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Rule Northern Lights

Valdez - Northern Lights - Alaska

Valdez, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Solar Elevation 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 99% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 6 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation32.2° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover39%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Thu, Jun 4
18:000%32°0%18%232m
19:000%25°0%22%714m
20:000%18°0%26%16621m
21:000%11°100%25%24135m
22:000%5.1°87%26%24135m
23:000%0.45°90%10%24134m
Fri, Jun 5
24:000%-3.6°95%54%24135m
01:000%-5.8°80%72%24134m
02:000%-6.2°83%82%24135m
03:000%-4.8°90%84%24135m
04:000%-1.7°59%81%24134m
05:000%2.8°100%78%24134m
06:000%8.2°100%89%24135m
07:000%15°95%77%24135m
08:000%22°88%68%24134m
09:000%29°87%68%24135m
10:000%36°51%25%24135m
11:000%42°0%69%8406m
12:000%48°0%42%1137m
13:000%51°0%32%117m
14:000%51°26%38%82m
15:000%49°26%31%82m
16:000%45°43%30%85m
17:000%39°91%28%173m
18:000%32°91%39%188m
19:000%25°65%57%96m
20:000%18°62%71%99m
21:000%11°62%90%111m
22:000%5.2°33%95%149m
23:000%0.54°33%99%136m
Sat, Jun 6
24:000%-3.5°33%100%97m
01:000%-5.7°15%100%72m
02:000%-6.1°15%100%45m
03:000%-4.7°15%100%37m
04:000%-1.6°0%100%41m
05:000%2.8°0%100%55m
06:000%8.3°0%100%52m
07:000%15°11%100%49m
08:000%22°11%100%46m
09:000%29°11%100%42m
10:000%36°20%100%46m
11:000%42°20%100%42m
12:000%48°20%100%40m
13:000%51°26%100%40m
14:000%52°26%100%40m
15:000%49°26%100%47m
16:000%45°15%100%46m
17:000%39°15%100%42m
18:000%32°15%100%37m
19:000%25°15%100%41m
20:000%18°15%100%38m
21:000%11°15%100%35m
22:000%5.3°0%98%40m
23:000%0.64°0%95%57m
Sun, Jun 7
24:000%-3.4°0%89%223m
01:000%-5.6°11%61%397m
02:000%-6°11%56%699m
03:000%-4.6°11%52%16199m
04:000%-1.5°11%58%16117m
05:000%2.9°11%59%16670m
06:000%8.4°11%70%16119m
07:000%15°11%73%16109m
08:000%22°11%94%1042m
09:000%29°11%79%180m
10:000%36°0%100%109m
11:000%42°0%100%120m
12:000%48°0%100%127m
13:000%51°11%100%95m
14:000%52°11%100%87m
15:000%50°11%94%86m
16:000%45°0%99%84m
17:000%39°0%96%85m
18:000%32°0%93%74m
19:000%25°0%100%71m
20:000%18°0%100%75m
21:000%11°0%100%85m
22:000%5.4°0%100%103m
23:000%0.72°0%100%176m
Mon, Jun 8
24:000%-3.3°0%100%276m
01:000%-5.5°0%100%369m
02:000%-5.9°0%100%544m
03:000%-4.6°0%100%881m
04:000%-1.5°0%100%606m
05:000%0%100%6829m
06:000%8.4°0%100%13052m
07:000%15°0%100%19275m
08:000%22°0%100%19275m
09:000%29°0%100%19275m
10:000%36°0%100%19276m
11:000%43°0%100%19277m
12:000%48°0%100%19278m
13:000%51°0%100%19279m
14:000%52°0%100%19281m
15:000%50°0%100%19282m
16:000%45°0%100%19284m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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