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Rule Northern Lights

Anchorage - Northern Lights - Alaska

Anchorage, Alaska, United States

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 100% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-32.3° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Anchorage

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Alaska's interior sits directly under the auroral oval, making it one of the world's most reliable aurora viewing destinations. Fairbanks, in particular, experiences aurora activity on roughly 240 nights per year—more than almost anywhere else accessible by road.

What makes Alaska special for aurora photography:

  • Auroral oval position - Fairbanks sits at the ideal 65°N latitude, directly under the oval's typical position
  • Extreme darkness - Winter nights can last 18+ hours, maximizing viewing opportunities
  • Dramatic foregrounds - Snow-covered mountains, frozen rivers, and boreal forests create stunning compositions
  • Research heritage - The University of Alaska Fairbanks Geophysical Institute provides world-class aurora forecasting

Best conditions typically occur September through March, with peak activity during the equinox months. The interior's continental climate means clearer skies than coastal areas, though temperatures can plunge well below -30°C. Dress accordingly and keep camera batteries warm.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Anchorage
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Feb 7
21:000%-26°21%100%131m
22:000%-32°21%100%129m
23:000%-38°21%100%125m
Sun, Feb 8
24:000%-42°21%100%122m
01:000%-44°21%100%123m
02:000%-43°21%100%123m
03:000%-40°0%100%129m
04:000%-35°0%100%134m
05:000%-29°0%100%150m
06:000%-22°21%100%204m
07:000%-15°21%100%159m
08:000%-7.5°21%97%188m
09:000%-0.56°21%100%234m
10:000%21%100%317m
11:000%9.6°21%100%395m
12:000%13°27%100%289m
13:000%14°27%100%279m
14:000%14°27%100%277m
15:000%11°21%100%261m
16:000%7.3°21%100%322m
17:000%2.2°21%100%317m
18:000%-4.2°11%100%414m
19:000%-11°11%100%405m
20:000%-18°11%100%486m
21:000%-25°0%100%139m
22:000%-32°0%100%126m
23:000%-38°0%100%144m
Mon, Feb 9
24:000%-42°16%82%261m
01:000%-43°16%100%170m
02:000%-43°16%100%109m
03:000%-40°16%100%113m
04:000%-35°16%100%117m
05:000%-28°16%100%126m
06:000%-22°21%99%197m
07:000%-14°21%92%357m
08:000%-7.2°21%74%1254m
09:000%-0.11°16%70%3765m
10:000%5.3°16%76%2634m
11:000%9.9°16%70%2097m
12:000%13°27%73%2565m
13:000%14°27%86%2336m
14:000%14°27%89%2318m
15:000%12°11%93%3547m
16:000%7.6°11%87%3458m
17:000%2.5°11%87%3615m
18:000%-3.9°11%95%1572m
19:000%-11°11%100%953m
20:000%-18°11%100%763m
21:000%-25°0%91%1684m
22:000%-32°0%82%2842m
23:000%-37°0%94%1252m
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%-41°0%100%443m
01:000%-43°0%95%1489m
02:000%-42°0%87%1115m
03:000%-39°0%84%1163m
04:000%-34°0%90%1635m
05:000%-28°0%95%2107m
06:000%-21°0%100%2579m
07:000%-14°0%100%2687m
08:000%-6.9°0%100%2795m
09:000%0.19°0%100%2903m
10:000%5.6°0%100%3837m
11:000%10°0%100%4771m
12:000%13°11%100%5705m
13:000%15°11%100%3908m
14:000%14°11%100%2111m
15:000%12°16%100%313m
16:000%7.9°16%100%248m
17:000%2.8°16%100%183m
18:000%-3.6°16%100%118m
19:000%-11°16%100%134m
20:000%-18°16%100%150m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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