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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Wollongong, Australian Coast

Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia

Wollongong lies between the Illawarra escarpment and Pacific, offering sea cliffs, tidal rock shelves, ocean pools, and industrial port contrasts.

1 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
Fiery Red Sky Potential
0%
Low Cloud Cover64%
Mid Cloud Cover31%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation42.6°

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney
fire-sky weather icon
First upcoming window
Good Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Wollongong
Sun, Oct 11 · 06:04–06:52 · 1h window
Low confidence
48%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential65.9%
Low Cloud Cover: 38%
Mid Cloud Cover: 0%
High Cloud Cover: 0%
Sun Elevation: -4.9° (Civil twilight)

71-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 71-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Australia/Sydney.

Requirements breakdown is temporarily unavailable or expired. This does not mean no opportunities.

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Australia/Sydney)Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)Dust AOD (550nm)Golden HourHigh CloudsLow CloudsMid-Level CloudsRH @ 700 hPaSmoke AOD (550nm)Solar ElevationSunshine Duration
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
0.133%18%0.001Unavailable0%64%31%3.7%0.00643°3600seconds
0.120%15%0.001Unavailable0%91%26%4.1%0.00653°3600seconds
0.123%16%0.001Unavailable0%68%4%4.4%0.00660°3311seconds
0.16%16%0.001Unavailable0%44%1%4.8%0.00661°3600seconds
0.19%17%0.001Unavailable0%46%0%5.1%0.00656°3600seconds
0.0924%15%0.001Unavailable0%6%0%5.2%0.00648°3600seconds
0.0938%13%0.001Unavailable0%2%0%5.4%0.00637°3600seconds
0.0953%11%0.001Unavailable0%1%0%5.5%0.00725°3600seconds
0.0969%8%0.001Unavailable0%12%0%5.1%0.00712°3600seconds
0.0984%5%0.001Unavailable0%2%0%4.6%0.0070.54°3600seconds
Night0.09100%2%0.001Unavailable0%1%0%4.2%0.008-12°0seconds
Night0.09100%2%0.001Unavailable0%4%0%4.2%0.008-24°0seconds
Night0.1100%3%0.001Unavailable0%5%0%4.2%0.009-34°0seconds
Night0.1100%3%0.001Unavailable0%0%0%4.2%0.01-43°0seconds
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night0.199%4%0.001Unavailable0%0%0%4.1%0.01-48°0seconds
Night0.199%6%0.001Unavailable0%0%0%4.1%0.01-49°0seconds
Night0.198%7%0.001Unavailable0%27%0%4%0.01-46°0seconds
Night0.198%7%0.001Unavailable0%45%0%4.6%0.01-38°0seconds
Night0.199%6%0.001Unavailable0%70%0%5.1%0.01-29°0seconds
Night0.0999%6%0.001Unavailable0%70%0%5.7%0.01-17°0seconds
Night0.0999%5%0.001Unavailable0%61%0%6%0.01-5.4°0seconds
0.09100%3%0.001Unavailable0%55%0%6.4%0.016.9°0seconds
0.09100%2%0Unavailable0%23%0%6.7%0.0119°2214seconds
0.08100%2%0Unavailable0%0%0%6.8%0.0131°3600seconds
0.08100%3%0Unavailable0%1%0%6.8%0.0143°3600seconds
0.08100%3%0Unavailable0%0%0%6.9%0.0153°3600seconds
Unavailable99%5%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%7.1%Unavailable60°3600seconds
Unavailable98%8%UnavailableUnavailable10%0%0%7.4%Unavailable62°3600seconds
Unavailable97%10%UnavailableUnavailable55%0%0%7.6%Unavailable57°3600seconds
Unavailable96%11%UnavailableUnavailable2%0%0%12%Unavailable48°3600seconds
Unavailable95%12%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%17%Unavailable37°3600seconds
Unavailable94%13%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%21%Unavailable25°3600seconds
Unavailable90%15%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%36%Unavailable13°3600seconds
Unavailable87%17%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%51%Unavailable0.68°3600seconds
NightUnavailable83%19%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%66%Unavailable-12°0seconds
NightUnavailable82%17%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%65%Unavailable-23°0seconds
NightUnavailable81%16%UnavailableUnavailable2%0%0%64%Unavailable-34°0seconds
NightUnavailable80%14%UnavailableUnavailable2%0%0%64%Unavailable-42°0seconds
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable69%21%UnavailableUnavailable23%0%0%70%Unavailable-48°0seconds
NightUnavailable58%27%UnavailableUnavailable81%0%0%75%Unavailable-49°0seconds
NightUnavailable47%34%UnavailableUnavailable89%0%2%81%Unavailable-45°0seconds
NightUnavailable36%31%UnavailableUnavailable98%0%28%86%Unavailable-38°0seconds
NightUnavailable25%27%UnavailableUnavailable98%0%14%91%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable14%24%UnavailableUnavailable98%0%99%96%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable9%19%UnavailableUnavailable99%0%100%91%Unavailable-5.2°0seconds
Unavailable5%13%UnavailableUnavailable100%0%98%86%Unavailable7.2°0seconds
Unavailable0%8%UnavailableUnavailable94%0%82%81%Unavailable19°0seconds
Unavailable0%11%UnavailableUnavailable64%0%5%82%Unavailable32°221seconds
Unavailable1%13%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%16%84%Unavailable43°3600seconds
Unavailable1%16%UnavailableUnavailable6%1%2%85%Unavailable53°3600seconds
Unavailable20%23%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%7%88%Unavailable60°3600seconds
Unavailable40%31%UnavailableUnavailable0%3%8%90%Unavailable62°3600seconds
Unavailable59%38%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%16%93%Unavailable57°3600seconds
Unavailable57%35%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%13%94%Unavailable48°3600seconds
Unavailable56%33%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%2%95%Unavailable37°3600seconds
Unavailable54%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%9%96%Unavailable25°3600seconds
Unavailable63%28%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%2%89%Unavailable13°3600seconds
Unavailable73%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%1%81%Unavailable0.82°3600seconds
NightUnavailable82%24%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%73%Unavailable-12°0seconds
NightUnavailable86%20%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%58%Unavailable-23°0seconds
NightUnavailable90%16%UnavailableUnavailable0%0%0%44%Unavailable-34°0seconds
NightUnavailable94%12%UnavailableUnavailable0%4%0%29%Unavailable-42°0seconds
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
NightUnavailable93%13%UnavailableUnavailable0%23%0%25%Unavailable-48°0seconds
NightUnavailable93%13%UnavailableUnavailable0%57%0%21%Unavailable-49°0seconds
NightUnavailable92%14%UnavailableUnavailable0%27%0%17%Unavailable-45°0seconds
NightUnavailable89%15%UnavailableUnavailable0%34%0%16%Unavailable-38°0seconds
NightUnavailable86%17%UnavailableUnavailable0%23%0%15%Unavailable-28°0seconds
NightUnavailable83%18%UnavailableUnavailable0%29%0%13%Unavailable-17°0seconds
NightUnavailable77%22%UnavailableUnavailable0%38%0%13%Unavailable-4.9°0seconds
Unavailable72%26%UnavailableUnavailable0%61%0%14%Unavailable7.4°612seconds
Unavailable66%30%UnavailableUnavailable0%63%0%14%Unavailable20°3600seconds
Unavailable67%29%UnavailableUnavailable0%51%0%14%Unavailable32°3600seconds

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Wollongong.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Wollongong during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
12
recorded matching windows · 78% average confidence
Last 90 days
23
recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence
Last 365 days
38
recorded matching windows · 72% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

07:00 local time, shared by 14 of 38 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

June, with 11 of 38 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

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