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Rule Northern Lights

Fairbanks - Northern Lights - Alaska

Fairbanks, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Aurora Quality 99% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation5.7° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover15%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 15
10:000%5.4°100%100%115m
11:000%9.3°0%100%106m
12:000%12°0%100%144m
13:000%13°36%100%422m
14:000%12°36%100%818m
15:000%9.9°100%100%1784m
16:000%6.2°100%100%217m
17:000%1.6°100%100%144m
18:000%-4.4°63%100%241m
19:000%-11°67%100%234m
20:000%-17°75%100%600m
21:000%-23°58%100%488m
22:000%-29°51%100%572m
23:000%-33°49%100%458m
Mon, Feb 16
24:000%-36°38%100%1951m
01:000%-37°37%87%4529m
02:000%-37°36%100%615m
03:000%-34°23%100%1075m
04:000%-29°100%100%5077m
05:000%-24°100%80%16850m
06:000%-18°49%66%21103m
07:0066%-11°50%15%21997m
08:0051%-5.2°50%11%20586m
09:0033%0.97°45%13%20750m
10:0022%5.7°45%15%20060m
11:0013%9.6°45%15%19752m
12:000%12°22%35%19816m
13:000%13°22%56%20179m
14:000%12°22%51%21800m
15:000%10°36%12%24135m
16:006.6%6.5°36%5%24135m
17:0018%1.9°36%5%24134m
18:0031%-4.1°36%11%24135m
19:0046%-10°36%13%24135m
20:0050%-17°36%16%23806m
21:000%-23°16%69%24135m
22:0030%-28°16%35%24134m
23:000%-33°16%66%24135m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-36°16%100%24134m
01:000%-37°16%100%24134m
02:000%-36°16%100%24135m
03:000%-33°8.1%100%24134m
04:000%-29°8.1%100%24134m
05:000%-24°8.1%100%24135m
06:000%-18°5.3%100%24134m
07:000%-11°5.3%100%24134m
08:000%-4.9°5.3%100%24135m
09:000%1.3°5.3%100%24135m
10:000%6.1°5.3%100%24134m
11:000%10°5.3%100%24134m
12:000%13°16%100%24135m
13:000%13°16%100%2669m
14:000%13°16%100%772m
15:000%11°16%100%379m
16:000%6.9°16%100%792m
17:000%2.2°16%100%147m
18:000%-3.7°16%100%193m
19:000%-10°16%100%310m
20:000%-16°16%100%669m
21:000%-22°16%100%647m
22:000%-28°16%100%347m
23:000%-33°16%100%222m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-36°8.1%100%195m
01:000%-37°8.1%100%187m
02:000%-36°8.1%100%252m
03:000%-33°8.1%100%455m
04:000%-29°8.1%100%330m
05:000%-23°8.1%100%276m
06:000%-17°0.69%100%360m
07:000%-11°0.69%100%187m
08:000%-4.5°0.69%100%112m
09:000%1.6°12%100%114m
10:000%6.4°12%100%112m
11:000%10°12%100%107m
12:000%13°22%100%109m
13:000%14°22%100%113m
14:000%13°22%100%119m
15:000%11°45%100%136m
16:000%7.2°45%100%457m
17:000%2.5°45%100%779m
18:000%-3.4°45%100%1100m
19:000%-9.7°45%98%1989m
20:000%-16°45%97%2878m
21:000%-22°45%95%3767m
22:000%-28°45%97%2799m
23:000%-32°45%98%1831m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-35°45%100%862m
01:000%-36°45%100%675m
02:000%-35°45%100%488m
03:000%-33°45%100%301m
04:000%-28°45%100%429m
05:000%-23°45%100%558m
06:000%-17°45%100%686m
07:000%-11°45%100%653m
08:000%-4.2°45%100%619m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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