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Rule Northern Lights

Chena Hot Springs - Northern Lights - Alaska

Chena Hot Springs, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 97% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-28.4° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover98%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
6matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Feb 16
04:000%-29°100%100%126m
05:000%-23°100%100%181m
06:000%-17°49%100%217m
07:000%-11°50%100%457m
08:000%-4.6°55%100%513m
09:000%1.4°42%99%705m
10:000%6.1°36%100%1106m
11:000%9.8°36%97%2167m
12:000%12°0%95%5676m
13:000%13°0%92%12187m
14:000%12°0%94%16829m
15:000%9.7°0%73%22949m
16:000%5.9°100%5.6%24134m
17:000%1.2°100%5%24134m
18:000%-4.8°55%5%24135m
19:0070%-11°55%5.5%24134m
20:0073%-17°55%5.8%24134m
21:0090%-23°100%12%24134m
22:0090%-29°100%12%23879m
23:0090%-33°100%12%24133m
Tue, Feb 17
24:0077%-36°72%11%24134m
01:0031%-37°73%48%24135m
02:0056%-36°70%36%24134m
03:000%-33°39%96%24135m
04:000%-28°39%98%24134m
05:000%-23°39%100%24135m
06:000%-17°22%100%24135m
07:000%-10°22%100%24134m
08:000%-4.3°22%100%24135m
09:000%1.7°5.4%100%24134m
10:000%6.4°5.4%100%24134m
11:000%10°5.4%100%24134m
12:000%12°17%58%24134m
13:000%13°17%10%24134m
14:000%12°17%11%24134m
15:000%10°17%90%24135m
16:000%6.2°17%100%24134m
17:000%1.5°17%100%24135m
18:000%-4.5°17%100%24135m
19:000%-11°17%100%24134m
20:000%-17°17%100%24135m
21:000%-23°17%100%24135m
22:000%-28°17%100%24134m
23:000%-33°17%100%16391m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-36°8.3%100%325m
01:000%-36°8.3%100%444m
02:000%-35°8.3%100%275m
03:000%-32°8.3%100%616m
04:000%-28°8.3%100%348m
05:000%-23°8.3%100%258m
06:000%-16°0.71%95%405m
07:000%-10°0.71%100%2450m
08:000%-3.9°0.71%100%2832m
09:000%12%100%6263m
10:000%6.7°12%100%135m
11:000%10°12%100%114m
12:000%13°22%100%122m
13:000%14°22%100%124m
14:000%13°22%100%139m
15:000%10°17%100%130m
16:000%6.5°17%100%137m
17:000%1.8°17%100%111m
18:000%-4.2°29%100%107m
19:000%-10°29%100%108m
20:000%-17°29%100%99m
21:000%-23°8.3%96%636m
22:000%-28°8.3%86%16808m
23:000%-32°8.3%100%447m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-35°12%100%484m
01:000%-36°12%100%458m
02:000%-35°12%100%1266m
03:000%-32°5.4%100%942m
04:000%-28°5.4%100%372m
05:000%-22°5.4%100%278m
06:000%-16°8.3%100%231m
07:000%-9.8°8.3%100%333m
08:000%-3.6°8.3%100%332m
09:000%2.3°12%100%289m
10:000%7.1°12%100%286m
11:000%11°12%100%282m
12:000%13°17%100%279m
13:000%14°17%100%386m
14:000%13°17%100%493m
15:000%11°8.3%100%600m
16:000%6.9°8.3%100%668m
17:000%2.1°8.3%100%736m
18:000%-3.8°8.3%100%804m
19:000%-10°8.3%100%759m
20:000%-16°8.3%100%713m
21:000%-22°8.3%100%668m
22:000%-28°8.3%100%995m
23:000%-32°8.3%100%1322m
Fri, Feb 20
24:000%-35°8.3%100%1649m
01:000%-36°8.3%100%2286m
02:000%-35°8.3%99%2922m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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