02mm 2.8dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.9m/s - - 6.4m/s
12:00
1025hPa 10J/kg 0.56fraction 12°C 13% 0mm 0.01mm -1.6dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 6.3m/s - - 5.9m/s
13:00
1024hPa 5J/kg 0.54fraction 12°C 0% 0mm 0mm -5.9dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 5.5m/s 2.9m/s 3.7m/s 5.4m/s
14:00
1023hPa 1J/kg 0.36fraction 12°C 0% 0mm 0mm -11dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 4m/s - - 4.1m/s
15:00
1023hPa 0J/kg 0.18fraction 12°C 0% 0mm 0mm -15dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 3m/s - - 3.1m/s
16:00
1023hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 2.5m/s 4.1m/s 4.2m/s 2.3m/s
17:00
1023hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.2m/s - - 1.9m/s
18:00 ☾
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3m/s - - 2.6m/s
19:00 ☾
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.4m/s 6.9m/s 6.7m/s 3.5m/s
20:00 ☾
1023hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.3m/s - - 3.9m/s
21:00 ☾
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5m/s - - 4.6m/s
22:00 ☾
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.5m/s 7.8m/s 10m/s 4.9m/s
23:00 ☾
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.2m/s - - 4.6m/s
Wed, Sep 9 Sunrise 06:06 Sunset 17:42
24:00 ☾
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5m/s - - 4.2m/s
01:00 ☾
1020hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.3m/s 1.8m/s 8.1m/s 4.7m/s
02:00 ☾
1020hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.9°C 13% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.2m/s - - 4.9m/s
03:00 ☾
1019hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 26% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.2m/s - - 5.1m/s
04:00 ☾
1019hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 12°C 39% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.8m/s 2.7m/s 8.4m/s 4.8m/s
05:00 ☾
1019hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 13°C 53% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.2m/s - - 5.1m/s
06:00 ☾
1020hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 15°C 67% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.6m/s - - 4.8m/s
07:00 ☾
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 14°C 82% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.8m/s 8.2m/s 16m/s 4.5m/s
08:00 ☾
1021hPa 6J/kg 0.33fraction 9.2°C 82% 0mm 0mm -14dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.8m/s - - 4.2m/s
09:00 ☾
1021hPa 1J/kg 0.67fraction 8.5°C 82% 0.06mm 0.01mm -8.2dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 13m/s - - 8.7m/s
10:00
1022hPa 2J/kg 1fraction 8.8°C 82% 0.1mm 0.06mm -2.4dBZ 0.13mm 24135m 13m/s 14m/s 28m/s 11m/s
11:00
1022hPa 23J/kg 0.79fraction 9.1°C 55% 0.1mm 0.21mm 3.1dBZ 0.19mm 19974m 12m/s - - 11m/s
12:00
1022hPa 11J/kg 0.57fraction 10°C 27% 0.07mm 0.07mm 8.5dBZ 0.5mm 24116m 13m/s - - 13m/s
13:00
1023hPa 17J/kg 0.36fraction 11°C 0% 0.04mm 0.05mm 14dBZ 0.56mm 24134m 14m/s 19m/s 34m/s 14m/s
14:00
1023hPa 14J/kg 0.24fraction 9.3°C 0% 0.2mm 0.04mm 2.6dBZ 0.75mm 21731m 14m/s - - 13m/s
15:00
1024hPa 16J/kg 0.13fraction 9°C 0% 0mm 0.03mm -8.7dBZ 0.94mm 24135m 15m/s - - 14m/s
16:00
1024hPa 6J/kg 0.01fraction 8.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.94mm 24135m 15m/s 15m/s 30m/s 14m/s
17:00
1025hPa 2J/kg 0.01fraction 8.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 16m/s - - 14m/s
18:00 ☾
1026hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 8.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 15m/s - - 14m/s
19:00 ☾
1027hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 8.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 15m/s 9.8m/s 7.2m/s 14m/s
20:00 ☾
1028hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 8.4°C 13% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 15m/s - - 14m/s
21:00 ☾
1029hPa 5J/kg 0fraction 8.2°C 26% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 15m/s - - 13m/s
22:00 ☾
1029hPa 16J/kg 0fraction 7.8°C 39% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 14m/s 2.8m/s 5.9m/s 13m/s
23:00 ☾
1030hPa 14J/kg 0.33fraction 8.1°C 44% 0mm 0.03mm -17dBZ 0mm 24135m 14m/s - - 13m/s
Thu, Sep 10 Sunrise 06:05 Sunset 17:43
24:00 ☾
1030hPa 18J/kg 0.67fraction 8.2°C 50% 0mm 0.03mm -14dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 13m/s - - 12m/s
01:00 ☾
1031hPa 2J/kg 1fraction 9°C 56% 0.03mm 0.01mm -11dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 13m/s 2.4m/s 2.5m/s 11m/s
02:00 ☾
1031hPa 0J/kg 0.72fraction 9.9°C 65% 0.01mm 0mm -14dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 13m/s - - 10m/s
03:00 ☾
1031hPa 0J/kg 0.43fraction 9.9°C 73% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 12m/s - - 9.7m/s
04:00 ☾
1031hPa 1J/kg 0.15fraction 9.4°C 82% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 12m/s 0.78m/s 11m/s 9.1m/s
05:00 ☾
1031hPa 2J/kg 0.33fraction 9.7°C 73% 0.01mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 24135m 12m/s - - 9.6m/s
06:00 ☾
1032hPa 2J/kg 0.51fraction 10°C 65% 0mm 0.01mm -17dBZ 0mm 24135m 13m/s - - 9.6m/s
07:00 ☾
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.69fraction 10°C 56% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 24134m 13m/s 2.8m/s 6.6m/s 10m/s
08:00 ☾
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.55fraction 9.8°C 56% 0.01mm 0mm -12dBZ 0mm 24135m 11m/s - - 9.2m/s
09:00 ☾
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.4fraction 10°C 56% 0mm 0mm -8.7dBZ 0mm 24135m 12m/s - - 10m/s
10:00
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.26fraction 11°C 56% 0mm 0mm -5.2dBZ 0mm 24135m 12m/s 4.1m/s 6.9m/s 11m/s
11:00
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.17fraction 12°C 43% 0mm 0mm -10dBZ 0mm 24134m 11m/s - - 11m/s
12:00
1032hPa 0J/kg 0.09fraction 12°C 30% 0mm 0mm -15dBZ 0mm 24135m 11m/s - - 11m/s
13:00
1032hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 12°C 17% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 11m/s 3.4m/s 5.3m/s 11m/s
14:00
1032hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 12°C 19% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 11m/s - - 11m/s
15:00
1032hPa 5J/kg 0fraction 11°C 20% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 11m/s - - 10m/s
16:00
1032hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 22% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 12m/s 2.9m/s 4.1m/s 9.4m/s
17:00
1033hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 11°C 28% 0.007mm 0.007mm -13dBZ 0.08mm 24134m 10m/s - - 8.3m/s
18:00 ☾
1033hPa 6J/kg 0fraction 11°C 33% 0.01mm 0.01mm -6dBZ 0.17mm 24135m 9.4m/s - - 7.2m/s
19:00 ☾
1034hPa 9J/kg 0fraction 11°C 39% 0.02mm 0.02mm 0.93dBZ 0.25mm 24135m 8.4m/s 4.2m/s 8.9m/s 6.1m/s
20:00 ☾
1033hPa 6J/kg 0.33fraction 11°C 42% 0.05mm 0.04mm 5.7dBZ 0.31mm 24135m 8.5m/s - - 6.1m/s
21:00 ☾
1033hPa 3J/kg 0.67fraction 10°C 46% 0.07mm 0.05mm 10dBZ 0.38mm 24135m 8.6m/s - - 6.1m/s
22:00 ☾
1033hPa 0J/kg 1fraction 10°C 49% 0.1mm 0.07mm 15dBZ 0.44mm 24135m 8.7m/s 3.3m/s 9m/s 6.2m/s
23:00 ☾
1033hPa 1.3J/kg 0.82fraction 9.9°C 46% 0.08mm 0.05mm 4.8dBZ 0.46mm 24135m 8.5m/s - - 6.1m/s
Fri, Sep 11 Sunrise 06:03 Sunset 17:43
24:00 ☾
1034hPa 2.7J/kg 0.63fraction 9.6°C 42% 0.07mm 0.04mm -5.5dBZ 0.48mm 24135m 8.2m/s - - 6m/s
01:00 ☾
1034hPa 4J/kg 0.45fraction 9.3°C 39% 0.05mm 0.02mm -16dBZ 0.5mm 24135m 7.9m/s 3.8m/s 6.7m/s 5.9m/s
02:00 ☾
1034hPa 3J/kg 0.44fraction 9.4°C 39% 0.04mm 0.01mm -8.5dBZ 0.54mm 24135m 7.6m/s - - 6m/s
03:00 ☾
1034hPa 2J/kg 0.43fraction 9.5°C 39% 0.03mm 0.007mm -1.2dBZ 0.58mm 24135m 7.3m/s - - 6.1m/s
04:00 ☾
1034hPa 1J/kg 0.42fraction 9.6°C 39% 0.02mm 0mm 6dBZ 0.63mm 24135m 6.9m/s 5m/s 6m/s 6.2m/s
05:00 ☾
1034hPa 0.67J/kg 0.38fraction 9.2°C 27% 0.01mm 0mm 7.6dBZ 0.42mm 24135m 6m/s - - 5.5m/s
06:00 ☾
1033hPa 0.33J/kg 0.35fraction 8.8°C 15% 0.007mm 0mm 9.2dBZ 0.21mm 24135m 5.1m/s - - 4.8m/s
07:00 ☾
1033hPa 0J/kg 0.31fraction 8.4°C 3% 0mm 0mm 11dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.2m/s 3.4m/s 1.4m/s 4.2m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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