Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Sydney, Australian Coast

Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Sydney Harbour layers the Opera House, Harbour Bridge, sandstone headlands, ferries, and city towers across coves suited to long-lens alignment.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

CAPE24

Lifted Index4.7°C

Wind Gusts2.1m/s

Precipitation0.1mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Sydney.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sydney during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching windows

Last 90 days

recorded matching windows

Last 365 days

recorded matching windows

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 85 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Australia/Sydney	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Sat, Aug 22
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	9%
20:00	10%
21:00	14%
22:00	18%
23:00	13%
Sun, Aug 23
24:00	10%
01:00	14%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	9%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	11%
13:00	13%
14:00	12%
15:00	11%
16:00	11%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Mon, Aug 24
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	0%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	13%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Tue, Aug 25
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	19%
14:00	18%
15:00	20%
16:00	26%
17:00	13%
18:00	13%
19:00	11%
20:00	10%
21:00	9%
22:00	13%
23:00	0%
Wed, Aug 26
24:00	14%
01:00	16%
02:00	13%
03:00	0%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Australia/Sydney	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 17:29
05:00 ☾	1019hPa	24J/kg	0.27fraction	4.7°C	39%	0mm	0.02mm	-1.9dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	2.1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
06:00 ☾	1020hPa	22J/kg	0.38fraction	5°C	39%	0mm	0.04mm	3.8dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	2m/s	-	-	1m/s
07:00 ☾	1020hPa	26J/kg	0.48fraction	5°C	39%	0.01mm	0.01mm	9.5dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.5m/s	8.9m/s	15m/s	0.78m/s
08:00 ☾	1021hPa	26J/kg	0.32fraction	5.2°C	45%	0mm	0.03mm	1.9dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	1.5m/s	-	-	0.55m/s
09:00 ☾	1021hPa	26J/kg	0.17fraction	5.4°C	50%	0mm	0.03mm	-5.7dBZ	0.19mm	24134m	1.9m/s	-	-	0.26m/s
10:00	1021hPa	25J/kg	0.007fraction	5.6°C	56%	0mm	0.02mm	-13dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	2.7m/s	6.9m/s	12m/s	0.8m/s
11:00	1021hPa	22J/kg	0.34fraction	5.6°C	37%	0mm	0.04mm	-14dBZ	0.06mm	24134m	3.8m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
12:00	1020hPa	16J/kg	0.67fraction	5.7°C	19%	0mm	0.03mm	-15dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	4.3m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
13:00	1019hPa	8J/kg	1fraction	5.5°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-15dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	4.5m/s	5m/s	9.1m/s	3.9m/s
14:00	1019hPa	8J/kg	0.82fraction	5.4°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-12dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	4.6m/s	-	-	4.2m/s
15:00	1018hPa	1J/kg	0.64fraction	5.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-7.8dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	5.2m/s	-	-	4.8m/s
16:00	1018hPa	1J/kg	0.46fraction	5.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-4dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.5m/s	4.1m/s	7.6m/s	4.6m/s
17:00	1019hPa	1J/kg	0.3fraction	6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-9.3dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.3m/s	-	-	4.7m/s
18:00 ☾	1019hPa	1J/kg	0.15fraction	6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.9m/s	-	-	4.6m/s
19:00 ☾	1020hPa	4J/kg	0fraction	5.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.1m/s	5.4m/s	8.1m/s	4.6m/s
20:00 ☾	1020hPa	8J/kg	0fraction	5.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	9m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
21:00 ☾	1020hPa	4J/kg	0fraction	5.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.9m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
22:00 ☾	1020hPa	8J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	9.5m/s	7.5m/s	9m/s	5m/s
23:00 ☾	1020hPa	9J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	7.7m/s	-	-	3.8m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:25 Sunset 17:30
24:00 ☾	1019hPa	9J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	6.3m/s	-	-	3m/s
01:00 ☾	1019hPa	3J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	0%	0mm	0.01mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	5.9m/s	7.5m/s	10m/s	2.5m/s
02:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.2m/s	-	-	2m/s
03:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.5m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
04:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.4m/s	11m/s	13m/s	1.6m/s
05:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.7m/s
06:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.6m/s	-	-	2m/s
07:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.3m/s	6.9m/s	7.7m/s	2m/s
08:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.7m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
09:00 ☾	1019hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.7°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
10:00	1018hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4m/s	2.5m/s	5.7m/s	2.2m/s
11:00	1017hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	3.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.4m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
12:00	1016hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.7m/s	-	-	2.9m/s
13:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.7m/s	7.8m/s	7.2m/s	4.4m/s
14:00	1015hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	5.7m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
15:00	1014hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	7.7m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
16:00	1013hPa	7J/kg	0fraction	1.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	11m/s	15m/s	11m/s	6.4m/s
17:00	1013hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	0.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	12m/s	-	-	6m/s
18:00 ☾	1014hPa	34J/kg	0fraction	0.4°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	13m/s	-	-	6m/s
19:00 ☾	1014hPa	30J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	13m/s	9.9m/s	10m/s	6.3m/s
20:00 ☾	1015hPa	47J/kg	0fraction	0.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	13m/s	-	-	6.2m/s
21:00 ☾	1015hPa	43J/kg	0fraction	0.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	13m/s	-	-	5.3m/s
22:00 ☾	1015hPa	33J/kg	0fraction	1°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.8m/s	2.3m/s	5.6m/s	3.7m/s
23:00 ☾	1014hPa	24J/kg	0fraction	1.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3m/s	-	-	2m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 17:31
24:00 ☾	1014hPa	22J/kg	0fraction	2.6°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
01:00 ☾	1014hPa	12J/kg	0fraction	2.9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1m/s	5.5m/s	11m/s	1.1m/s
02:00 ☾	1014hPa	7J/kg	0fraction	3.9°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
03:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4°C	15%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	0.92m/s	-	-	0.86m/s
04:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.2m/s	8.7m/s	11m/s	1.2m/s
05:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.2°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.6m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
06:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.9°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.7m/s
07:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	4.8°C	22%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.7m/s	11m/s	8.3m/s	1.5m/s
08:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.3°C	29%	0mm	0mm	-15dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.6m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
09:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.6°C	37%	0mm	0mm	-10dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.6m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
10:00	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	5.5°C	44%	0mm	0mm	-5.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	8.3m/s	3.4m/s	6.9m/s	3.4m/s
11:00	1011hPa	19J/kg	0fraction	4.6°C	44%	0.07mm	0mm	6.6dBZ	0.25mm	24134m	8.9m/s	-	-	3.7m/s
12:00	1009hPa	37J/kg	0fraction	3.8°C	43%	0.14mm	0mm	19dBZ	0.5mm	24134m	9.5m/s	-	-	4m/s
13:00	1008hPa	56J/kg	0fraction	2.9°C	42%	0.21mm	0mm	31dBZ	0.75mm	24135m	10m/s	5.6m/s	9.9m/s	4.3m/s
14:00	1008hPa	50J/kg	0fraction	2.8°C	53%	0.2mm	0.03mm	30dBZ	0.92mm	24135m	9m/s	-	-	3.6m/s
15:00	1008hPa	45J/kg	0fraction	2.8°C	65%	0.19mm	0.05mm	30dBZ	1.1mm	24135m	7.9m/s	-	-	3m/s
16:00	1008hPa	39J/kg	0.007fraction	2.7°C	76%	0.18mm	0.08mm	29dBZ	1.3mm	24135m	6.8m/s	7.5m/s	20m/s	2.4m/s
17:00	1008hPa	31J/kg	0fraction	2.4°C	59%	0.12mm	0.05mm	28dBZ	0.85mm	24135m	6.8m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
18:00 ☾	1008hPa	24J/kg	0fraction	2.2°C	43%	0.06mm	0.03mm	27dBZ	0.46mm	24135m	6.7m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
19:00 ☾	1007hPa	16J/kg	0fraction	2°C	27%	0mm	0mm	26dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	6.6m/s	0.48m/s	8.8m/s	2.2m/s
20:00 ☾	1007hPa	12J/kg	0.1fraction	2.2°C	29%	0mm	0mm	25dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	5.6m/s	-	-	2m/s
21:00 ☾	1007hPa	7.3J/kg	0.21fraction	2.4°C	32%	0mm	0mm	24dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	4.6m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
22:00 ☾	1007hPa	3J/kg	0.31fraction	2.6°C	34%	0mm	0mm	24dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	3.6m/s	8m/s	11m/s	1.5m/s
23:00 ☾	1008hPa	10J/kg	0.21fraction	2.3°C	56%	0.04mm	0.01mm	19dBZ	0.15mm	24135m	3m/s	-	-	1.4m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 17:32
24:00 ☾	1008hPa	18J/kg	0.1fraction	2°C	78%	0.08mm	0.02mm	14dBZ	0.23mm	24135m	2.3m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
01:00 ☾	1009hPa	25J/kg	0fraction	1.7°C	100%	0.12mm	0.03mm	9dBZ	0.31mm	24135m	1.6m/s	2.5m/s	9.6m/s	1.2m/s
02:00 ☾	1010hPa	39J/kg	0fraction	1°C	79%	0.09mm	0.08mm	1.4dBZ	0.46mm	22972m	3.2m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
03:00 ☾	1010hPa	53J/kg	0fraction	0.34°C	58%	0.06mm	0.14mm	-6.1dBZ	0.6mm	21809m	4.7m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
04:00 ☾	1010hPa	67J/kg	0fraction	-0.36°C	37%	0.03mm	0.19mm	-14dBZ	0.75mm	20646m	6.2m/s	5.6m/s	11m/s	2.5m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 22, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC

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