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Rule Fire Sky

Melbourne - Fire Sky - Australian Coast

Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Those rare, intensely red and orange sunset skies

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover100%
Mid Cloud Cover100%
High Cloud Cover99%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation-66.2° (Astronomical night)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Melbourne
fire-sky weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Melbourne
Tue, May 26 · 07:03–08:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
56%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential73.4%
Low Cloud Cover: 4%
Mid Cloud Cover: 31%
High Cloud Cover: 75%
Sun Elevation: -4.7° (Civil twilight)

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the atmospheric conditions that create Australia's legendary fire skies—vivid red and orange sunsets intensified by bushfire smoke, dust, and tropical humidity. We monitor particulate levels, humidity, and atmospheric conditions to predict when the sky will ignite in extraordinary colors.

Australian fire skies result from several phenomena: bushfire smoke during fire season adds particles that scatter light dramatically, creating blood-red sunsets. Dust from the interior can create similar effects. The tropical and subtropical north brings high humidity that generates vivid colors even without smoke. When these factors align with cloud formations, the results can be otherworldly.

What makes Australian fire skies exceptional:

  • Bushfire season intensity - Summer and autumn bushfire smoke creates apocalyptic red sunsets across large areas
  • Dust effects - Interior dust storms occasionally reach the coast, creating dramatic atmospheric color
  • Tropical humidity - Queensland and northern NSW subtropical moisture generates vivid sunset colors
  • Urban reflections - Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane skylines silhouette against fire-colored skies

Best fire skies typically occur during bushfire season (November-March), though smoke impact varies annually based on fire conditions. Not every smoke-affected sunset is beautiful—heavy smoke can obscure the sun entirely—but moderate smoke levels create unforgettable colors. Tropical fire skies peak during humid summer months. Always monitor air quality; shooting during heavy smoke poses health risks.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Australia/Melbourne
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, May 23
23:0024%0%24134m
Sun, May 24
24:0024%0%24135m
01:0028%0%24134m
02:0025%0%24135m
03:0023%0%24135m
04:0024%0%24134m
05:0028%12%24134m
06:0028%25%24134m
07:0045%38%24135m
08:0018%54%24135m
09:0011%70%24135m
10:0011%86%24135m
11:0012%77%24135m
12:0013%54%24135m
13:0018%50%24135m
14:0011%56%24134m
15:0010%62%14809m
16:0016%67%24134m
17:0015%65%23549m
18:0011%95%22996m
19:0011%95%24134m
20:0011%96%24135m
21:0011%97%16014m
22:0014%97%10246m
23:0019%95%4883m
Mon, May 25
24:0011%93%5010m
01:009.6%90%22770m
02:0013%92%13850m
03:0014%93%21689m
04:0010%95%24134m
05:0017%93%14556m
06:008.2%91%24134m
07:0032%89%24135m
08:0033%92%24134m
09:0030%94%24135m
10:006.4%96%24135m
11:006.5%78%24135m
12:0030%60%24135m
13:0020%41%24135m
14:0018%40%24134m
15:0011%39%24134m
16:0012%39%24134m
17:0015%26%24135m
18:0025%13%24134m
19:0021%0%24135m
20:0029%17%24135m
21:0016%33%24134m
22:0010%50%24135m
23:0017%45%24134m
Tue, May 26
24:0011%40%24134m
01:0013%35%24134m
02:0032%40%24134m
03:0027%45%24135m
04:0029%50%24134m
05:0030%34%24135m
06:0029%17%24134m
07:0073%0.91%24135m
08:0037%6.2%24134m
09:0029%12%24134m
10:0041%17%24135m
11:0030%45%24134m
12:0030%72%24135m
13:0029%100%24134m
14:0028%100%24134m
15:007.7%100%24134m
16:0038%100%24135m
17:0018%81%24134m
18:006.5%63%24135m
19:006.2%44%24134m
20:0021%51%24135m
21:0022%58%24134m
22:0019%64%24134m
23:0011%55%24134m
Wed, May 27
24:0012%46%24135m
01:009%37%24135m
02:009.5%35%23085m
03:0011%34%24135m
04:0012%32%22438m
05:000%55%23004m
06:000%77%23569m
07:006.8%100%24135m
08:000.3%100%24135m
09:000%100%24135m
10:000%100%24135m
11:000%71%24135m
12:000%42%24135m
13:000%14%24135m
14:000%16%24135m
15:000%19%24135m
16:000%22%24135m
17:0072%18%24135m
18:002.3%14%24135m
19:000%9.3%24135m
20:000%23%24135m
21:000%36%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Australia/Melbourne
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Sun, May 24 Sunrise 07:20 Sunset 17:12
23:00
0.08 0% 2% 0.001 - 99% 100% 100% 95% 0.01 -66° 0seconds
Mon, May 25 Sunrise 07:20 Sunset 17:12
24:00
0.08 0% 1% 0.001 - 100% 99% 100% 92% 0.01 -73° 0seconds
01:00
0.09 0% 1% 0.001 - 100% 60% 100% 89% 0.02 -71° 0seconds
02:00
0.1 0% 1% 0.001 - 100% 99% 100% 84% 0.02 -62° 0seconds
03:00
0.07 0% 1% 0.001 - 69% 97% 99% 79% 0.02 -51° 0seconds
04:00
0.06 0% 1% 0.001 - 6% 27% 93% 74% 0.01 -39° 0seconds
05:00
0.06 0% 6% 0.001 - 0% 68% 73% 73% 0.01 -28° 0seconds
06:00
0.06 1% 12% 0.001 - 5% 42% 5% 72% 0.01 -16° 0seconds
07:00
0.06 1% 17% 0.001 - 8% 11% 27% 71% 0.01 -4.6° 0seconds
08:00
0.07 1% 15% 0.001 - 94% 8% 36% 66% 0.02 0seconds
09:00
0.07 0% 13% 0.001 - 100% 0% 16% 61% 0.02 15° 0seconds
10:00
0.08 0% 11% 0.001 - 100% 0% 98% 57% 0.02 23° 0seconds
11:00
0.09 0% 9% 0.001 - 100% 0% 99% 66% 0.02 29° 3600seconds
12:00
0.09 0% 8% 0.001 - 100% 1% 64% 74% 0.02 31° 3600seconds
13:00
0.09 0% 6% 0.001 - 100% 3% 5% 83% 0.02 30° 3600seconds
14:00
0.09 0% 5% 0.001 - 100% 7% 98% 89% 0.03 26° 3600seconds
15:00
0.1 0% 5% 0.001 - 100% 78% 96% 94% 0.03 20° 3600seconds
16:00
0.1 0% 4% 0.001 - 100% 64% 98% 100% 0.03 11° 3600seconds
17:00
0.09 0% 5% 0.001 - 100% 68% 100% 99% 0.02 1.7° 0seconds
18:00
0.09 0% 6% 0.001 - 100% 19% 90% 98% 0.02 -9.4° 0seconds
19:00
0.09 0% 7% 0.001 - 100% 21% 62% 98% 0.02 -21° 0seconds
20:00
0.08 0% 9% 0.001 - 98% 40% 70% 98% 0.02 -33° 0seconds
21:00
0.08 1% 12% 0.001 - 100% 49% 85% 98% 0.02 -44° 0seconds
22:00
0.08 1% 14% 0.001 - 12% 78% 100% 98% 0.02 -56° 0seconds
23:00
- 2% 17% - - 5% 77% 96% 97% - -66° 0seconds
Tue, May 26 Sunrise 07:21 Sunset 17:12
24:00
- 3% 19% - - 16% 60% 73% 97% - -73° 0seconds
01:00
- 4% 22% - - 5% 25% 35% 97% - -71° 0seconds
02:00
- 3% 21% - - 52% 84% 23% 96% - -62° 0seconds
03:00
- 3% 20% - - 100% 44% 8% 95% - -51° 0seconds
04:00
- 2% 19% - - 100% 5% 5% 93% - -39° 0seconds
05:00
- 2% 19% - - 100% 6% 5% 87% - -28° 0seconds
06:00
- 2% 19% - - 100% 5% 5% 81% - -16° 0seconds
07:00
- 2% 19% - - 75% 4% 31% 76% - -4.7° 0seconds
08:00
- 1% 17% - - 72% 5% 14% 72% - 5.8° 0seconds
09:00
- 1% 15% - - 100% 6% 47% 69% - 15° 0seconds
10:00
- 0% 13% - - 40% 6% 41% 65% - 23° 0seconds
11:00
- 2% 16% - - 100% 5% 5% 64% - 28° 3600seconds
12:00
- 3% 19% - - 100% 4% 4% 63% - 31° 3600seconds
13:00
- 5% 22% - - 100% 15% 15% 62% - 30° 3600seconds
14:00
- 4% 20% - - 75% 12% 27% 62% - 26° 3600seconds
15:00
- 2% 18% - - 100% 5% 73% 62% - 20° 3600seconds
16:00
- 1% 16% - - 59% 0% 13% 63% - 11° 3600seconds
17:00
- 1% 12% - - 98% 0% 90% 62% - 1.6° 0seconds
18:00
- 0% 9% - - 100% 0% 48% 62% - -9.5° 0seconds
19:00
- 0% 5% - - 100% 2% 100% 62% - -21° 0seconds
20:00
- 0% 5% - - 100% 5% 100% 74% - -33° 0seconds
21:00
- 0% 5% - - 100% 50% 100% 86% - -45° 0seconds
22:00
- 0% 5% - - 100% 66% 100% 98% - -56° 0seconds
23:00
- 0% 4% - - 100% 100% 100% 98% - -66° 0seconds
Wed, May 27 Sunrise 07:22 Sunset 17:11
24:00
- 0% 2% - - 100% 100% 100% 99% - -73° 0seconds
01:00
- 0% 1% - - 78% 100% 99% 99% - -71° 0seconds
02:00
- 0% 2% - - 10% 100% 96% 99% - -62° 0seconds
03:00
- 0% 4% - - 1% 100% 50% 99% - -51° 0seconds
04:00
- 0% 5% - - 0% 100% 92% 99% - -40° 0seconds
05:00
- 0% 9% - - 3% 85% 64% 99% - -28° 1200seconds
06:00
- 1% 13% - - 6% 69% 35% 99% - -16° 2400seconds
07:00
- 1% 17% - - 9% 54% 6% 100% - -4.8° 3600seconds
08:00
- 1% 17% - - 39% 38% 11% 99% - 5.7° 3600seconds
09:00
- 1% 17% - - 70% 22% 15% 99% - 15° 3600seconds
10:00
- 1% 17% - - 100% 6% 20% 99% - 23° 3600seconds
11:00
- 5% 21% - - 100% 4% 15% 92% - 28° 2400seconds
12:00
- 9% 26% - - 100% 2% 10% 85% - 31° 1200seconds
13:00
- 13% 30% - - 100% 0% 5% 77% - 30° 0seconds
14:00
- 12% 29% - - 87% 0% 21% 68% - 26° 0seconds
15:00
- 12% 29% - - 74% 0% 37% 59% - 20° 0seconds
16:00
- 11% 28% - - 61% 0% 53% 50% - 11° 0seconds
17:00
- 10% 27% - - 44% 0% 36% 44% - 1.5° 0seconds
18:00
- 8% 26% - - 27% 0% 18% 39% - -9.6° 0seconds
19:00
- 7% 25% - - 10% 0% 0% 33% - -21° 0seconds
20:00
- 6% 24% - - 12% 0% 0% 33% - -33° 0seconds
21:00
- 6% 23% - - 14% 0% 0% 33% - -45° 0seconds
22:00
- 5% 22% - - 16% 0% 0% 33% - -56° 0seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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