Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Kiama, Australian Coast

Kiama, New South Wales, Australia

Kiama's basalt shoreline includes the blowhole, Cathedral Rocks, ocean pools, and wave-cut platforms that provide dark foregrounds against surf.

Currently

Real-time conditions

Storm Intensity

CAPE0

Lifted Index9.0°C

Wind Gusts3.3m/s

Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Australia/Sydney

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (80-hour forecast)

Storm Intensity100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Kiama.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Australian Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Kiama during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days

recorded matching window · 51% average confidence

Last 90 days

recorded matching window · 51% average confidence

Last 365 days

recorded matching window · 51% average confidence

Only 1 completed match is recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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80-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 80-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour

0matching hours in the next 80 hours

AND logic: all conditions required

Meets requirement

Misses requirement

Time Australia/Sydney	Storm Intensity ≥ 40.0%
Thu, Aug 13
15:00	0%
16:00	12%
17:00	0%
18:00	0%
19:00	0%
20:00	0%
21:00	0%
22:00	0%
23:00	0%
Fri, Aug 14
24:00	0%
01:00	0%
02:00	0%
03:00	0%
04:00	0%
05:00	0%
06:00	0%
07:00	0%
08:00	0%
09:00	0%
10:00	0%
11:00	0%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	19%
17:00	11%
18:00	13%
19:00	17%
20:00	14%
21:00	17%
22:00	23%
23:00	21%
Sat, Aug 15
24:00	21%
01:00	23%
02:00	20%
03:00	22%
04:00	23%
05:00	18%
06:00	16%
07:00	16%
08:00	18%
09:00	23%
10:00	24%
11:00	16%
12:00	0%
13:00	0%
14:00	0%
15:00	0%
16:00	12%
17:00	9%
18:00	11%
19:00	13%
20:00	13%
21:00	13%
22:00	13%
23:00	14%
Sun, Aug 16
24:00	16%
01:00	21%
02:00	20%
03:00	20%
04:00	23%
05:00	17%
06:00	19%
07:00	16%
08:00	17%
09:00	17%
10:00	14%
11:00	13%
12:00	9%
13:00	0%
14:00	12%
15:00	8%
16:00	9%
17:00	9%
18:00	15%
19:00	26%
20:00	23%
21:00	22%
22:00	26%

How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time Australia/Sydney	Air Pressure hPa	CAPE J/kg	Convective Precip Fraction fraction	Lifted Index °C	Precipitation Chance %	Rainfall mm	Showers mm	Simulated Reflectivity dBZ	Total Precipitation mm	Visibility m	Wind Gusts m/s	Wind Shear 0-3 km m/s	Wind Shear 0-6 km m/s	Wind Speed m/s
Fri, Aug 14 Sunrise 06:39 Sunset 17:23
24:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.3m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
01:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.3°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3m/s	11m/s	13m/s	2.3m/s
02:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.9m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
03:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.4m/s	-	-	2m/s
04:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.8m/s	12m/s	17m/s	1.8m/s
05:00 ☾	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.8m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
06:00 ☾	1007hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	1.9m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
07:00 ☾	1008hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.9m/s	12m/s	17m/s	2m/s
08:00 ☾	1008hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	10°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.2m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
09:00 ☾	1008hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.8°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.1m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
10:00	1008hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.5°C	0%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.5m/s	11m/s	14m/s	0.05m/s
11:00	1008hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	9.2°C	2%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.4m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
12:00	1007hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	8.7°C	5%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.5m/s
13:00	1006hPa	1J/kg	0fraction	8.1°C	7%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.2m/s	9.7m/s	13m/s	3m/s
14:00	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	7.4°C	32%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.2m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
15:00	1006hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.9°C	57%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.7m/s	-	-	3.3m/s
16:00	1007hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.6°C	82%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.3m/s	10m/s	13m/s	3.1m/s
17:00	1007hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.2°C	87%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	4.9m/s	-	-	2.6m/s
18:00 ☾	1008hPa	4J/kg	0fraction	5.9°C	92%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.4m/s	-	-	1.7m/s
19:00 ☾	1009hPa	19J/kg	0fraction	5.6°C	97%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	1.6m/s	7.7m/s	14m/s	1m/s
20:00 ☾	1010hPa	20J/kg	0.33fraction	5.5°C	98%	0mm	0.02mm	-5.5dBZ	0.06mm	24135m	1.2m/s	-	-	1.2m/s
21:00 ☾	1010hPa	21J/kg	0.67fraction	5.6°C	99%	0mm	0.19mm	9.1dBZ	0.19mm	23354m	1m/s	-	-	0.96m/s
22:00 ☾	1010hPa	22J/kg	1fraction	5.7°C	99%	0mm	0.27mm	24dBZ	0.38mm	19988m	0.9m/s	4.1m/s	12m/s	0.97m/s
23:00 ☾	1010hPa	26J/kg	0.9fraction	5.7°C	99%	0.01mm	0.22mm	23dBZ	0.25mm	19986m	1.1m/s	-	-	1.1m/s
Sat, Aug 15 Sunrise 06:38 Sunset 17:24
24:00 ☾	1010hPa	29J/kg	0.81fraction	5.6°C	99%	0.05mm	0.13mm	23dBZ	0.5mm	20500m	1.3m/s	-	-	1.3m/s
01:00 ☾	1010hPa	30J/kg	0.71fraction	5.5°C	99%	0.16mm	0.05mm	22dBZ	0.69mm	23218m	1.5m/s	3.8m/s	12m/s	1.4m/s
02:00 ☾	1010hPa	36J/kg	0.6fraction	5.2°C	100%	0.22mm	0.02mm	21dBZ	0.94mm	21668m	2.1m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
03:00 ☾	1010hPa	28J/kg	0.49fraction	5.4°C	100%	0.23mm	0.02mm	21dBZ	1.2mm	22106m	2.2m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
04:00 ☾	1011hPa	27J/kg	0.37fraction	5.4°C	100%	0.08mm	0.06mm	20dBZ	1.4mm	23540m	2.5m/s	4.9m/s	11m/s	1.7m/s
05:00 ☾	1011hPa	38J/kg	0.54fraction	5.3°C	91%	0.03mm	0.03mm	15dBZ	0.19mm	24135m	2.6m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
06:00 ☾	1012hPa	37J/kg	0.72fraction	5.1°C	83%	0.03mm	0.06mm	9.9dBZ	0.31mm	21848m	2.7m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
07:00 ☾	1012hPa	32J/kg	0.89fraction	5.2°C	74%	0.05mm	0.1mm	4.9dBZ	0.5mm	21781m	2.7m/s	4.9m/s	9.6m/s	1.4m/s
08:00 ☾	1013hPa	31J/kg	0.79fraction	5.1°C	75%	0.11mm	0.15mm	11dBZ	0.81mm	5981m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
09:00 ☾	1013hPa	34J/kg	0.69fraction	5°C	75%	0.23mm	0.21mm	16dBZ	1.2mm	7125m	3.3m/s	-	-	1.6m/s
10:00	1013hPa	19J/kg	0.59fraction	5.4°C	76%	0.17mm	0.17mm	22dBZ	1.6mm	7483m	4m/s	5.6m/s	9m/s	1.9m/s
11:00	1013hPa	17J/kg	0.48fraction	5.8°C	60%	0.1mm	0.12mm	20dBZ	0.31mm	23553m	5.4m/s	-	-	2m/s
12:00	1012hPa	9J/kg	0.37fraction	6.1°C	45%	0.03mm	0.03mm	18dBZ	0.44mm	24134m	5.3m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
13:00	1012hPa	3J/kg	0.27fraction	6.3°C	29%	0mm	0.01mm	15dBZ	0.5mm	24134m	6.6m/s	4.4m/s	8.5m/s	2.1m/s
14:00	1012hPa	6J/kg	0.18fraction	6.6°C	40%	0mm	0mm	3.6dBZ	0.5mm	24135m	5.8m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
15:00	1012hPa	1J/kg	0.09fraction	6.5°C	50%	0mm	0mm	-8.2dBZ	0.5mm	24134m	4.6m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
16:00	1012hPa	1J/kg	0.004fraction	6.5°C	61%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0.5mm	24135m	4.3m/s	4m/s	6.9m/s	3m/s
17:00	1012hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.6°C	73%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	24134m	4.5m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
18:00 ☾	1013hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.7°C	86%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	24134m	2.8m/s	-	-	1.5m/s
19:00 ☾	1014hPa	0J/kg	0fraction	6.7°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-11dBZ	0mm	24134m	3m/s	1.2m/s	3.8m/s	1.6m/s
20:00 ☾	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.02fraction	6.6°C	98%	0mm	0mm	-14dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	2m/s
21:00 ☾	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.04fraction	5.9°C	99%	0mm	0mm	-17dBZ	0mm	24135m	2.7m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
22:00 ☾	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.06fraction	6°C	100%	0mm	0mm	-20dBZ	0mm	24135m	3.6m/s	3.1m/s	4.9m/s	2.5m/s
23:00 ☾	1014hPa	0J/kg	0.37fraction	5.5°C	99%	0mm	0mm	-8.6dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.7m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
Sun, Aug 16 Sunrise 06:37 Sunset 17:25
24:00 ☾	1014hPa	3J/kg	0.69fraction	5°C	98%	0mm	0.01mm	2.8dBZ	0mm	24134m	3.6m/s	-	-	2.3m/s
01:00 ☾	1014hPa	20J/kg	1fraction	4.1°C	97%	0.12mm	0.08mm	14dBZ	0.13mm	23003m	3.5m/s	5.3m/s	7.4m/s	2.1m/s
02:00 ☾	1014hPa	30J/kg	0.92fraction	3.8°C	97%	0.08mm	0.09mm	17dBZ	0.38mm	23546m	4.8m/s	-	-	2.4m/s
03:00 ☾	1014hPa	28J/kg	0.84fraction	4.2°C	98%	0.03mm	0.05mm	19dBZ	0.5mm	24135m	4m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
04:00 ☾	1014hPa	17J/kg	0.76fraction	4.6°C	98%	0.01mm	0.03mm	21dBZ	0.56mm	24134m	4.1m/s	4.1m/s	12m/s	2.4m/s
05:00 ☾	1014hPa	25J/kg	0.7fraction	4.7°C	96%	0.01mm	0.09mm	19dBZ	0.06mm	23092m	3.7m/s	-	-	2.2m/s
06:00 ☾	1015hPa	23J/kg	0.65fraction	5°C	93%	0.01mm	0mm	16dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.4m/s	-	-	2.1m/s
07:00 ☾	1015hPa	28J/kg	0.59fraction	5.2°C	91%	0.01mm	0.01mm	14dBZ	0.13mm	24134m	3.2m/s	4.1m/s	4.1m/s	2m/s
08:00 ☾	1016hPa	33J/kg	0.52fraction	5.2°C	90%	0.01mm	0.07mm	15dBZ	0.19mm	10517m	3m/s	-	-	1.9m/s
09:00 ☾	1016hPa	20J/kg	0.45fraction	5.4°C	90%	0.03mm	0.09mm	16dBZ	0.25mm	12508m	2.7m/s	-	-	1.8m/s
10:00	1017hPa	15J/kg	0.38fraction	5.7°C	90%	0.02mm	0.09mm	17dBZ	0.38mm	10228m	2.6m/s	5.8m/s	4.6m/s	1.6m/s
11:00	1023hPa	19J/kg	0.38fraction	6.2°C	79%	0.01mm	0.08mm	8.9dBZ	0.29mm	14864m	3.9m/s	-	-	3.1m/s
12:00	1029hPa	22J/kg	0.37fraction	6.7°C	69%	0.007mm	0.06mm	0.94dBZ	0.21mm	19499m	5.1m/s	-	-	4.6m/s
13:00	1036hPa	26J/kg	0.36fraction	7.2°C	58%	0mm	0.05mm	-7dBZ	0.13mm	24135m	6.3m/s	5.7m/s	8.7m/s	6.1m/s
14:00	1036hPa	18J/kg	0.25fraction	7.3°C	63%	0.007mm	0.05mm	-11dBZ	0.17mm	24135m	5.7m/s	-	-	5.7m/s
15:00	1036hPa	10J/kg	0.14fraction	7.5°C	68%	0.01mm	0.04mm	-16dBZ	0.21mm	24135m	5.2m/s	-	-	5.2m/s
16:00	1036hPa	2J/kg	0.03fraction	7.6°C	73%	0.02mm	0.04mm	-20dBZ	0.25mm	24135m	4.6m/s	4.4m/s	8.8m/s	4.8m/s
17:00	1036hPa	19J/kg	0.35fraction	6.6°C	71%	0.01mm	0.26mm	-15dBZ	0.56mm	19046m	5.6m/s	-	-	5.5m/s
18:00 ☾	1036hPa	35J/kg	0.68fraction	5.6°C	69%	0.007mm	0.48mm	-11dBZ	0.88mm	13956m	6.6m/s	-	-	6.2m/s
19:00 ☾	1036hPa	52J/kg	1fraction	4.6°C	67%	0mm	0.7mm	-5.9dBZ	1.2mm	8867m	7.5m/s	3.7m/s	7.8m/s	6.9m/s
20:00 ☾	1036hPa	48J/kg	1fraction	4.7°C	73%	0.08mm	0.52mm	2.1dBZ	1.7mm	10526m	7.2m/s	-	-	6.7m/s
21:00 ☾	1035hPa	45J/kg	1fraction	4.9°C	79%	0.15mm	0.34mm	10dBZ	2.2mm	12186m	6.9m/s	-	-	6.5m/s
22:00 ☾	1035hPa	41J/kg	1fraction	5°C	85%	0.23mm	0.16mm	18dBZ	2.8mm	13845m	6.6m/s	2.4m/s	6m/s	6.3m/s
23:00 ☾	1036hPa	38J/kg	0.73fraction	5.2°C	82%	0.18mm	0.2mm	15dBZ	2.3mm	14100m	6.1m/s	-	-	5.7m/s

How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →

Forecast generated

Aug 13, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC

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