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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Coldfoot, Alaska

Coldfoot, Alaska, United States

Coldfoot sits in sparse boreal forest below the Brooks Range, with the Dalton corridor opening onto river valleys, tundra, and very dark skies.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation28.1° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover95%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation71% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Alaska. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Coldfoot.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Alaska →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Coldfoot during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
1
recorded matching window · 66% average confidence
Last 90 days
1
recorded matching window · 66% average confidence
Last 365 days
35
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most represented month

March, with 14 of 35 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Sep 5
13:000%28°0%100%8582m
14:000%29°0%100%12854m
15:000%28°0%100%14019m
16:000%26°8%100%8177m
17:000%22°11%100%9913m
18:000%17°14%100%3273m
19:000%12°18%100%1110m
20:000%20%100%925m
21:000%0.61°25%100%658m
22:000%-5.1°30%100%385m
23:000%-9.7°28%100%190m
Sun, Sep 6
24:000%-13°27%100%179m
01:000%-16°27%100%184m
02:000%-16°25%100%191m
03:000%-16°24%100%200m
04:000%-13°21%100%205m
05:000%-9.7°20%100%191m
06:000%-5.1°18%100%191m
07:000%0.62°16%100%173m
08:000%18%100%175m
09:000%12°20%100%191m
10:000%17°18%100%226m
11:000%22°14%100%434m
12:000%26°11%100%574m
13:000%28°11%95%929m
14:000%29°11%95%2042m
15:000%28°6.6%93%22590m
16:000%26°33%100%24134m
17:000%22°33%100%24135m
18:000%17°33%100%24134m
19:000%11°9.9%100%24134m
20:000%5.6°9.9%100%24135m
21:000%0.29°9.9%100%24135m
22:000%-5.5°9.9%100%24134m
23:000%-10°9.9%100%24134m
Mon, Sep 7
24:000%-14°9.9%100%24134m
01:000%-16°26%100%24134m
02:000%-17°26%100%24134m
03:000%-16°26%100%24134m
04:000%-14°26%100%24135m
05:000%-10°26%100%24135m
06:000%-5.4°26%100%24134m
07:000%0.35°33%100%24134m
08:000%5.7°33%100%24134m
09:000%11°33%100%24135m
10:000%17°80%100%24134m
11:000%22°80%100%24134m
12:000%25°80%100%24134m
13:000%28°93%100%24135m
14:000%29°93%100%24135m
15:000%28°93%100%24135m
16:000%25°93%100%24134m
17:000%21°93%100%24135m
18:000%16°93%100%24135m
19:000%11°93%100%24134m
20:000%5.3°93%100%24135m
21:000%-0.06°93%100%24134m
22:000%-5.9°100%100%24134m
23:000%-11°100%100%24134m
Tue, Sep 8
24:000%-14°100%100%24134m
01:000%-16°100%89%24135m
02:000%-17°100%95%24134m
03:000%-16°100%100%24134m
04:000%-14°100%100%24135m
05:000%-10°100%77%24134m
06:000%-5.7°100%61%24135m
07:000%0.09°93%74%24134m
08:000%5.4°93%99%24135m
09:000%11°93%100%24135m
10:000%16°80%100%24134m
11:000%21°80%100%24135m
12:000%25°80%100%24134m
13:000%27°33%100%24134m
14:000%28°33%99%24134m
15:000%27°33%100%24135m
16:000%25°9.9%100%24135m
17:000%21°9.9%100%24134m
18:000%16°9.9%100%4618m
19:000%11°9.9%100%1313m
20:000%4.9°9.9%100%576m
21:000%-0.65°9.9%100%322m
22:000%-6.3°9.9%100%187m
23:000%-11°9.9%100%142m
Wed, Sep 9
24:000%-14°9.9%100%98m
01:000%-17°9.9%100%53m
02:000%-17°9.9%100%55m
03:000%-17°9.9%100%57m
04:000%-14°9.9%100%58m
05:000%-11°9.9%100%129m
06:000%-6.1°9.9%100%201m
07:000%-0.36°9.9%100%272m
08:000%5.1°9.9%100%321m
09:000%11°9.9%100%370m
10:000%16°9.9%100%419m
11:000%21°9.9%100%8324m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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