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Rule Northern Lights

Denali - Northern Lights - Alaska

Healy, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 78% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation6.7° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Tue, Feb 17
10:000%6.4°0%100%24134m
11:000%11°0%99%24134m
12:000%13°0%95%24134m
13:000%14°0%100%24134m
14:000%14°0%99%24134m
15:000%12°0%100%24135m
16:000%7.9°33%100%24134m
17:000%3.1°33%100%24135m
18:000%-2.9°42%100%24135m
19:000%-9.3°42%100%24135m
20:000%-16°45%100%24135m
21:000%-22°29%100%21870m
22:000%-28°28%100%24134m
23:000%-33°30%100%24134m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-36°33%100%17302m
01:000%-38°36%100%6240m
02:000%-37°33%100%4242m
03:000%-34°30%100%3530m
04:000%-30°30%100%3835m
05:000%-24°29%100%1957m
06:000%-18°35%100%1060m
07:000%-11°35%100%370m
08:000%-4.8°33%100%234m
09:000%1.6°33%100%358m
10:000%6.7°33%100%296m
11:000%11°33%100%258m
12:000%14°33%100%214m
13:000%15°33%100%162m
14:000%14°33%100%126m
15:000%12°15%100%124m
16:000%8.3°15%100%156m
17:000%3.4°15%100%158m
18:000%-2.5°20%100%120m
19:000%-9°20%100%112m
20:000%-16°20%98%402m
21:000%-22°11%98%12381m
22:000%-28°11%57%24134m
23:000%-33°11%64%24135m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-36°7.4%72%24134m
01:000%-37°7.4%90%24135m
02:000%-37°7.4%84%24135m
03:000%-34°7.4%100%22328m
04:000%-29°7.4%99%1161m
05:000%-24°7.4%100%251m
06:000%-18°7.4%100%183m
07:000%-11°7.4%100%339m
08:000%-4.4°7.4%100%680m
09:000%1.9°20%100%937m
10:000%20%100%3004m
11:000%11°20%100%3908m
12:000%14°33%80%4700m
13:000%15°33%100%1340m
14:000%15°33%100%392m
15:000%12°20%100%268m
16:000%8.6°20%100%195m
17:000%3.7°20%100%227m
18:000%-2.2°20%100%201m
19:000%-8.7°20%100%202m
20:000%-15°20%100%190m
21:000%-22°11%100%251m
22:000%-28°11%100%211m
23:000%-32°11%100%173m
Fri, Feb 20
24:000%-36°2.8%100%158m
01:000%-37°2.8%100%164m
02:000%-36°2.8%100%175m
03:000%-33°2.8%100%179m
04:000%-29°2.8%100%176m
05:000%-24°2.8%100%170m
06:000%-17°4.8%100%225m
07:000%-11°4.8%100%303m
08:000%-4.1°4.8%100%517m
09:000%2.2°7.4%98%1073m
10:000%7.4°7.4%97%2303m
11:000%12°7.4%99%3109m
12:000%14°20%85%7340m
13:000%16°20%77%10929m
14:000%15°20%83%12293m
15:000%13°7.4%77%13442m
16:000%8.9°7.4%53%17006m
17:000%7.4%29%20571m
18:0013%-1.9°7.4%5%24135m
19:0030%-8.4°7.4%5%24135m
20:0039%-15°7.4%5%24135m
21:0039%-21°7.4%5%24135m
22:0039%-27°7.4%5%24135m
23:0039%-32°7.4%5%24135m
Sat, Feb 21
24:0039%-35°7.4%5%24135m
01:0039%-37°7.4%5%24135m
02:0039%-36°7.4%4.9%24135m
03:0039%-33°7.4%4.9%24135m
04:0039%-29°7.4%3.3%24135m
05:0039%-23°7.4%1.6%24135m
06:0039%-17°7.4%0%24135m
07:0035%-10°7.4%1.6%24135m
08:0018%-3.7°7.4%3.3%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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