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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Sydney, Australian Coast

Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Sydney Harbour layers the Opera House, Harbour Bridge, sandstone headlands, ferries, and city towers across coves suited to long-lens alignment.

3 matching opportunities in the 14-day forecast.

Hourly forecast scores

Forecast valid from Oct 6, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC (one hour; not an observation)
CAPE0
Lifted Index9.6°C
Wind Gusts16.3m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney
First upcoming window
Weak Storm
Sydney
Sat, Oct 10 · 09:00–10:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
33%
⛈️Storm Intensity40.4%
CAPE: 0
Lifted Index: 4.5°C
Wind Gusts: 11.2m/s
Precipitation: 2.2mm
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm
Sydney
Tue, Oct 13 · 17:00–18:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:49.5%
Low
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm
Sydney
Wed, Oct 14 · 17:00–18:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:40.3%
Low

72-hour requirements breakdown

When available, this detailed table covers only the stated 72-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the full 14-day forecast period, so this table does not explain that entire period. Times shown in Australia/Sydney.

Most common blockers

Ranked across the 95-hour forecast horizon, not the full opportunity period.

  • Storm Intensity100% of hours
0matching hours in the displayed 72-hour forecast
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Australia/Sydney
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Wed, Oct 7
Rule fails. 05:00Storm Intensity: 26%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00Storm Intensity: 16%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00Storm Intensity: 17%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00Storm Intensity: 17%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00Storm Intensity: 17%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00Storm Intensity: 19%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00Storm Intensity: 13%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Thu, Oct 8
Rule fails. 24:00Storm Intensity: 12%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00Storm Intensity: 11%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00Storm Intensity: 11%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00Storm Intensity: 8%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00Storm Intensity: 14%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Fri, Oct 9
Rule fails. 24:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 05:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 06:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 07:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 08:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 09:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 10:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 11:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 12:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 13:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 14:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 15:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 16:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 17:00Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 18:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 19:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 20:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 21:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 22:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 23:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Sat, Oct 10
Rule fails. 24:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 01:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 02:00Storm Intensity: 15%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 03:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
Rule fails. 04:00Storm Intensity: 0%. Misses requirement
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

Supporting forecast inputs

Additional hourly values for interpreting the forecast and any derived scores. See the separate requirements breakdown for rule logic; missing values are unavailable.

Forecast time (Australia/Sydney)Air PressureCAPEConvective Precip FractionLifted IndexPrecipitation ChanceRainfallShowersSimulated ReflectivityTotal PrecipitationVisibilityWind GustsWind Shear 0-3 kmWind Shear 0-6 kmWind Speed
Wed, Oct 7, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night1017hPa0J/kg0fraction9.6°C75%0mm0mm3.3dBZ0mm40820m16m/s11m/s17m/s7.8m/s
Night1018hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C51%0mm0mm-4.5dBZ0mm40800m17m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.7m/s
1019hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C21%0mm0mm-12dBZ0mm40800m16m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.5m/s
1020hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40780m16m/s4.4m/s9.4m/s6.7m/s
1020hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40760m15m/sUnavailableUnavailable6.6m/s
1021hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm44040m15m/sUnavailableUnavailable6.2m/s
1021hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm44020m15m/s12m/s8m/s6.8m/s
1021hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm44020m17m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.1m/s
1020hPa10J/kg0fraction12°C1%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm44000m17m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.3m/s
1020hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C2%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm44000m17m/s11m/s8.9m/s7.2m/s
1020hPa10J/kg0.33fraction12°C3%0mm0mm-17dBZ0mm43980m17m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.3m/s
1019hPa10J/kg0.67fraction11°C4%0mm0mm-15dBZ0mm43960m17m/sUnavailableUnavailable7.2m/s
1019hPa10J/kg1fraction11°C6%0mm0mm-12dBZ0mm19880m16m/s4.1m/s5.4m/s7.1m/s
1019hPa10J/kg1fraction11°C8%0mm0mm-10dBZ0mm40660m16m/sUnavailableUnavailable6.3m/s
1020hPa30J/kg1fraction11°C11%0mm0mm-8.2dBZ0mm40660m14m/sUnavailableUnavailable6.2m/s
Night1020hPa30J/kg1fraction11°C16%0.1mm0mm-6.2dBZ0.1mm11600m13m/s3.3m/s6.6m/s5.5m/s
Night1021hPa40J/kg0.72fraction11°C25%0mm0mm-1.6dBZ0mm37100m12m/sUnavailableUnavailable5.9m/s
Night1021hPa40J/kg0.43fraction12°C36%0mm0.1mm3dBZ0.1mm8340m12m/sUnavailableUnavailable5m/s
Night1021hPa60J/kg0.15fraction12°C43%0mm0.1mm7.7dBZ0.1mm16780m10m/s4m/s7m/s4.5m/s
Thu, Oct 8, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night1020hPa60J/kg0.43fraction12°C40%0mm0.1mm8.4dBZ0.1mm37080m9.1m/sUnavailableUnavailable3.8m/s
Night1020hPa50J/kg0.72fraction12°C33%0mm0mm9.2dBZ0mm16720m7.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable3m/s
Night1019hPa50J/kg1fraction12°C29%0mm0mm9.9dBZ0mm32920m5.9m/s3.5m/s7.3m/s2.8m/s
Night1019hPa40J/kg0.73fraction11°C35%0mm0mm5.5dBZ0mm11760m5.7m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.7m/s
Night1018hPa40J/kg0.46fraction11°C45%0.1mm0mm1.1dBZ0.1mm8560m5.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.1m/s
Night1018hPa30J/kg0.19fraction12°C51%0.1mm0.1mm-3.3dBZ0.2mm8980m4.8m/s4.3m/s9.2m/s2.3m/s
Night1018hPa20J/kg0.13fraction13°C50%0.1mm0.1mm-8dBZ0.2mm8640m5.1m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.3m/s
1019hPa10J/kg0.06fraction13°C46%0.1mm0.1mm-13dBZ0.2mm9540m6m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.9m/s
1019hPa10J/kg0fraction13°C41%0.1mm0mm-17dBZ0.1mm11760m6.2m/s5.8m/s14m/s2.5m/s
1019hPa20J/kg0.11fraction12°C36%0mm0mm-18dBZ0mm18860m5.7m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.1m/s
1019hPa20J/kg0.22fraction11°C31%0mm0mm-19dBZ0mm10220m5.6m/sUnavailableUnavailable2m/s
1018hPa30J/kg0.33fraction9.9°C27%0mm0.3mm-20dBZ0.3mm10200m6.9m/s8.4m/s15m/s2.5m/s
1018hPa30J/kg0.22fraction9.5°C25%0mm0.1mm-20dBZ0.1mm40480m7.6m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.8m/s
1017hPa40J/kg0.11fraction9°C25%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40460m8m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.9m/s
1016hPa10J/kg0fraction8.6°C22%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40440m8m/s10m/s16m/s2.6m/s
1015hPa0J/kg0fraction8.6°C15%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm43700m8.1m/sUnavailableUnavailable3m/s
1014hPa0J/kg0fraction8.7°C6%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm43700m8.8m/sUnavailableUnavailable3.4m/s
1013hPa0J/kg0fraction8.9°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm43680m8.8m/s11m/s14m/s3.2m/s
1013hPa0J/kg0fraction9.2°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm43680m7.9m/sUnavailableUnavailable3m/s
1014hPa0J/kg0fraction10°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40400m6.8m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.9m/s
Night1014hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm36860m4m/s7.3m/s13m/s1.4m/s
Night1015hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm36860m3.3m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.7m/s
Night1014hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm36840m3.3m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.3m/s
Night1014hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm36840m2.3m/s7.4m/s13m/s0.43m/s
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night1014hPa0J/kg0fraction11°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm29620m1.7m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.1m/s
Night1013hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm25740m2.8m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.4m/s
Night1012hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm25740m4.5m/s9.1m/s14m/s2.3m/s
Night1012hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm25720m4.6m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.3m/s
Night1011hPa0J/kg0fraction13°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm25720m4.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.8m/s
Night1011hPa0J/kg0fraction13°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm19540m3.5m/s11m/s13m/s1.5m/s
Night1011hPa0J/kg0fraction14°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm900m3.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.8m/s
1012hPa0J/kg0fraction13°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm520m3.7m/sUnavailableUnavailable2m/s
1012hPa0J/kg0fraction12°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm10680m3.9m/s9.6m/s12m/s1.4m/s
1012hPa0J/kg0fraction10°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm32640m4.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.4m/s
1011hPa0J/kg0fraction9.4°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm36720m4.8m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.3m/s
1010hPa0J/kg0fraction8.4°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40220m4.8m/s7.9m/s11m/s0.75m/s
1009hPa0J/kg0fraction7.6°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm43460m6.7m/sUnavailableUnavailable2.3m/s
1008hPa0J/kg0fraction7.1°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm20820m11m/sUnavailableUnavailable4.4m/s
1007hPa0J/kg0fraction6.4°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm16180m12m/s9.5m/s10m/s4.7m/s
1006hPa0J/kg0fraction6.1°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm16560m11m/sUnavailableUnavailable4.6m/s
1005hPa0J/kg0fraction6.1°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm21760m12m/sUnavailableUnavailable4.9m/s
1004hPa0J/kg0fraction6.2°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm40160m12m/s17m/s12m/s5.2m/s
1004hPa0J/kg0fraction6°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm13180m12m/sUnavailableUnavailable4.7m/s
1005hPa0J/kg0fraction6.3°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm12180m10m/sUnavailableUnavailable4.9m/s
Night1005hPa0J/kg0fraction5.9°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm7800m10m/s14m/s11m/s4.8m/s
Night1006hPa0J/kg0fraction5.3°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm8760m10m/sUnavailableUnavailable5.2m/s
Night1005hPa0J/kg0fraction4.9°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm11900m11m/sUnavailableUnavailable5m/s
Night1005hPa0J/kg0fraction4.9°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm14080m9.9m/s20m/s15m/s3.2m/s
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Sunrise · Sunset
Night1004hPa0J/kg0fraction4.4°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm14760m6.2m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.5m/s
Night1004hPa0J/kg0fraction4°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm14180m3.4m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.4m/s
Night1003hPa0J/kg0fraction4.5°C0%0mm0mm-20dBZ0mm14480m2.8m/s22m/s20m/s1.4m/s
Night1002hPa0J/kg0fraction4.7°C0%0mm0mm-7.7dBZ0mm14520m3.3m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.7m/s
Night1001hPa0J/kg0fraction6.9°C1%0mm0mm4.6dBZ0mm32460m3.5m/sUnavailableUnavailable1.8m/s

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values above show how those signals apply at Sydney.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Sydney during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
3
recorded matching windows · 54% average confidence
Last 90 days
5
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence
Last 365 days
5
recorded matching windows · 53% average confidence

Only 5 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

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