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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Girdwood, Alaska

Girdwood, Alaska, United States

Girdwood occupies a narrow rainforest valley beneath the Chugach Mountains, where heavy snow, steep ridges, and Turnagain Arm dominate compositions.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 1 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-0.7° (Civil twilight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Aurora Activity100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation79% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Alaska. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Girdwood.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Alaska →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Girdwood during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
22
recorded matching windows · 63% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

04:00 local time, shared by 7 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 8 of 22 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Aug 12
06:000%-0.37°29%85%6161m
07:000%5.8°24%86%492m
08:000%13°18%90%14844m
09:000%20°11%91%15569m
10:000%27°8%92%22196m
11:000%34°8%100%22196m
12:000%39°0%98%22195m
13:000%43°0%100%22206m
14:000%44°0%99%22195m
15:000%43°0%100%22195m
16:000%39°8%100%22195m
17:000%34°8%100%22196m
18:000%27°11%100%22196m
19:000%20°14%99%22196m
20:000%13°11%100%22196m
21:000%8%95%22198m
22:000%-0.12°8%100%22204m
23:000%-6.2°11%100%22197m
Thu, Aug 13
24:000%-11°16%100%22197m
01:000%-13°18%100%22197m
02:000%-14°16%100%22197m
03:000%-14°16%100%22200m
04:000%-11°16%100%22200m
05:000%-6.5°18%100%4395m
06:000%-0.73°18%100%3814m
07:000%5.6°18%100%4722m
08:000%13°0%100%22202m
09:000%20°0%100%22204m
10:000%27°15%81%22212m
11:000%33°15%99%22227m
12:000%39°0%99%22209m
13:000%42°15%100%22195m
14:000%44°15%100%22196m
15:000%42°15%100%22196m
16:000%39°26%100%22196m
17:000%34°26%100%22196m
18:000%27°26%100%22198m
19:000%20°20%100%22204m
20:000%13°20%100%22202m
21:000%5.8°20%100%22198m
22:000%-0.58°15%89%22196m
23:000%-6.5°15%99%22195m
Fri, Aug 14
24:000%-11°15%100%22198m
01:000%-14°11%100%22203m
02:000%-15°11%82%22210m
03:000%-14°11%58%22231m
04:000%-11°15%62%22853m
05:000%-6.8°15%47%24134m
06:000%-1.1°15%37%24134m
07:000%5.3°20%30%24135m
08:000%12°20%21%24135m
09:000%20°20%27%24135m
10:000%27°20%13%22299m
11:000%33°20%5.4%22229m
12:000%38°20%17%22197m
13:000%42°33%24%22195m
14:000%43°33%14%22195m
15:000%42°33%16%22195m
16:000%39°26%27%22196m
17:000%33°26%29%22195m
18:000%27°26%23%22196m
19:000%20°20%21%22200m
20:000%12°20%21%22202m
21:000%5.5°20%11%22201m
22:000%-0.97°15%5.1%22199m
23:000%-6.8°15%10%22200m
Sat, Aug 15
24:0023%-11°15%9.4%22200m
01:0023%-14°15%6.2%22199m
02:0020%-15°15%6.2%22197m
03:000%-14°15%5.8%22195m
04:000%-11°0%62%22195m
05:000%-7.1°0%98%22195m
06:000%-1.4°0%93%22196m
07:000%5.1°11%100%2208m
08:000%12°11%100%1005m
09:000%19°11%100%13604m
10:000%26°15%100%8982m
11:000%33°15%100%7642m
12:000%38°15%99%8379m
13:000%42°15%93%9013m
14:000%43°15%72%22195m
15:000%42°15%77%9123m
16:000%38°0%95%7165m
17:000%33°0%97%4801m
18:000%27°0%98%2437m
19:000%19°0%100%73m
20:000%12°0%100%78m
21:000%5.2°0%100%84m
22:000%-1.3°0%100%90m
23:000%-7.1°0%100%86m
Sun, Aug 16
24:000%-12°0%100%83m
01:000%-14°0%100%79m
02:000%-15°0%100%102m
03:000%-14°0%100%124m
04:000%-12°0%100%147m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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